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Comment -
(a) arrogate
(b) chrome
(c) keen ice
(d-f) 8-1,17-1,18-1*
*next lowest 34-1
triple
ab/ab/c
$2 returns $74
super
ab/ab/c/def
ab/ab/def/c
$12 returns $296
5.40 winner
4/5 2nd (63%/55% ) 1.15 multiple
6.20 exacta
32-1 3rd (8%/3%) 2.7 multiple
$17 triple ..paid $74 (350% overlay)
18-1 4th (5%/5%) multiple 1
?????
don't understand what I'm missing here..
the percentages are about right but last step doesn't work..bottom line triple and supers are huge overlays ..
feel free to chime in if you feel I'm doing this wrongComment -
did some of the math wrong along..prices below are based on $2 bet size and some of the odds percentages were slightly off..try it again and any feedback positive or negative welcome
5.40 winner (63% remains)
4-5 2nd (63%-53%) 1.2 multiple
6.50 exacta
32-1 3rd (10%-3%) 3.3 multiple
21.50 triple
18-1 4th (7% -5%) 1.4 multiple
30.10 super
$21.50 triple based on $2.. $2 triple for this race was $149
making this a 593% overlay
$30 super based on $2.. $2 super for this race was $592
making this an almost 1900% overlay
it's hard to believe these numbers but on the other hand
not sure what I'm doing wrong ?? maybe something to do with the track take but even then can't imagine these drastic differences..as I've mentioned before I don't have the book anymore.. if anybody does and wants to take a look feel free to respond
exotic betting by steve cristComment -
^ gonna look at parxComment -
^^
parx
R2 #4 isi antonia (12-1)
R4 #3 whateveryouwant (6-1)
R5 #9 arturito (7-2)
the way he ran those 2 sprints sets him up nicely for the stretch and drop which he's bred to do..back in 6 days and cost only 17 so up for 20 today fine..trainer has tremendous numbers first mdn claiming and drop
msw to mdn claimingComment -
^^^
R6 #4 coupella (12-1)
R8 #4 camille claudele (8-1)
R9 #1 navigatethebridle (4-1)Comment -
^^^^
parx tuesday
R1 #3 ja' crispy (12-1)
R3 #7 bossy b (3-1) 2 units
rest tomorrowComment -
R4 #8 native crossing (8-1)
R5 #4 strike bold (6-1)
R6 #2 pure spring (4-1)
R7 #8 prado (6-1)
R8 #6 collin's smile (9-2)
R9 #11 anytime soon (9-2)
2nd post for parxComment -
just an example..didn't have the (f)
aqu R10 sat 11/5
240k triple pool
134k super pool
5.70
6-1 (65/14) 4.6
26 ex
20-1 (51/5) 10
260 tri ..694 ..166% ol
5-1 (46/16) 2.8
730 sup ...3043 ..317% ol
(a) 9-5
(b-e) 9-2 to 7-1
(f) 20-1
triple
a/b-e/f*
a/f/b-e
$8 returns $347
super
a/b-e/b-e/f
a/b-e/f/b-e*
$24 returns $1521
nice return on both with a clear favorite winningComment -
churchill downs
R1 #3 manhattan mischief (5-2)
R2 #8 thirtydaysinjune (4-1)
R3 #9 tapanna (9-2)
R4 #6 four arches (5-1)Comment -
R5 #6 ms advisor (7-2)
R6 #6 union label (10-1)
R7 #8 english dancer (5-1)
R8 #3 attraction (4-1)
2nd post todayComment -
CD
R4 #6 my eminence (4-1)
R5 #8 stone (8-1)Comment -
R6 #10 super wonderful (5-1)
R7 #9 pebble road (10-1)
R8 #11 beachtown benny (6-1)
passing 9th ..last 2 laterComment -
R10 #6 scholar athlete (8-1)
R11 #5 perfect execution (10-1)
3rd post todayComment -
aqueduct
R1 #5 bartleby (15-1) full..#2 honor and pleasure (20-1) half
R4 #8 frosty gal (8-1)Comment -
R6 #1 moondance (7-2)
R8 #3 highway star (5-1)
R9 #8 city section (15-1)Comment -
going to look at parx..looks like a nice card there today but will pass if I don't see things I like..when I used to use drf (paper or digital) used to feel more obligated to play when I purchased pp's...now with brisnet being 60% cheaper can rationalize passing or at minimum playing less races if I don't like card...that being said i'll probably be on 7 races today lol...we'll seeComment -
so much for passing ...
parx
R1 #5 lagrats (10-1)
R2 #1 ghostcatcher (12-1)
R3 #3 code name raven (20-1)
R4 #9 trousseau (4-1)
R5 #7 browneyed bachelor (9-2)
rest laterComment -
R6 #8 my son ernie (6-1)
R7 #6 draxhall woods (6-1)
R8 #5 ponytail (4-1)
R9 #3 dusty street (5-1)
2nd and final postComment -
mahoning valley
R1 #4 willy smile (7-2)
R2 #4 new york gem (4-1)
R3 #4 purple flowers (12-1)
R5 #3 lucky'sdream (3-1)
R6 #5 v.i. dancer (2-1)
don't like rest.. shouldn't bother with these minor league tracks but hopped aboard todayComment -
gulfstream west (didn't like first 4 races)
R5 #1 piki piki girl (7-2)
R6 #5 silvera (10-1)
R7 #6 i'ma handsome dude (4-1)
R8 #6 blame it on dixie (4-1)
R9 #3 starship sheba (4-1)
R10 #2 yo no fui (4-1)Comment -
aqueduct
R1 #7 iridium (2-1) easy
R3 #6 hawk alley (6-5)
R5 #2 ocala jim (8-1)
rest laterComment -
R6 #6 the name's paddy (20-1)
R7 #9 about the base (7-2)
R9 #3 mr euro... know off turf
2nd and finalComment -
aqueduct
R4 #8 starry messenger (8-1)Comment -
R5 #1 dr stone (6-1)Comment -
aqueduct
R1* #2 guick (5-1)
R2 #5 on tap** (3-1)
R3 #7 sunday soldier (6-1)
R4 #2 shades of night (20-1)
*first time starter "bavaro" this race.. august dawn farm
owner which is bill parcells.. must like the horse
**just have a hunch he might get claimed at this price.. what he's done, pedigree and lightly raced 4yo gelding
rest later and gonna look at delta downs.. their big day todayComment -
R5 #10 hampton's holiday (4-1)
R6 #1 azaelia (5-1)
R7 #8 tempter (12-1)
R8 #5 blacktype (5-1)
R9 #10 you know I know (4-1)
at otb yesterday and some guys saying all you have to do is play the ortiz brothers and castellano and forget everything else.. of course I said that's too simple (and it is).. today ordered up 4 jose's and 2 irad'sComment -
delta downs
R1 #7 coffee cup (9-2)
R3 #6 nelly relly (20-1)
rest laterComment -
R5 #9 aces high (6-1)
R6 #7 chanel's legacy (12-1)Comment -
R7.. $1M delta jackpot
#3 thirstforlife (8-1)
minor opinion ..gonna look at remainingComment
