Texas A&M vs Oklahoma

[TheSituation87]

Who you have winning and what you betting on?

Im still deciding, but have a hunch to go against Mr Heisman

[Jackie Moon]

I was leaning OU +3 but am not sure by any means.

[Mac4Lyfe]

A&M has the better defense and offense. As long as the Heisman jinx doesn't hit Manziel which I doubt since he's not thinking about the NFL as a freshman, this should be an easy cover. I'm on TAM pretty big in this one but my sleeper is Ole Miss on Saturday. Bet the fukking farm.

[overcome]

im probably going to go with A&M +7 (part of my existing teaser). leaning over on this game too

[Pickem2win]

These two teams are too evenly matched to bet a side IMO.

Both teams are in the top 10 offensively averaging over 40 pts per game and over 1000 yards of offense. The ONLY play here is the total--OVER.

[briedward]

I bet $500 on A&M -3, and $4000 to win roughly $3000 ML.

[Covy]

No brainer...A&M

Sooners haven't showed up for a big game this year...Big 12 is average

A&M beat Bama on the road and are arguably the hottest team in CFB

[JT OZ]

No brainer...A&M

Sooners haven't showed up for a big game this year...Big 12 is average

A&M beat Bama on the road and are arguably the hottest team in CFB

Does being the 'hottest' team still hold weight if they haven't played a game in 6 weeks?

[uanl]

The big 12 is seen as inferior to the SEC, A&M is seen as the better team, the hot team, they have the heisman, they beat bama and yet the line is just -3. In fact it went from -3.5 down to -3. Perception isn't always reality. I like the Sooners to win outright, but I'll take the points. BOL

[TheSituation87]

I'm taking OU +1 1/2 1st half. Going against what my brain is telling me and hope I'm right. The o/u scares me. Unlike Oregon K-State where I knew pretty dam certain they wont reach 60 let alone 74, I think both teams might put up enough points. But the fact its still 73 seems a lot. That 5 touchdowns a piece plus a FG.

Sticking just with OU 1st half. GL to the rest of you. Should be a great game

[Phatman36]

I got -4 A&M. LETS GOOOOOOOO

[jakeloftin2186]

you do know that a&M has cashed on 1st half in every game in the past two years lol good pick buddy

I'm taking OU +1 1/2 1st half. Going against what my brain is telling me and hope I'm right. The o/u scares me. Unlike Oregon K-State where I knew pretty dam certain they wont reach 60 let alone 74, I think both teams might put up enough points. But the fact its still 73 seems a lot. That 5 touchdowns a piece plus a FG.

Sticking just with OU 1st half. GL to the rest of you. Should be a great game

[jakeloftin2186]

A&M fist half whatever the line is when its posted in my book...A&M has cashed on every first half in the past two years

[TheDirtySanchez]

A&M fist half whatever the line is when its posted in my book...A&M has cashed on every first half in the past two years

Really?

[No coincidences]

Really?

No.

[Coming Back!]

I like Oklahoma bc of the Texas A&M Offensive coordinator left & there is to much hype w "Johnny Football". Watch him crash down to earth

[MrBig33]

These two teams are too evenly matched to bet a side IMO.

Both teams are in the top 10 offensively averaging over 40 pts per game and over 1000 yards of offense. The ONLY play here is the total--OVER.

Just like the Oregon and Kst game right?...everybody had the over...well I am noticing not many teams are hitting the over this bowl season....take the under.

[Twisted_One]

I like Oklahoma bc of the Texas A&M Offensive coordinator left & there is to much hype w "Johnny Football". Watch him crash down to earth

That is a bad reason to talk yourself into a loser. Aggies are the easy play here.

[MrBig33]

I like Oklahoma bc of the Texas A&M Offensive coordinator left & there is to much hype w "Johnny Football". Watch him crash down to earth

Not a chance...do you really think Kingsbury took the playbook with him and left them out to dry? LOL.....A&M wins tonight.

[qb1789]

That is a bad reason to talk yourself into a loser. Aggies are the easy play here.

Exactly. Don't over think this one it's one of the easiest plays all bowl season!

[DoubleRedDragon]

agreed i'm large on aggies

[BiffTFinancial]

Just like the Oregon and Kst game right?...everybody had the over...well I am noticing not many teams are hitting the over this bowl season....take the under.

major difference in UO/KSU: KSU wanted to bleed the clock from early on to keep Oregon's offense off the field and keep them from finding a rhythm. no reason to assume that either A&M or OU will do that tonight.

[southpaw74]

No.

I thought a&m have covered every 1h this year. When didn't they?

[Frisco]

I'm taking OU +1 1/2 1st half. Going against what my brain is telling me and hope I'm right. The o/u scares me. Unlike Oregon K-State where I knew pretty dam certain they wont reach 60 let alone 74, I think both teams might put up enough points. But the fact its still 73 seems a lot. That 5 touchdowns a piece plus a FG.

Sticking just with OU 1st half. GL to the rest of you. Should be a great game

I bought in at 75. All it will take is a few drives stalling out and will get a great opp for a middle if I want out of it.

[rickydsabres420]

First ever post but long time reader, personally leaning towards a 7 pt teaser Oklahoma +10 and UN 79.5

[Frisco]

major difference in UO/KSU: KSU wanted to bleed the clock from early on to keep Oregon's offense off the field and keep them from finding a rhythm. no reason to assume that either A&M or OU will do that tonight.

Both teams are decent defensively though. TAMU gives up 22 a game and OU gives up 24. I know you could make the argument that they're facing better O's but I still think it flies under.

[Frisco]

First ever post but long time reader, personally leaning towards a 7 pt teaser Oklahoma +10 and UN 79.5

Like your style. Only teaser I would do for this game

[Spedizzo]

Oklahoma is going to fukkin roll

[jakeloftin2186]

Name one if it isnt everyone then its a percentage above 90%

No.

[BiffTFinancial]

Both teams are decent defensively though. TAMU gives up 22 a game and OU gives up 24. I know you could make the argument that they're facing better O's but I still think it flies under.

decent is about as far as i would go. A&M allows 5.26 yards/play defensively (39th nationally), OU allows 5.44 (55th), so they are right in the middle of the bell curve. offensively, they are both top 10 in YPPlay (A&M 6.91, OU 6.6) and both do very well at converting yards into points (A&M 12.3 YPPoint, OU 12.6; close to 12 = elite there).

i think that you need to be careful looking at defensive points allowed/game. many of their games were against teams not in their class who tried to bleed clock in the 1H to keep it close against their elite offensive opponent and had no ability to keep up once the offensive onslaught began. in their respective games against excellent offensive teams (top 20 YPPlay), A&M beat Bama 29-24 in a game that just went under (and if you'll recall the final drive, couldn't have been much closer to going over), while all four of OU's games went over with relative ease (Okie State, Baylor, WVU, TT). perhaps most important is pace. A&M games averaged 154 plays this year while OU's averaged 147. A&M/Bama had only 142 plays, but it was Bama that wanted to limit pace there. total plays in OU games against these four teams with excellent offenses: 182 (Okie State; note was OT game), 163 (Baylor), 160 (WVU) and 142 (TT in early season). down the stretch, against good offenses, OU put its foot on the gas.

so, two elite offenses against two decent/average defenses and both teams should play up tempo. i have it at 150 plays and 79-80 points. if the pace exceeds that (and it might well be in the neighborhood of 160), so much the better. over for me but BOL whatever you play.

[mikmik]

Going with the veteran Qb. Jones 3-0 in bowl games. And On over Big 12 dont believe in defense. Over rolls easy.

[Frisco]

decent is about as far as i would go. A&M allows 5.26 yards/play defensively (39th nationally), OU allows 5.44 (55th), so they are right in the middle of the bell curve. offensively, they are both top 10 in YPPlay (A&M 6.91, OU 6.6) and both do very well at converting yards into points (A&M 12.3 YPPoint, OU 12.6; close to 12 = elite there).

i think that you need to be careful looking at defensive points allowed/game. many of their games were against teams not in their class who tried to bleed clock in the 1H to keep it close against their elite offensive opponent and had no ability to keep up once the offensive onslaught began. in their respective games against excellent offensive teams (top 20 YPPlay), A&M beat Bama 29-24 in a game that just went under (and if you'll recall the final drive, couldn't have been much closer to going over), while all four of OU's games went over with relative ease (Okie State, Baylor, WVU, TT). perhaps most important is pace. A&M games averaged 154 plays this year while OU's averaged 147. A&M/Bama had only 142 plays, but it was Bama that wanted to limit pace there. total plays in OU games against these four teams with excellent offenses: 182 (Okie State; note was OT game), 163 (Baylor), 160 (WVU) and 142 (TT in early season). down the stretch, against good offenses, OU put its foot on the gas.

so, two elite offenses against two decent/average defenses and both teams should play up tempo. i have it at 150 plays and 79-80 points. if the pace exceeds that (and it might well be in the neighborhood of 160), so much the better. over for me but BOL whatever you play.

Yea, definitely not worthy of being called anything past "decent" or "serviceable". Throw in a little rust from layover between games and Stoops coaching tight in a big spot... I like the under and am glad to see it dropped a full 3 points from where I bought in at. Think i'll have plenty of opps to buy out though

[BiffTFinancial]

Yea, definitely not worthy of being called anything past "decent" or "serviceable". Throw in a little rust from layover between games and Stoops coaching tight in a big spot... I like the under and am glad to see it dropped a full 3 points from where I bought in at. Think i'll have plenty of opps to buy out though

i think that you have the right idea with the under: you got a really good number and you are prepared to considering buying out if it immediately turns into a shoot-out. i would not be surprised to see Stoops have a decent gameplan that gives Manziel a little trouble at the outset. BOL to you however things play out.

[TheSituation87]

Can't believe how lucky I have gotten lately. I have yet to lose a pick this past week. That's betting on Soccer(which I never do),ncaab, and just recently college football.

Hit the o by half pt. Should have bet on the u73 as well. I can't complain though I have yet to lose out of 8 picks in 3 different sports. Let the luck train continue!!!""""

I'm taking OU +1 1/2 1st half. Going against what my brain is telling me and hope I'm right. The o/u scares me. Unlike Oregon K-State where I knew pretty dam certain they wont reach 60 let alone 74, I think both teams might put up enough points. But the fact its still 73 seems a lot. That 5 touchdowns a piece plus a FG.

Sticking just with OU 1st half. GL to the rest of you. Should be a great game

[briedward]

I think the reason why super high overs aren't hitting is because with these bowl games and the long period of rest, these high-powered offenses sputter in the first half as they get warmed up.