I liked Arizona till I watched the line

[Bbfromgpt]

More closely. Action is getting close to evening out between the two teams, but it's still in favor of Zona yet line is moving in favor of Nevada.

[KTnamja]

Does line really tell anything? Sometimes it does, sometimes it doesn't.

[Bbfromgpt]

Way more times it does then doesn't. Any capper that is truly successful over the long run reads into line movement.

[Bbfromgpt]

And I'm not saying Nevada is the play here, going to keep watching. Just wanted to discuss it.

[ndirishfan]

Can you explain the line movement to to me. I always just cap the game and go for regardless of the movement

[Dfjay9]

Google reverse line movement for one

[Bbfromgpt]

Yea google that site. The bases of it is say team A is favored by 9 points and they are getting 75% of the action, but the line is moving down in favor of Team B. That would be reverse line movement. In this particular game we have seen the line up to -9.5 and still over 50% are on Zona yet the line is down to -8.5. Just something to keep an eye on.

[ndirishfan]

Ah ic...I took nevada...they are 1-5 when giving up around 200 yards rushing. That one win was against colorado. They will prolly get that second win but 9 is a lot to lay

[crackerjack]

Yea google that site. The bases of it is say team A is favored by 9 points and they are getting 75% of the action, but the line is moving down in favor of Team B. That would be reverse line movement. In this particular game we have seen the line up to -9.5 and still over 50% are on Zona yet the line is down to -8.5. Just something to keep an eye on.

Doesnt it just mean 25% of the bettors on Team B bet more money than the 75% on team A?

[Bbfromgpt]

Then if that's the case that would make Nevada the sharp play.

[balls2wall]

Doesnt it just mean 25% of the bettors on Team B bet more money than the 75% on team A?

Yes, and that is why it is supposed to indicate the "sharp" side.

[balls2wall]

I just watched the BetDSI video pinned to the top of this forum. He said ALL the sharp money has come in on Nevada. He said they jumped on 10 then bought up to 10 from 9.5.

[BMoreBird]

just bet the over

[KTnamja]

what's sharp? what's public? because they seemed to jump all over the place.

[jayc88]

What most people dont get is that there is no such thing as a sharp side
If nevada had value at +10
Arizona might have value at -8.
Blindly following reverse line movement will not make you a winner; because the value will already be gone when you enter the market most of the time.

[Bbfromgpt]

I don't think anyone is stating to blindly follow line movement, but there is absolutely no doubt that you cant win year after year without knowing or somewhat following the line movement.

[jayc88]

I don't think anyone is stating to blindly follow line movement, but there is absolutely no doubt that you cant win year after year without knowing or somewhat following the line movement.

Of course you have to follow line movement.
If you think you know the true line of a game you can then enter when the line provides value according to your calculation.
But this has nothing to do with following reverse line movements.