Vaughany's MMA Picks...

**BIGDAY** · 09-06-12, 10:28 AM

I hope to get a decent line on Aldo/Edgar sees Rd 2 or 3 maybe, depending on line of course.

**Vaughany** · 09-06-12, 10:28 AM

yep, agreed. Big part of why I (and most who thought Hendo would win) backed Hendo was because of his powerful leg kicks. Aldo might not be the size of HEnderson but clearly his leg-kicks are brutal and no doubt will be looking to land these and most likely will.

**Vaughany** · 09-06-12, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by AdamB

I have Aldo, plus the parlay I mentioned above - I will definitely get on Aldo ITD if it's evens or better. I assume there's no prop lines out for this fight yet?

Just fight goes distance on sportbet

**bogbat** · 09-06-12, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

yep, agreed. Big part of why I (and most who thought Hendo would win) backed Hendo was because of his powerful leg kicks. Aldo might not be the size of HEnderson but clearly his leg-kicks are brutal and no doubt will be looking to land these and most likely will.

Very good point man. I kind of want Edgar to win because he was robbed in Edgar-Henderson II and I also believe he won Edgar-Henderson I. What the hell is he going to do if he loses at this weight class in dominant fashion? Move to 135?

**PunisherIND** · 09-06-12, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by AdamB

I have Aldo, plus the parlay I mentioned above - I will definitely get on Aldo ITD if it's evens or better. I assume there's no prop lines out for this fight yet?

nevermind aldo ITD, you can get fight ends ITD at +175

**face** · 09-06-12, 02:27 PM

aldo usually gives some heavy hits, odds on itd not bad. thanks for talking about the fight

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 02:44 AM

**bogbat** · 09-07-12, 02:58 AM

That's some awkward, amateur, interviewing right there. That guy was just trying to get his rooster sucked.

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 03:09 AM

Originally posted by bogbat

That's some awkward, amateur, interviewing right there. That guy was just trying to get his rooster sucked.

ha some good trolling to be fair..thought it might of been sideloaded

**AdamB** · 09-07-12, 07:59 AM

Anyone else keen on Johnson over Castillo at Evens? Not sure if I'm missing something, but I was incredibly unimpressed by Castillo's latest fight and Johnson gets better every time round. Need to go back and watch some older tape, as I might just be getting things skewed from their most recent performances.

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by AdamB

Anyone else keen on Johnson over Castillo at Evens? Not sure if I'm missing something, but I was incredibly unimpressed by Castillo's latest fight and Johnson gets better every time round. Need to go back and watch some older tape, as I might just be getting things skewed from their most recent performances.

yeah, its on paddy aint it tho so I can only put £16 on it. I'll wait and play Johnson by decision probably. You are right though, I agree that Johnson is showing improvements every fight while Castillo isn't much different to how he was in WEC except obviously more experienced so less errors (such as better defensive grappling) and better cardio but nothing significant. He relies on stealing rounds with his wrestling and size advantage, or landing the big overhand right which is usually telegraphed.

**PunisherIND** · 09-07-12, 08:34 AM

pretty hilarious stuff here. renzo jacks up two would-be muggers, and tweets the play-by-play (start at the bottom):

Could not take a second pic guys sorry, believe I try, as I reach for my iPhone he almost took off :-/ fast mofo

Beautiful state, my lucky day, their bad day... My hand hurts and is here at 9:30am for some training, shoot damn little guy

But I could not help, I could spot them from a mile away, walking was my option, thank you mayor Giuliani, nobody carries a gun in our...

Soft.. All those years in Brazil, without knowing if I would make it home had to count for something, I can't lie I could have jump in a cab

Next time I will use only the elbows, damn I miss that feeling, sometimes I wonder if the easy life has been making me

Whispering at his ears.. That's what death feels like it.. Don't do that again. My ******* hand hurts, :-/ a lot

And before he woke up I did hit each eye socket at least twice, tomorrow he will wake up like a raccoon, and every time he woke up I was...

Be enough... Dumb f%#^ I just gave him the old style Raccoon, it has been a while since the last time I did.. Choke him out 3 times...

There is basic things like you don't come back to where the problem was.. You just don't, I knew he would, just going around the block would

I knew it ;-) yessss

Drove around two blocks... The other fellow disappear, I'm heading home... Angry for not finding the second one. Guess no sleeping tonight

My ******* hands hurt, hurt like hell...

I can't help but take a pic as his nose bleeds and he wines and asks why did I do that... Like he doesn't know the reason...

The certainty that if it was an ordinary man he would be sad about his stolen goods. ******* oyster cries like a bitch when the tide turns...

I ask him if he was planing to rob me, he says no. All he wanted was a cigarette, lol I can't help but have a big smile upon my face, and ..

This one asks me why did I do that, pretending to be stupid, one little kick to the ribs makes him whine and apologize, as I'm writing this.

Back as he runs, no chance to catch him... Even though I began to try to run after him, I realize How slow I was. **** it :-///

My hands hurt... Can't help but look at him the other one took off running, not much of a friend. Chicken :-/ I can still see him, he looks

They are coming closer, asking for a cigaret ;-) lol can't help but have a smile in my face. I don't smoke. Pretend to wobble. They smile

Please hold there for just a couple minutes ;-) be right back

JiuJitsu ;-))) never leave home without it ;-)

I just stop to take a pic, they pretend they are looking at the window, can't lie... My blood runs in a different speed, man I miss Brazil

25th and 10ave ;-) they are getting closer lol ;-)

Renzo_Gracie_BJJ‏@RenzoGracieBJJ

Waiting for them... Are they really thinking I'm drunk??? They have to be kidding. Hahahaha

Renzo_Gracie_BJJ‏@RenzoGracieBJJ

22nd street and 10th ave right now two guys following me, can't help but have a big smile upon my face Im talking about a happy one ;-))))

**AdamB** · 09-07-12, 08:48 AM

Renzo is a ******* nutter. Genuinely doesn't even sound a lot like they were gonna try and mug him. Hahaha.

**PunisherIND** · 09-07-12, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by AdamB

Renzo is a ******* nutter. Genuinely doesn't even sound a lot like they were gonna try and mug him. Hahaha.

lmao that was the best part, he fockin entrapped them acting like he was drunk. love it.

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

pretty hilarious stuff here. renzo jacks up two would-be muggers, and tweets the play-by-play (start at the bottom):

[/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I][/I]

ha most impressive thing is how he managed to tweet all that whilst it was happening!

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 02:04 PM

Having a blinder tonight with the soccer boys...

Couldn't believe getting odds like these for Bosnia -1.5 at half-time when they were 4-0 up. Should of gone full retard on this and added another thousand, was too easssy, ended up winning 8-1 so cleared the -1.5 easily....

10:52am 7-Sep-12

7-Sep-12

Soccer
Handicap

Liechtenstein vs Bosnia-Herzegovina (-1.5) for Game.
[Live! 0-4]

+110

500.00

550.00

10:47am 7-Sep-12

7-Sep-12

Soccer
Handicap

Liechtenstein vs Bosnia-Herzegovina (-1.5) for Game.
[Live! 0-4]

+100

500.00

**Grabaka** · 09-07-12, 02:21 PM

WOW beautiful play

**Imsmarterthanu** · 09-07-12, 02:44 PM

You rule dude

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by Grabaka

WOW beautiful play

Cheers bud, had a perfect night tonight, made at least £1,800....need it though going in to end of month where Im gonna have some big plays on the upcoming MMA events...need some profit from soccer as back-up in case they got

up!

**AdamB** · 09-07-12, 04:03 PM

That's pretty nuts, have they actually paid out? Surely that sounds like an error on the book's part?

**v1y** · 09-07-12, 04:14 PM

god damn that's good vaughny.

how is that line even possible?

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by AdamB

That's pretty nuts, have they actually paid out? Surely that sounds like an error on the book's part?

What the Bosnia play? Definitely not an error, just a gross underestimation of Bosnia's ability to continue scoring goals like they had done in the first half. It was Pinnacle, they very rarely make errors (they credited the winnings to my account straight away). It's pretty common to get lines like that live-in-play, like I got Juventus -1 A.H against Udinese wknd before last at -130 (or close to that) when they were 1-0 up and Udinese's keeper had been sent-off, and ended up winning 4-1. Doesn't always work out right tho, like I had Spezia +0.5 against Verona last wknd. Spezia were 1-0 up but then had two men sent off and Verona equalised and was still 20 mins to play. So I arbed out and took the Verona -0.5 live-in-play on Pinnacle as I was sure they'd find a winner against 9 men and playing at home and the odds were good at +120 or something so I thought that was slightly off as well. Anyway Spezia went and held on to the draw so I ended up not winning anything when I would of won £160 if I'd just stuck with the Spezia +0.5 play.

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by v1y

god damn that's good vaughny.

how is that line even possible?

Perhaps I didnt word it right. They were 4-0 up at half time and I played the -1.5 Asian Handicap. So it starts from scratch, so the 4 goals already scored are irrelevant. So I needed Bosnia to win the second half by 2 goals or more (in addition to the 4 they'd already scored).

**AdamB** · 09-07-12, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Perhaps I didnt word it right. They were 4-0 up at half time and I played the -1.5 Asian Handicap. So it starts from scratch, so the 4 goals already scored are irrelevant. So I needed Bosnia to win the second half by 2 goals or more (in addition to the 4 they'd already scored).

Mate that makes a lot more sense, I thought you were saying you got -1.5 when they were already 4-0 up at +100. Was baffled.

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by AdamB

Mate that makes a lot more sense, I thought you were saying you got -1.5 when they were already 4-0 up at +100. Was baffled.

ha yeah, jus realised that it might of come across like that when I re-read it again a minute ago!

Needed that profit tonight, out in London again tomorrow for a mate's 25th at Cafe De Paris. Gonna be an expensive one me thinks!

**PunisherIND** · 09-07-12, 04:46 PM

I thought AH meant "at halftime" lol.

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

I thought AH meant "at halftime" lol.

ha yeah that's an easy mistake to make! Similar to how PK (Pick 'em) gets mistaken for meaning Penalty Kick!

**PunisherIND** · 09-07-12, 05:45 PM

So this asian handicap thing, does it have anything to do with wang size?

**Vaughany** · 09-07-12, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

So this asian handicap thing, does it have anything to do with wang size?

Well funny you should mention that as, yes, actually it can be applied to wang size. For instance, in it's most basic form, if Cheick Kongo went up against Dave Pee Wee Herman, due to the likelihood of Kongo having a mahoosive hog (as previously determined by WannabetUFC through extensive weigh-in analyis) he would have to have a -4.5 inch asian handicap against Pee Wee. So if Pee Wee's hog turns out to be 5 inches long then he'll be a deserved winner. Though Id be very surprised if Kongo's hog doesn't still reign supreme even with the -4.5 inch asian handicap, so at -110, Kongo -4.5 A.H is the +EV play or sure

**BIGDAY** · 09-07-12, 06:28 PM

**brokenbrain** · 09-07-12, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Well funny you should mention that as, yes, actually it can be applied to wang size. For instance, in it's most basic form, if Cheick Kongo went up against Dave Pee Wee Herman, due to the likelihood of Kongo having a mahoosive hog (as previously determined by WannabetUFC through extensive weigh-in analyis) he would have to have a -4.5 inch asian handicap against Pee Wee. So if Pee Wee's hog turns out to be 5 inches long then he'll be a deserved winner. Though Id be very surprised if Kongo's hog doesn't still reign supreme even with the -4.5 inch asian handicap, so at -110, Kongo -4.5 A.H is the +EV play or sure

Funniest thing I've read on the internet(s) today...brilliant!

**PunisherIND** · 09-07-12, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Well funny you should mention that as, yes, actually it can be applied to wang size. For instance, in it's most basic form, if Cheick Kongo went up against Dave Pee Wee Herman, due to the likelihood of Kongo having a mahoosive hog (as previously determined by WannabetUFC through extensive weigh-in analyis) he would have to have a -4.5 inch asian handicap against Pee Wee. So if Pee Wee's hog turns out to be 5 inches long then he'll be a deserved winner. Though Id be very surprised if Kongo's hog doesn't still reign supreme even with the -4.5 inch asian handicap, so at -110, Kongo -4.5 A.H is the +EV play or sure

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-08-12, 12:08 PM

I will beat Brian Stann and I will fight Anderson Silva."

Quote Michael Bisping

At least he knows he wont beat Andy.

**Vaughany** · 09-09-12, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

I will beat Brian Stann and I will fight Anderson Silva."

Quote Michael Bisping

At least he knows he wont beat Andy.

hahah

**Vaughany** · 09-09-12, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Pending parlays:

				Pending	9/22/12 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Joseph Benavidez -280* vs Demetrious Johnson

1302****5-1	8/3/12 7:16am	$100.00	$1,680.15	Pending	8 Team Parlay
				Win	8/3/12 9:30am Women Intl Soccer 108 USA (W-Olympic) -1 -502* vs New Zealand (W-Olympic)
				Pending	9/8/12 11:00pm Boxing Fighting 102 Andre Ward -300* vs Chad Dawson
				Win	8/4/12 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Mike Swick -220* vs DaMarques Johnson
				Win	8/4/12 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1601 Rani Yahya +140* vs Josh Grispi
				Pending	9/22/12 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Joseph Benavidez -280* vs Demetrious Johnson
				Win	8/4/12 8:30pm Props Fighting 1057 Vera/Rua starts round 2 -240* vs Fight won't start round 2
				Win	8/4/12 8:00pm Props Fighting 1137 Bader/Machida starts round 2 -505* vs Fight won't start round 2
				Win	8/4/12 4:30pm Props Fighting 1803 Omigawa/Gamburyan goes 3 round distance -260*vs Fight won't go 3 round distance


1267**779-1	6/30/12 4:32pm	$200.00	$115.15	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	9/8/12 11:00pm Boxing Fighting 101 Chad Dawson/Andre Ward Over 9½ -550*
				Win	8/4/12 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Mauricio Rua -300* vs Brandon Vera

Perfect night boys...SOG Andre Ward keeps the big parlay alive and the other one hits as well

Made another £150 on Matthyse as well