UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum (March 11, 2017)

[Shagdogy]

Costa 3u, -285
Lee 3u, -185
Means 1.8u, -180
Borg 1.27u, -127

That's it for now. Good luck.

[JIBBBY]

I've decided I'm leaning and going with the Brazilians in this event.. Throwing my capping logic out the window on a few of these fights now.....

Changed my mind and I'm going with Trinaldo and Shogun now... I can't bet against those 2 guys fighting in Brazil.. Was originally on the wrestler Kevin Lee but I think he gets clipped and dropped.. Shogun in Brazil is just gonna be a tough out period.. I'll take my chances with Shogun..

Gonna try Means, Daruish, Gas.. Not going with the Brazilians in those 3 fights... Was leaning Edson Barboza originally but Daruish is so well rounded and solid in all areas I just have hard time fading him now.. Daruish ITD for me...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Costa 3u, -285
Lee 3u, -185
Means 1.8u, -180
Borg 1.27u, -127

That's it for now. Good luck.

Best of luck mate.

[JIBBBY]

Here is how I'm playing the card.. Mostly $100 bets. Didn't load up on this event as I don't trust it..
Best I could come up with below - let's get this fellas and make some money!!


1) Costa by KO
2) Jason by Sub, hedged Kennedy by Dec (for profit either way)
3) Prazeres by Dec
4) Yahya straight and by sub small
5) Moreas by Dec
6) Trinaldo by KO
7) Means straight and ITD
8) Reneau straight
9) Formiga straight and by dec small
10) Dariush Straight and ITD
11) Shogun straight
12) Gas by KO

[Hugo de Naranja]

Here is how I'm playing the card.. Mostly $100 bets. Didn't load up on this event as I don't trust it..
Best I could come up with below - let's get this fellas and make some money!!


1) Costa by KO
2) Jason by Sub, hedged Kennedy by Dec (for profit either way)
3) Prazeres by Dec
4) Yahya straight and by sub small
5) Moreas by Dec
6) Trinaldo by KO
7) Means straight and ITD
8) Reneau straight
9) Formiga straight and by dec small
10) Dariush Straight and ITD
11) Shogun straight
12) Gas by KO

[Shagdogy]

I've decided I'm leaning and going with the Brazilians in this event.. Throwing my capping logic out the window on a few of these fights now.....

Changed my mind and I'm going with Trinaldo and Shogun now... I can't bet against those 2 guys fighting in Brazil.. Was originally on the wrestler Kevin Lee but I think he gets clipped and dropped.. Shogun in Brazil is just gonna be a tough out period.. I'll take my chances with Shogun..

Gonna try Means, Daruish, Gas.. Not going with the Brazilians in those 3 fights... Was leaning Edson Barboza originally but Daruish is so well rounded and solid in all areas I just have hard time fading him now.. Daruish ITD for me...

I hear you, but I'm sticking to my gut and going with how I capped them. I am nervous to be on 4 favorites, 3 non Brazilians.

[PaperTrail07]

same bets shag...

[Shagdogy]

same bets shag...

Yup. Let's get it. Excited to watch Costa. He looks to be on a mission. Hoping he can kick McLellan right out of the UFC.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Yup. Let's get it. Excited to watch Costa. He looks to be on a mission. Hoping he can kick McLellan right out of the UFC.

What are the odds that Costa fails a drug test before his next fight?

[Shagdogy]

What are the odds that Costa fails a drug test before his next fight?

Well, we're in Brazil tonight so bet's good right?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Well, we're in Brazil tonight so bet's good right?

Yeah. Dude looks roided as hell though

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Picks:
Paulo Borrachinha Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Jeremy Kennedy Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Rani Yahya Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Sergio Moraes Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Kevin Lee Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Knees and Punches)
Bethe Correia Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Ray Borg Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Edson Barboza Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Mauricio Rua Round 2 KO (Punches)
Kelvin Gastelum Round 2 TKO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Kelvin Gastelum ($9,500)
Tim Means ($9,000)
Kevin Lee ($8,300)
Bethe Correia ($8,000)
Ray Borg ($7,800)
Davi Ramos ($7,400)

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Paulo Borrachinha ($9,100)
Tim Means ($9,000)
Michel Prazeres ($8,900)
Edson Barboza ($8,700)
Davi Ramos ($7,400)
Vitor Belfort ($6,700)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: McLellan vs. Borrachinha (DEBUT)
Borrachinha Round 1 (+115) 1u
Borrachinha Round 2 (+550) .25u

Fight #2: Jason vs. Kennedy
Kennedy Decision (+230) .5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #3: Prazeres vs. Burkman
Prazeres Decision (+100) 3u
Prazeres Submission (+954) 1.5u
Prazeres Round 3 (+1350) .5u

Hedge:
Burkman Decision (+382) .5u

Fight #4: Yahya vs. Soto
Soto Submission (+1145) .75u
Soto Round 3 (+2250) .25u

Fight #5: Moraes vs. Ramos (DEBUT)
Moraes Round 3 (+1100) .75u
Moraes/Ramos Draw (+6000) .25u

Fight #6: Lee vs. Trinaldo
Trinaldo Decision (+305) .5u
Trinaldo KO/TKO (+670) .5u

Hedge:
Lee Submission (+470) .5u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Means vs. Oliveira
Means ITD (-108) 2.7u to win 2.5u
Means KO/TKO (+155) 1u
Means Decision (+374) .5u
Means Round 2 (+450) .25u
Means Round 3 (+900) .1u
Means Submission (+1100) .25u

Hedge:
Oliveira Decision (+475) .5u

Fight #8: Correia vs. Reneau
Correia Decision (+165) 1u

Fight #9: Borg vs. Formiga
Borg Scorecards = No Action (+115) 2u
Borg (+120) .5u

Hedge:
Formiga Submission (+740) .25u

Fight #10: Barboza vs. Dariush
Barboza Scorecards = No Action (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Barboza -3.5 (+155) 1u
Barboza Decision (+162) 1u
Barboza KO/TKO (+422) .25u
Barboza Round 3 (+1550) .25u

Hedge:
Dariush Submission (+875) .5u

Fight #11: Rua vs. Villante
Rua KO/TKO (+210) 1u

Hedge:
Villante KO/TKO (+300) .5u

Fight #12: Gastelum vs. Belfort
Gastelum Round 3 (+1000) .25u

Hedge:
Belfort Round 1 (+750) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Prazeres+Burkman Over 2.5/Gastelum (-108) 2u to win 1.85u
Prazeres/Yahya (+114) 1u
Yahya/Barboza (+147) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Prazeres+Burkman Over 2.5/Gastelum -5.5 (+108) 2u
Not Soto Decision/Means+Oliveira Won’t Go Distance (+108) .5u
Not Jason Decision/Not Prazeres KO/Not Yahya KO/Gastelum -5.5 (+111) .5u
Means Scorecards = No Action/Prazeres Scorecards = No Action (+141) 1u
Rua+Villante Won’t Go Distance/Gastelum KO (+161) 1u
Borrachinha+McClellan Under 1.5/Kennedy/Prazeres -3.5 (+638) .25u
Prazeres Decision/Means ITD/Barboza Decision (+767) .25u
Prazeres Decision/Correia/Barboza -3.5 (+971) .25u
Barboza/Rua/Belfort ITD (+1270) .25u
Means -3.5/Correia Decision/Borg -3.5 (+1294) .25u
Yahya ITD/Ramos+Moraes Won’t Go Distance/Lee -3.5 (+2085) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+145) 1u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+400) .5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1219) .25u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+4575) .1u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Rua/Golovkin ITD (+120) 1u

[Shagdogy]

OMG I hate Bethe Correia. I think Marion Reneau can beat her and will likely land a bit more on her by keeping good control of distance, but this fight will probably be close and go to decision and Bethe is the home team. I wouldn't bet it.

[JIBBBY]

I'm adding Shogun by KO along with my Shogun straight.. Forgot to mention that in my above post..

[Sanity Check]

Kawhi Leonard isn't playing for the spurs tonight. Neither are a lot of Golden States biggest names. Made some small parlays with Golden State +544 and some crossover UFC.

[PaperTrail07]

For our sake-lets hope VERY high lol...

Well, we're in Brazil tonight so bet's good right?

[PaperTrail07]

Costa round 1 is Plus 105...is he really gonna bury him that quick LOL

[BIGDAY]

Costa round 1 is Plus 105...is he really gonna bury him that quick LOL

Trailer, just pound the fawker strait and call it a day.

Lay the JUUUUUUUUUUUUUICE

[PaperTrail07]

3/11/2017 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1039 Gastelum wins by submission* +525 vs Any other result 3/11/2017 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1507 Oliveira wins by 3 round decision* +420 vs Not Oliveira by 3 round decision

Risking $10.00 To Win $315.00

[PaperTrail07]

Good Odds

[Snowball]

good luck men.

skipping this one.

[BIGDAY]

good luck men.

skipping this one.

Nooooooooooooooo

[BIGDAY]

Let's get this sh!t pumped up around here!!

[PaperTrail07]

LOcked and loaded

[GoBlue77]

such a dangerous card, every fight is a coin toss my god

[PaperTrail07]

3/11/17 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Vitor Belfort/Kelvin Gastelum Over 1½ +125*

[BIGDAY]

such a dangerous card, every fight is a coin toss my god

Maybe. But these cards can end up very entertaining...

Bluer, let's pound some winners.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Thanks for the Betpoints Chael. Hope we both cash tonight!

[Hugo de Naranja]

3/11/2017 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1039 Gastelum wins by submission* +525 vs Any other result 3/11/2017 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1507 Oliveira wins by 3 round decision* +420 vs Not Oliveira by 3 round decision

Risking $10.00 To Win $315.00

Could definitely hit

[JIBBBY]

such a dangerous card, every fight is a coin toss my god

Sometimes these tough cards work out in the end.. Don't be a quitter man!!. Go with your gut and let it ride..

[PaperTrail07]

so True JIBBERS.....

[Ty$]

This roid monkey should do work... unless he gases

[Shagdogy]

This roid monkey should do work... unless he gases

Lets hope he starts us off right.