Oregon -3.5 B1G Champion

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • darrell74
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-16-07
    • 14649

    #1
    Oregon -3.5 B1G Champion
    Leaning this way.
    Penn State has a tendency to get humiliated by the good teams, as they unnecessarily humiliated Maryland last Saturday

    I'll look at the injuries that morning, but honestly, I would lay as many as 8.5 if I had to. 2+scores, back door slammed shut.
  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3115

    #2
    I agree. Think Oregon wins by 7+, can never trust Franklin in a big game.
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 36690

      #3
      GL, guys. Andy, it's so true. My only question is whether Franklin can beat a team not named Mich/OhioSt.

      I've thought of Oregon as a tough team to evaluate this season. Putting me in the camp of seeing Oregon as being overrated:
      *They struggled to put Idaho away. Probably should have lost to Boise.
      *Duck schedule has mostly been favorable. Buckeyes had to travel west.
      *Gabriel is NOT the most dominant QB (imho). His arm-strength is mediocre.
      *This PennSt defense will challenge him.

      It's a great matchup. No opinion ATS. But I don't think it's a slam-dunk.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 36690

        #4
        Originally posted by darrell74
        Leaning this way.
        Penn State has a tendency to get humiliated by the good teams, as they unnecessarily humiliated Maryland last Saturday

        I'll look at the injuries that morning, but honestly, I would lay as many as 8.5 if I had to. 2+scores, back door slammed shut.
        Darrell, if you lay it, Good Luck. I always root for guys to cash (if I don't have action on the other side).
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • SundanceKid
          SBR Hustler
          • 05-29-24
          • 93

          #5
          Love it. Oregon lost this game last year to Pennix, who may very well save the Falcons's season after Kirk implodes on Sunday. I don't see Allar from Penn State making the plays down field. He will get some runs for first downs but I just see the explosive plays from PSU on Saturday.
          Comment
          • darrell74
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-16-07
            • 14649

            #6
            Im also leaning on 2 team ml parlay Boise State and Oregon

            Plus money that's easy money, is the best money
            My personal favorite quote
            Comment
            • darrell74
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-16-07
              • 14649

              #7
              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
              Darrell, if you lay it, Good Luck. I always root for guys to cash (if I don't have action on the other side).
              Comment
              • Eddy Munny
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 15743

                #8
                I think Penn State reverses the narrative that they can't win the big game.
                Comment
                • darrell74
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-16-07
                  • 14649

                  #9
                  Spam
                  Comment
                  • Slurry Pumper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-18-18
                    • 2811

                    #10
                    Penn States pass D got smoked several times this year from much lesser foes. As an alumni, it pains me to say that I have been viewing all the games this year and every year for that matter. I got Oregon -3 last week right when the line came out. I am probably adding to it still at 3.5.
                    Comment
                    • Eddy Munny
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-13-13
                      • 15743

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Slurry Pumper
                      Penn States pass D got smoked several times this year from much lesser foes. As an alumni, it pains me to say that I have been viewing all the games this year and every year for that matter. I got Oregon -3 last week right when the line came out. I am probably adding to it still at 3.5.
                      Don't bother handicapping this game. It's one of those end-of-the-year tilts where all your data points go out the window. I think Penn State wants it more, there's no science to it... I think PSU keeps it very close if not wins outright.
                      Comment
                      • darrell74
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-16-07
                        • 14649

                        #12
                        Oregon -5.5 +120
                        Why not?
                        Comment
                        • darrell74
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-16-07
                          • 14649

                          #13
                          7-0 first drive
                          LFG!!!
                          Comment
                          • actiondan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-16-10
                            • 3398

                            #14
                            oregon or nothing
                            Comment
                            • actiondan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-16-10
                              • 3398

                              #15
                              psu will always be frauds until further notice
                              Comment
                              • actiondan
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-16-10
                                • 3398

                                #16
                                if you bet psu you’re a fn retardd. seacreast out
                                Comment
                                • DJK
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 2419

                                  #17
                                  Well, here comes Penn State.

                                  I planned on betting PSU, but since I won on Georgia already I'm just chilling and watching.

                                  Thing with PSU is that they cannot beat Michigan or OSU, but they can beat others who are higher ranked.
                                  Comment
                                  • DJK
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 2419

                                    #18
                                    At least James Franklin wasn't a chicken shit that time and went for it instead of punting.
                                    Comment
                                    • actiondan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-16-10
                                      • 3398

                                      #19
                                      party! ducks! penn state cant hang with the big boys
                                      Comment
                                      • Eddy Munny
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 15743

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by actiondan
                                        party! ducks! penn state cant hang with the big boys
                                        They did hang though. There's a reason you didn't chirp until the game concluded after premature ejaculating in the 1st quarter.
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 36690

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by darrell74
                                          Oregon -5.5 +120
                                          Why not?
                                          Nice hit, darrell. Covering the Alt-line, can't beat that.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • DrunkHorseplayer
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-15-10
                                            • 7719

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                            They did hang though. There's a reason you didn't chirp until the game concluded after premature ejaculating in the 1st quarter.
                                            Bottom line: he called it right, you called it wrong.
                                            Comment
                                            • Eddy Munny
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-13
                                              • 15743

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                              Bottom line: he called it right, you called it wrong.
                                              Yeah, he called it in the 2nd quarter, dumbass.

                                              Bottom line: you're a drunk horse banger.
                                              Comment
                                              • actiondan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-16-10
                                                • 3398

                                                #24
                                                i guess they did hang. i was surrounded by lions fans today and chirped too much, sorry eddy. peace and love
                                                Comment
                                                • darrell74
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-16-07
                                                  • 14649

                                                  #25
                                                  Thanks for the positive Chucky the greatest of all time
                                                  LFG!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                    • 36690

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by darrell74
                                                    Thanks for the positive Chucky the greatest of all time
                                                    LFG!
                                                    You bet. Have a great Sunday.
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                      • 7719

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                      Yeah, he called it in the 2nd quarter, dumbass.

                                                      Bottom line: you're a drunk horse banger.
                                                      Okay, maybe he posted UO or nothing late but you were stupid enough to babble about throwing data points out when the most obvious "data point" was staring you right in the face, that being that Penn St. doesn't cover against the elite teams. Next tine think with your head, not your ass if you can tell them apart.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Eddy Munny
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 15743

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                        Okay, maybe he posted UO or nothing late but you were stupid enough to babble about throwing data points out when the most obvious "data point" was staring you right in the face, that being that Penn St. doesn't cover against the elite teams. Next tine think with your head, not your ass if you can tell them apart.
                                                        It was a coin flip contest, you goober. Of course you fall for the lazy, armchair narrative of PSU in big games because you're a casual who devours round table fluff, but the Nittany Lions had over 500 yards of total offense against the #1 team in the country.

                                                        I would take +3.5 one-hundred percent of the time in that situation and live with the results. That's the difference between someone who understands the game, and some derp like you who glances at the final score and strokes himself off. It's not like you had the Ducks anyways, you can't bet with food stamps.

                                                        It doesn't even matter, everything I said is over your head because you're a wretched, tired, old degenerate who is so dumbed down that you actually aspire to Johnny Vegas' level and routinely praise him. Let that sink in.
                                                        Last edited by Eddy Munny; 12-08-24, 01:59 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-15-10
                                                          • 7719

                                                          #29
                                                          It wasn't a coin flip at all, it was a great bet based upon a legitimate theory that has been proven correct. You'd take +3.5 100% of the time because you're a "be different just to be different so everyone looks at me" shithead. As I said before regarding JV, if you're going to slam him when he loses then give him props when he wins you fool.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Eddy Munny
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-13-13
                                                            • 15743

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                            It wasn't a coin flip at all, it was a great bet based upon a legitimate theory that has been proven correct. You'd take +3.5 100% of the time because you're a "be different just to be different so everyone looks at me" shithead. As I said before regarding JV, if you're going to slam him when he loses then give him props when he wins you fool.
                                                            Lmao, what game were you watching? It was absolutely a coin flip. The Ducks made the interception on 2nd and 1 (WR narrowly missing the deflection) to seal the game, whereas earlier Gabriel fumbled the ball on a sack but good fortune fell to Oregon on this night and they retained possession. It really boils down to something that simple.

                                                            You're a complete asshat. The Nittany Lions matched or exceeded the Ducks in every meaningful metric except turnovers, which tend to be random and don't carryover. So yes, absolutely I would take +3.5 one-hundred percent of the time.

                                                            PSU could have survived a -1 turnover game last night and covered, but -2 (including a pick-six) was too much to overcome. It has nothing to do with "look at me" it has everything to do with common sense. You're just dense, I wouldn't expect you to understand.
                                                            Last edited by Eddy Munny; 12-08-24, 02:44 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Spite
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-28-24
                                                              • 171

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                              They did hang though
                                                              Not really. They had it within a touchdown a couple of times but I never felt the -3.5 was going to lose at any point in the contest. When guy threw the INT to end the game I was not the least bit surprised. I would have been shocked if Chester State scored there.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-15-10
                                                                • 7719

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                                Lmao, what game were you watching? It was absolutely a coin flip. The Ducks made the interception on 2nd and 1 (WR narrowly missing the deflection) to seal the game, whereas earlier Gabriel fumbled the ball on a sack but good fortune fell to Oregon on this night and they retained possession. It really boils down to something that simple.

                                                                You're a complete asshat. The Nittany Lions matched or exceeded the Ducks in every meaningful metric except turnovers, which tend to be random and don't carryover. So yes, absolutely I would take +3.5 one-hundred percent of the time.

                                                                PSU could have survived a -1 turnover game last night and covered, but -2 (including a pick-six) was too much to overcome. It has nothing to do with "look at me" it has everything to do with common sense. You're just dense, I wouldn't expect you to understand.
                                                                Oregon was in control the entire way. Sure, they got a break here and there but you can almost always find things like that going both for and against each team and that doesn't count the fact that good teams tend to create their own breaks. BTW, shithead; Oregon beat PSU in one meaningful metric that you conveniently didn't mention: that would be the one that counts....you know, the score?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Eddy Munny
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                                  • 15743

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Spite
                                                                  Not really. They had it within a touchdown a couple of times but I never felt the -3.5 was going to lose at any point in the contest. When guy threw the INT to end the game I was not the least bit surprised. I would have been shocked if Chester State scored there.
                                                                  Penn State was carving them up. The 2nd and 1 call was questionable but I understand it, taking a deep shot knowing you could come back and pick up a 1st down if it didn't connect. The interception obviously killed it, but nobody would have been shocked had Penn State scored on that possession.

                                                                  I think it's disingenous to suggest that it was never in doubt. A touchdown there and the Lions either tie the game on a two-point conversion, or miss the conversion and cover the spread, which would've been the more desirable result for PSU backers.

                                                                  Both defenses had their hands full, Oregon scoring first and getting an early pick-six meant they established some margin and the dog had to play catch-up all night, but if they play that game 10 times, it's not crazy to posit PSU could win 5 of those outright, and cover the spread in at least 6. That's all I'm saying. I would take +3.5 every single time.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Eddy Munny
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 15743

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                    You're a fukkin fool. You slame everyone else for stupidity when they lose then come up with the classic if, if, if but crap when you make a clearly foolish bet and predictably lose. Quit taking betting advice from your boyfriend/avatar you monkey-brained fool.
                                                                    You're missing the point. I've already accepted the loss. You don't understand how gambling works which is why you're a chronic loser. I'm blaming nobody... There's no blame to be had. I'm refuting the notion that the bet was dead on arrival or had no chance or however you want to spin it.

                                                                    Gambling is probability based and I'm positing that it's not unreasonable to believe the dog would cover this spread at least 60% of the time, maybe a touch more. That is where I'd place my chips every single time. Obviously 60% isn't 100% so you get what you get.

                                                                    You wanted to play grab-ass with someone who was lauding for the Ducks after they'd already established a double digit lead in the 2nd quarter. You want to play grab-ass with Johnny Vegas when he connects on 1 out of every 10 bets. You continually fail to comprehend elementary ideas and fail at making cogent arguments, which is why I've determined that you're an idiot.

                                                                    If you have any evidence to counter the assertion that you're an idiot I haven't seen it yet.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                                      • 7719

                                                                      #35
                                                                      First you called it a coin flip, now you're saying 60%. Which one is it, dumbass?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...