Flea Hotel's NHL Legend's Club

**JoeDeagan** · 01-21-17, 11:52 PM

1-1, I don't know if that will motivate them to get more goals.

**QuantumLeap** · 01-22-17, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by JoeDeagan

1-1, I don't know if that will motivate them to get more goals.

Yep. Second goal by the Sharks with 5 minutes left in the 2nd. We need 2 more.

**JoeDeagan** · 01-22-17, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by QuantumLeap

Yep. Second goal by the Sharks with 5 minutes left in the 2nd. We need 2 more.

yeah, it's that magical 3rd quarter again. let's go Sharks! I really need this one, for motivation and just psychology, I'm mentally beat up today.

**QuantumLeap** · 01-22-17, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by JoeDeagan

yeah, it's that magical 3rd quarter again. let's go Sharks! I really need this one, for motivation and just psychology, I'm mentally beat up today.

Let's get this one then.

**JoeDeagan** · 01-22-17, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by QuantumLeap

Let's get this one then.

cheers brother. thanks.

**Surfjack** · 01-22-17, 01:28 AM

Took 3 picks, 1-2, and a pounding.
Tomorrow just gonna watch the NFL championships and relax a little

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 02:03 AM

2-2, -1.95u
(YTD, +19.04u)

Pretty close to a pretty massive night. Oh well. Somehow, I have to live with only being up 19u in 41 days. Lowering volume and only posting TT overs from now on. Will be back with a guaranteed winner tomorrow.

**Surfjack** · 01-22-17, 02:18 AM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

2-2, -1.95u
(YTD, +19.04u)

Pretty close to a pretty massive night. Oh well. Somehow, I have to live with only being up 19u in 41 days. Lowering volume and only posting TT overs from now on. Will be back with a guaranteed winner tomorrow.

Pretty good estimation, man. Congratz
hey if you ever need an extra hand with the models, I hold a masters degree in pattern recognition. I'm an old fart and have nothing to do in my life besides surfing and watching sports all day haha

**PokeyAristocrat** · 01-22-17, 03:33 AM

Not to worry Flea, looking forward to crushing the books over the season

**PokeyAristocrat** · 01-22-17, 04:56 AM

Flea, how do you like the Penguins -1.5 PL? They're playing decent hockey ATM. Does your model have this outlined?

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 07:39 AM

not yet, i slept like crap, i had to watch the sharks game on my phone in the car while the gf was drinking with her idiot friends. if I have a play today, it'll be a team total. i'm off playing PL's for a while until version 2 of my model comes out after the all star break. missed two of them here yesterday so i'm fine tuning stuff, contrasting data with the ones that have hit the past few days. I'm pretty sure if you've been pucklininging the Pens and Caps blind this year, you're up. I'll have a couple cups of coffee and see what's going on. I just barely broke even last night, my posted picks didn't do well, i didn't play any other NHL games, a lot of the ncaab games I tailed didn't hit. I got a bit lucky and picked Tito Ortiz by sub for 1/2 unit, lol. The last few days have been rough for most. It's times like this where those who are gamblers and don't have discipline, a long term mentality and a strong bankroll game start getting into trouble.

Originally posted by PokeyAristocrat

Flea, how do you like the Penguins -1.5 PL? They're playing decent hockey ATM. Does your model have this outlined?

**Snowden** · 01-22-17, 08:59 AM

Impressive work in here Flea!

**JoeDeagan** · 01-22-17, 09:05 AM

Flea, I was only down a little bit after yesterday's misses with NCAAB and the 2 unit miss here, it's all a part of this game. I still got massive faith in you bro. Keep at it.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 09:13 AM

Thanks guys, long way to go and I'm money post-All star break and the playoffs so to be even near 20units is a bonus. Last year I was 52% on totals before the All Star Game and close to 70% after. I expect the same this year. Made some risky plays yesterday that could have cashed and could have ended up being up 6u instead of down a couple. I am reducing volume though to one play a day, two tops. I'm swamped at school and would rather bet one play strong than spread a bunch. I guarantee I go 62%+ for the rest of the NHL season on team totals. Let's eat.

Originally posted by JoeDeagan

Flea, I was only down a little bit after yesterday's misses with NCAAB and the 2 unit miss here, it's all a part of this game. I still got massive faith in you bro. Keep at it.

**cooperman** · 01-22-17, 10:10 AM

What you're up in a short time has been very impressive to watch. Keep up the good work.

**knicksrulez** · 01-22-17, 10:20 AM

Rolling with Rodgers again Flea?

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 10:38 AM

Taking a total, don't think GB has enough weapons for Rodgers but I'll be rooting for them. Taking the Atlanta Team Total over.

Originally posted by knicksrulez

Rolling with Rodgers again Flea?

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 10:40 AM

Stand by for the first pick of the Flea Hotel Team Total Model System Version 2.0™

**readytowinem** · 01-22-17, 10:44 AM

Thanks flea. I actually got the winnipeg game and the caps over and was so tied up with other games didn't do the others. You da man

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 11:06 AM

Today's plays. I know I said I was only posting one play but I lied.
(YTD, +19.04u)

Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 2.5 (-160) 1.6u to win 1u
Chicago Blackhawks OVER 2.5 (-155) 1.55u to win 1u

Flea's thoughts: Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and the over is 7-1-2 in Penguins last 10 Sunday games. Fleury has given up 3.23 goals a game this year vs Rask and his 2.49 but their save % isn't much different considering the more wide open style of Pittsburgh. Who gives a shit, the Pens rank 1st in the league with 3.6 goals per game and the Bruins suck.

Chicago is a near lock. The over is 6-0-2 in the Blackhawks last 8. Vancouver is injured and Chicago is just the better team. A PL play on Chicago here wouldn't be a bad play but even PL -2.5 is just barely plus money. Pay the juice and cash with Chicago getting at least 3.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 11:11 AM

Yeah same with Ayo's picks, I got lucky and missed playing the ones that lost and only had a chance to play the ones that won. Shit happens.

Originally posted by readytowinem

Thanks flea. I actually got the winnipeg game and the caps over and was so tied up with other games didn't do the others. You da man

**knicksrulez** · 01-22-17, 11:17 AM

Let us make us winners again

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 11:19 AM

Borderline according to my model. The way the Pens are playing right now, getting +210 on the -1.5 seems like value but Rask is prob good enough to keep this close. I'd be worried about a 3-2 or a 4-3. Maybe the -0.5 is better, or the team over. Tricky. I've always bet hot teams hard until they've given me a reason not to. The Pens rank 18th in empty net goals, which is something to consider.

Originally posted by PokeyAristocrat

Flea, how do you like the Penguins -1.5 PL? They're playing decent hockey ATM. Does your model have this outlined?

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 11:33 AM

In case anyone cares, I didn't post it but I'm playing the NYI/PHI under 5.5 at even money.

**readytowinem** · 01-22-17, 11:47 AM

Have the bait on there Flea

**QuantumLeap** · 01-22-17, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Today's plays. I know I said I was only posting one play but I lied.
(YTD, +19.04u)

Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 2.5 (-160) 1.6u to win 1u
Chicago Blackhawks OVER 2.5 (-155) 1.55u to win 1u

Flea's thoughts: Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and the over is 7-1-2 in Penguins last 10 Sunday games. Fleury has given up 3.23 goals a game this year vs Rask and his 2.49 but their save % isn't much different considering the more wide open style of Pittsburgh. Who gives a shit, the Pens rank 1st in the league with 3.6 goals per game and the Bruins suck.

Chicago is a near lock. The over is 6-0-2 in the Blackhawks last 8. Vancouver is injured and Chicago is just the better team. A PL play on Chicago here wouldn't be a bad play but even PL -2.5 is just barely plus money. Pay the juice and cash with Chicago getting at least 3.

I'm seeing where Murray may start instead of Fleury. Does that make a difference?

I really like this Pitt TT. I don't know if you saw my comment about the Caps last night where they had scored 4 or more goals in 8 of their last 9. We have something similar with Pitt. They have scored 3 or more goals in 8 of their last 10.

Good luck and thanks for the picks.

**reed_barrington** · 01-22-17, 05:16 PM

Boom Pitt 3 goal$. Cash money baby

**HockKid11** · 01-22-17, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by reed_barrington

boom pitt 3 goal$. Cash money baby

beautiful.

**DU46** · 01-22-17, 05:26 PM

Penguin winner, let's get Chicago now. Thanks Flea.

**PokeyAristocrat** · 01-22-17, 05:26 PM

Love it boys, thanks Flea!

**QuantumLeap** · 01-22-17, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by reed_barrington

Boom Pitt 3 goal$. Cash money baby

1 down, 1 to go!

**Flea Hotel** · 01-22-17, 05:53 PM

Let's get this Chicago total!!!

**QuantumLeap** · 01-22-17, 08:08 PM

You're right Flea, this Chicago team is so much better than Vancouver. First goal scored in the 1st with 5:26 left.

Edit: there's the 2nd goal for the Hawks with 2:30 left in the 1st.

**DU46** · 01-22-17, 08:14 PM

2 down 1 to go with 2 full periods left.

**readytowinem** · 01-22-17, 08:29 PM

Les gooooo