UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway (June 03, 2017)

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  • JIBBBY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-10-09
    • 83693

    #176
    Originally posted by Sanity Check
    70% of everything I had on Pereira ML.
    Nice Sanity.. We both got that..
    Comment
    • JIBBBY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-10-09
      • 83693

      #177
      Next... Another small one.. Probably should be betting more.. . Hoping to remain perfect with this card and this...

      $50.00 $95.00 Pending 6/3/17 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1831 Alcantara wins by submission +190* vs Any other result
      Comment
      • Hugo de Naranja
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-16
        • 14140

        #178
        Won't be posting much during the event since I have some friends over to watch. best of luck all!
        Comment
        • turbozed
          SBR MVP
          • 10-15-08
          • 2435

          #179
          Nobody is liking Kelleher here. All money coming in on Alcantara, now -367/+300. Didn't like the way Alcantara looked against Luke Sanders. No idea if Kelleher can ground and control Alcantara but might be worth a look at these odds.
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83693

            #180
            That's a shocker, wonder what that odds on that sub are?
            Comment
            • JC2008
              SBR MVP
              • 02-27-08
              • 2258

              #181
              F UCK sakes
              Comment
              • turbozed
                SBR MVP
                • 10-15-08
                • 2435

                #182
                Woah! Kelleher with the big upset. Went small on ML and u2.5 there.
                Comment
                • spurginobili
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-09-09
                  • 3065

                  #183
                  Damn, that killed 2 parlays

                  shit
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83693

                    #184
                    Originally posted by turbozed
                    Nobody is liking Kelleher here. All money coming in on Alcantara, now -367/+300. Didn't like the way Alcantara looked against Luke Sanders. No idea if Kelleher can ground and control Alcantara but might be worth a look at these odds.
                    Good post turbo, you called that right, hope you played it.. Big dog hit there.. I can only imagine that sub prop being +1000 or more..

                    I guess that really is his go to move..
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83693

                      #185
                      He says " I though he wouldn't tap" Crowd killing him now.. Lol...
                      Comment
                      • turbozed
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-15-08
                        • 2435

                        #186
                        Talking shit to the Rio crowd lol. Overdue IMO.
                        Comment
                        • Shagdogy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-16-10
                          • 3564

                          #187
                          Alcantara apparently didn't do his HW. Most people can't finish guillotines that way, but some guys just have a guillotine you can't disrespect. That's his 5th guillotine win. Never shoulda stuck his head in there.
                          Comment
                          • JIBBBY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-10-09
                            • 83693

                            #188
                            Originally posted by turbozed
                            Talking shit to the Rio crowd lol. Overdue IMO.
                            He better find the back utility exit to this arena on the way out!!

                            Rio fans didn't appreciate that comment.. Brazilians take pride in their Jits skills, like Americans take pride in our wrestling..

                            I could understand why the crowd got restless..
                            Comment
                            • turbozed
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-15-08
                              • 2435

                              #189
                              Originally posted by JIBBBY
                              Good post turbo, you called that right, hope you played it.. Big dog hit there.. I can only imagine that sub prop being +1000 or more..

                              I guess that really is his go to move..
                              All I had to go on with Kelleher was some 3+ year old fights on Youtube and a few minute highlight reel, so went small. I didn't think it would be by sub though. Was thinking power takedowns and ground strikes.
                              Comment
                              • turbozed
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-15-08
                                • 2435

                                #190
                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                He better find the back utility exit to this arena on the way out!!

                                Rio fans didn't appreciate that comment.. Brazilians take pride in their Jits skills, like Americans take pride in our wrestling..

                                I could understand why the crowd got restless..
                                I always thought the "you're going to die" chant was a bit classless by the Brazilian crowds. Very ballsy for Kelleher to call them out on it, if not too smart. Brave, crazy, and/or stupid. LOL
                                Comment
                                • JIBBBY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 83693

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by turbozed
                                  All I had to go on with Kelleher was some 3+ year old fights on Youtube and a few minute highlight reel, so went small. I didn't think it would be by sub though. Was thinking power takedowns and ground strikes.
                                  Looking at his numbers this actually was a good dog play.. I just wasn't sure about betting against Alcantara in Brazil..

                                  That had value for sure.. I didn't see it.. Sub wins were at 44%



                                  Iuri
                                  Alcantara
                                  "Marajo"
                                  vs
                                  Brian
                                  Kelleher
                                  "Boom"

                                  BRAZIL
                                  Country
                                  UNITED STATES

                                  34-7-0, 1NC
                                  Record
                                  16-7-0

                                  38%
                                  KO/TKO
                                  38%

                                  38%
                                  SUB
                                  44%


                                  21%
                                  DEC
                                  19%

                                  69 in
                                  Height
                                  66 in

                                  135 lbs
                                  Weight
                                  135 lbs

                                  71 in
                                  Reach
                                  66 in

                                  40 in
                                  Leg Reach
                                  38 in
                                  Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-03-17, 07:31 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83693

                                    #192
                                    Under 2.5 for me in this next one.. That's it.. Went small only because they are small BW's... Couldn't bet a benny..

                                    $50.00 $50.00 Pending 6/3/17 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1701 Matthew Lopez/Johnny Eduardo Under 2½ +100*
                                    Comment
                                    • Sanity Check
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-30-13
                                      • 10962

                                      #193
                                      Lopez is a decorated wrestler.

                                      Eduardo is Jose Aldo's teammate. A lot of guys training out of Aldo's gym(Nova Uniao) have very good takedown defense.

                                      Passing on this one but felt tempted to go small on Eduardo.
                                      Comment
                                      • JIBBBY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-10-09
                                        • 83693

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by Sanity Check
                                        Lopez is a decorated wrestler.

                                        Eduardo is Jose Aldo's teammate. A lot of guys training out of Aldo's gym(Nova Uniao) have very good takedown defense.

                                        Passing on this one but felt tempted to go small on Eduardo.
                                        Hmmmm? Both have solid finishing percentages. Went with the numbers at even odds.. Glad I only bet $50.. Sounds like you capped this fight better then I did..
                                        Comment
                                        • turbozed
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-08
                                          • 2435

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                          Under 2.5 for me in this next one.. That's it.. Went small only because they are small BW's... Couldn't bet a benny..

                                          $50.00 $50.00 Pending 6/3/17 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1701 Matthew Lopez/Johnny Eduardo Under 2½ +100*
                                          Tailed you and Hugo here. That was easy!
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83693

                                            #196
                                            Should have stopped that sooner.. Dude was taking damage.. That works Under hits with ease..
                                            Comment
                                            • Sanity Check
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-30-13
                                              • 10962

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                              Under 2.5 for me in this next one.. That's it.. Went small only because they are small BW's... Couldn't bet a benny..

                                              $50.00 $50.00 Pending 6/3/17 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1701 Matthew Lopez/Johnny Eduardo Under 2½ +100*
                                              Good call.

                                              Didn't think Eduardo would make it that easy.
                                              Comment
                                              • NUTSonYAchin
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 05-08-17
                                                • 337

                                                #198
                                                What up to all my niggaz?!!!! Good luck to everyone tonight. I got my 2 joints, 6 pack of beer, and a half 8th and my bong next to my laptop watching hockey and UFC...life is good!
                                                Comment
                                                • spicollifcfd
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-03-15
                                                  • 662

                                                  #199
                                                  Nice call bro thanks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shagdogy
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-16-10
                                                    • 3564

                                                    #200
                                                    Hit Lopez and the under. Boom. The line movement can make you nervous but looks like the initial Lopez read was dead on. Ground game no contest.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83693

                                                      #201
                                                      Junior by sub next hopefully.. Not confident only bet $50 again.. Spicey decent on the ground could defend submission maybe...

                                                      Rolling the dice could go to decision....

                                                      $50.00 $150.00 Pending 6/3/17 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1631 Junior wins by submission +300* vs Any other result
                                                      Comment
                                                      • turbozed
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-15-08
                                                        • 2435

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                        Junior by sub next hopefully.. Not confident only bet $50 again.. Spicey decent on the ground could defend submission maybe...

                                                        Rolling the dice could go to decision....

                                                        $50.00 $150.00 Pending 6/3/17 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1631 Junior wins by submission +300* vs Any other result
                                                        Carlos Jr seems to be happy with dominant position and doesn't go for broke for the finish. But maybe he will be a bit more ballsy in front of a Brazilian crowd.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ty$
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-20-16
                                                          • 1241

                                                          #203
                                                          Jus getting to watching. 1 dog hit huh? Didn't expect that. Not bets til Medeiros.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83693

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by turbozed
                                                            Carlos Jr seems to be happy with dominant position and doesn't go for broke for the finish. But maybe he will be a bit more ballsy in front of a Brazilian crowd.
                                                            I know.. That's why I also hit this.. Little back up as I do think Junior wins this fight.. My only parlay on this card.. I probably should have got creative and done more..


                                                            $100.00 $76.00 Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                            Pending 6/3/17 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1302 Paulo Henrique Costa -265* vs Oluwale Bamgbose
                                                            Pending 6/3/17 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Antonio Carlos Junior -360* vs Eric Spicely
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Shagdogy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-16-10
                                                              • 3564

                                                              #205
                                                              Tempted to play ACJ/Spicely doesn't go the distance, but ACJ doesn't have killer instinct and could just stay on top for 3rds. Laying off.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-14-16
                                                                • 14140

                                                                #206
                                                                Having Carlos Junior sub to close out a prop parlay. Let's get it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 04-14-16
                                                                  • 14140

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                                  Tempted to play ACJ/Spicely doesn't go the distance, but ACJ doesn't have killer instinct and could just stay on top for 3rds. Laying off.
                                                                  Really? He has multiple UFC submissions in R3.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                                    • 83693

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Winner of season 3 Tuf Brazil show I can't fathom Junior losing to Spicely in Brazil.. I hope I'm right on this...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83693

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                                      Tempted to play ACJ/Spicely doesn't go the distance, but ACJ doesn't have killer instinct and could just stay on top for 3rds. Laying off.
                                                                      I thought about the under 2.5 but the odds weren't good enough..

                                                                      UFC 212 - Middleweight 3 rounds - HSBC Arena - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil - FS1
                                                                      Sat 6/3 1601 Eric Spicely +300 o2½ -115
                                                                      9:00PM 1602 Antonio Carlos Junior -360 u2½ -105
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mdunlap3
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-18-13
                                                                        • 1847

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Sorry guys, just checking in now. Finally was able to get away from the lady for a few hours (priorities ). How are we doing men? Hugo,JIBBS? Big fatties thus far?
                                                                        Comment
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