80.5 % College Football Thread......LOL

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  • Time is Money
    SBR MVP
    • 12-03-07
    • 2255

    #1786
    Don't think I've ever met someone who loves Charlotte as much as you, team is brutal too haha. GL though bro.
    Comment
    • chaka
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-29-09
      • 437

      #1787
      Originally posted by vegasreaper
      Played it with betdsi,not that I owe an explanation I have more than one account betdsi is STILL 6 1/2. I live in Vegas
      havent had time to catch this thread but great job reaper... btw the i live in vegas comment reminds me of the classic Usual Suspects when the police tell kevin pollack "we can put you in queens the night of the robbery" "oh i live in queens what do you have a team of monkeys working round the clock on this one?

      something to that affect lmao
      Comment
      • vegasreaper
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-27-11
        • 5656

        #1788
        Originally posted by chaka
        havent had time to catch this thread but great job reaper... btw the i live in vegas comment reminds me of the classic Usual Suspects when the police tell kevin pollack "we can put you in queens the night of the robbery" "oh i live in queens what do you have a team of monkeys working round the clock on this one?

        something to that affect lmao
        LMAO I love that movie one of the best
        Comment
        • shopbar picks
          SBR MVP
          • 12-08-10
          • 2157

          #1789
          My friend why the NM Lobo team every week? They suck. I'm sure that they win now that I asked. But..
          Comment
          • Time is Money
            SBR MVP
            • 12-03-07
            • 2255

            #1790
            Just interested, how do you get your plays? do you input data into a system?
            Comment
            • vegasreaper
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-27-11
              • 5656

              #1791
              Originally posted by shopbar picks
              My friend why the NM Lobo team every week? They suck. I'm sure that they win now that I asked. But..
              TIA then for giving me an extra winner my friend....lol
              Comment
              • vegasreaper
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-27-11
                • 5656

                #1792
                Originally posted by Time is Money
                Just interested, how do you get your plays? do you input data into a system?
                I input offensive and defensive stats in and then run sims and see what games my numbers come out the most different from the actual lines.
                Comment
                • Time is Money
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-03-07
                  • 2255

                  #1793
                  Originally posted by vegasreaper
                  I input offensive and defensive stats in and then run sims and see what games my numbers come out the most different from the actual lines.
                  do you weigh the stats based on SOS?
                  Comment
                  • vegasreaper
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-27-11
                    • 5656

                    #1794
                    Originally posted by Time is Money
                    do you weigh the stats based on SOS?
                    Don't know what SOSA is,so I guess not. Unless you mean same old shtick NO just like my bases I do my own thing and has worked over the years
                    Comment
                    • Mxs1332
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-08-16
                      • 661

                      #1795
                      SOS = Strength of Schedule. I'm guessing like some sort of multiplier that scales up appropriately
                      Comment
                      • Time is Money
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-03-07
                        • 2255

                        #1796
                        I would sure hope this, thread has been a burial and already starting the week 0-2. Seems like a lot of the time you're on huge public plays.
                        Comment
                        • vegasreaper
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-27-11
                          • 5656

                          #1797
                          Originally posted by Time is Money
                          I would sure hope this, thread has been a burial and already starting the week 0-2. Seems like a lot of the time you're on huge public plays.
                          Finished 40 units ahead last year and the two years before that. All things have a down side. It's your money quit following me then. Don't know what you consider a burial but if your buried already you don't use money management my friend. Furthermore I'm 1-1 not 0-2 but I know what type of person you are as you're so quick to say you're a burial thread you're 0-2 before the games even over. And not making an excuse but the Houston line was a bad line 28 all over town which would have pushed. I am in this for the long haul not a weekend thing and I'm done. I make money in every thread I have so at the end tell me how much I'm buried. Oh and like I said follow someone else it's your money
                          Last edited by vegasreaper; 09-30-16, 02:04 AM.
                          Comment
                          • Time is Money
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-03-07
                            • 2255

                            #1798
                            Originally posted by vegasreaper
                            Finished 40 units ahead last year and the two years before that. All things have a down side. It's your money quit following me then. Don't know what you consider a burial but if your buried already you don't use money management my friend. Furthermore I'm 1-1 not 0-2 but I know what type of person you are as you're so quick to say you're a burial thread you're 0-2 before the games even over. And not making an excuse but the Houston line was a bad line 28 all over town which would have pushed. I am in this for the long haul not a weekend thing and I'm done. I make money in every thread I have so at the end tell me how much I'm buried. Oh and like I said follow someone else it's your money
                            Little concerning you cap games and don't even know the term SOS. How can you just pop stats into a model without factoring for strength of schedule. 139-99 isn't 40 units ahead and we both know this. at -110 juice you finished 30 units ahead. Few weeks into the season you're down about 11 units and was just asking what model you use. Being successful year in, year out takes tweaking. I ask a question and you give me some sarcastic ass answer talking about "same old schtick"
                            Comment
                            • tennesseety
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-17-13
                              • 262

                              #1799
                              Take your negative sh*t to another thread, Time. I just don't understand the tough guy behind the keyboard mentality. A lot of us enjoy vegas' picks, winning ways and positive thread.
                              Comment
                              • Time is Money
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-03-07
                                • 2255

                                #1800
                                Originally posted by tennesseety
                                Take your negative sh*t to another thread, Time. I just don't understand the tough guy behind the keyboard mentality. A lot of us enjoy vegas' picks, winning ways and positive thread.
                                Been on this board a long time, anyone that knows me knows that my MO isn't to bash dudes. We're all trying to beat the book. When I ask a dude if he takes into account SOS, and he gives me some sarcastic ass answer "same old schtick, no I do my own thing and its worked over the years" then yeah i'm gonna take offense to that. SOS is basic cfb lingo and i was just simply asking a question about if the model accounts for the schedule strength when you're dumping stats into it.
                                Comment
                                • vegasreaper
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-27-11
                                  • 5656

                                  #1801
                                  Originally posted by Time is Money
                                  Been on this board a long time, anyone that knows me knows that my MO isn't to bash dudes. We're all trying to beat the book. When I ask a dude if he takes into account SOS, and he gives me some sarcastic ass answer "same old schtick, no I do my own thing and its worked over the years" then yeah i'm gonna take offense to that. SOS is basic cfb lingo and i was just simply asking a question about if the model accounts for the schedule strength when you're dumping stats into it.
                                  So is whip and Era but I don't use those either and neither do the books anymore. But I haven't for years and works fine. And how is I do my own thing sarcastic? Thought you were being negative saying it's a burial and same old shit. Just like trolls who pop in when you're having a tough time but don't say anything when you're doing good. Best of luck to you this year and always doing your own thing. And I DON'T know you so didn't know where you were coming from. I don't look into others threads looking for picks so if you weren't in mine I wouldn't know. But like I said and always say BOL this year and always
                                  Last edited by vegasreaper; 09-30-16, 12:22 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Time is Money
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-03-07
                                    • 2255

                                    #1802
                                    Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                    So is whip and Era but I don't use those either and neither do the books anymore. But I haven't for years and works fine. And how is I do my own thing sarcastic? Thought you were being negative saying it's a burial and same old shit. Just like trolls who pop in when you're having a tough time but don't say anything when you're doing good. Best of luck to you this year and always doing your own thing. And I DON'T know you so didn't know where you were coming from. I don't look into others threads looking for picks so if you weren't in mine I wouldn't know. But like I said and always say BOL this year and always
                                    Maybe I took it wrong, entirely possible. Thought you were offended by me questioning your system in a sense by asking if strength of schedule was accounted for and defensively saying look at my record it speaks for itself. Was just wondering if you factored it in, seems to me that's an important thing. If Houston hangs 400 passing yards on UCONN it certainly isn't the same as hanging 400 passing yards on Bama. Didn't know if your model weighed the stats depending on the competition. I've given props to you multiple times in this thread, you grind it out over the season and when you're making 20 plays a week you can turn down 8 games to being in the black on the year in one week.
                                    Comment
                                    • mkracier
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 09-30-16
                                      • 185

                                      #1803
                                      Have you ever considered consolidating your Sat plays to fewer teams with better research? I think the amount of plays you have makes your record worse because your best plays are usually successful.

                                      Food for thought...
                                      Comment
                                      • vegasreaper
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-27-11
                                        • 5656

                                        #1804
                                        Originally posted by Time is Money
                                        Maybe I took it wrong, entirely possible. Thought you were offended by me questioning your system in a sense by asking if strength of schedule was accounted for and defensively saying look at my record it speaks for itself. Was just wondering if you factored it in, seems to me that's an important thing. If Houston hangs 400 passing yards on UCONN it certainly isn't the same as hanging 400 passing yards on Bama. Didn't know if your model weighed the stats depending on the competition. I've given props to you multiple times in this thread, you grind it out over the season and when you're making 20 plays a week you can turn down 8 games to being in the black on the year in one week.
                                        I definitely agree with you on that. I look at it I just don't figure it in my models. I try to find things that work that EVERYONE including bookmakers aren't using. I don't like to cherry pick my games maybe something I'll look at if doesn't turn around. Took your post as being negative Time Is Money, so I just ASSUMED you were insinuating "same old shit" my apologies
                                        Comment
                                        • Ri¢h Bank$
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 08-31-16
                                          • 183

                                          #1805
                                          Probably a little late. But do you know Navy's QB is out ?

                                          Is it still a recommended play VR ?
                                          Comment
                                          • Ri¢h Bank$
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 08-31-16
                                            • 183

                                            #1806
                                            Also UNM - 11. Any feedback is greatly appreciated VR.

                                            Good Luck to you as always!
                                            Comment
                                            • chaka
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-29-09
                                              • 437

                                              #1807
                                              BOL reaper don't sweat the trolls

                                              people should take a look at Illinois st +15.5 vs ndsu
                                              All 3 ndsu games won on final play

                                              Fwiw 2 others I'm on today Wisconsin +10 & Clemson ML
                                              Comment
                                              • shopbar picks
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-08-10
                                                • 2157

                                                #1808
                                                You'll get it back..Heads up
                                                Last edited by shopbar picks; 10-01-16, 06:25 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Sean Pratt
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 12-30-15
                                                  • 11

                                                  #1809
                                                  Always a big fan of yours but off to another rough start today. Looks like 4-8 through 12 and lost your first parlay before 8pm. Just not your year man. Keep your chin up
                                                  Comment
                                                  • vegasreaper
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-27-11
                                                    • 5656

                                                    #1810
                                                    Well guys this has got to change. You all know me and I'm not giving up but need to try some new stuff and back test and see if I can find some workable stats and data. Don't know if i'll make it back for next week or the week after but Hell I'll probably be saving myself and everyone some money at least. GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE THOUGH ON YOUR WAGERS
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vegasreaper
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-27-11
                                                      • 5656

                                                      #1811
                                                      Well I am now at a horrrible 25-41-1(OUCH)!!!



                                                      104-TXTECH-28

                                                      106-HOUS-30
                                                      107-TOL+3.5
                                                      109-STAN+3
                                                      111-BUFF+17.5

                                                      125-KST+3.5
                                                      136-CHAR+8.5
                                                      147-EMICH+2.5
                                                      162-MICH-10
                                                      169-NAVY+7.5
                                                      172-SMISS-24
                                                      174-COLST-6.5

                                                      177-TENN-3(PUSH)
                                                      180-APPST-19
                                                      184-CAL-2
                                                      195-ARST+10
                                                      207-ULL-4.5
                                                      212-UNM-9

                                                      217-FRESST+10
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ri¢h Bank$
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-31-16
                                                        • 183

                                                        #1812
                                                        Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                                        Well I am now at a horrrible 25-41-1(OUCH)!!!



                                                        104-TXTECH-28

                                                        106-HOUS-30
                                                        107-TOL+3.5
                                                        109-STAN+3
                                                        111-BUFF+17.5

                                                        125-KST+3.5
                                                        136-CHAR+8.5
                                                        147-EMICH+2.5
                                                        162-MICH-10
                                                        169-NAVY+7.5
                                                        172-SMISS-24
                                                        174-COLST-6.5

                                                        177-TENN-3(PUSH)
                                                        180-APPST-19
                                                        184-CAL-2
                                                        195-ARST+10
                                                        207-ULL-4.5
                                                        212-UNM-9

                                                        217-FRESST+10
                                                        Hey VR have you been doing anything differently this year than you have in the previous 3 years ?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vegasreaper
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-27-11
                                                          • 5656

                                                          #1813
                                                          Originally posted by Ri¢h Bank$
                                                          Hey VR have you been doing anything differently this year than you have in the previous 3 years ?
                                                          No, not at all stuff just isn't working
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ri¢h Bank$
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 08-31-16
                                                            • 183

                                                            #1814
                                                            Try not let it phase you then. I'm sure it's only temporary. One bad month, It happens to the best of us.

                                                            Your something like 389-287 before this year on this thread in CFB.

                                                            In my humble opinion, I think you should forget about the last month as best as u can.
                                                            Put in the work, come back N fire hard next week
                                                            and have one of those weeks YOU'RE KNOWN FOR !


                                                            I'm confident in your abilities, and still ridin with ya!
                                                            Last edited by Ri¢h Bank$; 10-03-16, 03:36 AM. Reason: spelling
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Electrons
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 06-23-16
                                                              • 701

                                                              #1815
                                                              Originally posted by Ri¢h Bank$
                                                              Try not let it phase you then. I'm sure it's only temporary. One bad month, It happens to the best of us.

                                                              Your something like 389-287 before this year on this thread in CFB.

                                                              In my humble opinion, I think you should forget about the last month as best as u can.
                                                              Put in the work, come back N fire hard next week
                                                              and have one of those weeks YOU'RE KNOWN FOR !


                                                              I'm confident in your abilities, and still ridin with ya!
                                                              I'm just going to ask--how the hell do you know he is "389-287", when you joined this forum 5 weeks ago?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vegasreaper
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-27-11
                                                                • 5656

                                                                #1816
                                                                Originally posted by Electrons
                                                                I'm just going to ask--how the hell do you know he is "389-287", when you joined this forum 5 weeks ago?
                                                                Probably just by going back and adding record. Just because someone just joined doesn't mean they can't read..just saying
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ri¢h Bank$
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                  • 183

                                                                  #1817
                                                                  Originally posted by Electrons
                                                                  I'm just going to ask--how the hell do you know he is "389-287", when you joined this forum 5 weeks ago?
                                                                  I think the answer is a question ? How do u not if your following this thread ?

                                                                  In other words I'm a businessman who does his homework.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Electrons
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 06-23-16
                                                                    • 701

                                                                    #1818
                                                                    Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                                                    Probably just by going back and adding record. Just because someone just joined doesn't mean they can't read..just saying
                                                                    Blindly following any one and betting their money on a stranger's picks on any forum..I would question whether they could actually read.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • reigle9
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-25-07
                                                                      • 17879

                                                                      #1819
                                                                      Originally posted by Electrons
                                                                      Blindly following any one and betting their money on a stranger's picks on any forum..I would question whether they could actually read.
                                                                      This is probably the first thread I followed on here when I joined. Might be a ghost but it could just as easily be someone that read the thread, as it is 3 years old.

                                                                      edit - I wasn't really much active until I was like "wtf, these people give away vacations like candy?"
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • vegasreaper
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-27-11
                                                                        • 5656

                                                                        #1820
                                                                        Originally posted by reigle9
                                                                        This is probably the first thread I followed on here when I joined. Might be a ghost but it could just as easily be someone that read the thread, as it is 3 years old.

                                                                        edit - I wasn't really much active until I was like "wtf, these people give away vacations like candy?"
                                                                        Hey reigle9 how you been doing this year my friend??
                                                                        Comment
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