UFC 99 - Upset Minded in Germany

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC 99 - Upset Minded in Germany
    Saturday’s UFC 99 event held in Germany is the prelude to the big century celebration in a few weeks. I have to say that I’m impressed with the card that they have put together right before the big 100. There are four fights that I absolutely cannot wait to watch and a handful of others that hold some interest as well. Be sure to make your plays early as the fights will begin around noon ET. Also be sure to make your entries in SBR’s first ever UFC Capping Contest which will offer cash prizes at 5dimes for the winners. For my plays, I won’t be upset if there are more than a few upsets.

    Rich Franklin -145
    Wanderlei Silva +125

    Can you believe that Rich Franklin (26-4-0) finally lost to someone NOT named Anderson Silva? Me neither, but Dan Henderson was able to eek out a split decision win over Ace in his last fight.

    Franklin remains one of the faces of the UFC. This event has been receiving some negative publicity from the ignorant German media and it has been Franklin who has taken on the role of ambassador, assuring the press that everything will be OK. They seem to be listening, but probably because they think that it’s Jim Carrey talking to them.

    Speaking of those movie star good looks, I’m thinking that Franklin gets “uglied up” a bit by The Axe Murderer. Silva (32-9-1) has taken on some big names since joining the UFC. He lost to Chuck Liddell, completely manhandled Keith Jardine, and most recently he was knocked out in brutal fashion by his old nemesis Quinton Jackson. He’s actually on quite a slide as he lost to Dan Henderson and Mirko Cro Cop just before coming to the UFC. Silva is obviously at the tail end of an amazing career, but does that mean that he is completely out of gas? I think not.

    Time to get uglied up again!


    Wanderlei is still a premier striker in this game and my take is that he we be able to withstand what Franklin has to offer and then perform some serious damage with his fists. Franklin himself described Silva as a blender because “Once his arms start moving, bad things happen.” I know that this is true because I watched ‘Gremlins’ when I was a kid.

    Cain Velasquez -195
    Cheick Kongo +168

    Kongo (24-4-1) is a late replacement for Heath Herring in this fight which virtually guarantees that nobody will be knocked out during the ref’s opening instructions to the fighters. Bummer.

    You want to talk about some serious line movement, Kongo opened up as a -170 favorite. Bettors jumped all over Velasquez (5-0-0) who is now the heavy chalk. So I should be smart and jump on Velasquez as well, right? Wrong.

    I may be the only one, but I’m taking the guy with the coolest name and most ridiculous body in the UFC. I’m going to start calling Kongo the Black Adonis. I’m not gay, but I’m just saying. You know what I’m saying? I think you do.

    Behold The Black Adonis


    I realize that Velasquez has quite a buzz about him right now. All five of his victories have come via early TKO. He is a beast but as of yet, unproven against a fighter of Kongo’s level. The Black Adonis has won three straight and looks to be improving as he chugs along. His cardio is always a bit of a question so the longer this fight goes on, the better Velasquez’s chances become. But if things go my way, Kongo imposes his will early, using his massive frame to batter his opponent. If this happens, Cain won’t be Abel to murder anyone on this day. (I kill me.)

    Mike Swick -235
    Ben Saunders +195

    I see Fight of the Night potential in this battle of tall and lean. Swick (13-2-0) has established himself as an exciting athlete while running up a 10-2 record in the UFC. In his last matchup he battered Jonathan Goulet with a flurry of head shots and ended the fight in just 33 seconds. I’m a fan of Swick’s style, but I like his opponent even more.

    Saunders has kneeds


    Ben Saunders (7-0-2) just about murdered poor Brandon Wolff in December. It was two straight minutes of knees that left Wolff with a second head growing out of his forehead. Saunders was smiling for the entire assault because that’s what he does – he smiles a lot. Should he pull the upset, I’ll be smiling right along with him. I think these guys are pretty evenly matched and at nearly 2-to-1 odds I’ll be on Killa B Saunders.

    Marcus Davis -210
    Dan Hardy +175

    Some of you may know that I enjoy the fine art of trash talking from time to time. I can also appreciate others who excel at this fine art form. Well Dan Hardy (21-6-0) is a professional trash talker. He has made Davis (21-5-0) very, very angry and has set the stage for a good old fashioned hate match. What fun!

    I’m not sure if Davis is on some form of punishment or something, but this will be his seventh straight fight in Europe. He has taken out some of Britain’s top talent, and would love to add Hardy to his list of English victims. He had an 11-fight win streak snapped a year ago when he dropped a decision to Swick. He’s back to his winning ways in beating his last two opponents. Now “The Irish Hand Grenade” will face Hardy.

    At 27, Hardy is seven years younger than the 35 year old Davis, but at times he acts like a complete child. I love him. He says that he got into fighting because he wanted to be a Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle. My friend English Mike would describe Hardy as being “crackers.”

    He has been taunting Davis since this fight was announced. He encouraged his fans to photoshop unflattering pictures of him. He has called him a fake Irishman. He described Davis’ website as looking like a St. Patrick’s Day parade that blew up. This is all pretty funny stuff, but I hope it does not backfire on him. If you’re going to talk this much smack, you have to back it up. But I’m in way too deep with my upset-minded mentality and I can’t stop now. Davis is so riled up that I think he could lose his game plan in the Octagon and make a mistake. Upset day in Germany! Brot benötigt Geld!

    Dan Hardy is crackers

  • illmatick
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-05-09
    • 5451

    #2
    Fanklin is a fraud, Bread Wandy is a wise guy play, i have cain at +130 and marcus in a parlay, I see a gnp ud for marcus and knowing we have plus money In the kongo fight makes us automatic winners ,that fight should be a pick-em if ever such a fight existed, hard for muscular guys like Kongo to carry their power into the later rounds but Cain's standup does leave a lot to be desired and Kongo may just get the first round K.o, but lookout if he doesnt hurt him early because Cain will slowly start to take control of the fight the longer it goes, gl and nice job with the contest, we should have more of them
    Last edited by illmatick; 06-13-09, 07:47 AM.
    Comment
    • Riot
      Restricted User
      • 04-16-09
      • 437

      #3
      Wow there. I think Franklins weakness is his ability to take a punch, and he didnt go all out vs henderson. But iv trained with the guy, he knows his stuff, hes so good at finding weakness's and hes got the best Cardio in MMA. Cant say the same for Wandy. Franklin could lose, but hes no Fraud.

      I like both guys way to much to make a play on this. Iv learned alot from Franklin and iv tried to model my fighting style off of Wandy ... so i hope for a draw lol
      Comment
      • j0hnnyv
        SBR MVP
        • 01-06-09
        • 3620

        #4
        franklin will destroy wanderlei and hopefully he will finally retire. axe murder cant murder an ant these days. i love the kongo pick, valasquez is being really overhyped. kongo can fight with him, he is way more seasoned and has mean ground and pound. all guy has been doing is winning. I do like cro cop to get a win tomorrow nite...rest of my picks in the contest thread. good luck bread
        Comment
        • Willie Bee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-14-06
          • 15726

          #5
          Man, that Saunders clip is brutal. Really causing a struggle inside me between my warm, gentle human side and the bloodthirsty sadist within me. Let me watch it again and see if the same thing happens.
          Comment
          • BGS 9.5
            SBR MVP
            • 01-10-08
            • 4628

            #6
            I think I an going to get this card tonight. GL with those BreadBox...
            Comment
            • Bread
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-16-08
              • 23726

              #7
              I agree that the Kongo victory totally relies on him inflicting some serious damage early. Because let's face it, The Black Adonis isn't taking a beast like Cain out in the 3rd. No way, no how.

              But I love that plus money on him regardless.
              Comment
              • Riot
                Restricted User
                • 04-16-09
                • 437

                #8
                Kongos Weakness is the ground, Cain is great at takedowns, and has a good chin. I think this fight favors Cain, but as i have said many times, shit happens in MMA. Thats why i got both guys when they were underdogs so im getting paid either way !!!!
                Comment
                • Bread
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-16-08
                  • 23726

                  #9
                  Yea if you jumped on Cain early and Kongo late you are sitting pretty for sure. That was some ridiculous line movement.
                  Comment
                  • The HOFF
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-08
                    • 4847

                    #10
                    Another upset to take a look at is Al-Turk over Cro Cop. Mirko looked like he's had a few Big Macs since last fighting in the UFC.
                    Comment
                    • Robyn
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-05-08
                      • 9681

                      #11
                      Hoff, for good measure, I put some money earlier on all Al Turk.
                      Comment
                      • Riot
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-16-09
                        • 437

                        #12
                        lol i told you guys to jump on the Todd Duffee or Crop cop vs Al Turk bet while it lasted. I now have Cro Cop +300 vs Al Turk +285 ... so im looking good on that one to. I also God Ricky Story when he was pretty high and the Hathaway while he was -135. So the only fight i stand to lose money on is my small Play on Sobatto and my -190 play on Fisher. All and all , i can not lose any money on this Card. So i feel good .

                        Future line movemnet Joe Stevenson Vs Nate Diaz. Joe is +105 now and should be Fav by Fight time !
                        Comment
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