i ADORE smolka at +220

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-12-17, 11:19 PM

Originally posted by rockmvp1209

i have a gut gut feeling about betting smolka?? anyone say otherwise and why

I agree. I'm playing him for a unit. Elliott is not good. Shouldn't be a (-300) against anyone.

**firekillex** · 04-13-17, 01:26 AM

gonna come down to who wins the scrambles, Smolka really needs this win but Elliot will come in super hungry and motivated after getting back to the UFC and having a good showing vs Mighty Mouse.... i think its 50/50 scrap so +200 is a great price for value i will be on this as well

**GoBlue77** · 04-14-17, 01:13 AM

smolka is the skinniest looking wimp in the UFC. agree tho, never bet smoke as a fave and these odds are dumb

**Squareguy** · 04-14-17, 11:46 AM

Definitely weird odds.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-17, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by GoBlue77

smolka is the skinniest looking wimp in the UFC. agree tho, never bet smoke as a fave and these odds are dumb

He is a total beanpole.

**firekillex** · 04-14-17, 12:37 PM

guy looked like a ghost on the scales... exactly like last fight and he came out looking terrible
was waiting to see him at weigh ins before my bet... no play now
GL all

**rockmvp1209** · 04-14-17, 01:03 PM

Guys he always has a miserable weight cut I personally have a lot of money on him

**Shagdogy** · 04-14-17, 02:11 PM

I agree the odds are play Smolka or nothing at all, but I don't feel great that he can win. He needs a guy that he can take for a ride with his sweeps, trips, and throws, and Elliott is a bit too strong with his base for all of that. I think he may be able to do what Borg did to Smolka, just not quite as bad.

**Shagdogy** · 04-14-17, 02:15 PM

Maybe Smolka by sub? You KNOW he's gonna attempt every sub he can think of. Dude is so busy. I feel like that's his way to put a quick end to this fight, not strikes.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-17, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Maybe Smolka by sub? You KNOW he's gonna attempt every sub he can think of. Dude is so busy. I feel like that's his way to put a quick end to this fight, not strikes.

Smolka sub is (+1305). Might be worth a poke.

**PaperTrail07** · 04-14-17, 04:04 PM

Down to a like? lol...

**Sanity Check** · 04-14-17, 06:06 PM

Tim Elliott is a lock afaik.

He's the only guy to win a round against Demetrious Johnson in years.

Elliott is good on the ground.

On the ground, is where Louis Smolka lost his last two fights.

**firekillex** · 04-14-17, 07:09 PM

styles make matchups and this is completely different then elliot vs DJ
plus elliot had a huge size advantage vs DJ

still no bet for me now , but Hugo pointed out the +1300 sub prop could be worth a small fun wager

**Sanity Check** · 04-14-17, 07:48 PM

Tim Elliott: lock.

That's all that needs to be said.

**TPowell** · 04-15-17, 11:42 AM

Smolka by SUB is a STEAL. I have my worries that Elliot easily out-works and out-toughs him here but no way I'm playing overhyped Elliot at -300. Line is down to -200 now which is about right

**Sanity Check** · 04-15-17, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Tim Elliott: lock.

That's all that needs to be said.

Its nice to finally get one right & pretend I know what I'm talking about.

**GoBlue77** · 04-15-17, 05:45 PM

smoke still a wimp, nothing to see here

and this dude was saying he was going to be the best ever LMAO

**rockmvp1209** · 04-15-17, 11:40 PM

Yea I personally lost a lot on smoke