Flea Hotel's NHL Legend's Club

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  • Flea Hotel
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-16
    • 1732

    #316
    I'm in the lab finishing up my plays for tonight. Stand by for winners.
    Comment
    • Flea Hotel
      Restricted User
      • 08-31-16
      • 1732

      #317
      Today's winner. SO many near misses. I'd list them but then I'll feel dumb if they hit. Let's just say: Toronto, CBJ and the Ducks would all be plays if not for pricing reasons. I don't mind paying juice if it's a near lock and Toronto at +135 but at o3.5 just missed making it. I may or may not play these myself but my goal here is to post the best of the best. Value is imperative.

      Huge news as I'm making my first 2 unit post of the season (my unit size in my own betting is all over the place.) This cleared my fifth model with flying colours, the first play to ever do so. BOL on all your plays today/tonight.
      (YTD, +22.06u)

      Washington Capitals OVER 2.5 (-145) 2u to win 1.38u
      Comment
      • DU46
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-09-09
        • 368

        #318
        Thanks Flea, looking forward to cashing a 2 unit winner.
        Comment
        • Flea Hotel
          Restricted User
          • 08-31-16
          • 1732

          #319
          Well, technically it's a 1.38u winner, I decided to bet 2u instead of trying to get a 2u return, which would be almost a 3unit play. Anyway, this should hit.
          Originally posted by DU46
          Thanks Flea, looking forward to cashing a 2 unit winner.
          Comment
          • DU46
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-09-09
            • 368

            #320
            Fair enough, I'm playing it to win 2 units, hopefully it hits.
            Comment
            • Bedard
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-22-14
              • 422

              #321
              Just so people knows, it's currently at -136 on Pinnacles!

              I'm on it! GL!
              Comment
              • Flea Hotel
                Restricted User
                • 08-31-16
                • 1732

                #322
                down from -145 to -140 on 5Dimes. Someone's betting the game under and it's dragging down the TT. I'd say maybe 3% of a books bets are team totals.
                Originally posted by Bedard
                Just so people knows, it's currently at -136 on Pinnacles!

                I'm on it! GL!
                Comment
                • DU46
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-09-09
                  • 368

                  #323
                  Based on your research for your thesis, Flea, would you say TT's are an area where books don't have as much of an edge. It certainly seems like it, especially in the NHL. Your model seems to have cracked the TT code on this season.
                  Comment
                  • Flea Hotel
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-31-16
                    • 1732

                    #324
                    This is what I say to the books every morning...
                    Originally posted by DU46
                    Based on your research for your thesis, Flea, would you say TT's are an area where books don't have as much of an edge. It certainly seems like it, especially in the NHL. Your model seems to have cracked the TT code on this season.
                    Comment
                    • Flea Hotel
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-31-16
                      • 1732

                      #325
                      My actual academic research is pretty far off from trying to cap sports, but I am a bit worried once my dissertation gets published, people will be able to use my work to crack my code. By then, I'll hopefully have version 2 of my system and being doing a postdoc somewhere, where I could actually do stuff related specifically to sports projections instead of commodities and socio-economic trends.
                      Originally posted by DU46
                      Based on your research for your thesis, Flea, would you say TT's are an area where books don't have as much of an edge. It certainly seems like it, especially in the NHL. Your model seems to have cracked the TT code on this season.
                      Comment
                      • DU46
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-09-09
                        • 368

                        #326
                        Very cool, good luck!
                        Comment
                        • HoleCamels
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 09-23-16
                          • 92

                          #327
                          How do you feel about ANA o3.5 +115?
                          Comment
                          • Flea Hotel
                            Restricted User
                            • 08-31-16
                            • 1732

                            #328
                            Weird, a friend of mine who bets pretty big just put a dime USD on the TT o2.5 an hour or two ago and the line is almost down to -130 on Pinny. You'd think most of the NHL action today would be on the Toronto/NYR game.
                            Comment
                            • Flea Hotel
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-31-16
                              • 1732

                              #329
                              It cleared my first 3 models but got stuck in coin flip world in the 4th. I'd say it's a flip with the plus money. For some reason I see Anaheim winning 3-2. Just my two cents but there's better value spots. I could be wrong. Not a bad bet or a bad pass.
                              Originally posted by HoleCamels
                              How do you feel about ANA o3.5 +115?
                              Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-19-17, 04:06 PM. Reason: I said bass instead of bad and I'm not drunk or misc. the humanity!!!
                              Comment
                              • weekndornah
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-11-16
                                • 276

                                #330
                                Gee I wish my research could help me out with sports capping.

                                (I do molecular carcinogenesis of skin cancer research)

                                Let's win some more money!
                                Comment
                                • Skeeeter
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-26-13
                                  • 8

                                  #331
                                  Any sides you're looking at today Flea?
                                  Comment
                                  • TheDB
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-19-17
                                    • 106

                                    #332
                                    Best of luck Flea! Love the play!
                                    Comment
                                    • Flea Hotel
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-31-16
                                      • 1732

                                      #333
                                      Your research sounds a hell more useful to the world and I'm sure your current or future job will be cash money. The best sports gambler has a good day job. Always good to have a supplemental source of income.
                                      Originally posted by weekndornah
                                      Gee I wish my research could help me out with sports capping.

                                      (I do molecular carcinogenesis of skin cancer research)

                                      Let's win some more money!
                                      Comment
                                      • weekndornah
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-11-16
                                        • 276

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                        Your research sounds a hell more useful to the world and I'm sure your current or future job will be cash money. The best sports gambler has a good day job. Always good to have a supplemental source of income.
                                        I'm in med school. Wisely, or unwisely, I'm using some of my cost-of-living loans on sports betting lol. Winning money gives me a morale boost, esp. when I cash it out to pay for nights out on the town. My winnings are starting to pick up steam, trying to get some significant profit before all the major sports (I don't care about baseball) seasons end
                                        Comment
                                        • Flea Hotel
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-31-16
                                          • 1732

                                          #335
                                          I'm playing NYI (-110) and the Flames (-119) for a sprinkle and San Jose PL -1.5 (+225) for whatever word is less than a sprinkle. I'm trying to ween off sides and stick to totals. 90% of my bets tonight are on team totals and NCAAB plays I'm tailing. What about you? I'll tail anything, especially Asian and under 25.
                                          Originally posted by Skeeeter
                                          Any sides you're looking at today Flea?
                                          Comment
                                          • Flea Hotel
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-31-16
                                            • 1732

                                            #336
                                            Cool. I always wanted to be a doctor. I got accepted to med school but only at maybe one of the worst cities in Canada and unlike doing a PhD, you gotta pay cash money for med school. Good for you though. Attendings drive a 5 series, attendings who know how to bet sports with a 50k roll drive a 7 series, so I've been told. My best friend is a first year surgery resident and dude literally only works and sleeps. He gets 35k CAD a year and is close to 200k in debt. He'll be laughing in 10 years but dayum.
                                            Originally posted by weekndornah
                                            I'm in med school. Wisely, or unwisely, I'm using some of my cost-of-living loans on sports betting lol. Winning money gives me a morale boost, esp. when I cash it out to pay for nights out on the town. My winnings are starting to pick up steam, trying to get some significant profit before all the major sports (I don't care about baseball) seasons end
                                            Comment
                                            • weekndornah
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-11-16
                                              • 276

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                              Cool. I always wanted to be a doctor. I got accepted to med school but only at maybe one of the worst cities in Canada and unlike doing a PhD, you gotta pay cash money for med school. Good for you though. Attendings drive a 5 series, attendings who know how to bet sports with a 50k roll drive a 7 series, so I've been told. My best friend is a first year surgery resident and dude literally only works and sleeps. He gets 35k CAD a year and is close to 200k in debt. He'll be laughing in 10 years but dayum.
                                              50k/yr in loans (x4 years) for me and that's after scholarships and whatnot, and I'm lucky to have such supportive parents who help me out as well (I try to minimize it and I've forbade them from paying my loans).

                                              The pipe dream of course is to be able to make a dent in my loans with my winnings haha.

                                              I considered PhD and MD/PhD. Just couldn't see myself really getting into it. I didn't want to pause med school halfway through to do my PhD before finishing up with the clinical years of med school.
                                              Comment
                                              • PokeyAristocrat
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-08-17
                                                • 261

                                                #338
                                                Thanks Flea, you the man!
                                                Comment
                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                  • 1732

                                                  #339
                                                  I did my MSc in stats and then applied to four med schools. sorta bombed mcats but did get accepted to one. got accepted to a bunch of good phd applied stats programs with good scholarships and went that way. i'll always wonder what Dr. Flea would have been like but I have enough friends who are med students or MDs and they all seem stressed as shit. And they won't even write me a script for 10 xanax's ffs. Still though, good for you, I know how hard med school and interning and being a resident will be. Hot Asian girls love doctors.
                                                  Originally posted by weekndornah
                                                  50k/yr in loans (x4 years) for me and that's after scholarships and whatnot, and I'm lucky to have such supportive parents who help me out as well (I try to minimize it and I've forbade them from paying my loans).

                                                  The pipe dream of course is to be able to make a dent in my loans with my winnings haha.

                                                  I considered PhD and MD/PhD. Just couldn't see myself really getting into it. I didn't want to pause med school halfway through to do my PhD before finishing up with the clinical years of med school.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • weekndornah
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-11-16
                                                    • 276

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                    I did my MSc in stats and then applied to four med schools. sorta bombed mcats but did get accepted to one. got accepted to a bunch of good phd applied stats programs with good scholarships and went that way. i'll always wonder what Dr. Flea would have been like but I have enough friends who are med students or MDs and they all seem stressed as shit. And they won't even write me a script for 10 xanax's ffs. Still though, good for you, I know how hard med school and interning and being a resident will be. Hot Asian girls love doctors.
                                                    My entire class is borderline suicidal right about now. I've been wallowing in a pool of self-doubt and "I hate my life" this week.
                                                    Funny thing is everyone above us has been telling us that "2nd semester is the most fun ever" and "just wait" and whatnot. We're all pretty skeptical at this point bc we've been drowning thus far lol. But apparently once we're done with this month, we have a cakewalk for ~6 weeks where everyone gets shitfaced more nights than they're sober.

                                                    On the bright side, hospitals will never run out of hot 22 y/o nurses fresh out of school as long as I'm practicing hehe

                                                    I was a fine dining chef in my year between finishing undergrad and starting med school and I constantly wonder "what could have been" if I pursued that.

                                                    (in b4 I get doxxed)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Flea Hotel
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-31-16
                                                      • 1732

                                                      #341
                                                      Yeah that sounds similar to what my friends say/said. I guess if you're book smart the first two years are manageable but then it turns to a weird medical version of the military, always answering to someone. I think even the astute students trade drinking for sleep after their second year. And yes, you'll have insane access to hot nurses FOR LIFE. Remember that when you're having a bad day.
                                                      Originally posted by weekndornah
                                                      My entire class is borderline suicidal right about now. I've been wallowing in a pool of self-doubt and "I hate my life" this week.
                                                      Funny thing is everyone above us has been telling us that "2nd semester is the most fun ever" and "just wait" and whatnot. We're all pretty skeptical at this point bc we've been drowning thus far lol. But apparently once we're done with this month, we have a cakewalk for ~6 weeks where everyone gets shitfaced more nights than they're sober.

                                                      On the bright side, hospitals will never run out of hot 22 y/o nurses fresh out of school as long as I'm practicing

                                                      I was a fine dining chef in my year between finishing undergrad and starting med school and I constantly wonder "what could have been" if I took pursued that.

                                                      (in b4 I get doxxed)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #342
                                                        Good luck Flea
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Flea Hotel
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                          • 1732

                                                          #343
                                                          You too. Could only tail one of your plays, missed the number on one.
                                                          Originally posted by doubledime
                                                          Good luck Flea
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SlickRick1382
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-15-11
                                                            • 3838

                                                            #344
                                                            Just on play today buddy?

                                                            Seen you post in Ayo's. Since I only cap NCAAB and MLB figured you'd be someone I'm interested in following especially for NHL ...

                                                            Best of luck to you rest of the season but by the looks of it you won't need it ...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                              • 1732

                                                              #345
                                                              Yeah, I usually like to follow high volume perfect nights with one play the next day but there were a lot of near misses. I mainly do NHL and MLB but I'm loving all the CBB wizards. TY and you too. Will find your thread asap.
                                                              Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                                              Just on play today buddy?

                                                              Seen you post in Ayo's. Since I only cap NCAAB and MLB figured you'd be someone I'm interested in following especially for NHL ...

                                                              Best of luck to you rest of the season but by the looks of it you won't need it ...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Flea Hotel
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 08-31-16
                                                                • 1732

                                                                #346
                                                                Man I can't find your NCAAB thread. Could I trouble you for the link?
                                                                Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                                                Just on play today buddy?

                                                                Seen you post in Ayo's. Since I only cap NCAAB and MLB figured you'd be someone I'm interested in following especially for NHL ...

                                                                Best of luck to you rest of the season but by the looks of it you won't need it ...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                  • 1732

                                                                  #347
                                                                  1 down...
                                                                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                  Man I can't find your NCAAB thread. Could I trouble you for the link?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Flea Hotel
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 08-31-16
                                                                    • 1732

                                                                    #348
                                                                    2 down, one to go.
                                                                    Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                    1 down...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • weekndornah
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 09-11-16
                                                                      • 276

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Too easy. Thanks Flea
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • knicksrulez
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 10-26-16
                                                                        • 391

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Easy cash, Flea, next time you in Thailand give me a heads up to check on my vacation schedule, I owe u like a dozen drinks
                                                                        Comment
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