Just wanted to get some thoughts on what people consider the "Safest bets" opening weekend. Maybe a little insight as to why. Here is what I have.
Missouri -13.5 - I personally think that this should be at least a 17 pt win. Missouri returns quite a bit of talent and has a great D-Line. Also Illinois will be in a hostile environment and is picked to finish near the bottom of the big 10. While I admit I do not have extensive knowledge of Illinois I just realistically don't see how they can keep up especially with Missouri returning quite a few players.
NW -4 - Pretty much everyone on the board has this. Vandy just will not be able to have the talent to keep up and I would be inclined to take this spread as high as 7 personally. Vandy new coach and all.
SDSU +39 - Call me crazy. I know that Bama likes to run the ball. SDSU will be in a rare moment of having the national spotlight. I personally have seen this too many times where backdoor covers occur. This is also a week 1 game. We all know that Bama rolls in this game. But considering how many people are actually on Bama and knowing they run the ball so damn much. I will take my chances with the points unless I hear an argument better. SDSU also switched to a more balanced offense that should provide them a little bit more of a ground game this year.
SDSU/Bama UNDER 52 - For my same reasons above. I think the under is a fairly decent play. Realistically SDSU will be lucky to score 7-10 pts. But with as much running as I anticipate and being a blowout by the 4th quarter. I think the under is a pretty decent play.
Army/EMU UNDER 43 - Army barely throws the ball 10 times a game. They obviously are a ground based team that chews up a lot of clock. If you watched any army games last year you will know that all have the same tendancy. Low scoring low passing games. I could see something like a 17-7 type game. Neither team is impressive in any way shape or form offensively. But when you see an option game you know time will bleed off.
I do not pretend to be an expert, just a few leans and insights I have and these are bets that I plan on making and feel comfortable with should the line change 1-3pts. More thoughts on these and other games would be great!
Missouri -13.5 - I personally think that this should be at least a 17 pt win. Missouri returns quite a bit of talent and has a great D-Line. Also Illinois will be in a hostile environment and is picked to finish near the bottom of the big 10. While I admit I do not have extensive knowledge of Illinois I just realistically don't see how they can keep up especially with Missouri returning quite a few players.
NW -4 - Pretty much everyone on the board has this. Vandy just will not be able to have the talent to keep up and I would be inclined to take this spread as high as 7 personally. Vandy new coach and all.
SDSU +39 - Call me crazy. I know that Bama likes to run the ball. SDSU will be in a rare moment of having the national spotlight. I personally have seen this too many times where backdoor covers occur. This is also a week 1 game. We all know that Bama rolls in this game. But considering how many people are actually on Bama and knowing they run the ball so damn much. I will take my chances with the points unless I hear an argument better. SDSU also switched to a more balanced offense that should provide them a little bit more of a ground game this year.
SDSU/Bama UNDER 52 - For my same reasons above. I think the under is a fairly decent play. Realistically SDSU will be lucky to score 7-10 pts. But with as much running as I anticipate and being a blowout by the 4th quarter. I think the under is a pretty decent play.
Army/EMU UNDER 43 - Army barely throws the ball 10 times a game. They obviously are a ground based team that chews up a lot of clock. If you watched any army games last year you will know that all have the same tendancy. Low scoring low passing games. I could see something like a 17-7 type game. Neither team is impressive in any way shape or form offensively. But when you see an option game you know time will bleed off.
I do not pretend to be an expert, just a few leans and insights I have and these are bets that I plan on making and feel comfortable with should the line change 1-3pts. More thoughts on these and other games would be great!
. Anyone have any feelings perhaps about more O/U? i know that is a way a lot of people have made money on NCAA in the past few years
