CFB Plays - Week 4

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    CFB Plays - Week 4
    CFB Plays - Week 4

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)



    YTD: 21-23-1, -2.95
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    CFB Saturday Additions

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 9/26
    Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
    Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
    Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 21-23-1, -2.95
    Comment
    • bballs84
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-11-09
      • 5461

      #3
      LT you are still rolling with Fresno even tho their QB situation a mess? Virgil gone for year and Greenlee arrested for public intoxication while under age... Next up either Childress transfer from WV or Anderson who has no experience.. Couple all that with a D that can't stop a nosebleed up front or on the back end.. Just wanted to hear your thoughts on the play.. Thank you bud
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by bballs84
        LT you are still rolling with Fresno even tho their QB situation a mess? Virgil gone for year and Greenlee arrested for public intoxication while under age... Next up either Childress transfer from WV or Anderson who has no experience.. Couple all that with a D that can't stop a nosebleed up front or on the back end.. Just wanted to hear your thoughts on the play.. Thank you bud
        I am looking from the opposite perspective, San Jose State defense not good enough to be giving this many points. Don't go by the raw stats, Jose's defensive numbers are skewed from holding FCS New Hampshire to around 180 yards. I expect typical back and forth between these two, I only have line SJST -3. Fresno actually has a respectable running game this year and they ran decently vs. very good teams the last two weeks, that should take the pressure off of QB.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          1 CFB Addition Saturday

          THURSDAY, 9/24
          Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

          SATURDAY, 9/26
          Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
          Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
          Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
          Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
          Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
          Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
          Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
          Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)
          Comment
          • RavensFan2k3
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-18-12
            • 17378

            #6
            I have so many questions lol...
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
              I have so many questions lol...
              ...and yet you asked none. lol
              Comment
              • BaronVonSlick
                SBR Rookie
                • 06-01-15
                • 32

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                THURSDAY, 9/24
                Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

                SATURDAY, 9/26
                Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
                Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
                Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
                Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
                Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
                Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)
                Hey LT pretty new here. Any thoughts on BYU or Miss st?
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BaronVonSlick
                  Hey LT pretty new here. Any thoughts on BYU or Miss st?
                  See that I am on Auburn AGAINST MSU.

                  I do lean BYU but will not bet them barring major line move past 7.
                  Comment
                  • funnyb25
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 07-09-09
                    • 39663

                    #10
                    good luck to you as always LT....loving the red raiders
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Now at 12 CFB Plays Saturday

                      THURSDAY, 9/24
                      Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

                      SATURDAY, 9/26
                      Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                      LSU / Syracuse UNDER 46 -105 (Heritage)
                      Boston College -4.5 -105 (Heritage)

                      Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
                      Virginia Tech -8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                      Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
                      TCU / Texas Tech OVER 80.5 -105 (Heritage)
                      Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
                      Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                      Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
                      Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
                      Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Do not adjust your sets, that DOES say Over 80.5 on Texas Tech.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          It now looks like Gunner Kiel is playing, Memphis is down to -7.5.

                          I still like then though, Bearcats have not been all that impressive even with Kiel.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            13th CFB Play Saturday

                            THURSDAY, 9/24
                            Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

                            SATURDAY, 9/26
                            Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Syracuse +24 -105 (Heritage)
                            LSU / Syracuse UNDER 46 -105 (Heritage)
                            Boston College -4.5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
                            Virginia Tech -8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
                            TCU / Texas Tech OVER 80.5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
                            Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
                            Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
                            Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)
                            Comment
                            • Biff41
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-23-14
                              • 1234

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              See that I am on Auburn AGAINST MSU.

                              I do lean BYU but will not bet them barring major line move past 7.
                              Would Miss St win this if they were home team? Predictions?
                              Comment
                              • RavensFan2k3
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-18-12
                                • 17378

                                #16
                                Memphis playing like they're sleep
                                Comment
                                • drfunkmaster
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-29-08
                                  • 11162

                                  #17
                                  both teams played no defense..
                                  Comment
                                  • aortega521
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-19-11
                                    • 988

                                    #18
                                    LT I know I'm just being nosey and you stay with the same amount wagered per game but how much is it. I'm just curious as hell.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by aortega521
                                      LT I know I'm just being nosey and you stay with the same amount wagered per game but how much is it. I'm just curious as hell.
                                      I bet you are.

                                      And technically, it is the same % of bankroll (2.5%) 99% of the time and not the same "amount". How much I bet is nobody's business but the 2.5% can be scaled to anyone's bankroll.
                                      Comment
                                      • PorkChop
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-18-08
                                        • 8193

                                        #20
                                        Why didn't you shop around for Auburn and get them under 3?
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by PorkChop
                                          Why didn't you shop around for Auburn and get them under 3?
                                          Not available for less than -125
                                          Comment
                                          • mikefan1034
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-29-12
                                            • 2448

                                            #22
                                            Hey LT that Memphis pick was awful not like u man
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mikefan1034
                                              Hey LT that Memphis pick was awful not like u man
                                              Meh, its just one game and still just three games under .500 early on. I'll be fine.
                                              Comment
                                              • daneblazer
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-14-08
                                                • 27861

                                                #24
                                                I'm on the other end on 4-5 of these...good luck, mostly
                                                Comment
                                                • aortega521
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-19-11
                                                  • 988

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  I bet you are.

                                                  And technically, it is the same % of bankroll (2.5%) 99% of the time and not the same "amount". How much I bet is nobody's business but the 2.5% can be scaled to anyone's bankroll.
                                                  I understand well right now I' got a BR of 2300. Worked it up from 500.... completing a RO and I've got all the patience in the world to do so. At 2.5% that's about 57 dollars. Is it really possible to increase my BR at that rate. So far I've been undisciplined and honestly have gotten lucky. I'm ready to turn that luck into $$ with patience.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • leetreaper
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-23-10
                                                    • 34841

                                                    #26
                                                    Betting 2.5% is clearly retarded unless you bet for fun.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                      Betting 2.5% is clearly retarded unless you bet for fun.
                                                      It is the exact opposite. Guys that bet for fun bet 50% or more on one game and just keep reloading when they bust out. Some real pros bet as little as 1-1.5% of their BR per play, especially the ones that bet high volume.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • leetreaper
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 10-23-10
                                                        • 34841

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        It is the exact opposite. Guys that bet for fun bet 50% or more on one game and just keep reloading when they bust out. Some real pros bet as little as 1-1.5% of their BR per play, especially the ones that bet high volume.
                                                        I completely disagree but what do I know...Gl this week.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • daneblazer
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-14-08
                                                          • 27861

                                                          #29
                                                          Depends on if you are living off your bankroll or if it's all you have for a long period of time. If you have to use it to live off of be conservative. Otherwise be aggressive and take shots within reason. Nobody wants to bet $10 a day forever.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • funnyb25
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 07-09-09
                                                            • 39663

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by daneblazer
                                                            Depends on if you are living off your bankroll or if it's all you have for a long period of time. If you have to use it to live off of be conservative. Otherwise be aggressive and take shots within reason. Nobody wants to bet $10 a day forever.
                                                            When i was betting $10 a game i almost wanted my bet to lose so i could be happy i didnt bet more...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                              I completely disagree but what do I know...Gl this week.
                                                              Originally posted by daneblazer
                                                              Depends on if you are living off your bankroll or if it's all you have for a long period of time. If you have to use it to live off of be conservative. Otherwise be aggressive and take shots within reason. Nobody wants to bet $10 a day forever.
                                                              I am talking about real pros with banks of $100K+. 1.5% of 100K is $1500, that is not peanuts per game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RavensFan2k3
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-18-12
                                                                • 17378

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                I am talking about real pros with banks of $100K+. 1.5% of 100K is $1500, that is not peanuts per game.
                                                                So perhaps you are sitting on 100k+ in your bankroll solely for betting purposes
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                                                  So perhaps you are sitting on 100k+ in your bankroll solely for betting purposes
                                                                  No, I AM peanuts next to those guys.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Buffalo Nickle
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-12-14
                                                                    • 3228

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by aortega521
                                                                    I understand well right now I' got a BR of 2300. Worked it up from 500.... completing a RO and I've got all the patience in the world to do so. At 2.5% that's about 57 dollars. Is it really possible to increase my BR at that rate. So far I've been undisciplined and honestly have gotten lucky. I'm ready to turn that luck into $$ with patience.
                                                                    You have totally screwed up. To bet 2.5% of BR, you would bet $12.50 per game because you have $500. You need to be a 55% handicapper to bet 2.5% long term successfully which is not you. You are betting over 10% per game. But when you've got a 1Vice bonus, you've got to bet through so you've got to get on with it because nobody has that much patience.

                                                                    But you don't count bonus money as bankroll and you don't increase bankroll due to a hot streak. But there is always another another bonus with free plays for announcing 1Vice bonuses so fire away.

                                                                    If you are a good bettor, you will absolutely build bankroll with 2.5% bets because you will keep the entire 1Vice bonus and compound your money long term at huge rates of return. But if you bet 10% per bet, you are going bust even if you are Billy Walters.

                                                                    With a 1Vice bonus, you want to bet about $55 per game because your chances of beating the bonus betting a reasonable amount are pretty much zero. But with $55, you might bet lucky and you can win by not having to bet thousands of games and letting your lucky streak work for you. Once you are way ahead, you want to dial it back or you will probably lose it all.

                                                                    Don't win too much or no more bonus for you.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • leetreaper
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 10-23-10
                                                                      • 34841

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Buffalo Nickle
                                                                      You have totally screwed up. To bet 2.5% of BR, you would bet $12.50 per game because you have $500. You need to be a 55% handicapper to bet 2.5% long term successfully which is not you. You are betting over 10% per game. But when you've got a 1Vice bonus, you've got to bet through so you've got to get on with it because nobody has that much patience.

                                                                      But you don't count bonus money as bankroll and you don't increase bankroll due to a hot streak. But there is always another another bonus with free plays for announcing 1Vice bonuses so fire away.

                                                                      If you are a good bettor, you will absolutely build bankroll with 2.5% bets because you will keep the entire 1Vice bonus and compound your money long term at huge rates of return. But if you bet 10% per bet, you are going bust even if you are Billy Walters.

                                                                      With a 1Vice bonus, you want to bet about $55 per game because your chances of beating the bonus betting a reasonable amount are pretty much zero. But with $55, you might bet lucky and you can win by not having to bet thousands of games and letting your lucky streak work for you. Once you are way ahead, you want to dial it back or you will probably lose it all.

                                                                      Don't win too much or no more bonus for you.
                                                                      Comment
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