Let me know if you think about this, then i can cross one question of my list The unit system is probably one of the best systems (if not the very best) out there.
It is a money management system that makes you money when things goes your way, and when they don't it keeps your losses down.
A common problem the majority of bettors have is the lack of a good sturdy system, also known as money management.
Usually they will go with the flow, increasing their betting stake when they win and decreasing it when they lose. That is a common sense, and is the way one would normally do when investing in any other venture as well.
It is logical to place more money when you are winning, and less when you are losing.
There is a problem though. You can never predict when you will win or lose. If you could then you'd stay out of it when knew that you were gonna lose, right?
The thing I like saying is that it is drop-dead easy to win at sports, but the real problem is not to lose while doing so.
The betting companies, or bookies, know how to make you play a certain bet. They know how people react to the adrenaline gained when you win, and they love players who have that kind of reaction.
The reason they like that reaction is that they know it will lead you to place another bet, or another series of bets.
And the more adrenaline you have, the bolder you get. You can get the feeling that you will win no matter which match you chose to play, and you increase your stake.
You may go on winning another bet or two, but eventually you go bust.
And when this happens, you get a feeling that you are being chocked, you may even feel a cold sweat. That's what I choose to call falling of the cliff.
When this happens, you can easily start disbelieving in your capability to find the good picks.
You can then start looking for any “favorite” and start chasing your loss.
If you ever find yourself in this position, I'd advice you to pull the brakes! Take a few days to cool of. Don't even look at any sports or anything associated with betting or gambling until you feel you can start all over without chasing previous losses.
To avoid all that process of getting there, you will have to equip yourself mentally.
Before you choose to place any bet you should at least have a goal to aim for.
If you have a goal to win a lot of money in a short period of time, you most likely will get broke instead of getting rich.
Making money by betting sports is a challenge in itself. As mentioned earlier, it is easy to make money but keeping them is hard, and if you don't agree with that then you will likely learn it the hard way.
This is where the Unit system comes in.
Keeping focused
One particular problem most bettors have is that they never cash out. People seems to be focused only at the amount of money in their bankroll.
This often leads to people saying to them selves “I started out with 100, now I have 200. This means I can lose 90 and still be up by 10”.
This is when those peoples adrenaline kicks in and they lose their focus.
They feel that they can “afford” losing money, so they start to bet on irrelevant events, thinking they can sacrifice a little of their winnings to make an even greater profit.
The problem is that this type of behavior often leads to a loss of money. Even if they win a game or two with this thinking, they eventually hit a loss.
Having that much over-confidence in their selections, they go against their own common sense and make a series of bad bets that leads them in the wrong direction. For every loss, they get more desperate, chasing their previous losses.
This behavior is very common, so if you could recognize yourself in this situation, you are not alone.
This often happens to players without a goal and/or proper system (money management).
For this reason it is very important that you do not do to many things at a time. Have your goals and work towards them. If you get done with them, set new ones before placing another bet.
Why should I use the system?
To eliminate the adrenaline spoiling it all, you should have a cap that you never exceed.
This cap should always stay the same, no matter which game you play or how certain you are that you will win, there are simply no higher bets then the cap, PERIOD!
By having a cap you will ensure yourself never to make a bet that you later on come to regret. Even if all the statistics points you towards a win. Or a team is the favorite in any way (better team, form, need to win etc.) you need to remember that the players are no computers or numbers, they are simply humans.
The thing is that when you bet you can reflect to your cap if the adrenalin kicks in, but the football player can't.
Everyone have triggers that makes them less focused on the important things.
When it comes to a football player it can be anything from the referee making a bad decision to anything personal off the pitch.
That player can effect the entire team with his behavior. He can commit a penalty, get a red card, do multiple decisive mistakes or anything else unexpected to lose you the match.
These things happen regularly and there is nothing we can do about it but accepting it and move on.
It is of course easier to move on knowing you don't need to chase your losses, rather then losing a larger stake that will give you poor judgement by chasing it just to even the score.
Knowing why, next question is “how does this look like when applied”?
Although you have a cap to play after, you still can be making a common error.
Because you can never know for sure when you'll win or lose your units are flucuating all the time.
This is common among all those who are betting.
When you place more then one bet you can be more certain on one game then the others.
This usually is a mistake that many suffer from. The reason they suffer is that they put too much money on that one game and too little on the others.
This can also happen to those who has a cap as well.
Let's take an example.
You have found three games to play. One is Manchester United vs Aston Villa, the other two are West Ham vs Everton and Newcastle vs Middlesborough.
You feel that Manchester is a better team and should easily win at home, so you put $300 on a win at an odds of 1,40 to win $120.
The other teams are a bit harder to predict because you feel that they will have a closer competition. Because of that you will only be playing $50 on each.
The choices you make is for West Ham and Newcastle to win, and the odds you get for them is 2,10 and 2,05.
The outcome of these matches goes as follows:
Manchester draws 2-2, after having a lead 2-0 in the first half. Their star striker got injured 10 minutes in the second half. Then after fifteen minutes in the second half Man U gets a red card and gets a penalty against them when their defender tackles the opponent brutally. This gives the opponents a goal and the moral goes sky high, now that they have a chance to get a point in Man Us home arena.
The match later ends up 2-2, and you lose $300.
Those other matches goes your way, you win by the odd goal in both and receive a win of $107.
At the end of the day you've lost $193.
So why did it go so bad?
The reason that it was such a bad result is simply that it came in an over-belief in one selection and gave less attention to those other two.
Teams have some bad days, and opponents that they can't win for many reasons.
The example above could have yielded a win of $45 if that player have had both a cap and a .base
How that could've been achieved is by applying a unit system.
A unit system is common for all professional bettors making a living betting on sports.
It makes the fluctuation less, and keeps the bettors mind sharp by having a line to follow even in bad times.
This decreases bad bets that often leads into more bad bets, and eventually to the poorhouse.
Unit System
If we return to the example stated above we can see that a $45 profit could've been made (using a 2-4 unit system). This is why Scorepages Unit System is better then many other that you might have read about.
Similar systems are available out there, but they often recommend the units to stretch from 1-10.
For me it's obvious that a system like that gives to much fluctuation and is very sensitive to losses.
You would need ten wins by 1 unit picks giving you 2,0 odds just to break even. That's insane if you ask me!
I always recommend the least possible difference between the base and the cap. Anything can happen during the 90+ minutes it takes for a football match to be played.
In fact, around 40% of the outcome ends in the favor for the underdog! 40% is a massive number!
A good handicapper has about a 56% strike rate, that's considered a great number among the cappers living on their bets.
Even if that sounds like a small number, a smart handicapper has always a way to profit from these 6% above 50 by choosing the right price and applying appropriate amount of money to invest.
An actual pro capper considers 60% strike rate to be an achievement of the year, it's that rare.
The reason is simple. A smart investor never tries to reach the stars by laying down all he's got to make him a profit, because if he loses, he's a goner.
A pro capper makes small efforts every day so that he can relax at night. He understands that there is always a day tomorrow and that he can make up for his eventual losses in time.
A savvy unit system is one that's making small wins almost everyday that adds up into a nice profit at the end of the month. Never really aiming for a big profit on a single bet makes one calm and opens ones eyes on the important factors in any competition. This also makes the whole business more pleasurable.
To avoid the fluctuation getting out of hand we are going to limit our base to 2 units, and our cap to 4 units.
This means that we never under any circumstances go above 4 units in any game and/or competition.
It also means that we never go below 2 units.
The only time we can cross these boundaries is if we play the sports exchange market (like for instance Betfair) under another system.
So how do we confirm a unit?
First let's see how we count units.
One unit represents one percent of the calculated bankroll. Let's say that you have a bankroll of $343.
To calculate one unit you take 343*0,01 which is equal 3,43. Make sure to round your numbers, in this case a unit is 3,40.
Take a pen and a piece of paper and write it down.
To make it easier for you, you should write down the following:
Units:
1 = 3,40
2 = 6,80
3 = 10,20
4 = 13,60
This will save you time and make it easier for you to remember which amount to bet.
This is how to take control of your bankroll and make it grow:
You will have to recalculate your units once a month.
If you want to go on forward with your results, you will have to update your units.
Updating them too often would have the same results as playing without a unit system, because you either win or lose more then you are used to. You have to feel comfortable when you recalculate your units and feel that you know what you are doing.
It is vital that you reward yourself each time.
After every month, when it's time to recalculate your units, you should take a percentage of your winnings as payment. Do something fun with your money and feel that your hard work has paid off.
This way you will feel that you are getting something out of your efforts and it will motivate you not to get unfocused and make any bets you don't want to.
After you've had your fun and made your recalculation, you would feel that a new month and a new challenge awaits you.
Now you would have a bigger unit, and you will feel that you have a goal when you place your bets.
Dictionary
Cap Maximum amount of money placed on a bet.
Fluctuate When results go up and down, like the stock market. Common thing in betting results is that one never knows the outcome before the game is finished.
Base Base is a staring point, or a certain point that is a foundation of something. In this case a certain amount of money least played at any bet.
Savvy Savvy is a word describing many. Examples are: apprehension, understanding, discernment, grasp, wise, etc. In general Sport Savvy is knowledge about sports. w