UFC on Versus 5

[kmdubya]

all the books need is 1 upset to make huge money ..

Or lose huge money.

[Hannibal]

Pretty much finalized my plays for this event.
$800 on Oliveira @ -125 to win $640
$100 Cerrone by decision @+407 to win $407
$100 cerrone by decision @+395 to win $395

I also have three 3-team parlays for about $50 each. They are combinations of saddolah, hettes, figeroa, dollaway, cole miller. These all pay better than evens. Hope I didn't get greedy with the parlays.

[The HOFF]

The full weigh-in results included:

MAIN CARD (Versus)

• Dan Hardy (171.5)* vs. Chris Lytle (170.5)
• Ben Henderson (156) vs. Jim Miller (155.5)
• Donald Cerrone (156) vs. Charles Oliveira (155)
• Duane Ludwig (170.5) vs. Amir Sadollah (170)

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)

• C.B. Dollaway (186) vs. Jared Hamman (185)
• Joseph Benavidez (135.5) vs. Eddie Wineland (136)
• Ed Herman (186) vs. Kyle Noke (185)
• Ronny Markes (205) vs. Karlos Vemola (205.5)
• Alex Caceres (146) vs. Jim Hettes (145.5)
• Cole Miller (155) vs. T.J. O'Brien (155.5)
• Danny Castillo (156) vs. Jacob Volkmann (156)
• Edwin Figueroa (136) vs. Jason Reinhardt (135)

* - Missed weight on first attempt

[snufflyjoe]

playing the lotto for this card


J miller points+ Benavidez+ cb dollaway + Heltes by sub+ Volkman points+ noke (sub) +sadollah ko £0.50 returns £275.07

benavidez+cb dollaway+ cole miller+ jim heltes+ figueroa+ vemola+ volkman+noke+sadollah £1.50 returns £28.89



fight goes distance
benavidez yes+ cb dollaway no+ caceras no+ Figeroa yes+ vemola no+ volkman yes+ noke no+ sadollah no £0.50 returns £43.10


which fight ends the quickest Alex Caceras v Jim Heltes £0.50 returns £5.00

olivieira sub+ miller points+ volkman points+ noke sub £0.50 returns £44.01

benavidez points+ dollaway points+ lytle points+ J miller points+ volkman points £0.50 returns £60.30


lytle+ benavidez+ cb dollaway + volkman + heltes sub+ sadollah + noke sub + cole miller + vemola £1.00 returns £82.26

Lytle by ko £10 returns £130
Lytle by ko + J Miller by points + cerrone points £5 returns £676.00

[Vaughany]

So Lytle will be retiring after this fight...don't know if that's a good or bad thing for Hardy backers!

[blumpkin]

guys, what do you think of this parlay? Hettes, miller and dolloway at +115 which one of the 3 has the best chance of getting upset?

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

So Lytle will be retiring after this fight...don't know if that's a good or bad thing for Hardy backers!

good in the fact that Lytle will keep it standing, if it is his last fight i doubt he'll go out taking down hardy and laying on top of him, he's going out throwing

[jesuseatsnubs]

u guys excited or what .. TODAY IS THE DAY ! FK YEAHH lol

and to anyone who is betting on dan hardy .. u are a retard with an IQ of a mule

[PunisherIND]

good in the fact that Lytle will keep it standing, if it is his last fight i doubt he'll go out taking down hardy and laying on top of him, he's going out throwing

definitely good for hardy backers. always a possibility that the retirement will affect him mentally during the fight, or has affected his training. locksmith makes the key point though.

[Hannibal]

Watch hardy shoot for the double!

[The HOFF]

So Lytle will be retiring after this fight...don't know if that's a good or bad thing for Hardy backers!

Fix is in. Put the house on Hardy.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

looks like Hardy is now the slight fav or pick em' at all the books on BFO except the greek

[darko3131]

Cowboy and Noke for me.

[NunyaBidness]

u guys excited or what .. TODAY IS THE DAY ! FK YEAHH lol

and to anyone who is betting on dan hardy .. u are a retard with an IQ of a mule

Aww, man, really? Now, I've gotta decide whether to take the loss and sell off 2k of Lytle at a loss, or follow the new improved jesuseatsnubs and double down!

[Kaladarus]

Hopefully Lytle is in all your parlays Jesus so you can make huge money.

[illmatick]

I have small plays on Lytle, Herman and Hamman. Big play on Charles.

[jesuseatsnubs]

Hopefully Lytle is in all your parlays Jesus so you can make huge money.

lol u little fa\*\*ot .. I have a feeling the main event is gonna be rigged for some reason .. so lytle is only in of my parlays and it's a 7 parlay ..

ONLY because I just have a feeling it will be fixed

[cheeese]

I can see Lytle fixing his retirement fight

[Kaladarus]

lol u little fa\*\*ot .. I have a feeling the main event is gonna be rigged for some reason .. so lytle is only in of my parlays and it's a 7 parlay ..

ONLY because I just have a feeling it will be fixed

Well considering they have a lot of footage on UFC unleashed of Chris Lytle and his fight of the nights you would think they'd want to make him go out with a win so they can make more money on his past fights.

They already have control of the UK market and there are more and more fighters coming up from there. If Hardy were to lose he'd get cut, go to another organization, win a fight or two and then come back for a smaller contract.

If this were to be rigged in anyway it wouldn't make any sense to rig it for Hardy. Just my opinion though.

[Kaladarus]

I can see Lytle fixing his retirement fight

It can happen, but Lytle is one of the most respectable UFC fighters. He's always been there to entertain the fans regardless of the consequences. I think he'd be one of the last guys that would throw a fight.

[Vaughany]

please stop with this nonsense about Lytle throwing the fight, it's not only disrespectful but also embarassing.

Jesus you just said above that anybody betting on Hardy is... "a retard with the IQ of a mule" yet you are only putting Lytle in one parlay? Can you not see why people think you are a bit special??

[jesuseatsnubs]

please stop with this nonsense about Lytle throwing the fight, it's not only disrespectful but also embarassing.

Jesus you just said above that anybody betting on Hardy is... "a retard with the IQ of a mule" yet you are only putting Lytle in one parlay? Can you not see why people think you are a bit special??

I just don't like betting on main events as I think they have the most chance of being rigged .. maybe I am abit too paranoid .. lol but If I were to bet on dan hardy or lytle .. I would most def go with Lytle .. but I just try to stay away from main events .. but that's just me

[Vaughany]

I just don't like betting on main events as I think they have the most chance of being rigged .. maybe I am abit too paranoid .. lol but If I were to bet on dan hardy or lytle .. I would most def go with Lytle .. but I just try to stay away from main events .. but that's just me

Or you just realised what a retard you sound like by saying that anybody who bets on Hardy has the IQ of a mule, so are using this ridiculous idea of main events being fixed to justify your reasoning for not playing Lytle?

[Educ8d Degener8]

Really excited for these fights... Not going apeshit with the betting here, more or less some action plays... and unfortunately, I feel like this is one of those cards that if given proper research and the line spreads, could be a real profitable evening, but alas I haven't dedicated the proper time due to work, etc... so all's i've got is...

and ps... a big holy sh*t to whoever just moved the line from Cerrone by decision from +480 to +260 when I was about to place that wager... ;p...


Risk / to Win / Wager

0.50u / 0.50u / Hardy
*I like and respect Lytle, but during and after the Ebersole fight I've felt he just didn't seem "all there" and given his retirement announcement, I think he's gonna go down guns a blazing to Hardy here...

0.50u / 0.53u / Cerrone
*So torn on this fight (waffled as the line moved) as I like both young lads, but I'm gonna go with Cerrone...

0.50u / 0.48u / Volkmann
*Like a wee bit of value on Volkmann -- this is one of those fights I really wish I had more time to cap intensively...

0.06u / 1.25u / Bruce Leroy wins KO of the Night
*I expect Leroy to get punked, but if he wins, gotta believe its via KO/TKO, and Dana likes the kid, so...

0.50u / 0.72u / Cerrone, Cole Miller
*The universe setting the table for a Cerrone - Cole fight

0.50u / 6.74u / Hardy, Jim Miller, Cerrone, Sadollah, Vemola, Hettes
*I was admittedly drunk, when I decided to log in and book this one... but f*ckit, Jesuseatsnoobs and Educ8dDegener8drinkswhiskey...

0.25u / 4.81u / Hardy, Jim Miller, Wineland, Volkmann
*The other drunk parlay I made...

0.13u / 5.48u / Tj Obrien, Wineland, Hamman
*Fading three favs that I like rooting against (Cole, Benavidez, CB)

0.13u / 3.60u / Hardy inside distance, Jim Miller by decision, Sadollah by decision
*I kinda like this parlay considering it pays 27.7 to 1 odds... my gut likes this one...

edit:
0.06u / 6.62u / Hardy inside distance, Jim by decision, Sadollah b decision, Cerrone by decision
*fockit, a little 100:1 fun play...

open parlay
0.50u / 2.89u / Woodley, Meisha, Saffiedine, Barboza, Aldo

[Vaughany]

R
*I was admittedly drunk, when I decided to log in and book this one... but f*ckit, Jesuseatsnoobs and Educ8dDegener8drinkswhiskey...

BOL tonight

[rocky mattioli]

using the "fix" word in any context for this fight is ridiculous...but it is a concern,as a hardy bettor,that maybe the retirement announcement could influence the judges to look benevolently in lytle`s direction in the event of a close fight(and it figures to be close)....hardy is hardly a beloved fighter,weven in britain,from what i`ve read....but if it`s an excellent fight,i could surely see dana hanging on to hardy....

wish he hadn`t announced it....it`s bothersome...

[Vaughany]

using the "fix" word in any context for this fight is ridiculous...but it is a concern,as a hardy bettor,that maybe the retirement announcement could influence the judges to look benevolently in lytle`s direction in the event of a close fight(and it figures to be close)....hardy is hardly a beloved fighter,weven in britain,from what i`ve read....but if it`s an excellent fight,i could surely see dana hanging on to hardy....

wish he hadn`t announced it....it`s bothersome...

Yeah this is partly my reason for just buying back on my Hardy play with Lytle at Evens. I'm more confident that this gets a KO of the Night or more likely FOTN so just gonna stick with those plays and got fight goes distance in a parlay. Something seems off about Hardy as well, seems too casual and laid-back for my liking, doesn't seem to have the same vigour that he had before the Davis and Swick fights, it's like Nelson's casual attitude has rubbed off on him or something! Maybe I'm reading too much in to it!

[NunyaBidness]

Yeah this is partly my reason for just buying back on my Hardy play with Lytle at Evens. I'm more confident that this gets a KO of the Night or more likely FOTN so just gonna stick with those plays and got fight goes distance in a parlay. Something seems off about Hardy as well, seems too casual and laid-back for my liking, doesn't seem to have the same vigour that he had before the Davis and Swick fights, it's like Nelson's casual attitude has rubbed off on him or something! Maybe I'm reading too much in to it!

Nice excuses. You know its the Jesus frate trane that's got you nervous.

[Vaughany]

Liking Volkman's control in this second round

[Vaughany]

Total control from Christmas...C'MON!

[Vaughany]

Love it, jus stay on top Obama Assasin!

[Vaughany]

haha As if Castillo got up and put his hands up as if he won!

[cheeese]

good thing Volkmann owned that last round.

[Vaughany]

Cole Miller loves backing up in a straight line, he'd get blasted by anybody with power and aggressive half-decent stand-up

[Vaughany]

Chalk living up to expectations so far