Flea Hotel's NHL Legend's Club

[Flea Hotel]

NBA TT cashed.

GN, have a feeling tomorrow will be nothing but winners since my self-imposed week long ban on talking about my second biggest passion is over.

[Flea Hotel]

Today's play, maybe another one later.
(YTD, +17.81u)

Dallas Stars vs New York Rangers UNDER 6 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

[Flea Hotel]

Adding. Later than usual due to school, girlfriend, work & gym. Only tail if you like cash money. Wanna post this before some tout can steal it.

Calgary ML (-135) 1.35u to win 1u

[Joe'Dad]

Food for thought. The last 10 games Tampa is
6-0-4 against Anaheim. Tampa hasn't lost regulation. Tampa in regulation seems like a good bet

[Flea Hotel]

Are you sure? I've got TB winning the last four but going back (way back) I have 6-4 TB. Moreover, The Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 overall and the Ducks are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. I like the under in this game but I don't think I'll even play it for a small play. My models have Anaheim winning 3-1 or 3-2. We'll see. Where do you get your H2H stats, maybe mine are all messed up.. The Ducks never beat the Lightning in 2015 but they haven't played yet this season.

Food for thought. The last 10 games Tampa is
6-0-4 against Anaheim. Tampa hasn't lost regulation. Tampa in regulation seems like a good bet

[i70/i25 kid]

Look at Tampa vs. Western conference on the road.... awful. 2 (counting LA) for their last 10 I believe...

[i70/i25 kid]

Today's play, maybe another one later.
(YTD, +17.81u)

Dallas Stars vs New York Rangers UNDER 6 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

Like you've said... I HATE watching games where I have the under bet lol... but I'm tailing. BoL

[Flea Hotel]

The only thing more painful is watching the last two minutes of a CBB game when you're hovering around the total. It's torturous.

Like you've said... I HATE watching games where I have the under bet lol... but I'm tailing. BoL

[reed_barrington]

Nailed it Flea, that goes for NBA as well when its "FOUL CITY" for 5 extra mins and it soars OVER TT's pure 100% torture.

The only thing more painful is watching the last two minutes of a CBB game when you're hovering around the total. It's torturous.

[Flea Hotel]

NBA is bad but I can't count how many games I was three points from winning a CBB over with 2:30 left and I lose by a point due to insane turnovers, senior citizen level free throw shooting and uber sketchy calls. i know you have your thoughts about vegas and the NBA, I think it's 10 times worse with CBB. Do those umps even get paid?

Nailed it Flea, that goes for NBA as well when its "FOUL CITY" for 5 extra mins and it soars OVER TT's pure 100% torture.

[Flea Hotel]

lol, I'm done with game totals. TT overs only from now on.

[knicksrulez]

Was going to mention that, you're like 1-5 for unders in this thread, and the one that hit was a TT

JayRow burned himself on those unders, don't think they are bad bets, just isn't working, it's ok to stick to one kind of play

[Flea Hotel]

I'm up, both in NHL and NBA, TT and full games, in both overs and unders. I just don't like unders because they're fuking annoying when they lose. When you take the under and the final score is 2-1 it's meh, but when they bust half way through the game, it's just a pisser. My bad for paying attention to the game. Anyone who doesn't think unders cash as much as overs doesn't understand statistics, but I'm not playing them for a while because they make the game unwatchable when you have half a unit or a unit on an under.

Was going to mention that, you're like 1-5 for unders in this thread, and the one that hit was a TT

JayRow burned himself on those unders, don't think they are bad bets, just isn't working, it's ok to stick to one kind of play

[Flea Hotel]

They are hard to cap this year. I've dominated unders until this season. You don't quit after 8 years of winning because of a shitty first half of one season. NOBODY is doing well with unders this year in hockey. I have access to any tout in the game and they're all getting fuked.

Was going to mention that, you're like 1-5 for unders in this thread, and the one that hit was a TT

JayRow burned himself on those unders, don't think they are bad bets, just isn't working, it's ok to stick to one kind of play

[knicksrulez]

What your advice would be?

I'm considering ignoring unders altogether but want to stick with the system, either way they are not performing well at all this season. It's my first time betting Hockey but I hate betting unders in any sport, it's like cheering for nothing, and your bet might get burned before the game ends. It's like blowing your roll before the season ends (ok, I'm exaggerating here, but you get the idea).

I'm more of a bases bettor and rarely I do play unders, if I like a game to go under, I just pass it..

They are hard to cap this year. I've dominated unders until this season. You don't quit after 8 years of winning because of a shitty first half of one season. NOBODY is doing well with unders this year in hockey. I have access to any tout in the game and they're all getting fuked.

[Flea Hotel]

I don't know man, it's really tough for me because I won so many bets in my "career" betting NHL, NBA and MLB unders but this year in the NHL, we're almost at the all star break and it's still fukery. I'm going to keep playing them when my model indicates them, god only knows how many units I'm up lifetime betting them but I will admit, this season is giving me and a lot of others fits trying to make sense of the variance. My disposition is pretty cold with betting on sports, but it's slowly making watching some of these games frustrating. I could see either betting overs and passing on unders from a pure psychological view but I'd have to have a losing season or two before I really chin checked my methodology. Similar in some aspects to MLB last year before the all star break, capping unders was hard but not quite this frustrating and annoying.

What your advice would be?

I'm considering ignoring unders altogether but want to stick with the system, either way they are not performing well at all this season. It's my first time betting Hockey but I hate betting unders in any sport, it's like cheering for nothing, and your bet might get burned before the game ends. It's like blowing your roll before the season ends (ok, I'm exaggerating here, but you get the idea).

I'm more of a bases bettor and rarely I do play unders, if I like a game to go under, I just pass it..

[knicksrulez]

I recall thinking the same about some of the other total capers, I'm still insisting on the under but think I'll take a pass on them from today, not they don't win at all, just think they hit well less than overs. From a statistical standpoint I totally understand that they hit as much... Just seems that when capped correctly, the over seems to hit way more than unders capped...

Haven't seem anyone in here doing well on mainly under bets, quite the contrary on the over, that being said, what I think is, unders are harder to cap than overs

I don't know man, it's really tough for me because I won so many bets in my "career" betting NHL, NBA and MLB unders but this year in the NHL, we're almost at the all star break and it's still fukery. I'm going to keep playing them when my model indicates them, god only knows how many units I'm up lifetime betting them but I will admit, this season is giving me and a lot of others fits trying to make sense of the variance. My disposition is pretty cold with betting on sports, but it's slowly making watching some of these games frustrating. I could see either betting overs and passing on unders from a pure psychological view but I'd have to have a losing season or two before I really chin checked my methodology. Similar in some aspects to MLB last year before the all star break, capping unders was hard but not quite this frustrating and annoying.

[knicksrulez]

Forgot to add, from a sports lover standpoint, those 15 point/goals/runs are not beautiful at all

The best baseball games are the ones that go 1-0

[Flea Hotel]

I don't let it get to me for long, my system is dynamic and gets better with more data. I may only post TT overs since they seem to be tamer on some's dispositions but I'll still play unders myself, I'm just not watching the game.

Forgot to add, from a sports lover standpoint, those 15 point/goals/runs are not beautiful at all

The best baseball games are the ones that go 1-0

[Joe'Dad]

Regarding the Tampa and Anaheim game; I didn't bet the game; but I noticed in the last 10 games Tampa hasn't lost in regulation

[Flea Hotel]

1-1, -0.15u
(YTD, +17.66u)

[Flea Hotel]

I've got the day off from school and the nagging gf. I'm going off today. Get ready.

[knicksrulez]

Let's rock the house today

[Catchn_Picks]

Let's rock the house today

[Skeeeter]

I've got the day off from school and the nagging gf. I'm going off today. Get ready.

[Flea Hotel]

Stand by for picks. High volume today. Fuk it. All TT overs.

[HoleCamels]

I've got the day off from school and the nagging gf. I'm going off today. Get ready.

Nagging GF is always -EV

[Flea Hotel]

Today's action.(YTD, +17.66u)

Boston Bruins OVER 2.5 (-130) 1.3u to win 1u
Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 2.5 (-135) 1.35u to win 1u
Winnipeg Jets OVER 3.5 (+140) 1u to win 1.4u
Edmonton Oilers OVER 2.5 (-145) 1.45u to win 1u

Notes: Not posting but I'm playing the under in the SJ/LAK game. Not sure how big a play, maybe half a unit. For sides, big on Boston and the Jets. I almost 2u the Jet's o3.5, I think they get 5. Just my thoughts, my official picks are the plays and subject to change.

[Flea Hotel]

Damn right. AND, I'm killing it this year when fading the Habs when I'm physically at the game, which I will be tonight. Funny, I have an old Lemiuex Pens jersey, I'd get killed wearing it to the Bell Centre but it'd be funny.

Nagging GF is always -EV

[thekoreanmang]

Good luck. Big card.

[Flea Hotel]

TY, I retire if I don't come out plus unit here.

Good luck. Big card.

[thekoreanmang]

Then much is riding on tonight.

Although, I must say since you did so well last month that there may be some regression to the mean. I have noticed that your past cards that contained 4 or more plays did not do all that well. No disrespect of course. Just an observation.

Only wish the best. Wouldn't be surprised if you get all four.

[Flea Hotel]

I post my picks here simply out of altruism. I've never had a losing month, let alone a losing year. Been betting for 10. Don't gaf if people tail, fade or pass. People who post their picks here are treated like crap, usually by donks who've never made a pick in their lives. Not saying that's you, just a general observation. I'm up 20+u in 33 days and getting shit. Makes me laugh.

Then much is riding on tonight.

Although, I must say since you did so well last month that there may be some regression to the mean. I have noticed that your past cards that contained 4 or more plays did not do all that well. No disrespect of course. Just an observation.

Only wish the best. Wouldn't be surprised if you get all four.

[cooperman]

Boston Bruins OVER 2.5 (-130) 1.3u to win 1u
Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 2.5 (-135) 1.35u to win 1u
Winnipeg Jets OVER 3.5 (+140) 1u to win 1.4u
Edmonton Oilers OVER 2.5 (-145) 1.45u to win 1u

Notes: Not posting but I'm playing the under in the SJ/LAK game. Not sure how big a play, maybe half a unit. For sides, big on Boston and the Jets. I almost 2u the Jet's o3.5, I think they get 5. Just my thoughts, my official picks are the plays and subject to change.

I'm going legendary with the flea tonight. Let's hit the books rapid fire

[Flea Hotel]

I put up a bunch of volume to act as possible tie breakers but I suspect tailing the picks en masse will lead to cash money. I know I've got a play on every game in the NHL and NBA tonight, and at least a dozen on CBB. I just put up the oly TT overs I got since people hate unders.

I'm going legendary with the flea tonight. Let's hit the books rapid fire