Flea Hotel's NHL Legend's Club

**Saluki09** · 01-20-17, 12:03 AM

Good job today Flea

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 01-20-17, 12:31 AM

I'm here for the whore talk.

What'd I miss?

**cooperman** · 01-20-17, 01:40 AM

Love an early winna winna chicken Dinna !

**reed_barrington** · 01-20-17, 02:11 AM

Jeeez, start an Asia vacations thread. I'm here to make money not getting tan or going swimming. Lol.
thanks flea that was too easy .. we doin the same with Pitt in Carolina? Canes seem to have given up lately.

**HawthornHawks** · 01-20-17, 02:29 AM

found GOLD here thanks for your work Flea!!!

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 05:52 AM

no worries and no more vacation talk reed

Originally posted by HawthornHawks

found GOLD here thanks for your work Flea!!!

**HockKid11** · 01-20-17, 07:05 AM

Nice work brother. Thanks for the free squid

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 09:47 AM

Yesterday's results. 1-0, +1.38u
(YTD, +23.44u)

Today's action by 1PM EST if not earlier. Weird card today.

**doubledime** · 01-20-17, 10:18 AM

Thanks Flea

**thekoreanmang** · 01-20-17, 11:03 AM

Good job, Flea.

**weekndornah** · 01-20-17, 11:08 AM

**SlickRick1382** · 01-20-17, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Man I can't find your NCAAB thread. Could I trouble you for the link?

I actually never posted my NCAAB thread. I've never been a big poster mostly following other who I respect and I find that are honest cappers in their approach to betting (flat betting, methodology, etc.)

Only thing I post was NBA since I was trying out some theories on 1Q & 2Q betting based on scheduling, rest days, etc.

Problem is I'm an accountant so this time gets tough for me to do the necessary research that I normally like to do hence why I don't post.

I'll try dedicate more time though...

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 11:37 AM

Weird card. I'm trying to stick to one play per day and today's card made that easy.
(YTD, +23.44u)

Nashville Predators UNDER 2.5 (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
New Jersey Devils ML (+106) 1u to win 1.06u

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 11:39 AM

I know many people hate the TT unders but this is the best play I have. I've won six in a row. If you don't like unders, fade or pass this and wait until tomorrow when I'll have overs. And I'll still be able to say I've won six straight overs

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 11:51 AM

Fuk it, added NJD ML, I've got it winning 62% of the time. The Habs are playing like crap. This could be a rebound spot but I don't think so. I think Montoya is sketchy, and I anticipate a strong showing from Hall, who has been underachieving all season, and Pareneau to have good games. That being said, this is a great example of my intuition disagreeing with my model but I've trusted my model all season and I'm up 23 units in 34 days. BOL.

**readytowinem** · 01-20-17, 12:44 PM

Are both plays even in level of confidence? The tt i can only play for 1500 but the game i can play big. Thoughts?

**HoleCamels** · 01-20-17, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Fuk it, added NJD ML, I've got it winning 62% of the time. The Habs are playing like crap. This could be a rebound spot but I don't think so. I think Montoya is sketchy, and I anticipate a strong showing from Hall, who has been underachieving all season, and Pareneau to have good games. That being said, this is a great example of my intuition disagreeing with my model but I've trusted my model all season and I'm up 23 units in 34 days. BOL.

Yeahhhhhh buddy. Def a weird card tonight though for sure

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 01:40 PM

To be honest, there will be better plays tomorrow for your 1500. The schedule looks like a big dollar sign. I'm betting a bit light tonight so I can hit tomorrow hard. Today's schedule is inbred.

Originally posted by readytowinem

Are both plays even in level of confidence? The tt i can only play for 1500 but the game i can play big. Thoughts?

**goldust** · 01-20-17, 01:45 PM

Flea - does your Nashville under bet tie into the Edmonton moneyline being a good bet as well?

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 01:58 PM

I'm playing Edmonton PL -1.5 (+195) so yeah, the ML should cash, I like the value of the PL. I play a lot of PL's and RPL's and -0.5's but they carry a lot of risk so I don't post them much anymore. I almost posted Edmonton PL -1.5. I have them winning, my model's most popular score was 2-0, followed by 3-1, not many 4+ goals for EDM but a lot of 0-2 for the Preds, hence not playing the TT o2.5 for Edmonton but the u2.5 for the Preds.

This is just my two cents, but if you like Edmonton ML for -155, you get an extra +145 or +150 for the second goal. If I like a team that is -150 plus, I almost always take the PL and so far this year, I'm well up. For the love of God don't take the PL but if the PL cashes, maybe take it next time I rant about it.

Originally posted by goldust

Flea - does your Nashville under bet tie into the Edmonton moneyline being a good bet as well?

**reed_barrington** · 01-20-17, 02:20 PM

This one is tough for me.. preds are full of surprises and can score... oilers can slick it up and make mistakes.. but your the pro flea. I'm on it bol -reed

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 02:58 PM

It won't shock me to see the Oilers get crushed but my confidence is higher than it isn't. Besides, tomorrow's card is all day cash money. I already have 4 plays for tomorrow, just need to see the lines. Tonight's card is like watching Donald Trump grope his hot daughter's ass. It's hard to process.

Originally posted by reed_barrington

This one is tough for me.. preds are full of surprises and can score... oilers can slick it up and make mistakes.. but your the pro flea. I'm on it bol -reed

**DU46** · 01-20-17, 03:01 PM

Hey Flea,

Just out of curiosity, do you have your W-L splits on TT Overs and TT Unders? Just curious. Good luck tonight, let's cash!

**thekoreanmang** · 01-20-17, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

It won't shock me to see the Oilers get crushed but my confidence is higher than it isn't. Besides, tomorrow's card is all day cash money. I already have 4 plays for tomorrow, just need to see the lines. Tonight's card is like watching Donald Trump grope his hot daughter's ass. It's hard to process.

If only had Trudeau had a long-lost twin who was born an American.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 03:19 PM

I could probably put one together but they're all my own personal picks and would be subject to bias. I know I'm way down on the TT unders that's I've posted here. I only play them when confidence is high because I don't like watching the game. Then again, I remember what my great-grandfather who was a massive Liverpool FC fan told me a few days before he died, when I was 10 or 11. "When you take the draw, you're ahead before the game even starts." Stupid logic but cheering for goals is a lot more fun than cheering for saves but I know I've taken a lot of unders this season and especially last season and woke up to 2-1, 3-0, 3-1 and 3-2 many o' time. The overs are like cocaine of sportsbetting, the unders are more like the opiates. What?

Originally posted by DU46

Hey Flea,

Just out of curiosity, do you have your W-L splits on TT Overs and TT Unders? Just curious. Good luck tonight, let's cash!

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 03:22 PM

Trudeau shit the bed by marrying a non-Asian. Besides, he promised legal weed on the federal level within a year of him being elected and we're watching states like Maine get legal weed. smfh

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

If only had Trudeau had a long-lost twin who was born an American.

**Big John Studd** · 01-20-17, 03:41 PM

Cheers from Australia buddy! Enjoying your picks and making cold hard cash!!!!

**Flea Hotel** · 01-20-17, 03:52 PM

Cheers! I love Australia and I love my cash cold. Some very hot Asian girls down under!

Originally posted by Big John Studd

Cheers from Australia buddy! Enjoying your picks and making cold hard cash!!!!

**DU46** · 01-20-17, 03:53 PM

Correct, with an under, you start the game winning the bet!

**Big John Studd** · 01-20-17, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Cheers! I love Australia and I love my cash cold. Some very hot Asian girls down under!

Am coming to the U.S for the fifth time early next year to catch some NHL and NBA games, there's some quality girls over there and they love the Aussie accent!

**Bedard** · 01-20-17, 04:08 PM

If you guys are looking for quality girls, you should all look for Montreal!

**readytowinem** · 01-20-17, 04:36 PM

Ok im going to hold off for tomorrow then. No point in forcing action if sat has some gems.

**PokeyAristocrat** · 01-20-17, 04:52 PM

I'm not going to hold off. I know Flea is cash money!

**TheDB** · 01-20-17, 06:14 PM

Love it. Best of luck today Flea!

**PokeyAristocrat** · 01-20-17, 06:39 PM

Not sure if this is the right place to ask, but as a stats major myself in the second year of my BSc, what would you say some of the benefits of doing a stats major are, Flea?