Fresno St. v New Mexico

[DennisT]

Just checked the Vegas lines and the spread is Fresno St. -3 to -4

I have a local line that places the line at -5 1/2 Thoughts?

[Eric22174]

New Mexico will win outright.

[Killer_Demo]

New Mexico will win outright.

[JJJ]

great write up

New Mexico will win outright.

[recon1]

great write up

If you wanna a write up, go to Bleacher report.

[DennisT]

Mock the man if you must but the public takes a line that low and I still get +5 1/2 seems good to me.

[Bbfromgpt]

New Mexico will win outright.

Very good chance

[Bbfromgpt]

Was at 5.5 last night and 4.5 this morning. Keeps dropping yet pub is on FS

[JJJ]

fresno wins

[DennisT]

And that is what worries me just a little,but just a little.

[DennisT]

Not much information backing public at this point. Still leaning dog.

[Bbfromgpt]

Everything about this game screams toss up. Maybe the over is the play

[DennisT]

That is something I gave no thought to. Will consider. Thanks!

[Eric22174]

The starting QB is returning for New Mexico tonight. Fresno's offense is known for running a fast pace offense and in this case I think it works against the Fresno defense in a bad way. I typically take yards per point into consideration and i'm coming up with more of a spread like +1.5 and not 4.5.

[DennisT]

Now I get Info to consider. Thanks Erik!

[Eric22174]

If you take the formula....

Simply take a teams offensive yards gained and divide by points scored.
On defense, take the yards given up and divide by points given up.

So now you have two numbers for each team. An offensive number and a defensive number. The lower the offensive number, the better the offense. The higher the defensive number, the better the defense.

Example:

We subtract the offensive number from the defensive number for each team.

So, you see what the difference between the two are. We add 2 points for home field and have a Yards Per Point line on this game.

Look for significant difference between the YPP line and the sportsbooks line.

[DennisT]

More Information. Thanks!

[Eric22174]

I'm reading it's supposed to or is already raining.

[DennisT]

Been My experience says weather favors home team .

[Bbfromgpt]

Rain would certainly help New Mexico, can anyone confirm? This may be a game to bet live or at half but I still lean NM

[graycat40]

public line wager

The public is on Fresno the line is dropping, why? I'll take the dog on this one

[DennisT]

No way to confirm.

[Bbfromgpt]

It was about 69% on them yesterday I haven't checked much today. Who knows. GL guys

[raydog]

The public is on Fresno the line is dropping, why? I'll take the dog on this one

the line isnt dropping

[Eric22174]

I called the local Taco Bell near the stadium it's supposed to rain. Overcast already.

[B_Millz]

line is now at -6.. any info on why?

[JJJ]

lolllll that is funny unreal if you really called them

I called the local Taco Bell near the stadium it's supposed to rain. Overcast already.

[Bbfromgpt]

the line isnt dropping

Umm yes it did constantly from WED till this evening and now is rising again. Watch the lines

[Bbfromgpt]

Big money prob dropped on FS

[DennisT]

At one site line is -6.

[Bbfromgpt]

Is 6 on mine too. Was at 5.5 Wed night, 4.5 last night, 3.5 today and now all the way back to 6

[nosibalasinoypi]

across the street i heard that the Lobo's QB is out. i dont know which QB. havent verified though

money coming in for FS

[ashulga]

Qb out for nm. Dont know which one, assume starter

[DennisT]

Well folks its Post time. If the weather gets bad over 68 will be too much.So will take New Mexico + 5 1/2. lol !

[Eric22174]

Just saying the back up QB is legit if he shall play. We will see tonight. GL to all.