Cougar Bait's 2009 NCAA Plays

**masr** · 09-01-09, 05:20 PM

Good looking card...also on Minn and ORG...
Good luck to start the season

**Cougar Bait** · 09-01-09, 06:54 PM

Thanks masr, good to have you on board for those...nice pic BTW

**riggs** · 09-01-09, 07:02 PM

You're the man C-Bait, good lookin card. I even like the under play on Tulsa/Tulane - even though I don't play totals. Tulane sucks and a new face at QB for Tulsa, seems like a safe bet and 64.5 is a big number.

4-0 with these bad boys!

Minnesota -6.5 1 unit
Illinois -6.5 1 unit
Ohio +4 1 unit
Louisiana Tech +13.5 2 units

**hova24e** · 09-01-09, 07:43 PM

I'm with ya on Oregon, Navy, Minny, and Ohio. I actually think the Ohio game is the "play of the week"

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Well everyone the crock pot is about to be turned on, the tv is about to be on a disturbing volume, and my feet are about to be up...CFB season is finally here! I'll be posting each weeks' plays here and documenting the results as they happen. I also plan on filling out a spreadsheet prior to Thursday's first game. I go through a local guy so my lines may be a point or half point different than other books. GL everyone...

Thursday 9/3

N.C. State/South Carolina under 46.5 1 unit
Oregon +4.5 2 units

Friday 9/4

Tulsa/Tulane under 64.5 1 unit

Saturday 9/5

Navy +22.5 1 unit
Minnesota -6.5 1 unit
Illinois -6.5 1 unit
Ohio +4 1 unit
Louisiana Tech +13.5 2 units
Virginia Tech +7 1 unit

**Cougar Bait** · 09-01-09, 08:11 PM

Riggs, thanks man, always good to see you in my threads...if I go 4-0 with those I will be a happy gambler...Tulsa playing the waiting game on their QB choice must be strategic-we'll see how it plays out-totally agree though. I don't play a lot of totals either-hope it cashes.

Hova, glad we are on those together. Really like the Ohio play...if it weren't week one I'd have more on it. GL this week...

**ZBOIZ** · 09-01-09, 08:15 PM

I love that Tulsa and Tulane Under

**riggs** · 09-01-09, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by hova24e

I'm with ya on Oregon, Navy, Minny, and Ohio. I actually think the Ohio game is the "play of the week"

Agreed. Here's my take on the Ohio game. All of Ohio's Skilled players are back from a year ago. They have plenty of experienced players on both sides of the ball and dual threat senior options at the QB position in Jackson and Scott. Price and Brazill are pretty solid at the wideout spots, and RB Chris Garrett has a sh**load of potential. Keep this in mind as well, this is virtually the same Ohio team that lost three games by less than 4 points last year, not to mention the fact that they lost 14-26 @ Ohio St. and 8-16 @ Northwestern. That's an average of only 10 points, and that's 10 points on the road vs. huge schools with superior talent, year in and year out. Connecticut is not a team that travels well and we all know these guys are taking a step back this year without Brown, their entire offense last year. 3 out of their 5 loses were on the road last year. Some of their away games last year includeed: OT @ Temple 12-9 W, 26-21 W @ sh***y Louisville, 12-38 L @ NC, 10-12 L @ Rutgers, and 13-17 L @ SF.

**Smails Kid** · 09-01-09, 09:41 PM

CB --- like your plays ... I am with you on Minnesota, La Tech and Va Tech, and even the Thursday night affair with Oregon ... good luck on the season, but especially Week One! It never hurts to get off to a great start!

**Cougar Bait** · 09-02-09, 06:27 AM

Thanks Z and Smails, hope you guys have a great week...good analysis on the Ohio game Riggs...saw you took Toledo too...by the time I made my picks the number had been crushed, I was thinking of making them a play early on.

**xyzky** · 09-02-09, 07:24 AM

Riggs,

Thanks for the Ohio post. They are a good play this week, the wrong team seems to be favored.

**SoonerBS** · 09-02-09, 08:45 AM

Great looking card, CB, good luck . . . . .

**bypp** · 09-02-09, 10:05 AM

Looks like some winners CB, I really like the Navy pick. Best of luck to you

**Cougar Bait** · 09-03-09, 04:25 PM

Thanks Sooner, hope to get it started tonight with the under in the early game and the Ducks getting points...BOL to you as well

bypp, I hope you're right. Navy was one of the ones that jumped off the page early on. I really like the way they can stretch a game out with their option. Navy is one team when getting double digits that can make you look real smart...hope it pays off.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-04-09, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Well everyone the crock pot is about to be turned on, the tv is about to be on a disturbing volume, and my feet are about to be up...CFB season is finally here! I'll be posting each weeks' plays here and documenting the results as they happen. I also plan on filling out a spreadsheet prior to Thursday's first game. I go through a local guy so my lines may be a point or half point different than other books. GL everyone...

Thursday 9/3

N.C. State/South Carolina under 46.5 1 unit
Oregon +4.5 2 units

Friday 9/4

Tulsa/Tulane under 64.5 1 unit

Saturday 9/5

Navy +22.5 1 unit
Minnesota -6.5 1 unit
Illinois -6.5 1 unit
Ohio +4 1 unit
Louisiana Tech +13.5 2 units
Virginia Tech +7 1 unit

1-1 yesterday, hope to get another under tonight as that seems to be the trend so far this year

GL everyone!

**Cougar Bait** · 09-05-09, 09:21 AM

2-1 so far this short season with another under last night coming through. Tulsa really impressed me in that game. If they begin to execute a little better, with an improved defense, they could be a team to watch...

Anyway, adding to the card for Sunday. GL everyone!

Colorado -10 2 units

**Cheme82** · 09-05-09, 12:41 PM

Good luck today Cougar, let's make some cash!

**Cheme82** · 09-06-09, 01:43 AM

Tough Saturday bro, better luck next week. I'll need it too

**Cougar Bait** · 09-06-09, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by cheme82

Tough Saturday bro, better luck next week. I'll need it too

Ugh...no doubt. At least the plays were small. Still, those losses all in a row yesterday hurt the confidence a little...I blamed it on my avatar change, so I went ahead and changed it back from Paulus fondling the referee to Stifler's Mom again. I hope she brings me some luck tonight.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-06-09, 10:11 PM

3-7 for minus 8 units. Easily the worst week of sports betting I've ever had. I plan on turning it around next week. Quite the suckfest this week.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-09-09, 09:00 PM

Iowa St. +7 (placed 9/7)
ECU +6.5 (2 units)
Louisiana Tech +7.5
UConn +4
Buffalo +10.5 (2 units)
Purdue +12.5
Notre Dame -3
Tulsa -17 (2 units)
USC -6.5

Everything 1 unit except ECU, Buffalo, and Tulsa which are 2 unit plays. Plan on making money this week...hopefully the gambling Gods allow it. GL everyone!

**MSUSpartan32** · 09-09-09, 09:48 PM

BOL this week, Cougar. Reasons for making Buffalo a 2 unit play?

**Cougar Bait** · 09-10-09, 06:34 AM

Originally posted by MSUSpartan32

BOL this week, Cougar. Reasons for making Buffalo a 2 unit play?

Pitt only won 27-16 on its home field last year. Plus, Buffalo played pretty well last week in their outright upset win over UTEP. I always love home dogs, and if you're going to give me double digits with a quality Bulls team, I'll usually take it. Also the Wanny factor. I just don't care for him much as a coach...GL this week MSU!

**MSUSpartan32** · 09-10-09, 07:09 AM

Makes sense,

Makes sense, Coug. I don't know a ton about Gill's squad but hard to turn down a double-digit home dog if you think it's a quality football team.

I would equate the "Wanny factor" to the "Ron Zook factor."

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Pitt only won 27-16 on its home field last year. Plus, Buffalo played pretty well last week in their outright upset win over UTEP. I always love home dogs, and if you're going to give me double digits with a quality Bulls team, I'll usually take it. Also the Wanny factor. I just don't care for him much as a coach...GL this week MSU!

**wal66** · 09-10-09, 08:19 AM

Sup Cougar, obviously since it's already posted I totally agree with the Buffalo play.
Originally I was gonna make Navy a play today for my fith and final game of the week but fortunately I watch the Auburn/LA Tech replay lastnight on ESPNU. I think LA Tech is much "gamier" than the score in that game indicated and even though Navy was very impressive last week against Ohio St and have the potential to hang a good number this week I think LA Tech can stay in this game.
Goodluck this week on your card.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-10-09, 04:53 PM

MSU,

You're absolutely right about the relationship between Wanny and Zook. They could be long-lost brothers, or worse yet, lovers...sorry...kinda bad visual there. Anyway, Gill is a far better coach who had a good run last year and I expect the squad to be up for this game at home as a double-digit dog following the nice road win last week...no respect factor working here.

Wal,

Glad we're on those games together. Navy also popped out to me, but after Pags posted it as a play I took a deeper look at this game. La Tech has Nicholls State and Hawaii coming up at home after this game, so this is a crucial game for them to win. I think, at the very least they keep it within the 7.5

A couple notes on some of the other games:

Purdue: This game is a different beast without Blount. Last season, in West Lafayette, Blount rushed for 131 yards and the winning TD from three yards out in the second overtime. This was a game in which Oregon trailed throughout, only to steal it at the very end. I know for a fact it was a bitter loss early in the year for Purdue. With Blount out, the Ducks will rely on 2 redshirt freshman, Kenjon Barner and LaMichael James. They are talented, but not seasoned, to say the least. Also gone from last season are all-conference secondary players Jairus Byrd and Patrick Chung. I believe you saw their absence in last weeks pathetic showing vs. Boise. Watch for junior receiver Keith Smith for Purdue. He has started 2009 right where he expected to, leading the team in receptions. His eight receptions and 117 receiving yards were team highs in the opening day win over Toledo. What's even more amazing is the fact that Smith's eight catches accounted for 47 percent of Joey Elliott's 17 completions. Smith's big day is his second consecutive for the Boilers. In the final game of 2008, against Indiana, Smith caught 12 passes for 135 yards and a TD.

ECU: ECU won 24-3 in Greenville last year. Also, FCS member Liberty had 299 yards of offense in a 33-20 loss to the Mountaineers last week IN MORGANTOWN.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-13-09, 08:12 AM

3-6 this week...Tulsa and Purdue coming in late really helped. Betting on USC and Notre Dame did not. Don't even bring up Buffalo...anyway, a bit frustrated, but I'm going back to work on it and feel we should have a better feel for these teams as the season progresses.

**hova24e** · 09-13-09, 01:44 PM

Cougar Bait, you an I both had a tough week, but we'll get that money back.....................

**MSUSpartan32** · 09-13-09, 09:12 PM

I hear that......ND and Buffalo hurt me as well.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-14-09, 05:54 PM

Hova and MSU, I know I feel ya. Have to put it behind us. I have a really good feeling about this week...I plan on doing well. I like a lot of games, but may narrow my plays and up my bets a bit. Good luck this week...I'll be posting tomorrow or Wednesday. Still working on it.

**pags11** · 09-14-09, 06:01 PM

GL this week cougarbait...

**Cougar Bait** · 09-14-09, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by pags11

GL this week cougarbait...

Thanks Pags, I always keep a few of your plays on my card (no idea how that happens!)...really though, love to read the write-ups and since I know how your system works, I am not sweating my early losses.

**Cougar Bait** · 09-16-09, 04:59 PM

All plays 1 unit except where indicated

9/19

Boston College +7 (2 units)
Nebraska +5 (2 units)
Notre Dame -10
Tulsa +17.5 (2 units)
Navy +7.5 (2 units)
Cincinnati -1 (2 units)
Air Force -17

**pags11** · 09-16-09, 05:15 PM

great grab on Tulsa at 17.5...wish I could have gotten that number...GL cougarbait...

**Cougar Bait** · 09-16-09, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by pags11

great grab on Tulsa at 17.5...wish I could have gotten that number...GL cougarbait...

Thanks Pags...I've been watching it all week. I think that's as good as it will get. Unless the public just hasn't been watching Tulsa this year...I've seen all 3 games and they are very impressive. GL to you as well, can't wait for the write-ups.