Sometimes it's hard to lose... 5-2 worst case scenario Today

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  • aman86
    SBR MVP
    • 08-29-09
    • 3115

    #1
    Sometimes it's hard to lose... 5-2 worst case scenario Today
    Every once in a while you have one of those epiphanies that something good is just going to happen...

    Today is one of those days and I always enjoyed reading some posts on here, so here is a gift back.

    First 4 were easy and I feel indomitable, I will be shocked to go worse than 5-2 today and while you never like losing, I think anyone would take being up close to 3 units at the end of the day.

    -- I have gone $110 on each so far so have already reaped the rewards and will do the same for the rest, I just felt like this week was super easy, and after confirmation of that yesterday I feel ultra confident to lend some help.

    -- Hedging is not part of my vocabulary, it doesn't make sense to me and anyways Stanford and USC are ultra best bets today.

    First four were Houston -3, LSU -12, BC +15, Cal +6

    Last 7 are:

    MICHIGAN -7
    VANDY -1
    NC STATE -12
    TENNESSEE -8
    V-TECH -4
    STANFORD -7
    USC -14


    This was an 11-teamer, and I have 7 left to go. Best of luck to you as you decide whether to tail or fade, but fading me is never a good idea, I don't lose when I post here, I make them count
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  • aman86
    SBR MVP
    • 08-29-09
    • 3115

    #2
    I know some lines have changed, but that makes no difference for me in these games and my betting strategy on them today. When I pick games I expect them to cover by around 10 points, so any changes under 3 points makes little difference to me.
    Comment
    • Johnrl21
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-23-11
      • 105

      #3
      Good luck the rest of the way....Tenn -8 is the danger pick imo
      Comment
      • paranoyd androyd
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-01-11
        • 6459

        #4
        gl rest of the way
        Comment
        • aman86
          SBR MVP
          • 08-29-09
          • 3115

          #5
          thanks, yea i understand, as long as bray is playing i'm ok with it but just feel like tenn will bounce back against a generally week kentucky team
          Comment
          • upscope
            SBR MVP
            • 04-26-11
            • 2837

            #6
            Are you afraid of + points??
            Comment
            • numismatist
              SBR MVP
              • 10-02-11
              • 2192

              #7
              I actually think your worst case scenario here is 2-5.
              Comment
              • mp5070
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-13-08
                • 5446

                #8
                Comment
                • aman86
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-29-09
                  • 3115

                  #9
                  Originally posted by numismatist
                  I actually think your worst case scenario here is 2-5.
                  Not Quite...

                  Like I said I don't post unless I'm extremely confident and after starting off 1-2 I sweep the last 4 of the day.

                  I'm actually glad I lost Michigan by 1 because I would've been kicking myself for losing that parlay on Tennessee. The line dropped from -8 to -6 before gametime and I didn't feel like hedging or middling because I couldn't decipher why the drop occurred. Regardless was a good last 2 days going 9-2 SU on those plays I had in the parlay for a profit of $680 minus the $5 parlay and I also hit a nice little 6 team teaser on other plays.

                  Anyway, that's all she wrote... sometimes people try to be too cute with taking the points because that's what they think sharps do. If you're on that mindset you have no reason sports betting for money. I moved to Vegas 3 months ago to do just that and taking favs has done me quite well, you just have to know which Favs. Fortunately I seem to have an instinctual gift for this thing and its the best job ever. Best of luck to you all. I just don't post much because it seems like everyone wants you to lose and that's the psychological mindfuck losers get a kick out of. Since they're losing their money they at least want to be a bully and feel they are getting their lost dollars back by kicking others when their down. I'm out
                  Comment
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