UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith (March 02, 2019)

[Hugo de Naranja]

Intereating, Hugo.

Do you only do this w/ 5 rounders?

Or 3 rounders same thing, after 1 round?

Three rounders too if I get positive odds after R1. It's been a VERY profitable angle for me.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Picks:
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Macy Chiasson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Charles Byrd Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Diego Sanchez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Cody Stamann Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Misha Cirkunov Round 1 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Zabit Magomedsharipov Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cody Garbrandt Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Weili Zhang Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Ben Askren Unanimous Decision (30-24 x3)
Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (49-46 x2, 48-47)
Jon Jones Round 1 TKO (Elbows and Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Viana vs. Cifers
Viana ITD (-103) -1.03u
Viana KO/TKO (+775) -.5u

Result: Hannah Cifers Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -1.53u
Card: -1.53u

Fight #2: Chiasson vs. Mazany
Chiasson+Mazany Won’t Go Distance (-105) +1u
Chiasson Round 1 (+170) +0.85u
Chiasson KO/TKO (+325) +3.25u

Result: Macy Chiasson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +5.1u
Card: +3.57u

Fight #3: Byrd vs. Shahbazyan
Byrd (+150) -2u
Byrd Submission (+410) -.5u

Hedge:
Shahbazyan Round 1 (+350) +2.63u

Result: Edmen Shahbazyan Round 1 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
Fight: +0.13u
Card: +3.7u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #4: Sanchez vs. Gall
Sanchez (+285) +10.26u
Sanchez Round 3 (+2930) -.25u

Hedge:
Gall KO/TKO (+280) -.5u

Added Hedge(s):
Gall Round 1 (+250) -1u
Gall KO/TKO (+305) -.5u

Result: Diego Sanchez Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +8.01u
Card: +11.71u

Fight #5: Stamann vs. Perez
Stamann Decision (-110) +1u

Added:
Stamann Scorecards = No Action (+190) +0u

Result: Cody Stamann Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: +1u
Card: +12.71u

Fight #6: Cirkunov vs. Walker
Cirkunov+Walker Won’t Start Round 2 (-108) +1.5u
Cirkunov (+120) -2u
Cirkunov ITD (+177) -1u
Cirkunov+Walker Under 60 Seconds (+900) +4.5u

Hedge:
Walker Round 1 (+165) +1.65u

Added Hedge(s):
Walker Submission (+1350) -.5u
Walker Decision (+1350) -.25u

Result: Johnny Walker Round 1 TKO (Flying Knee and Punches)
Fight: +3.9u
Card: +16.61u

Fight #7: Magomedsharipov vs. Stephens
Magomedsharipov Submission (+320) -1u
Magomedsharipov Round 2 (+650) -.5u
Magomedsharipov Round 3 (+1125) -.25u

Hedge:
Stephens Round 3 (+1475) -.25u

Added Hedge(s):
Stephens KO/TKO (+365) -.5u
Stephens Round 2 (+850) -.25u

Result: Zabit Magomedsharipov Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -2.75u
Card: +13.86u

Main Card:

Fight #8: Garbrandt vs. Munhoz
Garbrandt Decision (+321) -.5u

Hedge:
Munhoz Submission (+475) -.5u

Added:
Garbrandt Round 1 (+375) -.5u

Result: Pedro Munhoz Round 1 KO (Punches)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: +12.36u

Fight #9: Zhang vs. Torres
Zhang (-150) +1u
Zhang ITD (+365) -.5u

Added:
Zhang (-125) +1u

Added Hedge:
Torres ITD (+850) -.25u

Result: Weili Zhang Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: +1.25u
Card: +13.61u

Fight #10: Askren vs. Lawler
Askren -3.5 (+119) +4u

Hedge(s):
Lawler KO/TKO (+430) -1u
Lawler Round 1 (+700) -.25u

Added:
Askren+Lawler Under 2.5 (+200) +2u
Askren ITD (+480) +2.4u

Result: Ben Askren Round 1 Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke)
Fight: +7.15u
Card: +20.76u

Fight #11: Woodley (C) vs. Usman
Usman+Woodley Goes Distance (-105) +1u
Usman (+153) +4.6u
Usman Unanimous Decision (+445) +2.23u
Usman Round 4 (+1750) .-1u
Usman Round 5 (+2250) -.1u

Hedge(s):
Woodley Round 1 (+500) -.5u
Woodley Round 2 (+700) -.25u
Woodley Split/Majority Decision (+890) -.25u

Added:
Usman KO/TKO (+640) -.25u

Added Hedge:
Woodley Round 1 (+400) -.5u

Result: Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-44 x2)
Fight: +5.88u
Card: +26.64u

Fight #12: Jones (C) vs. Smith
Jones Round 1 (+150) -1u
Jones Submission (+200) -1u
Jones Unanimous Decision (+975) +4.88u

Hedge:
Smith KO/TKO (+1125) -.5u

Added:
Jones KO/TKO (-130) -1.95u
Jones+Smith Won’t Start Round 2 (+201) -.5u

Result: Jon Jones Unanimous Decision (48-44 x3)
Fight: -0.07u
Card: +26.57u

Straight Parlays:
Magomedsharipov/Askren (-107) +1u
Chiasson/Garbrandt (+100) -2.02u

Added:
Sanchez/Stamann/Cirkunov (+1153) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.52u
Card: +25.05u

Prop Parlays:
Cirkunov+Walker WGD/Askren+Lawler GD (-111) -1.11u
Byrd+Shahbazyan WGD/Stamann+Perez GD (+109) +1.09u

Added:
Byrd+Shahbazyan WGD/Jones (-137) +.75u
Magomedsharipov -3.5/Jones (-111) -2u
Cirkunov/Magomedsharipov -3.5/Garbrandt/Zhang (+1184) -.5u
Sanchez Decision/Cirkunov+Walker WSR2/Usman UD/Jones KO (+7227) -.25u
Byrd ITD/Sanchez Decision/Cirkunov+Walker WSR2/Usman UD (+13216) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: -2.27u
Card: +22.78u

Live Betting:
Usman+Woodley Goes Distance (-160) +1u after R2
Usman (-140) +1u after R1
Torres (+250) -.5u after R2
Perez (+280) -.25u after R2
Perez (+300) -.5u after R2
Stephens (+300) -.5u after R1
Jones+Smith Goes Distance (+400) +2u after R1
Woodley (+550) -1u after R3

Results: See Above
Fights: +1.25u
Card: +24.03u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+293) -.5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+798) -.5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2650) -.1u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+12300) -.1u

FOTN: Garbrandt+Munhoz
POTN: Walker, Sanchez
Fastest Submission: Askren R1 (3:20)
Fastest KO: Walker R1 (0:36)
Decisions: 6
Results: See Above
Fights: -1.2u
Final Card Total = +22.83u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Jones/Means (-131) 2.63u to win 2u
Adesanya -3.5/Askren (-119) +1u
Yan/Askren (-113) +4u
Amosov/Askren (-110) +2u
Yan/Magomedsharipov (+102) +1.02u
Askren/Till (+110) 1u
Yan/Magomedsharipov (+111) +1.11u
Ismagulov/Magomedsharipov (+114) +1.14u
Garbrandt/Dariush (+145) -.75u
Stamann/Means (+147) 1u

Added:
Jones/Adesanya (-134) 2.68u to win 2u

Results: See Above
Fights: +9.52u, 7.31u of MEPs Carry Over to Future Events
Multi-Event Parlays = +9.52u, 7.31u of MEPs Carry Over to Future Events

[Hugo de Naranja]

Another strong event result. Interested to see if I can keep the heater going with the Wichita card. That's a tricky one.

[slikec]

Thx Hugo for Sanchez value bet--> told when line was insane My biggest win last 5 years for sure