Boxing/MMA PLAYS

[Handjuice]

Sturm retains the belt by UD


2-0 on my predictions

1-0 on my money pick..+1 unit for the day

Good going!

I was going to tail you but lost some money on the redsox this morning and got a little tentative about risking any more .

[Jordan23]

This is a solid thread. Count me in!

[illmatick]

welcome Jordan.

Handjuice....do you know who's fighting on the undercard for the Wladimir fight this Saturday?


Dwayne Lewis -115 x1
Cary Vanier +175 x.25
Tom Watson +230 x.25

[Vaughany]

Good to see thers at least 3 of us betting on Watson!

[Educ8d Degener8]

welcome Jordan.

Handjuice....do you know who's fighting on the undercard for the Wladimir fight this Saturday?


Dwayne Lewis -115 x1
Cary Vanier +175 x.25
Tom Watson +230 x.25

Was thinking of that Vanier fight -- looked through my previous notes on him in the Bellator thread where I cap'd his bout with Imada and noted his tendency to leave himself open for subs.

Clementi has certainly looked pretty pedestrian lately, but is pretty sub savvy, no?

Is Vanier's standup advantage that great in this one? Kid looked like a fine prospect, just a bit raw. I've not seen him use his wrestling base that much and even if he does, from top position he compromises himself a bit... although after that L to Imada, he's probably been working sub defense like a mofo at the Jackson camp.

+175 is damn tempting I will admit

[illmatick]

Good to see thers at least 3 of us betting on Watson!

JT's skillset peaked about 4 years ago, hopefully Watson has been drilling his takedown defense

[illmatick]

the Imada sub is definitely what prevented me from going big on Vanier, hopefully he'll look to work more of his stand-up against Clementi

Clementi doesn't have the ability to pose the same threats that Imada did on the feet. I wouldn't say Vanier's stand-up is anything special but it's certainly a level or two up from Clementis'

it's good enough to sprawl and brawl his way to a decision, I know that much

Clementi's a legit threat off of his back but he should be at a disadvantage everywhere else, I don't see him taking Vanier down and I don't see him giving Vanier enough trouble standing to warrant a take-down attempt

[illmatick]

added some shark plays

Tarec Saffiedine +200 x.75
Danillo Villefort +325 x.5

[Educ8d Degener8]

Word, I've been snoozing through Clementi's latest bouts, so didn't have a good idea on his side...

Disappointed in the Sokoudju line No value at the open...

GL

[illmatick]

line on Tarec is already dropping, I'm thinking this sucker closes around +140

added .25 more units at +180
Shambari -165 x.75...still have nightmares of the triangle Bryan Baker put him in, I was gonna play him earlier but wasn't sure how much the line would move

[HauntingTheHoly]

Tom Watson is like 90 years old, albeit his swing is amazingly good for his age. But is that really gonna translate into "punching power" when he crosses over to the UFC? These guys from other sports (like James Toney) need to stop thinking they can impose their will on other sports, especially a guy like Watson in the UFC, it's crazy. Reminds me of when Mark McGwire tried to golf on the PGA.

[illmatick]

Tom Watson is like 90 years old, albeit his swing is amazingly good for his age. But is that really gonna translate into "punching power" when he crosses over to the UFC? These guys from other sports (like James Toney) need to stop thinking they can impose their will on other sports, especially a guy like Watson in the UFC, it's crazy. Reminds me of when Mark McGwire tried to golf on the PGA.

this is MMA's Tom Watson http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Tom-Watson-15179

[HauntingTheHoly]

Oh crap. He may do a bit better than the guy I was thinking of.

[Vaughany]

Tom Watson is like 90 years old, albeit his swing is amazingly good for his age. But is that really gonna translate into "punching power" when he crosses over to the UFC? These guys from other sports (like James Toney) need to stop thinking they can impose their will on other sports, especially a guy like Watson in the UFC, it's crazy. Reminds me of when Mark McGwire tried to golf on the PGA.

hahahaahahaha

[illmatick]

added some shark plays

Tarec Saffiedine +200 x.75
Danillo Villefort +325 x.5

Tarec and Villefort lines both moving my way, added on to both

Tarec +165 x.25
Villefort +300 x.25

[snake11eyes]

Tom Watson is like 90 years old, albeit his swing is amazingly good for his age. But is that really gonna translate into "punching power" when he crosses over to the UFC? These guys from other sports (like James Toney) need to stop thinking they can impose their will on other sports, especially a guy like Watson in the UFC, it's crazy. Reminds me of when Mark McGwire tried to golf on the PGA.

LOL. Thats some funny shit. Is he allowed to use his club.

[illmatick]

LOL, I figured he was talking about some old boxer, didn't know he was a golfer

[Vaughany]

LOL. Thats some funny shit. Is he allowed to use his club.

ha I expect Watson to take him to the ground and begin 'teeing' off on JT immediatedly!

[southmadejd]

Lol....that post about Tom Watson just made this thread even greater than it already is.

Illmatik, I am thinking about going kind of big on Vanier.....no way he hasn't been working on his sub defense at Jackson's gym right??

[The HOFF]

LOL, I figured he was talking about some old boxer, didn't know he was a golfer

This is hilarious!

Anyway I jumped on Watson and Villefort too.

[The HOFF]

Are you betting the Jardine Prangley fight? No value with Jardine, but Prangley is now +200 on 5 dimes.

[Vaughany]

This is hilarious!

Anyway I jumped on Watson and Villefort too.

Nice one picking Tom 'The 9-Iron' Watson! Im expecting a hole-in-one with this bet!

[illmatick]

Lol....that post about Tom Watson just made this thread even greater than it already is. Illmatik, I am thinking about going kind of big on Vanier.....no way he hasn't been working on his sub defense at Jackson's gym right??

was wondering where you were south, small play for me, too hard to determine how much his sub defense has improved in just a few months time, either way Clementi is still going to have a huge edge in that aspect

Are you betting the Jardine Prangley fight? No value with Jardine, but Prangley is now +200 on 5 dimes.

decided to stay away, I've been burned by Jardine too many times

love the Villefort play though


God bless Hauntingtheholy....someone give that man a raise

[illmatick]

1-0 on the night +.45 units

decided to just guarntee myself a small profit in the Clementi fight

Clementi -160 x.42

[HauntingTheHoly]

Tom Watson is like 90 years old, albeit his swing is amazingly good for his age. But is that really gonna translate into "punching power" when he crosses over to the UFC? These guys from other sports (like James Toney) need to stop thinking they can impose their will on other sports, especially a guy like Watson in the UFC, it's crazy. Reminds me of when Mark McGwire tried to golf on the PGA.

[illmatick]

Here's my Wladimir vs Peter article,

http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Articles/Sports/15501/boxing-betting-pick-wladimir-klitschko-vs-samuel-peter.aspx

There's one inexcusable fok up that I should apologize ahead of time for, I must have tuned out during the ending of the Chambers fight because I could have swore it went the distance.

Wladimir did indeed knock him out in the 12th round

[snake11eyes]

Nice write up ill. I was going to stay away from this fight. I just don't feel there's value anywhere, but I couldn't help myself. I had to put a small play on Peter +9150 to win in rounds 1-3. I know it's most likely impossible, but they are impossible odds. What do you think.

[illmatick]

Love the play at that price snake, where did you find +9150?....5dimes has 1-3 for peter only at +4875

Peter looked beastly at the weigh-ins, probably close to the best fighting shape he's ever been in. ( came in at 241 pounds)

Peter also sporting an mma shirt...lol

[snake11eyes]

I posted that play when I saw it I guess a little over a week ago in one of the boxing threads. I just looked it's in the super six thread. I was surprised no one else wanted that. I also got Peter in 1-6 for +3850. After round 6 he has no chance. I got both of them at Sportbet. It makes me feel better that Peter is taking this serious and got in condition, but it probably still won't matter. Peter with the mma is funny, but Stewart staring a hole through the scale is even funnier.

[illmatick]

Dwayne Lewis -115 x1
Cary Vanier +175 x.25
Tom Watson +230 x.25

+.62 units tonight

[ddream1]

gl sir

[spargament]

Prangley hasn't faught anyone, Jardines chin borders on Arlovski levels, but I still have a few units on him.

I love the love for Saffedine, and he's normally criminally underrated, but the once criminally overrated Brock Larson is a man on a mission after the embarrassing UFC exit.

[Kaladarus]

I like Sardine here too, but not at the current price. Even at Prangley's current line I don't really like a play on him either. Prangley isn't really a KO fighter and Jardine has survived in the stand up against much better KO fighters. Jardine should be able to out score him if it goes to a decision also.

[illmatick]

added some shark plays Tarec Saffiedine +200 x.75 Danillo Villefort +325 x.5

line on Tarec is already dropping, I'm thinking this sucker closes around +140 added .25 more units at +180 Shambari -165 x.75

Tarec and Villefort lines both moving my way, added on to both Tarec +165 x.25 Villefort +300 x.25

recap for tonight

Tarec +200 x.75
Tarec +180 x.25
Tarec +165 x.25

Villefort +325 x.5
Villefort +300 x.25

Wladimir vs Peter

Fight won't go distance -290 x1.5

[illmatick]

Wladimir vs Peter

Fight won't go distance -290 x1.5

+.5 units

easy money. Wladimir wins by TKO