Doing good things in here, haven't really noticed earlier. Have you run this for a full season before and if so, with what results?
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#73
Originally posted by Small Timer
Doing good things in here, haven't really noticed earlier. Have you run this for a full season before and if so, with what results?
Prior to my SBR arrival last yr, I was very consistent. Then last yr I began playing too many games.
So this is my first official season with my simplified system. Working well thus far.
Comment
solecrazy
SBR Wise Guy
09-21-10
570
#74
cash that GB OVR! lets hope they stop carolina from scoring
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#75
Originally posted by solecrazy
cash that GB OVR! lets hope they stop carolina from scoring
Sometimes need a little luck. We may be 8-0 NFL in a few mins, and 22-6 football overall.
Comment
solecrazy
SBR Wise Guy
09-21-10
570
#76
Although gb couldn't hold on yesterday it was still a positive 2 unit day
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#77
Sole, we got a Monday play bud:
Giants -6.5 or -7
STL/NYG OVER 44
GOOD LUCK TO ALL.
Comment
solecrazy
SBR Wise Guy
09-21-10
570
#78
Im on it! Thanks for all the plays TL i really appreciate it!
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#79
Side: (Cleared another line last night)
100-100-100-100-100
Total:
100-100-100-100-100-200
Had a push in Total for Giants game.
Another successful week everyone. Plays to come...
WE ARE UP +33.6 UNITS ON THE FOOTBALL SEASON!!
Comment
BetGrinder
Restricted User
09-06-11
168
#80
very nice system! congrats and thx for sharing
Comment
JMF2479
SBR Wise Guy
08-29-09
592
#81
Originally posted by TodaysLocks
Side: (Cleared another line last night)
100-100-100-100-100
Total:
100-100-100-100-100-200
Had a push in Total for Giants game.
Another successful week everyone. Plays to come...
WE ARE UP +33.6 UNITS ON THE FOOTBALL SEASON!!
You are sick.
Comment
cowboyfan08
SBR Wise Guy
09-18-10
575
#82
GOOD JOB TL,MADE SOME CASH WITH TL LAST YEAR!GLAD TO SEE TOU BACK!
Comment
House
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-11
7088
#83
Great work ,keep it up TLocks .... you are melting the books with these plays.. I do a lot of my own capping and this is the first thread I come to check myself.... great thread and Good Luck this week.
Comment
HomerJ
SBR Rookie
09-19-11
18
#84
Why isn't the line 4 numbers instead of 5? If the line is closed out after the first 2 and last 2 numbers are crossed out then the middle number isn't crossed out.
Comment
HomerJ
SBR Rookie
09-19-11
18
#85
100-100-100-100-100 Sorry I couldn't post this with the numbers marked out. The line is finished when the first 2 numbers and last 2 numbers are marked out but what does the middle number represent? Not trying to be confusing. Just curious.
Comment
solecrazy
SBR Wise Guy
09-21-10
570
#86
Originally posted by HomerJ
100-100-100-100-100 Sorry I couldn't post this with the numbers marked out. The line is finished when the first 2 numbers and last 2 numbers are marked out but what does the middle number represent? Not trying to be confusing. Just curious.
The line isnt finished after the first 2 numbers are marked out. The middle number left means your next play is for 1 unit. You always add the first number and the last number. (if applicable)
For example:
On Sunday this was our labby: Side
100-100-100-100-100
Total
100-100-100-100-100-200
with the plays GB -10, GB OVR 45 so that means bet GB -10 for 1 unit and GB OVR 45 for 3 units. and since the 1 unit play lost, we added 100 to the Side labby line.
So for Monday our labby looked like this:
Side
100-100-100-100-100-100
Total
100-100-100-100-100-200
the MNF plays were Giants -7 for 2 units and Giants OVR 44 for 2 units. The Giants -7 cashed so we crossed out the remaining 2 100's and we've finished the Side Labby Line (100-100-100-100-100-100). If GB OVR 45 lost, we would have added a 300 at the end so Giants OVR 44 would have been a 4 unit play, then the next "Total" play would have been for 300 and so on.
Hope this helped and I didnt confuse you even more haha.
Comment
HomerJ
SBR Rookie
09-19-11
18
#87
Thanks solecrazy that's what I wanted to know. Thanks for taking the time.
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#88
Thanks Sole for explaining.
Keep in mind that very rarely will I continue to hit pick after pick...
So most of the time it won't end up like
100-100-100-100-100
Chances are a number will be added to the end at some point before it gets to be like above. But the goal is to win roughly 5 units per line (give or take the juice), so thats why its 5 and not 4.
Comment
solecrazy
SBR Wise Guy
09-21-10
570
#89
Originally posted by HomerJ
Thanks solecrazy that's what I wanted to know. Thanks for taking the time.
No problem! I was pretty confused too when i first heard about the labby system
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#90
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#91
Originally posted by TodaysLocks
Thanks Sole for explaining.
Keep in mind that very rarely will I continue to hit pick after pick...
So most of the time it won't end up like
100-100-100-100-100
Chances are a number will be added to the end at some point before it gets to be like above. But the goal is to win roughly 5 units per line (give or take the juice), so thats why its 5 and not 4.
have you ever do this with a reverse labby ??
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#92
todays, I'll start to follow you, what are the current labby lines ??
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#93
Originally posted by figue
have you ever do this with a reverse labby ??
No, is that just adding the two middle numbers everytime?
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#94
Originally posted by TodaysLocks
No, is that just adding the two middle numbers everytime?
Currently, we are beginning a new side labby, as we just cleared another.
100-100-100-100-100
For Total:
100-100-100-100-100-200
Comment
brigade125
SBR Wise Guy
07-03-11
685
#95
playing 2morrow TL?
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#96
Originally posted by brigade125
playing 2morrow TL?
My power rankings have NC ST as a higher ranking than Cincy.
You would think this would lead me to pick them. BUT, I never play a game where my rankings have the Dog actually ranked higher than the favorite.
Just always makes me think Vegas knows something the public doesn't...
That said, when my rankings have the dog as a favorite, they usually cover, and the total tends to go OVER.
But I only play dogs when they are ranked lower than the favorite, but not low enough to warrant the current spread.
Hope that makes sense. No official play tomorrow.
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#97
LT , what does mean B - D1 v D1 only ??
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#98
no Ohio St v. East West Middle Tennessee Chatanooga of the South
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#99
Originally posted by TodaysLocks
No, is that just adding the two middle numbers everytime?
REVERSE LABOUCHERE
The Labouchère system can also be played as a positive progression betting system, this is known as playing the reverse Labouchère. In this version after a win, instead of deleting numbers from the line, the player adds the previous bet amount to the end of the line. You continue building up your Labouchère line until you hit the table maximum. After a loss, the player deletes the outside numbers and continues working on the shorter line. The player starts their line again if they run out of numbers to bet.[2]
The Reverse Labouchère system is often used because where the Labouchère list represents how much the player wants to win, a reverse Labouchère line represents the most that the player will lose during the betting cycle. It is with this that a player with a bankroll of x can create their own line, or lines, representative of the maximum amount that they can sustain in losses.
Additionally, a player does not necessarily have to continue the system until the table limit is met or exceeded, but could instead pick a single bet that the player does not wish to exceed and make that bet their own personal limit.
Unlike the Labouchère system which (when adhered to strictly) requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete, the winning percentage needed to complete a Reverse Labouchère line is going to be dependent on both the table limit (or the maximum single bet a player is willing to make) as well as the numbers on the initial line in relation to the table limit.
For instance, if a table had a limit of $500 and a player composed a Labouchère line as follows:
50, 50, 50, 50, 50
Nine consecutive wins (100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 350, 400, 450, 500) would cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, and thus the line would be completed with a player profit of $2700.
In contrast, if a player composed a Labouchère line such as:
25, 25, 25, 25, 25
Nineteen consecutive wins (50, 75, 100, 125, 150, 175, 200, 225, 250, 275, 300, 325, 350, 375, 400, 425, 450, 475, 500) would cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, thus the line would be completed with a player profit of $5,225.
The length of the line in the Reverse Labouchère system is also important as it relates to the percentage of wins necessary to complete the system. For instance, if a line of:
50, 50, 50, 50, 50
Suffers three consecutive losses as soon as the system begins, then the line is completed and a new line must be started, or the player may choose to quit.
In contrast, if a line of:
50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50
Suffers three consecutive losses, then there are still six numbers remaining on the list. In the line immediately above, it would take an opening streak of six consecutive losses for the line to be completed.
All other things remaining the same, the longer a player's line, the more the player is risking losing, however, the longer the player's line, the better winning percentage the casino need have in order to break the player's line.
Advocates of this system point out that when a player uses the Labouchère System, where a streak in the casino's favor, or many mini-streaks in the casino's favor, will cause the player to sustain a huge loss, a single streak, or a few streaks in the player's favor using the Reverse Labouchère system will cause the player to have a huge gain.
A formula that can be used to determine how this system could fail is as follows:
Where:
x = Number of Wins y = Number of Losses Z = Numbers on original List When:
x + z ≤ y * 2 The system has failed, and all numbers on the line are crossed completely out.
Given an infinite line, the Labouchère System when played by the player requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete. In contrast, for the Reverse Labouchère to fail requires only that the player lose 33.34% of the time.
Once again, the winning percentage necessary for the system completing to success depends upon a number of variables.
ps. copy from one site.
Comment
mp5070
SBR Hall of Famer
09-13-08
5446
#100
^^^
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#101
TL do you have a cfb play for tomorrow ??
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#102
Same deal as last night.
No play. System has UCF higher but they are the dog.
If last night is any indication, maybe that means pound BYU lol.
Plays to come for weekend.
Comment
flocko76
SBR MVP
10-01-10
1447
#103
are you using some sort of computer program to make these picks?
Comment
TodaysLocks
SBR MVP
09-06-10
1450
#104
Originally posted by flocko76
are you using some sort of computer program to make these picks?
Stats that spit out my own set of Power Rankings.
I use these to compute hypothetical spreads, and then compare to the lines in Vegas.
When there is discrepancy, and a high % to play, I pull the trigger.
Comment
uh60james
SBR Rookie
12-09-10
10
#105
Good work, trying to figure out how to use this labby asap!