Troy vs. Florida Atlantic

[SportsLockPicks]

This game is an easy pick just like Wake Forest over Clemson tomorrow.

artie, that game is on thursday...are you artie lange by the way?

[teaserpleaser]

Still on the fence on the over / under right now...

Check the weather for game time... going to be wet and I see winds of 12-16 MPH forcasted through from kickoff to the end of the game. Even if it was clear and sunny I think these teams would end up mid 40's with the exception of last year going over 2004,2005,2006 meetings between the two all under 50 points... The weather forcast = http://www.weather.com/outlook/event...=274456&epc=bz

[artie81]

Because everyone who places bets at your book is on FAU. Hey SportsLock do you place your bets online or at the casino?

[Mr Handicapable]

I have yet to get over FAU ML loss last week on that Hail Mary! I had that money spent already! I capped that game pretty thoroughly and FAU was the better team but shit happens? Earlier this season I studied Troy pretty hard going into Columbus, Ohio at +21 and they took advantage of a post-USC blah performance from OSU to cover the number...just a 14-10 game in the 4th! Troy hung w/Georgia in Athens last yr. too! FAU by comparison went to Minnesota and got crushed 37-3! Troy has revenge in mind and QB Rusty Smith for FAU displayed some of the WORST fundamentals I've ever seen last week throwing off his back foot and floating the ball even when he wasn't pressured (4/7 TD/Ints)
Can't understand why Schellenberger can't correct this? They've scored just 16 pts in their last 3 games! Troy has had 3 more days to get ready as well! The home dogs have been biting as noted but Troy should take this by atleast a TD!

[artie81]

Sorry you are right Clem/Wk game is on Thurs., these Tues. games make me lose track of what day it is.

[artie81]

Troy $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

[ryanXL977]

I too am leaning towards Troy. But just FYI..I just got this free email pick and it is as follows

Game: Troy at Florida Atlantic (Tuesday 10/07 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida Atlantic +4 (-110)

Troy and Florida Atlantic hookup in Sun Belt action in a matchup of what were supposed to be the top two teams in the conference. Florida Atlantic saw that dream vanish on the last play of the game at MTSU. They outplayed MTSU all game but lost it on a hail mary as time expired. As a result, the Owls are definitely the team in need here. They finally broke through on Troy last year, and have most of those parts back from last year. Meanwhile, Troy has a new QB and they lost several key players. Most will gauge this Owl team on a mediocre performance at MTSU, and their poor showing to date. What most fail to realize is this will be only the Owl's second home game since November 10th of last year! The competition they have faced this year has been absolutely brutal (Texas, Michigan State, Minnesota). This is an experienced team, and coming home after four of five on the road. I expect the Owls to play well and likely win this one outright.

Still on the fence on the over / under right now...

this is why im on fau
this is the best post on here

[artie81]

Come on Ryan, Troy is going to take this game.

[fiveteamer]

So many guys going to lose money tonight on this game, I can feel it.

People betting Troy because they played for half a game against Ohio State 3 weeks ago.

LOL

Guys are going to get burried.

[ryanXL977]

why is troy going to win
seriously. why should troy be favored here? give me yoru reasons. and the last 4 times they have played is not a reason

gimme some good ones artie!

[robzilla]

I took Florida Atl in the Degen Bowl cuz I just need action.

[artie81]

I told you about the Minn game yesterday, Saints were 1-6 against Vikes in last 7 games. Minn had won 17 out of last 24 meetings. and you said that didnt matter because last game was in 2005 when Culpepper and Brooks were Qbs. Buddy its called a "trend," and trends that are showing results that high shouldnt be ignored. Sure i can repeat all the other facts people have written, but I choose not to give too much analysis but rather keep that for myself and just give my researched opinion on the game.

[mrbig]

How about FAU getting out-gained 441-276 at Minn and 339-229 at MSU.

Troy actually out-gained OSU when they played 315-309.

Although Troy giving up 612 to Okla St is horrible I think they have a better offense than Minn or MSU.

FAU also gave up 503 to Texas..

Troy -3 is the right line. That doesn't mean they win.

[Jayy]

If all the money in this forum, as well as "the public" are on Troy, why is the line dropped to 3 at my book?

where are u getting this line from?

[Mic Lowrey]

How about FAU getting out-gained 441-276 at Minn and 339-229 at MSU.

Troy actually out-gained OSU when they played 315-309.

Although Troy giving up 612 to Okla St is horrible I think they have a better offense than Minn or MSU.

FAU also gave up 503 to Texas..

Troy -3 is the right line. That doesn't mean they win.

confused....

troy -3 doesn't mean they win? umm...i think u mean they have to win by at least 3.

[mrbig]

No... I said Troy -3 is the correct Line. That doesn't mean they win. For example... FAU could win

[artie81]

A 75% clip covering ATS for Troy against Fau in last 4 meetings is enough in it self to warrant a bet. Forget about FAu needing this game the yardage both have gained, and the home dogs biting back in weekday games. I will take my chance on the 75% stat.

[tab]

FAU got crushed 37-3 not too long ago by the golden gophers. The golden gophers are not that good of a football team. Troy played Ohio State tough and were down 14-10 in the 4th quarter. After Troy lost to Ohio State, they had to play Oklahoma St the following week. Troy got manhandled in a revenge game. Oklahoma St played at Troy in 2007 and got crushed 41-23, a game that Troy led 41-10 in the 4th quarter. I think Oklahoma St was a little upset about that loss. Oklahoma St wanted redemption and beat the living hell out of Troy this season 55-24. Troy played a tough game at Ohio St and was probably not ready for Oklahoma St. two losses in a row and having 10 days off, Troy will be ready and will be thinking revenge too. In 2007, Troy was on a winning streak and need just to beat FAU to get into a bowl game. FAU took Troy by surprise in 2007. Troy will be ready tonight. If FAU plays on defense like they did against UAB, they will get crushed tonite.

[TPowell]

Troy came out at -3.5, if sharps REALLY liked the dog, they would have pounded it down to 3 at one point or another. I think Troy has too much talent and they always play well on National TV (5-1)

Troy -3 (bought a half point)

[artie81]

Great info Tab!

[Beat up the book]

One reason Troy is favored could be that their d stinks and they could be without their stud DE, Michael Hancock, who has 3 of the team’s 6 sacks this season, is listed as doubtful for this game.

[ryanXL977]

I told you about the Minn game yesterday, Saints were 1-6 against Vikes in last 7 games. Minn had won 17 out of last 24 meetings. and you said that didnt matter because last game was in 2005 when Culpepper and Brooks were Qbs. Buddy its called a "trend," and trends that are showing results that high shouldnt be ignored. Sure i can repeat all the other facts people have written, but I choose not to give too much analysis but rather keep that for myself and just give my researched opinion on the game.

ask anyone on here if they think the last 7 games had anything to do with last night

4 turnovers dude

[tab]

FAU is a not good football team and I would not bet on FAU to cover the spread 2 weeks in a row. FAU was +3 at middle tenn st and covered the spread by losing 14-13. I am going against FAU tonite because Troy had 3 extra days to get ready for this game. The spead in this game is correct because the spread here brings action on FAU + the points. Those betting on FAU are going to feel dumb when Troy wins this game by 2 touchdons. I have a small wager on this game and its not going to be detrimental if I lose. If FAU covers the spread this week, I will bet against FAU and on Troy the following week. What are the FAU backers going to do when Troy covers the spread here.

THe oddsmakers really wanted to reduce the action on Troy in this game and that is why Troy is favored here. If FAU had won at Middle Tenn St, FAU would have been 3 point favorites in this game. This home dog cover during midweek is going to be history. The oddsmakers favor the wrongteam on purpose and especially teams on the road. There is no home field advantage in this game. There is not going to be too many fans in the rain tonite. The attendance is going to be around 25,000. I think there is more pressure on FAU to salvage the season. They will be thinking all season only if we had won Middle Tenn St our season would have been better.

[ryanXL977]

fau dominated the game last week
i watched the whole thing

you guys go ahead and lay on troy, they may win tonite
but layin on the road aint gonna end pretty long term
gl to all

[jalmy8]

FAU got crushed 37-3 not too long ago by the golden gophers. The golden gophers are not that good of a football team. Troy played Ohio State tough and were down 14-10 in the 4th quarter. After Troy lost to Ohio State, they had to play Oklahoma St the following week. Troy got manhandled in a revenge game. Oklahoma St played at Troy in 2007 and got crushed 41-23, a game that Troy led 41-10 in the 4th quarter. I think Oklahoma St was a little upset about that loss. Oklahoma St wanted redemption and beat the living hell out of Troy this season 55-24. Troy played a tough game at Ohio St and was probably not ready for Oklahoma St. two losses in a row and having 10 days off, Troy will be ready and will be thinking revenge too. In 2007, Troy was on a winning streak and need just to beat FAU to get into a bowl game. FAU took Troy by surprise in 2007. Troy will be ready tonight. If FAU plays on defense like they did against UAB, they will get crushed tonite.

New poster here but just thought I'd add that in the Minnesota game FAU threw four interceptions which I hope shouldn't happen again tonight against a Troy defense. Secondly, I don't think we should compare the FAU loss against Minnesota to Troy's game against a very different Ohio St. team who not only started a true freshman but didn't have Beanie Wells, definitly the staple of their offense.

Just my two cents. I have FAU +4 and the under.
But goodluck all!

[yisman]

Give me FAU and the 4.5 points.

[artie81]

4 turnovers.. Well arent turnovers part of the game?

[artie81]

Gl to all and Troy wins this game by 10+pts!!!!!!!!!!

[TPowell]

turnovers can become part of your handicapping but last night was NOT predictable. I'm still pleased with my play to be honest. Once again, Florida Atlantic NEVER got to +3 anywhere from what I saw. That means that the real sharps aren't worried about that half point. Expect Troy to win by at least a touchdown. Thinking about a pleaser with Trou (-10.5)

[jackpot269]

Do you losers have nothing better to do than gamble on meaningless mid week games?

Just out of curiousity does anyone live near any of these schools and does anyone know if anyone major is hurt?

And if someone could please fill in the blank: "On Tuesuday night Miser should bet all his money on _______?"

a)Troy
b)FAU

miser, NEVER bet all your money unless the fix is in !!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Mr Handicapable]

FAU may have dominated last week but they couldn't put it away because that QB is a fcn retard!! Throws off his back foot for NO REASON?? Troy gets 3 picks tonite and wins by 13!! 16 points in 3 weeks ain't gonna cut it at any level??

[ryanXL977]

good luck on troy guys. they are awesome. they should be favored on the road bc of what?

[ryanXL977]

i will say one thing, then thats it from me

a moonth ago everyone said lville would lose to kst bc lville sucked and lost to kentucky
and kst was good last yr and there were scouts there and the qb was good
then they got killed

upsets happen everyday, and generally at home. thats ir from me

the same people who tout faves every week are on troy this week

gl to all

[artie81]

Troy -4 at the greek now

[R3Sports]

It's at (-4 1/2) right now.