1. 08-16-22 06:28 PM #1
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    My early plays for the BMW Championship...

    Scottie Sheffler +1600 I will not turn down this price on the best golfer in the world, hands down. I give him at least a 9-10% chance of taking this event down. At 16-1, yea, I'll take that.

    Cam Young +2200 This guy as been knocking on the door all year and is playing as good, if not better, than any on tour.

    Joaquin Niemann +4000 Liked the way he played last weekend at the St. Jude. From tee to green he was the best the last two rounds. Unfortunately they play 4. I give this guy a chance if he can bring the same game this Weekend and I really love the number on him.

    Good luck for any who play these or post yours. Plenty of time to get the plays in. Should be a fun weekend.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 08-16-22 07:17 PM #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Keep thread alive daily Ranger
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 08-16-22 07:39 PM #3
    Waterstpub87
    Slan go foill
    Waterstpub87's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-09-09
    Posts: 4,043
    Betpoints: 7236

    Do you ever bet any matchups? I've really like betting players to miss the cut this year. Makes for an exciting Friday afternoon, hoping for some guy to play terribly.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 08-17-22 04:11 PM #4
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Here are my 1st round matchups. Usually don't have this many but really like these.

    Adam Scott +118 over Billy Horschel

    Trey Mullinax -115 over Lucas Glover

    Justin Thomas -105 over Will Zalatoris

    Cameron Young +100 Over Matthew Fitzpatrick

    Remember these are 1st Round plays only, so be careful not to bet these matchups for the whole tournament. Check your tickets before hitting the button.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 08-18-22 06:02 PM #5
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    4-0 in 1st Round matchups. At least that's free rollin' the win bets on top.

    I'll take a look at the 2nd Round and see if there's any low hangin' fruit.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: BeatTheJerk
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  6. 08-18-22 06:10 PM #6
    BeatTheJerk
    BeatTheJerk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-07
    Posts: 31,798
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    4-0 in 1st Round matchups. At least that's free rollin' the win bets on top.

    I'll take a look at the 2nd Round and see if there's any low hangin' fruit.
    Well done pal.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 08-18-22 06:15 PM #7
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
    Well done pal.
    Thank you, sir.

    Waiting for the 2nd Round numbers to see if I can catch any good numbers.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 08-18-22 07:14 PM #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 08-18-22 07:37 PM #9
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    2nd Round Matchup

    Joaquin Niemann -110 over Viktor Hovland

    Will Zalatoris +100 over Jon Rahm

    One play that I almost pulled the trigger on and didn't is Finau +113 over Thomas. I just didn't like the way Finau looked today, at all. He looks like he's having some back issues. Not sure so I stayed away. The price is juicy, but, when I thought about it I know why. So if you do, good luck on that one. If he comes out to the 1st tee ok, it's a good play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 08-18-22 10:32 PM #10
    mama whoiscrying
    mama whoiscrying's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-21
    Posts: 897
    Betpoints: 66

    Sheffler had a couple missteps but closed strong. Definitely in contention.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 08-18-22 10:32 PM #11
    mama whoiscrying
    mama whoiscrying's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-21
    Posts: 897
    Betpoints: 66

    Quote Originally Posted by mama whoiscrying View Post
    Sheffler had a couple missteps but closed strong. Definitely in contention.
    I meant Young.....but Sheffler right there too!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 08-19-22 03:51 PM #12
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by mama whoiscrying View Post
    I meant Young.....but Sheffler right there too!
    Yes, we're in contention. Should be a really fun weekend.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 08-19-22 03:56 PM #13
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    2-0 in match play today, brings the matches to 6-0 for the tournament.
    Points Awarded:

    pabonaparte gave RangeFinder 6 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 08-19-22 04:13 PM #14
    BeatTheJerk
    BeatTheJerk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-07
    Posts: 31,798
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    2-0 in match play today, brings the matches to 6-0 for the tournament.



    You don’t get enough credit on this forum Rangefinder sadly, because I’m not a regular anymore & I’m your biggest supporter.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 08-19-22 04:18 PM #15
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post



    You don’t get enough credit on this forum Rangefinder sadly, because I’m not a regular anymore & I’m your biggest supporter.
    Thank you so much. Appreciate the comment.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: BeatTheJerk
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  16. 08-19-22 05:25 PM #16
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Ranger best sport golf
    Everything else sub par
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 08-19-22 05:55 PM #17
    toddsclowns
    toddsclowns's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-19-13
    Posts: 1,536
    Betpoints: 37378

    Nice work Range! I make money following your golf and fading everything else as JJ “says”. Keep it up man, appreciate all the work you put in!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 08-19-22 06:12 PM #18
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ranger best sport golf
    Everything else sub par
    + money in MLB, NCAAF and NCAAB
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 08-19-22 06:34 PM #19
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Ranger you’re about 39% on you’re plays on this Forum
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 08-19-22 06:39 PM #20
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ranger you’re about 39% on you’re plays on this Forum
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 08-19-22 07:49 PM #21
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Waiting on the matchup numbers to get posted. It's going to be hard to find a good number for Round 3. Books are going to juice the favs and skim the dog to where it's hard to place a bet which is common for Round 3 and 4. But we'll see.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 08-19-22 08:19 PM #22
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Very difficult to beat wide juice impossible actually

    You probably need 15 funded books to offset the wide juice
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 08-20-22 04:24 AM #23
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Very difficult to beat wide juice impossible actually

    You probably need 15 funded books to offset the wide juice
    You are correct jj. It's all about getting the right number even if we know something has a good chance of winning. If we bet into numbers we think has a 60% (-150) probability, but the number we take is -165, we are in -EV land no matter how much we like a bet. We still need the right number. Comes down to simple math, really. It's how books survive.

    Btw, I don't really see any matchups to bet into today, maybe tomorrow. So today, let's pull for our win bets to position themselves for the stretch run tomorrow.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 08-21-22 11:00 AM #24
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Last day, lets bring it home!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 08-21-22 11:35 AM #25
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    This place better when Ranger active despite me busting his balls

    Great leaderboard today
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 08-21-22 02:57 PM #26
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    This place better when Ranger active despite me busting his balls

    Great leaderboard today

    jj, you're alright. I got you.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 08-21-22 03:17 PM #27
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Ranger will Cantlay hold on?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 08-21-22 04:26 PM #28
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ranger will Cantlay hold on?
    50/50
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 08-21-22 04:49 PM #29
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    Now he's 90%
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 08-21-22 05:07 PM #30
    Nate rasta
    Update your status
    Nate rasta's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-30-22
    Posts: 2,940
    Betpoints: 2782

    I had stallings 100 to win roughly 5000.how could I have hedged it. I had 800 to hedge this morning.i was able to hedge a little at the end when only 2 players in it
    Last edited by Nate rasta; 08-21-22 at 05:11 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 08-21-22 05:23 PM #31
    El Nino
    October 2014 POTM
    El Nino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-12
    Posts: 18,426
    Betpoints: 1868

    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    I had stallings 100 to win roughly 5000.how could I have hedged it. I had 800 to hedge this morning.i was able to hedge a little at the end when only 2 players in it
    Cantlay was +105 with Stallings the same before Cantlay hit his approach shot on 16. Prob your best opportunity to hedge there. Everyone else was pretty much out of it barring a miracle. Hard to hedge sometimes in golf.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 08-21-22 05:32 PM #32
    Nate rasta
    Update your status
    Nate rasta's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-30-22
    Posts: 2,940
    Betpoints: 2782

    Ya that's when I hedged but only 500 at -150 after he got that lucky ass bounce on 17.tuff loss for me that would of put me back in the black.rough pill to swallow
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 08-21-22 06:06 PM #33
    El Nino
    October 2014 POTM
    El Nino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-12
    Posts: 18,426
    Betpoints: 1868

    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    Ya that's when I hedged but only 500 at -150 after he got that lucky ass bounce on 17.tuff loss for me that would of put me back in the black.rough pill to swallow
    Def a tough break. Cantlay looked dead off the tee and Stallings with a 9 footer to take the lead. Such big swings.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 08-21-22 06:20 PM #34
    Nate rasta
    Update your status
    Nate rasta's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-30-22
    Posts: 2,940
    Betpoints: 2782

    Stallings had chances to put it away.had like 4 makeable birdie puts that barley missed on the back 9
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 08-21-22 06:28 PM #35
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    It’s why stallings never wins
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »