These are leans at the moment cause I'm thinking the lines will move in my favor before game time. Here is to a good year. 
YTD 0-0
Lines as of 7:43 Central Time 8/31/2010
Sept 2.
SouthernMiss (+14) vs. South Carolina (2 units)
Under 45 (1 unit)
Southern Miss returns the starting front 7 on defense and two in the Secondary. They will be starting a redhsirt freshman at cornerback which would normally make you worry a little but the ole ball coach has no faith in his quarterback Garcia, just listen to recent interviews. Stephen will not have a lot of time to get the ball of considering SMU has the one of the best DE's in the C-USA in Cordarro Law (59 tackles, 7.5 sacks) and linebacker Kory Williams(121 tackles, 7.5 sacks) will easily have a 1st team C-USA caliber year. That will mean USC will go to the run which SMU defends very well. The two deep rotation at D-line has players that have transferred from BCS schools so the pressure will be coming all night long from SMU. The core defense(which returns this year) never lost to an opponent buy this margin last year including playing Houston which put up points in bunches while USC only beat a team by this margin once last year and that was 17. This will be a low scoring affair with SMU possibly pulling an upset behind former Freshman All American Deandre Brown at WR and junior QB Austin Davis who had a 5 to 1 TD to Int ratio last year. This will be a low-scoring affair. There is a hurricane moving into the Carolinas by Thursday if you are into that type of thing to factor in the under. Take SMU and the under in confidence.
Hawaii + 23 vs USC ( 1 unit)
Let me start off by saying USC is replacing their entire secondary. Playing freshman and first year starter sophomores may not be a big deal on the D-Line but it is in the secondary no matter how big of a blue chip you are. Assignments will be missed and the Junior QB Brian Moniz will easily take advantage with two of the league’s best senior receivers in 1st Team All-WAC Greg Salas and Kealoha Pilares. Hawaii is returning seven starters on defense and the great thing is they are returning their entire secondary which did quite decent last year against the pass and they will only be better this year. Hawaii’s defense does have a weakness that needs to be addressed and that is the running game. I’m sure USC will try to pound the football which will expedite the game and seeing that Matt Barkley has been interception prone in the past, look for this USC team to giveaway two turnovers before this game is said and done. This game will be close until the second half when Hawaii will be playing catch-up but not to the tune of 4 or more touchdowns. I use stats as an icing on the cake but if you are more a statistician than I than here is something you may enjoy. Teams in similar situations like Hawaii won or lost by less than 21 points in 52 of 75 (71.2%) of similar historical games. If I’m a betting man(which I am) I like those odds every time.
YTD 0-0
Lines as of 7:43 Central Time 8/31/2010
Sept 2.
SouthernMiss (+14) vs. South Carolina (2 units)
Under 45 (1 unit)
Southern Miss returns the starting front 7 on defense and two in the Secondary. They will be starting a redhsirt freshman at cornerback which would normally make you worry a little but the ole ball coach has no faith in his quarterback Garcia, just listen to recent interviews. Stephen will not have a lot of time to get the ball of considering SMU has the one of the best DE's in the C-USA in Cordarro Law (59 tackles, 7.5 sacks) and linebacker Kory Williams(121 tackles, 7.5 sacks) will easily have a 1st team C-USA caliber year. That will mean USC will go to the run which SMU defends very well. The two deep rotation at D-line has players that have transferred from BCS schools so the pressure will be coming all night long from SMU. The core defense(which returns this year) never lost to an opponent buy this margin last year including playing Houston which put up points in bunches while USC only beat a team by this margin once last year and that was 17. This will be a low scoring affair with SMU possibly pulling an upset behind former Freshman All American Deandre Brown at WR and junior QB Austin Davis who had a 5 to 1 TD to Int ratio last year. This will be a low-scoring affair. There is a hurricane moving into the Carolinas by Thursday if you are into that type of thing to factor in the under. Take SMU and the under in confidence.
Hawaii + 23 vs USC ( 1 unit)
Let me start off by saying USC is replacing their entire secondary. Playing freshman and first year starter sophomores may not be a big deal on the D-Line but it is in the secondary no matter how big of a blue chip you are. Assignments will be missed and the Junior QB Brian Moniz will easily take advantage with two of the league’s best senior receivers in 1st Team All-WAC Greg Salas and Kealoha Pilares. Hawaii is returning seven starters on defense and the great thing is they are returning their entire secondary which did quite decent last year against the pass and they will only be better this year. Hawaii’s defense does have a weakness that needs to be addressed and that is the running game. I’m sure USC will try to pound the football which will expedite the game and seeing that Matt Barkley has been interception prone in the past, look for this USC team to giveaway two turnovers before this game is said and done. This game will be close until the second half when Hawaii will be playing catch-up but not to the tune of 4 or more touchdowns. I use stats as an icing on the cake but if you are more a statistician than I than here is something you may enjoy. Teams in similar situations like Hawaii won or lost by less than 21 points in 52 of 75 (71.2%) of similar historical games. If I’m a betting man(which I am) I like those odds every time.
