added santa anita 6 7
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Comment -
aqueduct
R2 #6 quasar (6-1)
R9 #7 lough name mona (3-1)*
* must be turf..scheduled on it now but may change with weather
keeneland
R1 #1 social circle (3-1)
R2 #9 lady pauline (2-1)
wesley ward fts with an impeccable pedigree.. dam won 16/22 races and over $500k..more than half of those in puerto rico but did win and place in graded stakes over here.. half sibling lady aurelia won over 800k and broke her maiden in this type of race by over 7 lengths first time out.. went on to ascot to win her 2nd start which is an amazing feat.. this one's by a win early speed sire also (munnings).. researched this info and not just rewritten from a publication
R3 #1 amos (8-1)
outside of favorite #2 golden curl (7-5) this is a weak field.. think mine will be <= 4-1
R4 #10 negrita (8-1)
R5 #8 western trouble (5-1)
R6 #7 blip sails bye (8-1)
like this name for a first time starter.. lots of credentials though
R7 #5 fast accurate (15-1)
ridiculous morning line
R8 #4 frolic more (12-1)
allowance race restricted to 3yo at keeneland is more like a stakes race.. they're going to be betting the expensive lightly raced big trainer horses.. this guy has a nice body of work underneath him and toss the last race.. bad post, horrible trip.. sets up nice and has route experience and correct running style to benefit from what figures to be a contentious pace.. inside posts an advantage in keeneland routes
R9
#1 the black album (10-1) half
#6 dunph (12-1) half
R10 #4 fuel the bern (9-2)
santa anita
R5 #4 sunny dale (12-1)
R8 #9 foray (6-1)Comment -
finished keenelandComment -
added aqueduct 9Comment -
added santa anita 5 8Comment -
aqueduct
R1 #6 mo gotcha (7-2)
R2 #5 flashpackinbarbie (5-2)
R6 #1 much better (9-5)
looks like chalk city to me.. slop ok for these
continued belowComment -
man I wish they had points of call in australia.. royal randwick looks like a really great productComment -
Seems like you had some nice plays today JBEX. The last race at SA was a sweet pickComment -
aqueduct
R1 #6 mo gotcha (7-2)
R2 #5 flashpackinbarbie (5-2)
R6 #1 much better (9-5)
R7 #1 nicodemus* (5-1)
R8 #1 afleet destiny* (15-1)
R11 #8 indimaaj* (10-1)
R10 wood memorial
post 29
realize he'll be of little value but still pulling for him..no action on him in the futures
keeneland
my recommendation when there's two horses in a race make the total play 50%more than if you were betting 1 horse.. if odds are high on one or both maybe (in the below example) go $2 on each.. use you're own judgment
1 horse $4 win
2 horses $3 win each
R2 #10 shared legacy (20-1) *
R2 #12 camp randall (6-1)
* a FULL brother to shared belief who was a monster about 4-5 years ago.. 10/12 almost $3M..homebred so wasn't sold privately for some cheap amount.. trainer below the radar guy above average veteran jockey (graham.. 21% sprints).. slow but regular works.. good day to unveil a horse like this on the undercard of keeneland's biggest day.. if he wins they're really in the spotlight.. going to use one other besides
R3 #5 gold credit (10-1)
R3 #7 fightress (10-1)
R4 #2 the hardest way (8-1)
R5 #4 dynabee (5-1)
R6 #4 uncontested (12-1)
you're getting this ml because of the unknown trainer and local jock coming over to ride.. won the "general george" at laurel (G3)and that race fits well in here.. beat a 14 horse field on the front end (the name ironic) on a clear lead with above avg pace figures and solid final figure at 7f which is today's distance.. ran here twice before and was competitive both times
R8 #9 shamrock rose (5-2)
R9 ashland g1
#6 restless rider (5-2)
R10 bluegrass g1
#6 dream maker* (12-1)
#7 admire* (15-1)
R11
#2 choate bridge* (8-1)
#8 macabre (8-1)
santa anita
R7 #5 one bad boy (7-2)
R8 santa anita derby
just rooting for #6 game winner.. however I do think the late shift to oaklawn and having to be used that hard off the layoff may not be the best thing.. think instagrand ran huge in the gotham considering the pace.. considering what he did as a 2yo and that he cost $1.2M kind of like him vs the other two top contenders (1,3) who I think are very solid horses also.. realize ig had to ship out also prior but he got an extra week to recover vs gw.. should be a great race
R9 #9 miss flawless (6-1)
R10 santa anita hcp g1
#1 mckinzie (4-5)
no value of course... should crush them
R11 #3 the hunted (3-1)
ignore asterisk unless outside of odds..means it's on my grade list thenComment -
added kee 6 8.. rest laterComment -
An optional claimer at 6 1⁄2 furlongs. Top choice is FIGHTRESS (#7).
Since Mark Casse’s son Norm ventured out on his own, his “pattern” of things he’s good
at, has started to emerge, and one of the things we like with him, is returning a horse
ready to run off the rest, as we find with this one today, working super at Palm
Meadows, while we’ll note, she won her debut last June, which is often a nice prelude
with regard to wondering whether a horse is more apt to fire off a layoff.
The report likes the #7 as well race 3 from KEE. They are real big on trainer intentions and strengths. Here is what they say about the #7.Comment -
You like the #7 not the #8 race 3 correct. You have Fightress marked as the #8.Comment -
No excuses. HorribleComment -
Perfect trip went backwards 🤡Comment -
finished aqueductComment -
fInished kee..probably look at latter half of santa anita laterComment -
finishedComment -
keeneland
R3 #5 flawless bourbon (12-1)
R4 #10 roan like the wind (8-1)
R6 #8 daddy's cozy (20-1)
aqueduct
R3 #7 hampton point (20-1)
R4 #6 laura's posse (9-2)
R6 #9 five alarm robin (10-1)Comment -
8 <=game number <=10 and wins =2 and DIV and po:wins >=6 and o:STR
1-6 (-112) (-3.57) big
average runs scored by these teams = .71
fade chc
pitt +115
parx
R4 #8 prodigious (20-1)
understand trainer is 0/30 this year and a very bad trainer beyond that.. might be a good thing in this case (price)as horse really fits well vs these.. claimed two starts back this trainer is 3/14 with horses making their 2nd start for him with an avg price of $26
will rogers
R7 #6 shesamineshaftbabe (3-1)
big drop remington park to will rogers.. what she did at the former should make her tough in here and they're not risking her via the claim.. think more like 3-2
R9 #6 franklee fun (6-1)
a starter alw 7500 at will rogers probably better than your avg alw n1x there.. last race at that level (previous race) works well here
mahoning
R9 #7 lucy's sweet boy (4-1)Comment -
added will rogers R7Comment -
added will rogers 9Comment -
added mahoning 9Comment -
keeneland
R2 #8 coworker (7-2)
R4 #3 marina view (8-1)
interesting jose ortiz would hop aboard this horse.. shows little on paper
done
tampa bay
R3 #5 bourbon tan (7-2)
R4 #1 legalize it (12-1)
R8 #4 bella pierina (6-1)
R9 #7 hubba bubba (4-1)
aqueduct
R6 #7 serious mischief (6-1) lower
R9 #6 el fenomeno (15-1)Comment -
Comment -
added aqu 9Comment
