Any inside info on BG vs Kent? Odd Move

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  • spladle08
    SBR MVP
    • 09-21-11
    • 1488

    #1
    Any inside info on BG vs Kent? Odd Move
    Tried to post this earlier but comp locked up severely:

    The line opened at BG -6.5 (somebody told me this... I got it at -5) Since then line has dropped to BG -3.5.... Big line move for a small school game against a terrible offense, with 1 team being 1-6 ATS and the other coming off a good Toledo game and a win over a very good Temple team.... Here is what I wrote and some minor research tools, but Im wondering if anyone knows the reason for this drastic line move.


    BG -5 vs Kent
    Play BG -5




    Ignore the fact that Kent has won in recent history.
    Consider these facts:

    Kent is 1-6 ATS
    Kent averages 10 points per game and 28 against
    BG puts up 27 per game
    Kent hasn’t played 1 team within 5pts all year
    BG just played Toledo to a 7pt loss and beat Temple straight up
    Common opponent is Miami Ohio who BG crushed (@ Miami) and Kent lost to @ home

    Meh I think BG has this… BG -5



    I mean: Kent has had a decent home defense ranking 15th against the pass and 22 against the run but their 3 home opponents have been ULL, South Alabama, and Miami (OH), they were impressive holding Miami Ohio to 9 points but... BG beat this same Miami team 37-23 @ Miami... I dont think the "under-rated" defense is the reason for the move...

    Possibly this is an expected let down spot after a big win over Temple? Kent is coming off a bye week?

    I mean honestly??? Kent is 1-6 ATS... I swear is this game fixed? Kents closest loss this year was that 6pt loss last week, where they racked up a stellar 244 yards of total offense and converted 3 of 17 third downs.
  • sandman0713
    SBR MVP
    • 09-10-11
    • 2036

    #2
    spreads been moving funny on kent all year...total and spread. their d is every bit as good as their o is bad...so may be a close game. i had to sweat out the miami ohio win over them for a huge bet...but only took 9 points for mu to cover the spread...lol. not saying gimme, but i got it for 4 units. the spreads on these kent games have been moving the kent and over way often tho, and it hasn't mattered so far. just wish i would have waited to bet now and got it lower...lol.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      MAC is crooked. Period.
      Comment
      • spladle08
        SBR MVP
        • 09-21-11
        • 1488

        #4
        Sandman: Im sure you are right.. i dont see how they can compete at all

        No Coincidences: I fear you may actually be onto something.
        Comment
        • Pickma$ter
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-15-10
          • 240

          #5
          Im with you guys here, I have been waiting to put down 5 dimes on bowling green, but dont like the RLM on such a crap team. Im also wondering the same thing which player is being fixed or will this be a buy back game.
          Comment
          • sandman0713
            SBR MVP
            • 09-10-11
            • 2036

            #6
            Originally posted by Pickma$ter
            Im with you guys here, I have waiting to put down 5 dimes on bowling green due to the RLM on such a crap team. Im also wondering the same thing which player is being fixed or will this be a buy back game.
            perfect game for that. kent a great d capable of pulling out a close game...and a game nobody is betting on.

            take kent +6.5 early and move the spread with false money

            pound bg at like -3 after it moves

            fairly good chance at a middle there and all gain as well
            Comment
            • fecgp40
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-11
              • 5750

              #7
              Line is moving because Kent is a home dog, BG coming off a letdown spot after Temple win, and Kent's D can keep it close. Period. This game screams stay away if any game ever did to me. If you planned ahead enough to get a middle opportunity like sandman says, it's probably worth a play. Otherwise, run and don't look back.
              Comment
              • aimgator
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-12-11
                • 206

                #8
                thinking about BG-3... keeping it on my radar for now..
                Comment
                • Pickma$ter
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-15-10
                  • 240

                  #9
                  Originally posted by fecgp40
                  Line is moving because Kent is a home dog, BG coming off a letdown spot after Temple win, and Kent's D can keep it close. Period. This game screams stay away if any game ever did to me. If you planned ahead enough to get a middle opportunity like sandman says, it's probably worth a play. Otherwise, run and don't look back.
                  Kent st is horriable on offense and is last in every catagory. Temple and Toledo are really decent teams and the 2 best in MAC and BG held there own in both games. Im only worried about a paid thrown game here but otherwise this game is handled by BG.
                  Comment
                  • fecgp40
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-01-11
                    • 5750

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                    Kent st is horriable on offense and is last in every catagory. Temple and Toledo are really decent teams and the 2 best in MAC and BG held there own in both games. Im only worried about a paid thrown game here but otherwise this game is handled by BG.
                    For everyone's sake who bet on BG, I hope you're right. GL.
                    Comment
                    • Believeland
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 923

                      #11
                      Ill give you guys the greatest money maker ever! ALWAYS BET AGAINST AKRON THEY SUCK! I live within 3 hours of these ohio mac schools
                      Comment
                      • fecgp40
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-01-11
                        • 5750

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Believeland
                        Ill give you guys the greatest money maker ever! ALWAYS BET AGAINST AKRON THEY SUCK! I live within 3 hours of these ohio mac schools
                        Fade Zippy the Kangaroo!!!
                        Comment
                        • spladle08
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 1488

                          #13
                          I got akron/cmu over fiddy
                          ..... expecting some quality ball
                          Comment
                          • Producer2627
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-15-11
                            • 333

                            #14
                            Yea this is a trap game
                            Comment
                            • spladle08
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 1488

                              #15
                              lol I see people deeming this game a "Lock", and it really seems like it should be.... PRAY FOR ME
                              Comment
                              • Blazermaniac
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-30-08
                                • 556

                                #16
                                Sharp heavy money thinks they are on to something. Vegas counters with a mind game. On an even playing field...course the better team will win. But not everything in life is fair. Just choose wisely. There are no right or wrong answers til the final score.
                                Comment
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