Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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  • sirchadwick1
    SBR MVP
    • 06-02-10
    • 1375

    #2766
    Bigday, when did you put in that bet? I've been watching it closely... but it never got that high.
    Comment
    • BIGDAY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 02-17-10
      • 48245

      #2767
      Originally posted by sirchadwick1
      Bigday, when did you put in that bet? I've been watching it closely... but it never got that high.
      Literaly after I read your post this morning. 9:16am must be eastern time on 5d.

      10/8/11 10:00pm Props Fighting 1237 K.Florian wins by TKO/KO +2825* vs Any other result

      $5 to win $141.25 Just for craps and giggles.

      Got lucky I guess. Now I hope it cashes and wish I had $50 on it.
      Comment
      • sirchadwick1
        SBR MVP
        • 06-02-10
        • 1375

        #2768
        It almost sounds like a bad line. Hope they don't cancel on you. They're shady sometimes with em.
        Comment
        • BIGDAY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 02-17-10
          • 48245

          #2769
          Originally posted by sirchadwick1
          It almost sounds like a bad line. Hope they don't cancel on you. They're shady sometimes with em.
          Yep, if it wins, it will go as a bad line. And if it loses, they'll pocket it.

          Happened to me before. Don't understand why they post the line then? Oh well.
          Comment
          • illmatick
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-05-09
            • 5456

            #2770
            Because Tony is evil like that.

            Whatever you do stay away from any remotely mis-priced Golf props.
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #2771
              UFC 137 play:


              6.479 units on Cerrone at +135 to win 8.747 units.
              Comment
              • sirchadwick1
                SBR MVP
                • 06-02-10
                • 1375

                #2772
                Great play man. I tried at +130 and missed so took him at EVEN. Now he's up to -165... got hammered.
                Comment
                • bjpenn85
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-17-11
                  • 5059

                  #2773
                  the public didnt agree on that one! why am i broke ? fakk fakk fakkkkkkkkkkkkkk

                  good job as always vaug
                  Comment
                  • NunyaBidness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-26-09
                    • 9345

                    #2774
                    Down to -185, and here comes the buyback. Time to pound it again.
                    Comment
                    • Educ8d Degener8
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-12-10
                      • 3177

                      #2775
                      Eff you effers and your early lines mf'rs... {i say that lovingly**
                      Comment
                      • bjpenn85
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5059

                        #2776
                        screw you guys.....am going home!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • ghost kid
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-23-08
                          • 280

                          #2777
                          Dimes has a different system than other books. It doesn't take much. They bounce around like ping pong balls the first few hours, then settle.

                          Opening limits are very low - no damage can be done significantly on either side (books, players). Pretty much just helps them accurately readjust. Line sets itself eventually. Smart on their end.

                          Off recent memory, the only one I can remember Dimes being quite a bit off on was Chad Dawson +200 (boxing). That one is quite different now as we approach the bout (October 15th). Should have opened pick.

                          Although as I write this, the Hioki line has doubled.
                          Last edited by ghost kid; 10-06-11, 02:21 PM.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #2778
                            Another UFC 137 play:


                            6.48 units on Palaszewski at +240 to win 15.552 units.
                            Comment
                            • ExodusNZ
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-02-11
                              • 605

                              #2779
                              Thanks for the plays!
                              Comment
                              • NunyaBidness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-26-09
                                • 9345

                                #2780
                                Originally posted by ghost kid
                                Dimes has a different system than other books. It doesn't take much. They bounce around like ping pong balls the first few hours, then settle.

                                Opening limits are very low - no damage can be done significantly on either side (books, players). Pretty much just helps them accurately readjust. Line sets itself eventually. Smart on their end.

                                Off recent memory, the only one I can remember Dimes being quite a bit off on was Chad Dawson +200 (boxing). That one is quite different now as we approach the bout (October 15th). Should have opened pick.

                                Although as I write this, the Hioki line has doubled.
                                5dimes lines openers are off ridiculously all the time.

                                Schaub EV vs crocop
                                Nate Diaz -120 vs Gomi

                                just off the top of my head
                                Comment
                                • bjpenn85
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-11
                                  • 5059

                                  #2781
                                  dhong young kim +190 vs amir sadollah
                                  Comment
                                  • ghost kid
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-23-08
                                    • 280

                                    #2782
                                    Forgot about those - excellent examples. Definitely off openers. But only a few people were able to get in on any of those before the richochet (I think Diaz was above -200 within minutes). Definitely need your finger on the trigger.
                                    Comment
                                    • more_betterness
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-18-11
                                      • 344

                                      #2783
                                      Dammit! What do you guys do to catch lines like these? I'm always a few hours late...
                                      Comment
                                      • Vulcan300
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-11-11
                                        • 806

                                        #2784
                                        feel like a play on luis santos at +155 over ben is in order.
                                        Comment
                                        • bjpenn85
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5059

                                          #2785
                                          He is better than saunders skillwise i believe, at least standing, eventhough he has some reach to cover. And he is a black belt as well. Its probably the name recognition that makes him the underdog. Sportsbook +160, yes please.
                                          Comment
                                          • rocky mattioli
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-26-10
                                            • 1263

                                            #2786
                                            Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                            He is better than saunders skillwise i believe, at least standing, eventhough he has some reach to cover. And he is a black belt as well. Its probably the name recognition that makes him the underdog. Sportsbook +160, yes please.

                                            i was looking hard at this one....saunders`muay thai clinchwork worries me.....you see saunders one time and the guy`s a beast...you see him another time and he looks totally pedestrian....

                                            might as well wait..line looks to be moving saunders-ward....
                                            Comment
                                            • bjpenn85
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 5059

                                              #2787
                                              the clinch worries me as well. As Santos is a brazilian muah thai champion he should be familiar with clinchwork but also when to apply and when to stay away. I really hope he understands and planning to not engage in a clinch with saunders at all costs. i still think this fight is 60 40 in santos favor, and +160 deserves a bet in a parlay. From where i stand, i think Saunders defense is lacking, and he does not use his reach very well, which is quite disappointing. The guy def. have potential.
                                              Comment
                                              • sirchadwick1
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-02-10
                                                • 1375

                                                #2788
                                                I really like Santos at +155 or better... he's being underrated here against Saunders. I think it does have a lot to do w/ name recognition and from Saunders coming from the UFC w/ those clinch highlights. Sapo is 50-6 (which is pretty amazing in mma, although I know he's fought some scrubs) and he's very well-rounded. He won me a nice payday against Hornbuckle and I expect him to do get a decision win over Ben. The only way I'd fade Santos right now is if he goes up against an elite wrestler that will neutralize his game. Be careful, those of you going heavy on Saunders (if you haven't reviewed Sapo's previous fights).
                                                Comment
                                                • 99Boxster
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-22-10
                                                  • 2461

                                                  #2789
                                                  Whats up guys. Hey sirchadwick1 how do you edit where it says Maynard +135 below your screenname? thanks
                                                  Guess who's stackin' gold and silver? THIS GUY
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #2790
                                                    UFC 136 plays and parlays so far:



                                                    Parlay (double): 10 units on Anthony Johnson (-150) & Guillard (-300) to win 12.222 units;


                                                    Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-600), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 3 (-141), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.682 units;


                                                    Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-650), & Maynard by Decision (+202) to win 15.969 units;


                                                    Parlay: 4.847 units on Boetsch/Ring distance (-140), Not Gomi by Sub (-1854), & Not Maynard inside distance (-1117) to win 4.694 units;


                                                    Parlay: 3.225 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Aldo/Florian Starts Rnd 2 (-345), & Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.617 units;


                                                    Parlay: 0.647 units on Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 (-302), & Guillard by Decision (+509) to win 4.598 units;


                                                    Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;


                                                    Parlay: 1.293 units on Not Pettis by TKO/KO (-1142), Guillard/Lauzon Starts Round 2 (-222), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-570), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-306), Maynard/Edgar Starts Round 2 (-1225), & GSP (-400) to win 3.008 units;


                                                    Parlay: 3.23 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 at (-345), Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.634 units.


                                                    Parlay: 0.641 units on Wiman by Decision (+157), Mighty Mouse/Cruz to Go the Distance (-210), Not Lauzon by Decision (-1297), Maynard by Decision (+198), & Not Dos Santos by Decision (-887) to win 8.043 units;


                                                    0.97 units on Lauzon by Submission at +645 to win 6.255 units;


                                                    2.5 units on Jeremy Stephens at +252 to win 6.3 units;


                                                    0.953 units on Aldo by TKO/KO at +137.5 to win 1.31 units;


                                                    0.128 units on Maia by TKO/KO at +1100 to win 1.408 units.
                                                    Last edited by Vaughany; 10-07-11, 02:52 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sirchadwick1
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-02-10
                                                      • 1375

                                                      #2791
                                                      Originally posted by 99Boxster
                                                      Whats up guys. Hey sirchadwick1 how do you edit where it says Maynard +135 below your screenname? thanks
                                                      At the top of the forum under SBR PRO | My Play:
                                                      You can click the pencil to the right and then edit.

                                                      This may only be available to sbr pros though... not sure.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563

                                                        #2792
                                                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                        UFC 136 plays and parlays so far:



                                                        Parlay (double): 10 units on Anthony Johnson (-150) & Guillard (-300) to win 12.222 units;


                                                        Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-600), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 3 (-141), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.682 units;


                                                        Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-650), & Maynard by Decision (+202) to win 15.969 units;


                                                        Parlay: 4.847 units on Boetsch/Ring distance (-140), Not Gomi by Sub (-1854), & Not Maynard inside distance (-1117) to win 4.694 units;


                                                        Parlay: 3.225 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Aldo/Florian Starts Rnd 2 (-345), & Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.617 units;


                                                        Parlay: 0.647 units on Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 (-302), & Guillard by Decision (+509) to win 4.598 units;


                                                        Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;


                                                        Parlay: 1.293 units on Not Pettis by TKO/KO (-1142), Guillard/Lauzon Starts Round 2 (-222), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-570), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-306), Maynard/Edgar Starts Round 2 (-1225), & GSP (-400) to win 3.008 units;


                                                        Parlay: 3.23 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 at (-345), Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.634 units.


                                                        Parlay: 0.641 units on Wiman by Decision (+157), Mighty Mouse/Cruz to Go the Distance (-210), Not Lauzon by Decision (-1297), Maynard by Decision (+198), & Not Dos Santos by Decision (-887) to win 8.043 units;


                                                        0.97 units on Lauzon by Submission at +645 to win 6.255 units;


                                                        2.5 units on Jeremy Stephens at +252 to win 6.3 units;


                                                        0.953 units on Aldo by TKO/KO at +137.5 to win 1.31 units;


                                                        0.128 units on Maia by TKO/KO at +1100 to win 1.408 units.

                                                        Have a lot of parlays that involve Maynard by decision. Plan is to wait it out and if those parlays are still going strong going in to the main event, then I will hedge with Edgar by decision. Will also be adding Maynard KO of the Night and Edgar Sub of the Night as insurance plays.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MMAbetMASTA
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-24-11
                                                          • 1931

                                                          #2793
                                                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                          UFC 136 plays and parlays so far:



                                                          Parlay (double): 10 units on Anthony Johnson (-150) & Guillard (-300) to win 12.222 units;


                                                          Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-600), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 3 (-141), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.682 units;


                                                          Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-650), & Maynard by Decision (+202) to win 15.969 units;


                                                          Parlay: 4.847 units on Boetsch/Ring distance (-140), Not Gomi by Sub (-1854), & Not Maynard inside distance (-1117) to win 4.694 units;


                                                          Parlay: 3.225 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Aldo/Florian Starts Rnd 2 (-345), & Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.617 units;


                                                          Parlay: 0.647 units on Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 (-302), & Guillard by Decision (+509) to win 4.598 units;


                                                          Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;


                                                          Parlay: 1.293 units on Not Pettis by TKO/KO (-1142), Guillard/Lauzon Starts Round 2 (-222), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-570), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-306), Maynard/Edgar Starts Round 2 (-1225), & GSP (-400) to win 3.008 units;


                                                          Parlay: 3.23 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 at (-345), Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.634 units.


                                                          Parlay: 0.641 units on Wiman by Decision (+157), Mighty Mouse/Cruz to Go the Distance (-210), Not Lauzon by Decision (-1297), Maynard by Decision (+198), & Not Dos Santos by Decision (-887) to win 8.043 units;


                                                          0.97 units on Lauzon by Submission at +645 to win 6.255 units;


                                                          2.5 units on Jeremy Stephens at +252 to win 6.3 units;


                                                          0.953 units on Aldo by TKO/KO at +137.5 to win 1.31 units;


                                                          0.128 units on Maia by TKO/KO at +1100 to win 1.408 units.
                                                          Holy sheeiiit, you're making me dizzy V!!!! I like a lot of these, especially that last little sprinkle on maia by tko/ko. I think jorge is a live dog and I think paying maia's juice str8 up is way too risky, but maia's stand up looked phenomenal against munoz and taking into account jorge's chin, I like that ko/tko play at +1100

                                                          Like your round plays too, might have to steal a couple of those in my parlays...! GL brother
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gabe
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-12-11
                                                            • 7405

                                                            #2794
                                                            Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
                                                            Holy sheeiiit, you're making me dizzy V!!!! I like a lot of these, especially that last little sprinkle on maia by tko/ko. I think jorge is a live dog and I think paying maia's juice str8 up is way too risky, but maia's stand up looked phenomenal against munoz and taking into account jorge's chin, I like that ko/tko play at +1100

                                                            Like your round plays too, might have to steal a couple of those in my parlays...! GL brother
                                                            me too, maia by TKO at +1100 feels like a steal
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Educ8d Degener8
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-12-10
                                                              • 3177

                                                              #2795
                                                              I was waiting for that Maia by TKO/KO prop and it's already down to +565... I like that play, but am gonna work another angle on that one...

                                                              Sh*t must've got hit hard at +1100...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #2796
                                                                Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8
                                                                I was waiting for that Maia by TKO/KO prop and it's already down to +565... I like that play, but am gonna work another angle on that one...

                                                                Sh*t must've got hit hard at +1100...
                                                                I got the +1100 on Paddypower a couple days ago. It came out at +600 or something on 5dimes/Sportbet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #2797
                                                                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                  UFC 136 plays and parlays so far:



                                                                  Parlay (double): 10 units on Anthony Johnson (-150) & Guillard (-300) to win 12.222 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-600), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 3 (-141), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.682 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 6.427 units on Sonnen/Stann Starts Round 2 (-650), & Maynard by Decision (+202) to win 15.969 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 4.847 units on Boetsch/Ring distance (-140), Not Gomi by Sub (-1854), & Not Maynard inside distance (-1117) to win 4.694 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 3.225 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Aldo/Florian Starts Rnd 2 (-345), & Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.617 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 0.647 units on Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 (-302), & Guillard by Decision (+509) to win 4.598 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 1.293 units on Not Pettis by TKO/KO (-1142), Guillard/Lauzon Starts Round 2 (-222), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-570), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-306), Maynard/Edgar Starts Round 2 (-1225), & GSP (-400) to win 3.008 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 3.23 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 at (-345), Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.634 units.


                                                                  Parlay: 0.641 units on Wiman by Decision (+157), Mighty Mouse/Cruz to Go the Distance (-210), Not Lauzon by Decision (-1297), Maynard by Decision (+198), & Not Dos Santos by Decision (-887) to win 8.043 units;


                                                                  0.97 units on Lauzon by Submission at +645 to win 6.255 units;


                                                                  2.5 units on Jeremy Stephens at +252 to win 6.3 units;


                                                                  0.953 units on Aldo by TKO/KO at +137.5 to win 1.31 units;


                                                                  0.128 units on Maia by TKO/KO at +1100 to win 1.408 units.

                                                                  Adding:


                                                                  Parlay: 6.427 units on Simpson/Schafer to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Dawson by Decision (+118), & GSP (-400) to win 21.701 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 6.427 units on Beltran/Miocic to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-150), Not Santiago by Submission (-4950), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-544), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 (-870) to win 7.997 units;


                                                                  Parlay: 6.427 units on Simpson/Schafer to Go Over 1.5 Rounds (-165), Not Garcia by Submission (-1750), & Edgar/Maynard Starts Round 2 to win 5.739 units;


                                                                  1.285 units on Massenzio/Cantwell to Go Over 2.5 Rounds at +110 to win 1.414 units.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Educ8d Degener8
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-12-10
                                                                    • 3177

                                                                    #2798
                                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                    I got the +1100 on Paddypower a couple days ago. It came out at +600 or something on 5dimes/Sportbet.
                                                                    Ah, I was gonna say, I've been hawking 5dimes for that prop, and the first line i saw was +565... Good on you with that paddypower bud
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kiefynugs
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-20-10
                                                                      • 572

                                                                      #2799
                                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                      Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-544)
                                                                      Doesn't seem like great value to me but I suppose a Stann round 1 KO is unlikely
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vaughany
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                                        • 45563

                                                                        #2800
                                                                        Originally posted by kiefynugs
                                                                        Doesn't seem like great value to me but I suppose a Stann round 1 KO is unlikely
                                                                        Its unlikely, and Ill be adding Stann KO of the Night at +1400 as a back up
                                                                        Comment
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