CINCINNATI at HOUSTON

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  • Urbanwildlife
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-06-11
    • 5958

    #1
    CINCINNATI at HOUSTON
    Anyone care to share some insights on this game? Houston -3.5
  • ajcobb22
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-29-09
    • 224

    #2
    God, if this wasn't the hardest one to cap in the AAC. If I HAD TO, I would go with Cincy. They have the most to play for and Houston has no shot at the AAC title now. Cincy has to win here and hope UCF loses to get the BCS bid. Plus, John O'Korn has been struggling lately and Cincy's defense ain't a bunch of slouches. Cincy over the demoralized Coogs SU.
    Comment
    • reigle9
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-25-07
      • 17879

      #3
      Cincy is 19th in passing and Houston is 104th in pass D. That's all I have.
      Comment
      • ajcobb22
        SBR High Roller
        • 05-29-09
        • 224

        #4
        I think Greenberry for Houston will be out too. If that is the case, this becomes an easy Cincy pick. O'Korn NEEDS Greenberry to have any shot at scoring.
        Comment
        • reigle9
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-25-07
          • 17879

          #5
          Originally posted by ajcobb22
          I think Greenberry for Houston will be out too. If that is the case, this becomes an easy Cincy pick. O'Korn NEEDS Greenberry to have any shot at scoring.
          I hadn't seen this. That is huge if he can't play and makes Cincy a no-brainer. That's something to keep a close eye on.
          Comment
          • PaperTrail07
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-29-08
            • 20423

            #6
            respect both programs....VERY hard to call IMO....that injury might point you in that direction however...I just cant get the Natti Loss @ Ill outta my head when im about to make the bet....gonna stay away
            Comment
            • cmoney11
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-22-13
              • 773

              #7
              Honestly I'd stay away from this because it could really go either way. There are better games this weekend in my opinion.
              Comment
              • Urbanwildlife
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-06-11
                • 5958

                #8
                Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                respect both programs....VERY hard to call IMO....that injury might point you in that direction however...I just cant get the Natti Loss @ Ill outta my head when im about to make the bet....gonna stay away
                I did not put a lot of effort into my due diligence on this game, as I watched that Illinois game, as well as the South Florida game, both losses for Cincinnati, and with the game being played in Houston, and Houston actually playing good games in there last two losses I just felt it was a no brainer to run with Houston. Hopefully my laziness in not looking further into this game is not going to come back to haunt me, since I have Houston -3 and +3 on two parlay plays.
                Comment
                • Mayonnaise
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-15-13
                  • 159

                  #9
                  i like houston to win by double digits.... especially at home
                  Comment
                  • Urbanwildlife
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-06-11
                    • 5958

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Mayonnaise
                    i like houston to win by double digits.... especially at home
                    Sure would be awesome if you were correct!
                    Comment
                    • PaperTrail07
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-29-08
                      • 20423

                      #11
                      haha Hous at home is a tough team...tough call IMO.....Was on Hous last game + points...
                      Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                      I did not put a lot of effort into my due diligence on this game, as I watched that Illinois game, as well as the South Florida game, both losses for Cincinnati, and with the game being played in Houston, and Houston actually playing good games in there last two losses I just felt it was a no brainer to run with Houston. Hopefully my laziness in not looking further into this game is not going to come back to haunt me, since I have Houston -3 and +3 on two parlay plays.
                      Comment
                      • Jotoole0821
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-23-13
                        • 857

                        #12
                        houston has covered in everygame but 1 this season. houston all day
                        Comment
                        • Pivotpoint
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-02-06
                          • 1762

                          #13
                          I had this game @ Houston -7.

                          Fan of Cougars, but this is a no play (so far) for me until I can get something concrete on Greenberry status.

                          For those unaware , (WR) Greenberry left the Houston/Louisville game with a head injury in the first drive.

                          Urban, you should be safe with Houston -3, which should reflect potential abscence of Greenberry. I'm still tempted to take Cougars, but -3 juiced to over - 120, now. Will watch line movement, and status.

                          Cougs were fine without him on the road against a much tougher Louisville team. Cougs sacked Bridgewater 3 times last week, strong at home. Cougs should be excited to return home after two brutal road games against UCF and Louisville. Covered both, had a chance to win both, late. Guys show no respect when talking about Houston D but they gave up an average 19.5 ppg against not only two very good teams , but on the road to boot.

                          I do not trust this Bearcat team. A horrific USF team has two wins, one against Bearcats and the other vs a winless Uconn. Wow.

                          I went real big on Houston last week +16, +16 1/2 and + 17. Did a write-up on that game and mentioned I was also placing a small wager on Cougs ML + 515. Still wondering what might have been if Greenberry played that game vs only first drive. I believe he was/is ranked # 10 receiver in country and usually good for one TD.

                          Good luck with your play...

                          Comment
                          • ajcobb22
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 05-29-09
                            • 224

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jotoole0821
                            houston has covered in everygame but 1 this season. houston all day
                            True, but what reason does Houston really have to go balls out here? They are out of AAC championship contention and are probably headed to the Belk Bowl or something regardless. Cincy HAS to win this game to set up a big game with Louisville at home and also to hope my Knights falter.
                            Comment
                            • BigdaddyQH
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-13-09
                              • 19530

                              #15
                              Cincinnati has a very slim chance of winning the AAC. Even is UCF slips (which will not happen), and the two teams end up in a tie, the tie breaker rules go to UCF. UCF's non-con loss was to South Carolina. Cincy's loss was to Illinois. They do not play each other. Now who wins that vote?
                              Comment
                              • 16johnnymac
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-27-10
                                • 3499

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                Cincinnati has a very slim chance of winning the AAC. Even is UCF slips (which will not happen), and the two teams end up in a tie, the tie breaker rules go to UCF. UCF's non-con loss was to South Carolina. Cincy's loss was to Illinois. They do not play each other. Now who wins that vote?
                                Big daddy cinci ain't in the acc
                                Comment
                                • Urbanwildlife
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-06-11
                                  • 5958

                                  #17
                                  .....
                                  Comment
                                  • Night-Tripper
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-14-09
                                    • 3205

                                    #18
                                    • Betting on teams that allegedly are *due* or *have to win* is a good way to lose money.
                                    • Blindly backing a Tuberville-coached team is an excellent way to lose money

                                    Comment
                                    • Night-Tripper
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-14-09
                                      • 3205

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                                      Big daddy cinci ain't in the acc
                                      You're right, but they are in the AAC, which is what he stated.
                                      Comment
                                      • Urbanwildlife
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-06-11
                                        • 5958

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                        • Betting on teams that allegedly are *due* or *have to win* is a good way to lose money.
                                        • Blindly backing a Tuberville-coached team is an excellent way to lose money
                                        Excellent post.
                                        Comment
                                        • Night-Tripper
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 3205

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                          Excellent post.
                                          Not really, but I a appreciate your kind words.

                                          According to the local fish-wrap, there will be an update on Greenberry after today's practice.

                                          My opinion: With or without him, Cougar High will cover the spread.
                                          Comment
                                          • Urbanwildlife
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-06-11
                                            • 5958

                                            #22
                                            and I will be the happiest person in the world, as this game really has me nervous for the error in judgement I made for not doing more due diligence before putting my hard earned money out there on this play.
                                            Comment
                                            • Night-Tripper
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-14-09
                                              • 3205

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                              and I will be the happiest person in the world, as this game really has me nervous for the error in judgement I made for not doing more due diligence before putting my hard earned money out there on this play.
                                              To me, it's not that big of a deal. Yes, he is an excellent receiver, but UH has a stable of excellent receivers. Given the fact that the #2 is getting first-team reps this week is going to make it a non-event. If anything, it will cause Cincy to have more problems than UH... who's going to be the new #1?

                                              Should Greenberry be declared ready to go, the line is going to move... better to play them @ -3 when (in my opinion) they don't really need him as opposed to wanting to get more down, but having to lay more points.
                                              Comment
                                              • Urbanwildlife
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-06-11
                                                • 5958

                                                #24
                                                Cannot argue with you when you are having the success you are, and your information is common sense in nature.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Greenberry now probable.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Urbanwildlife
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-06-11
                                                    • 5958

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    Greenberry now probable.
                                                    Thank you!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OTL
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-08-10
                                                      • 2433

                                                      #27
                                                      Books finally showing Houston some respect here... Probably means they fail to cover for the first time in ages.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #28
                                                        Houston ML

                                                        illinois beat Cincinnati and illinois hasnt won a big 10 game in 2 years

                                                        that should tell you all you need to know

                                                        cincy is garbage
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TexasJayhawk
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-02-13
                                                          • 181

                                                          #29
                                                          Urban, while I wouldn't bet too much on this game (no confidence in this conference) I do think UH wins this by 6-7 points.

                                                          Unlike Cincy, UH has actually played the "hard" teams in the AAC (UCF & Louisville). Cincy has yet to play Lville and won't play UCF this year.
                                                          Cincy W/L record very inflated as they've beaten the scrubs (UConn, Temple, S Florida, Miami Ohio, barely beating SMU..).

                                                          To put both team's strength of schedule in context...
                                                          UH hung with a solid BYU team (L 46-47). That same BYU team hung with Wisconsin (Lost 27-17) in Madison.
                                                          The only decent team Cincy has played was Illinois and they got beat 45-17. UH much more talented team.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Urbanwildlife
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-06-11
                                                            • 5958

                                                            #30
                                                            Very very very much appreciated my friend!
                                                            Comment
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