Reverse the Martingale for a betting progression

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  • ClimbSomeRocks
    SBR MVP
    • 11-04-09
    • 1081

    #1
    Reverse the Martingale for a betting progression
    So the martingale consistently fails... what if we invert the martingale and play a 1 unit bet, then continue to let winners ride until they are the max bet allowed at the casino? This seems like it should pay off. Any math wizards want to prove why I am wrong?
  • mwgriffin
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-17-11
    • 185

    #2
    Yes, and I always lost online, probably different if live
    Comment
    • ddesmara
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-25-11
      • 108

      #3
      online, live...most chance to lose
      Comment
      • chipper
        SBR MVP
        • 01-07-10
        • 1994

        #4
        Might work one time in eight to get three winners in a row but seems like it's quite a long shot to try to reach the table max...
        Comment
        • andywend
          SBR MVP
          • 05-20-07
          • 4805

          #5
          Any math wizards want to prove why I am wrong?
          Reverse martingale does NOT work for the same reason why regular martingale doesn't work.

          Both systems involve increasing your wagers into a -EV proposition.

          Here's an example thats easy to understand:

          If I am offering -200 on a coin flip but let you call the side (You have to risk $2 for every $1 you wish to win).

          It doesn't matter if you keep increasing your wagers when you lose (martingale) or when you win (reverse martingale).

          In the long run, you will lose money under either scenario.
          Comment
          • ClimbSomeRocks
            SBR MVP
            • 11-04-09
            • 1081

            #6
            kinda makes sense andy. I did turn 200 points into over 1500 using this system in the casino however. Probably just positive variance, but seems like a good way to have a high reward with a low risk
            Comment
            • chipper
              SBR MVP
              • 01-07-10
              • 1994

              #7
              Great explanation and example Andy. Thanks for sharing that.
              Comment
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