SWEETPETE'S WEEK 4 PICKS/WRITE UPs (13-8 YTD)

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  • sweetpete57@
    SBR MVP
    • 11-09-06
    • 1116

    #1
    SWEETPETE'S WEEK 4 PICKS/WRITE UPs (13-8 YTD)
    Before I give this week's selections, let's reminisce about Week 3 real fast. Some thoughts...

    What's with these stupid countdown clocks ESPN has on the screen before every semi-major sporting event? We all knew USC would blow 'em out, no need for the drama. How 'bout a "countdown until Erin Andrwss makes out with Suzi Kolber."

    While watching Miss St. QB Wesley Carroll perfect the art of the incomplete pass during Auburn's 3-2 shootout win saturday night, I could only conclude that MSU's back-up QB must not have all four limbs.

    FOXSports is going to aire it's Best Damn 50 Dumbest College Football Miscues Ever, and 42 of them were by Michigan in Saturday's game against Notre Dame.

    Mizzou has agreed to use only 9 men on offense this week vs. Buffalo in order to play fair.

    On to the picks (3-3 LW, 13-8 YTD, 2-0 Best Bets)

    KANSAS ST. -4 @ Louisville
    After watching the Louisville/Kentucky game earlier TY, I can safely assume that Louisville forgot to practice offense in the off-season. K-State is better on both sides of the ball, and the Sunflower State needs redemption vs. the Big East after KUs loss to USF. Kansas St. 31-17

    WEST VIRGINIA -2.5 @ Colorado (Got 2.5 on Betonline.com Monday Afternoon)
    Colorado only snuck by FCS Eastern Washington 31-24 last time out. WV got embarrassed on the road @ ECU. If WV can strike early, then they should regain confidence and turn this one into a route. But a slow start could demoralize them, like in the ECU game. I trust a Pat White led rushing attack to trounce a suspect Colo. defensive line. I also don't like Coors Light. West Virginia 42-20

    UTAH -7 (-120) @ Air Force BEST BET
    Lots of value here for Utah. AFA has looked impressive @ Wyoming and @ Houston setting up a small spread vs. a Utah Team that is clearly superior. Utah's explosive offense will be unleashed against an inexperienced AF defense that has yet to be tested. On top of that, Utah has the revenge factor, losing 20-12 LY in Salt Lake. Games between these two have been close in recent years, but Utah has its eyes set on a BCS game and should roll here with an experienced squad. I know it's unpatriotic to bet against the service academies, but I promise if Utah and Air Force were ever to compete in NCAA war games, my cash would be on AFA. UTAH 45-24

    BYU -28 vs Wyoming BEST BET
    I figured I'd have co-best bets this week. A little Mountain West two-fer if you will. Like Utah, BYU has it's eyes set on a BCS game. They need to impress the pollsters every week. Last week they pulverized UCLA. This week they play another much inferior team. Like Missouri, this team is overly confident in their offense, and for good reason. I don't see Wyoming stopping them the first 7 or 8 drives. Unless there is an emergency Mormon mission and half the BYU team has to catch a plane to Mozambique; this one gets really, really ugly. BYU 52-3

    Central Florida +10.5 @ Boston College
    BC has looked anything but impressive on offense this year and face a very tough UCF defense. They have no real offensive threat and their inexperienced defense blew a 4th quarter lead. Despite the disappointing loss to USF in OT, UCFs 4th quarter comeback has given them more confidence now in their offense, which was a huge question mark without Kevin Smith, who had a net 2567 yds last year, or more simply, 1.46 miles. This should be close from start to finish, and I'm calling for an outright upset. UCF 17-13

    Good luck everyone!
    Last edited by sweetpete57@; 09-17-08, 01:00 PM. Reason: added BYU and Marshall
    "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
  • teaserpleaser
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-14-08
    • 26016

    #2
    with you on the west virgina and k-state games...
    Comment
    • sweetpete57@
      SBR MVP
      • 11-09-06
      • 1116

      #3
      Let's hope we know what we're doing. It's always nice to win those earlier games as a cushion for Saturday
      "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
      Comment
      • crackerjack
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-06
        • 3366

        #4
        Love all three of these picks. AFA scares me though, but I still love Utah. Esp like KState
        Comment
        • sweetpete57@
          SBR MVP
          • 11-09-06
          • 1116

          #5
          K State won at Texas LY, and this Louisville team ain't no Texas. I'll be shocked if they don't win handily.
          "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
          Comment
          • bosterosoy
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-02-08
            • 156

            #6
            With you on K state and West Virginia. They are bound to get their offenses on point.
            Comment
            • sweetpete57@
              SBR MVP
              • 11-09-06
              • 1116

              #7
              It would have been nice for K St. to let us though that they were planning on sucking ass prior to us betting on them. The Books cashed in on this one. Line started at 3.5 and ended up at 6 in some places. Oh, and where was this L'ville offense when I had them -3 vs. Kentucky? ARGH! I hate losing the mid-week games!
              "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
              Comment
              • teaserpleaser
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-14-08
                • 26016

                #8
                Originally posted by sweetpete57@
                It would have been nice for K St. to let us though that they were planning on sucking ass prior to us betting on them. The Books cashed in on this one. Line started at 3.5 and ended up at 6 in some places. Oh, and where was this L'ville offense when I had them -3 vs. Kentucky? ARGH! I hate losing the mid-week games!
                seriously wtf was that Josh Freeman will be a first round pick when he comes out he looked like shit ... would have been nice to know he was going to have the worst game of his career. If WVU doesn't win on thursday its going to be a horrible start to my weekend. basically kansas State didnt show up. And louisville played their asses off!
                Comment
                • sweetpete57@
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-09-06
                  • 1116

                  #9
                  I hear ya. WV better come to play tomorrow night. If they lose, I'll be playing catch up (at best) all Saturday. I thought we had it going our way after that K-St. punt return TD. Little did I know that K-St's defense was more than eager to let L'ville get that TD right back.
                  "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                  Comment
                  • teaserpleaser
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-14-08
                    • 26016

                    #10
                    We'll get em tomorrow If WVU doesnt show up coming off a bye week and a loss im going to go crazy.
                    Comment
                    • sweetpete57@
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-09-06
                      • 1116

                      #11
                      I would personally like to thank Kansas St. and W. Virginia for doing the following to me:

                      1. Putting a huge dent into my winnings from the first 3 weeks
                      2. Raising my blood pressure
                      3. Causing me to miss out on sex because i chose watching these games over spending 'quality' time with my girlfriend
                      4. Completely destroying my confidence in handicapping college football
                      5. Reminding me that God does not approve of my gambling
                      6. Making me waste my time typing stupid posts like this to relieve my frustration.

                      Boy, if things don't work out Saturday, this will be a disaster of a week. Oh yeah, my stocks aren't exactly cashing in this week thanks to market crash. I'm gonna go rob a bank now to make myself feel better.
                      "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                      Comment
                      • teaserpleaser
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-14-08
                        • 26016

                        #12
                        #1 hurts alot im with you i went damn near all in on that shit... but the one that really has me is the #4 im nervous about picking games this weekend, How do you cap bad play calling?? maybe i'll take a break what the Fukk was that shit. no way in hell should WVU be 1-2 and score 17 points combined in 2 games.....
                        Comment
                        • WestsidePete
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-19-07
                          • 8049

                          #13
                          Originally posted by sweetpete57@
                          I would personally like to thank Kansas St. and W. Virginia for doing the following to me:

                          1. Putting a huge dent into my winnings from the first 3 weeks
                          2. Raising my blood pressure
                          3. Causing me to miss out on sex because i chose watching these games over spending 'quality' time with my girlfriend
                          4. Completely destroying my confidence in handicapping college football
                          5. Reminding me that God does not approve of my gambling
                          6. Making me waste my time typing stupid posts like this to relieve my frustration.

                          Boy, if things don't work out Saturday, this will be a disaster of a week. Oh yeah, my stocks aren't exactly cashing in this week thanks to market crash. I'm gonna go rob a bank now to make myself feel better.
                          Cosign.... Kansas St...
                          coach stewart fukkhead
                          Comment
                          • sweetpete57@
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-09-06
                            • 1116

                            #14
                            The KSt. game I blame to lack of execution by the players, but the WV game is solely on the coaches. I knew after that 3rd string QB couldn't throw the ball 30 yds to the wide open WR on that trick play that we were doomed. I still think we had the right sides in both games. I already placed some nice-sized wagers for Saturday, but after this week I'm taking a step back and cutting my bets down. I thought this would be a huge weekend. Oh well, hopefully we'll make some cash saturday
                            "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                            Comment
                            • WestsidePete
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-19-07
                              • 8049

                              #15
                              Originally posted by sweetpete57@
                              The KSt. game I blame to lack of execution by the players, but the WV game is solely on the coaches. I knew after that 3rd string QB couldn't throw the ball 30 yds to the wide open WR on that trick play that we were doomed. I still think we had the right sides in both games. I already placed some nice-sized wagers for Saturday, but after this week I'm taking a step back and cutting my bets down. I thought this would be a huge weekend. Oh well, hopefully we'll make some cash saturday
                              GL this weekend....let's cash some plays
                              Comment
                              • SportNut
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-16-07
                                • 1984

                                #16
                                Kansas st. WV broke my betting allowance for this week already fuk fuk and fuk. I really need some good plays for Sat. to get it back.
                                Comment
                                • sweetpete57@
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-09-06
                                  • 1116

                                  #17
                                  I've already made my worthless official selections, so these are only "strong opinions" i guess. But, I spent last night looking into some strong plays for Saturday to win some money back, and here are my next tier of plays for Saturday---

                                  ALABAMA -8.5 @ Arkansas
                                  I'm not sold on 'Bama, but I'll reiterate my comments on Arkansas I've made all season. THEY ARE AWFUL. They lost both their offensive weapons to the draft and have nothing left on offense. They are the worst team in the SEC and have that numbnut Petrino as their coach. 'BAMA 24-10

                                  WAKE FOREST +4.5 @ Florida St.
                                  Nobody knows if FSU is any good this year b/c they've played two 2nd tier FCS teams. We do know that Wake has a great team (by WF standards). Wake also beat FSU 30-0 in Tallahassee 2 yrs. ago. Risky pick, but ya gotta like Wake's chances against an untested team like this. WAKE 20-13

                                  FRESNO ST. -7 @ Toledo.
                                  Another risky pick considering we don't know what kind of letdown Fresno will have after losing to Wisconsin. But, talent wise Fresno is far superior. I'll trust Coach Hill to get his team refocussed. FRESNO 38-24

                                  PITT -1 vs. Iowa
                                  Way more on the line for Pitt in this one. Pitt has a shot at the Big East title this year and Wannstedt better get this team going if he wants to keep his job. I think Iowa is more concerned for Big 10 play (Homecoming next week) whereas Pitt still wants to prove themselves, and McCoy is ready to make his impact in front of an ESPN audience. PITT 24-17

                                  For what it's worth, I raised my bet on BYU. That actually seems like the best play. Wyoming has no offense, so really all BYU needs is 35 points and should cover. I'm bracing myself for a long day though. Let's get 'em guys
                                  "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                                  Comment
                                  • teaserpleaser
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-14-08
                                    • 26016

                                    #18
                                    man good luck with the Pitt bet... Wannstedt no comment on that guy I hope he wins for you
                                    Comment
                                    • ritehook
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-12-06
                                      • 2244

                                      #19
                                      Utah up to -9.5 now. I like them, got them at 7.5 and bought the half point,.

                                      But when public jumps on a fave like this it makes me nervous
                                      Comment
                                      • sweetpete57@
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-09-06
                                        • 1116

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ritehook
                                        Utah up to -9.5 now. I like them, got them at 7.5 and bought the half point,.

                                        But when public jumps on a fave like this it makes me nervous
                                        I know what you mean. The same thing happened with Kansas St., it went from 3.5 to 6, and well, we all know what happened.

                                        On a whim I took the OVER in Baylor/UConn and won about a whopping 1/20 back of what I lost wed. and thursday. Maybe thats a sign for a good day to come. I feel confortable with all 3 of my selections but will be content with 2 wins out of 3.

                                        I'm surprised the Utah line is jumping so much. I hope everyone knows what they're doing, or the books will win big again. I can;t believe I'll be watching a game on VS. over Florida/Tennessee
                                        "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                                        Comment
                                        • sweetpete57@
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-09-06
                                          • 1116

                                          #21
                                          Pitt line up to -2.5? Pound that in the next 9 minutes. I think Pitt rolls.
                                          "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                                          Comment
                                          • teaserpleaser
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-14-08
                                            • 26016

                                            #22
                                            GL had to take Iowa on the Road ... coachs arent even close. Will wannstedt punt from the iowa 36 this week??
                                            Comment
                                            • sweetpete57@
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-09-06
                                              • 1116

                                              #23
                                              I about conceded defeat after that 1st Q McCoy fumble, but this team has some talent. I'm not getting too confident though.
                                              "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                                              Comment
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