Lasker's MMA Picks

[lasker]

Is this at bookmaker? I can't figure out how to parlay fights there, am I dumb?

No, I'm dumb. I had just seen the odds and put down the parlay here before going to play it, forgetting that there are no MMA parlays on bookmaker. Still like the odds, so I'll bet them individually for now and might add some kind of parlay with them later.

Hominick -210: 2u to win 0.95u

Barry -295: 2u to win 0.68u

[sirchadwick1]

Lyoto Machida -205: 5u to win 2.44u

Bet of the year right there.. wow, wish I could get that line. But I'm stuck w/ bodog.

[lasker]

CB Dollaway +180: 1.11u to win 2u

[lasker]

Ubereem -245: 3.5u to win 1.43u

[Vaughany]

Did u take a single on Hominick at -210 in the end Lask? At -240 now which Im not really feeling. Gonna have to just use him in parlays and take a prop bet on him I think.

[lasker]

I did, just in time apparently. Even if he stays around -240 I'll also be including him in some parlays and props.

[Vaughany]

Ha oh yeah just noticed u posted it at the top . Nice one, Id of taken the -210 as well, unlikely but maybe I'll get lucky when Sportbet or Pinnacle release it!

[lasker]

Early play for UFC 127:

Jorge Rivera +300: 1.5u to win 4.5u

[lasker]

Guillard/Dunham won't go 3 round distance -150: 3u to win 2u

[lasker]

Lesnar +105: 3u to win 3.15u

I loved the opener at +130 but was expecting early money to come in on JDS, so I was waiting for +150 or better. But now he's +105, and I'm not sure which way the line will move from here. I'm going to bet now to ensure I make the play while he's still a dog.

[urge2kill]

I saw it go from +125 to +130 and was waiting for it to move more in Lesnar's favor too. Looks like it's still +130 at Betus, but I don't play there.

[Squareguy]

Already got my bet in, but how do you feel about Demetrious page beating Kid Yamamoto?

Seemed like a great bet at +160

[Poppa Catfish]

Lesnar +105: 3u to win 3.15u

I loved the opener at +130 but was expecting early money to come in on JDS, so I was waiting for +150 or better. But now he's +105, and I'm not sure which way the line will move from here. I'm going to bet now to ensure I make the play while he's still a dog.

Damn, I too waited too long. I really thought people would jump on JDS.

[rocky mattioli]

No, I'm dumb. I had just seen the odds and put down the parlay here before going to play it, forgetting that there are no MMA parlays on bookmaker. Still like the odds, so I'll bet them individually for now and might add some kind of parlay with them later.

Hominick -210: 2u to win 0.95u

Barry -295: 2u to win 0.68u

used hominick and dunham in a par......but dunham isn`t a "sure" thing in a 3 round fight vs guillard.....

i think barry wins here...but,barry just scares me....

g.l.,my dude..

[lasker]

thanks Rocky Adding

Bocek +135: 2u to win 2.7u

I missed the opener at +145, but like Ecco I agree that Bocek should probably be a slight favorite. It should be a fantastic fight either way, but I think much of it will be contested on the ground and Bocek must have the advantage there if he can get top position. That said, Henderson's submission defense is uncanny, so it will be interesting to see if Bocek can be the first man to submit him.

[lasker]

Guillard wins in round 1 +775: 3u to win 23.25u

Dunham/Guillard does not start round 2 +249: 2.01u to win 5u

[lasker]

Hague wins by submission +1500: 0.5u to win 7.5u

[lasker]

Roop wins by submission +1000: 0.5u to win 5u

[lasker]

M.Guillard wins by TKO/KO +524: 1u to win 5.24u

Strange for me to continue betting against a fighter I admire as much as Dunham. I think Dunham has a good chance of becoming a future UFC lightweight champion. But I think Guillard is being underestimated here because of all of his submission losses. His submission defense is better than it used to be, and his defensive wrestling is still excellent. We haven't seen Dunham against an opponent like Guillard, someone with heavy power and technical striking to go along with his defensive wrestling. We have seen him get caught with strikes a bit too often, even against relatively inferior strikers like Escudero. Until we see how he manages here, I'm more than happy with these odds on Guillard by TKO.

Also adding:

Wiman wins by 3-round decision +306: 0.5u to win 1.53u

[xelance]

M.Guillard wins by TKO/KO +524: 1u to win 5.24u Strange for me to continue betting against a fighter I admire as much as Dunham. I think Dunham has a good chance of becoming a future UFC lightweight champion. But I think Guillard is being underestimated here because of all of his submission losses. His submission defense is better than it used to be, and his defensive wrestling is still excellent. We haven't seen Dunham against an opponent like Guillard, someone with heavy power and technical striking to go along with his defensive wrestling. We have seen him get caught with strikes a bit too often, even against relatively inferior strikers like Escudero. Until we see how he manages here, I'm more than happy with these odds on Guillard by TKO. Also adding: Wiman wins by 3-round decision +306: 0.5u to win 1.53u

ill be trailing you on this one! Come on bookmaker...they are so damn slow with the MMA props. I hope I get the same odds...

[Pride>UFC]

[quote=lasker;8237958] I'm dumb.

yes you are...

[Pride>UFC]

Early play for UFC 127: Jorge Rivera +300: 1.5u to win 4.5u

hey for real, what's the deal with this? why is he such a huge underdog? this is a pick em

[lasker]

Adding more on Wiman wins by 3 round decision +318: 0.5u to win 1.59u

Wiman wins in round 3 +1600: 0.5u to win 8u

[lasker]

That's it for this card I think. I'm not confident about it, and it could easily turn into another disaster card... all it would take is for Dunham/Guillard to go to decision and Cole Miller to win and I could lose quite a few units just from that. For the record, I think Dunham will win by submission (included that in some cheap parlays), but my Guillard plays were simply based on value, or what I think is value. Last card was great, but I probably should have stayed away from this one. We'll see. BOL everyone

Well do me a favor let me know you're next $1 parlay! haha I'll be on it... Time to gear up for UFC 126!

I have quite a few, all ridiculous wastes of money, but I'll post this one:

Dunham wins by submission +155 / Barry wins by 3-round decision +326 / Mitrione wins by submission + 900 / Hominick wins by submission +400 / Wiman wins by 3-round decision +318


0.05u to win 113.47u

[Shagdogy]

I like the plays on Guillard... I'm hoping that Greg Jackson has been drilling it in to his brain to not get any where near Dunham's snakey arms and just stay at range and punch him in the face, simple as that. I have a good feeling about Guillard for some unknown reason tonight. Dunham is hittable, so here's hoping. Good luck tonight!

[The HOFF]

Guillard wins in round 1 +775: 3u to win 23.25u

Look at you.

[urge2kill]

Damn, you scored big on Melvin

[kiefynugs]

Guillard wins in round 1 +775: 3u to win 23.25u

Dunham/Guillard does not start round 2 +249: 2.01u to win 5u

Nice call.

[lasker]

I like the plays on Guillard... I'm hoping that Greg Jackson has been drilling it in to his brain to not get any where near Dunham's snakey arms and just stay at range and punch him in the face, simple as that. I have a good feeling about Guillard for some unknown reason tonight. Dunham is hittable, so here's hoping. Good luck tonight!

Look at you.

Damn, you scored big on Melvin

Nice call.

thanks guys, that makes two great events in a row. Awesome way to start 2011, especially after my mediocre results last year! Gonna tally up the results for this thread now...

[terpkeg]

Guillard wins in round 1 +775: 3u to win 23.25u

Dunham/Guillard does not start round 2 +249: 2.01u to win 5u

Guillard/Dunham won't go 3 round distance -150: 3u to win 2u

No, I'm dumb. I had just seen the odds and put down the parlay here before going to play it, forgetting that there are no MMA parlays on bookmaker. Still like the odds, so I'll bet them individually for now and might add some kind of parlay with them later.

Hominick -210: 2u to win 0.95u

Barry -295: 2u to win 0.68u

M.Guillard wins by TKO/KO +524: 1u to win 5.24u

Strange for me to continue betting against a fighter I admire as much as Dunham. I think Dunham has a good chance of becoming a future UFC lightweight champion. But I think Guillard is being underestimated here because of all of his submission losses. His submission defense is better than it used to be, and his defensive wrestling is still excellent. We haven't seen Dunham against an opponent like Guillard, someone with heavy power and technical striking to go along with his defensive wrestling. We have seen him get caught with strikes a bit too often, even against relatively inferior strikers like Escudero. Until we see how he manages here, I'm more than happy with these odds on Guillard by TKO.

Also adding:

Wiman wins by 3-round decision +306: 0.5u to win 1.53u

Adding more on Wiman wins by 3 round decision +318: 0.5u to win 1.59u

Wiman wins in round 3 +1600: 0.5u to win 8u

Damn what a monster night. Very good work

[lasker]

Adding: Wiman +185: 1u to win 1.85u

Hominick -210: 2u to win 0.95u
Barry -295: 2u to win 0.68u

Guillard/Dunham won't go 3 round distance -150: 3u to win 2u

Guillard wins in round 1 +775: 3u to win 23.25u

Dunham/Guillard does not start round 2 +249: 2.01u to win 5u

Hague wins by submission +1500: 0.5u to win 7.5u

Roop wins by submission +1000: 0.5u to win 5u

M.Guillard wins by TKO/KO +524: 1u to win 5.24u

Also adding: Wiman wins by 3-round decision +306: 0.5u to win 1.53u

Adding more on Wiman wins by 3 round decision +318: 0.5u to win 1.59u

Wiman wins in round 3 +1600: 0.5u to win 8u

Result for Fight for the Troops 2: +40.59u

2011 YTD: +63.51u after just two events Didn't think I could top the last event, but this one far exceeded my expectations. Hopefully I won't lose it all back before the end of the year!

Can't complain about the result but I made some stupid picks as usual. Thinking there was any value on Barry at -295 was disgusting; the line quickly moved against me and rightly so. He has a lot of talent but lacks mental toughness. I just got a bit lucky with that one. I only put 2u on it, and had the sense not to add more when his line improved, but I included him in lots of parlays and there really wasn't any value. Rocky mattioli, Barry now scares me too! I'll probably bet against him next time against almost anyone.

[lasker]

Had a nice parlay hit this time too. Nothing as earth-shattering as I had hoped for (as expected I missed one of those bigger parlays by one pick -- had Hominick by submission instead of TKO) but still nice:

[Vaughany]

Wowza! Beautiful work Lask!

Great call with the Guillard plays, I underestimated his power and your wer spot on about Dunham's poor defence. I think my best play of the night was not taking Dunham which I probably would of done had it been at -125 to -140 range but thankfully stuck to what I capped. Not taking Guillard KO of the Night or at least to win by TKO/KO was a bad decision though for sure!

[99Boxster]

Whoa dude, you crushed again

[illmatick]

this is what i like to see.