**TodaysLocks** Official 2011 2-System Labby Thread

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  • cheddar327
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-15-10
    • 169

    #71
    you're kicking ass!
    Comment
    • Small Timer
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-12-11
      • 389

      #72
      Doing good things in here, haven't really noticed earlier. Have you run this for a full season before and if so, with what results?
      Comment
      • TodaysLocks
        SBR MVP
        • 09-06-10
        • 1450

        #73
        Originally posted by Small Timer
        Doing good things in here, haven't really noticed earlier. Have you run this for a full season before and if so, with what results?
        Prior to my SBR arrival last yr, I was very consistent. Then last yr I began playing too many games.

        So this is my first official season with my simplified system. Working well thus far.
        Comment
        • solecrazy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-21-10
          • 570

          #74
          cash that GB OVR! lets hope they stop carolina from scoring
          Comment
          • TodaysLocks
            SBR MVP
            • 09-06-10
            • 1450

            #75
            Originally posted by solecrazy
            cash that GB OVR! lets hope they stop carolina from scoring
            Sometimes need a little luck. We may be 8-0 NFL in a few mins, and 22-6 football overall.
            Comment
            • solecrazy
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-21-10
              • 570

              #76
              Although gb couldn't hold on yesterday it was still a positive 2 unit day
              Comment
              • TodaysLocks
                SBR MVP
                • 09-06-10
                • 1450

                #77
                Sole, we got a Monday play bud:

                Giants -6.5 or -7

                STL/NYG OVER 44


                GOOD LUCK TO ALL.
                Comment
                • solecrazy
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-21-10
                  • 570

                  #78
                  Im on it! Thanks for all the plays TL i really appreciate it!
                  Comment
                  • TodaysLocks
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-06-10
                    • 1450

                    #79
                    Side: (Cleared another line last night)

                    100-100-100-100-100

                    Total:

                    100-100-100-100-100-200

                    Had a push in Total for Giants game.

                    Another successful week everyone. Plays to come...

                    WE ARE UP +33.6 UNITS ON THE FOOTBALL SEASON!!
                    Comment
                    • BetGrinder
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-06-11
                      • 168

                      #80
                      very nice system! congrats and thx for sharing

                      Comment
                      • JMF2479
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-29-09
                        • 592

                        #81
                        Originally posted by TodaysLocks
                        Side: (Cleared another line last night)

                        100-100-100-100-100

                        Total:

                        100-100-100-100-100-200

                        Had a push in Total for Giants game.

                        Another successful week everyone. Plays to come...

                        WE ARE UP +33.6 UNITS ON THE FOOTBALL SEASON!!

                        You are sick.
                        Comment
                        • cowboyfan08
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-18-10
                          • 575

                          #82
                          GOOD JOB TL,MADE SOME CASH WITH TL LAST YEAR!GLAD TO SEE TOU BACK!
                          Comment
                          • House
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-04-11
                            • 7088

                            #83
                            Great work ,keep it up TLocks .... you are melting the books with these plays.. I do a lot of my own capping and this is the first thread I come to check myself.... great thread and Good Luck this week.
                            Comment
                            • HomerJ
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 09-19-11
                              • 18

                              #84
                              Why isn't the line 4 numbers instead of 5? If the line is closed out after the first 2 and last 2 numbers are crossed out then the middle number isn't crossed out.
                              Comment
                              • HomerJ
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 09-19-11
                                • 18

                                #85
                                100-100-100-100-100 Sorry I couldn't post this with the numbers marked out. The line is finished when the first 2 numbers and last 2 numbers are marked out but what does the middle number represent? Not trying to be confusing. Just curious.
                                Comment
                                • solecrazy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-21-10
                                  • 570

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by HomerJ
                                  100-100-100-100-100 Sorry I couldn't post this with the numbers marked out. The line is finished when the first 2 numbers and last 2 numbers are marked out but what does the middle number represent? Not trying to be confusing. Just curious.
                                  The line isnt finished after the first 2 numbers are marked out. The middle number left means your next play is for 1 unit. You always add the first number and the last number. (if applicable)

                                  For example:
                                  On Sunday this was our labby:
                                  Side

                                  100-100-100-100-100

                                  Total

                                  100-100-100-100-100-200

                                  with the plays GB -10, GB OVR 45 so that means bet GB -10 for 1 unit and GB OVR 45 for 3 units. and since the 1 unit play lost, we added 100 to the Side labby line.

                                  So for Monday our labby looked like this:

                                  Side

                                  100-100-100-100-100-100
                                  Total

                                  100-100-100-100-100-200

                                  the MNF plays were Giants -7 for 2 units and Giants OVR 44 for 2 units. The Giants -7 cashed so we crossed out the remaining 2 100's and we've finished the Side Labby Line (100-100-100-100-100-100). If GB OVR 45 lost, we would have added a 300 at the end so Giants OVR 44 would have been a 4 unit play, then the next "Total" play would have been for 300 and so on.
                                  Hope this helped and I didnt confuse you even more haha.
                                  Comment
                                  • HomerJ
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 09-19-11
                                    • 18

                                    #87
                                    Thanks solecrazy that's what I wanted to know. Thanks for taking the time.
                                    Comment
                                    • TodaysLocks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-06-10
                                      • 1450

                                      #88
                                      Thanks Sole for explaining.

                                      Keep in mind that very rarely will I continue to hit pick after pick...

                                      So most of the time it won't end up like

                                      100-100-100-100-100

                                      Chances are a number will be added to the end at some point before it gets to be like above. But the goal is to win roughly 5 units per line (give or take the juice), so thats why its 5 and not 4.
                                      Comment
                                      • solecrazy
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-21-10
                                        • 570

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by HomerJ
                                        Thanks solecrazy that's what I wanted to know. Thanks for taking the time.
                                        No problem! I was pretty confused too when i first heard about the labby system
                                        Comment
                                        • figue
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-23-10
                                          • 2524

                                          #90
                                          Comment
                                          • figue
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-23-10
                                            • 2524

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by TodaysLocks
                                            Thanks Sole for explaining.

                                            Keep in mind that very rarely will I continue to hit pick after pick...

                                            So most of the time it won't end up like

                                            100-100-100-100-100

                                            Chances are a number will be added to the end at some point before it gets to be like above. But the goal is to win roughly 5 units per line (give or take the juice), so thats why its 5 and not 4.
                                            have you ever do this with a reverse labby ??
                                            Comment
                                            • figue
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-23-10
                                              • 2524

                                              #92
                                              todays, I'll start to follow you, what are the current labby lines ??
                                              Comment
                                              • TodaysLocks
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-06-10
                                                • 1450

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by figue
                                                have you ever do this with a reverse labby ??
                                                No, is that just adding the two middle numbers everytime?
                                                Comment
                                                • TodaysLocks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-06-10
                                                  • 1450

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by TodaysLocks
                                                  No, is that just adding the two middle numbers everytime?
                                                  Currently, we are beginning a new side labby, as we just cleared another.

                                                  100-100-100-100-100

                                                  For Total:

                                                  100-100-100-100-100-200
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brigade125
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-03-11
                                                    • 685

                                                    #95
                                                    playing 2morrow TL?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TodaysLocks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-06-10
                                                      • 1450

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by brigade125
                                                      playing 2morrow TL?
                                                      My power rankings have NC ST as a higher ranking than Cincy.

                                                      You would think this would lead me to pick them. BUT, I never play a game where my rankings have the Dog actually ranked higher than the favorite.

                                                      Just always makes me think Vegas knows something the public doesn't...

                                                      That said, when my rankings have the dog as a favorite, they usually cover, and the total tends to go OVER.

                                                      But I only play dogs when they are ranked lower than the favorite, but not low enough to warrant the current spread.

                                                      Hope that makes sense. No official play tomorrow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • figue
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-23-10
                                                        • 2524

                                                        #97
                                                        LT , what does mean B - D1 v D1 only ??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TodaysLocks
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-06-10
                                                          • 1450

                                                          #98
                                                          no Ohio St v. East West Middle Tennessee Chatanooga of the South
                                                          Comment
                                                          • figue
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-23-10
                                                            • 2524

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by TodaysLocks
                                                            No, is that just adding the two middle numbers everytime?
                                                            REVERSE LABOUCHERE

                                                            The Labouchère system can also be played as a positive progression betting system, this is known as playing the reverse Labouchère. In this version after a win, instead of deleting numbers from the line, the player adds the previous bet amount to the end of the line. You continue building up your Labouchère line until you hit the table maximum. After a loss, the player deletes the outside numbers and continues working on the shorter line. The player starts their line again if they run out of numbers to bet.[2]
                                                            The Reverse Labouchère system is often used because where the Labouchère list represents how much the player wants to win, a reverse Labouchère line represents the most that the player will lose during the betting cycle. It is with this that a player with a bankroll of x can create their own line, or lines, representative of the maximum amount that they can sustain in losses.
                                                            Additionally, a player does not necessarily have to continue the system until the table limit is met or exceeded, but could instead pick a single bet that the player does not wish to exceed and make that bet their own personal limit.
                                                            Unlike the Labouchère system which (when adhered to strictly) requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete, the winning percentage needed to complete a Reverse Labouchère line is going to be dependent on both the table limit (or the maximum single bet a player is willing to make) as well as the numbers on the initial line in relation to the table limit.
                                                            For instance, if a table had a limit of $500 and a player composed a Labouchère line as follows:
                                                            50, 50, 50, 50, 50
                                                            Nine consecutive wins (100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 350, 400, 450, 500) would cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, and thus the line would be completed with a player profit of $2700.
                                                            In contrast, if a player composed a Labouchère line such as:
                                                            25, 25, 25, 25, 25
                                                            Nineteen consecutive wins (50, 75, 100, 125, 150, 175, 200, 225, 250, 275, 300, 325, 350, 375, 400, 425, 450, 475, 500) would cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, thus the line would be completed with a player profit of $5,225.
                                                            The length of the line in the Reverse Labouchère system is also important as it relates to the percentage of wins necessary to complete the system. For instance, if a line of:
                                                            50, 50, 50, 50, 50
                                                            Suffers three consecutive losses as soon as the system begins, then the line is completed and a new line must be started, or the player may choose to quit.
                                                            In contrast, if a line of:
                                                            50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50
                                                            Suffers three consecutive losses, then there are still six numbers remaining on the list. In the line immediately above, it would take an opening streak of six consecutive losses for the line to be completed.
                                                            All other things remaining the same, the longer a player's line, the more the player is risking losing, however, the longer the player's line, the better winning percentage the casino need have in order to break the player's line.
                                                            Advocates of this system point out that when a player uses the Labouchère System, where a streak in the casino's favor, or many mini-streaks in the casino's favor, will cause the player to sustain a huge loss, a single streak, or a few streaks in the player's favor using the Reverse Labouchère system will cause the player to have a huge gain.
                                                            A formula that can be used to determine how this system could fail is as follows:
                                                            Where:
                                                            x = Number of Wins y = Number of Losses Z = Numbers on original List When:
                                                            x + z ≤ y * 2 The system has failed, and all numbers on the line are crossed completely out.
                                                            Given an infinite line, the Labouchère System when played by the player requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete. In contrast, for the Reverse Labouchère to fail requires only that the player lose 33.34% of the time.
                                                            Once again, the winning percentage necessary for the system completing to success depends upon a number of variables.


                                                            ps. copy from one site.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mp5070
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-13-08
                                                              • 5446

                                                              #100
                                                              ^^^
                                                              Comment
                                                              • figue
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-23-10
                                                                • 2524

                                                                #101
                                                                TL do you have a cfb play for tomorrow ??
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TodaysLocks
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-06-10
                                                                  • 1450

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Same deal as last night.

                                                                  No play. System has UCF higher but they are the dog.

                                                                  If last night is any indication, maybe that means pound BYU lol.

                                                                  Plays to come for weekend.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • flocko76
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-01-10
                                                                    • 1447

                                                                    #103
                                                                    are you using some sort of computer program to make these picks?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TodaysLocks
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-06-10
                                                                      • 1450

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by flocko76
                                                                      are you using some sort of computer program to make these picks?
                                                                      Stats that spit out my own set of Power Rankings.

                                                                      I use these to compute hypothetical spreads, and then compare to the lines in Vegas.

                                                                      When there is discrepancy, and a high % to play, I pull the trigger.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • uh60james
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 12-09-10
                                                                        • 10

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Good work, trying to figure out how to use this labby asap!
                                                                        Comment
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