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Comment -
Ronda looking cut- my money is on her. Nunez going to get tired, then owned.
Comment -
Went big on Rousey and I hate betting on WMMA !
Bottom line - price is too good. Almost smells a little funny but w/e. I've tried to think of arguments to justify Nunes not warranting a +200 payout and I come up empty each and every time.Comment -
god, Cruz/Garbrabdt still going at it at the weigh ins...Comment -
Nunes looked extra butch at the weigh ins.Comment -
She has a girl friend and is a muff diver what do you expect? Short hair is a trade mark for lesbos....
...
Cup cake breaking it down on the panel.. She will be a good commentator in the future.. She's not punch drunk stupid even after all those epic beat downs she took.. RSPK for keeping the ole noodle sharp MT!!
Comment -
Nunes' girlfriend is Nina Ansaroff, who fights in the UFC's 115 division.She has a girl friend and is a muff diver what do you expect? Short hair is a trade mark for lesbos.......
Cup cake breaking it down on the panel.. She will be a good commentator in the future.. She's not punch drunk stupid even after all those epic beat downs she took.. RSPK for keeping the ole noodle sharp MT!!Comment -
Anyone else here gonna be on DYK? I think he will be able to control Saffiedine in the clinch and on the ground and I don't see the explosiveness in the striking game to be able to take Kim out. Kim doesn't lose decisions and Saffiedine won't sub him so he's gonna have to win by TKO/KO and I'm not seeing it.Comment -
I'll be on STUN GUN. He will probably win by decision though.Comment -
I donno man... can't see Saff winning decision. He has 4 decision losses and DYK has literally never lost a decision. He's too technical and controlling with his grappling game that if you're clinched up or on the ground, he's winning. I'm on DYK but if I hedged it would be Saff by TKO/KO since that's the only way I see DYK losing. It's the only way he's ever been beat and he is 35 now. Good luck.Comment -
Well I always lean towards the numbers.. Saff has gone to a decision in most of his fights lately and he has won most of them. He's also a tough out...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Tarec-Saffiedine-21912
I do think Stun gun wins this fight though.. The heavier lean for me is Stun gun and my bets dictate that.. Just have Saff by decision as a hedge...
I'm hedging alot on this card.. I just think most fights can go one way or the other.. I know all these fighters well also.. I know their tendencies...Last edited by JIBBBY; 12-29-16, 08:59 PM.Comment -
I'm liking a lot of the unders and fights don't go the distance in this event.Comment -
Also I seem to like a few underdog ITD props as well. Lineker, Carbrandt, Means and magny all straight ITD plays.Comment -
if you can't make weight in your comeback fight, GTFO HendricksComment -
This Art of War quote, applies to Cruz defeating Garbrandt and Jon Snow vs Ramsay Bolton from Game Of Thrones:
Part of the quote: "If your opponent is temperamental, seek to irritate him."
When your angry, you will lose battles.
Gargrandt has been angry all week against Cruz and Cruz is the one irritating him.
Just like Bolton got Snow angry in the first part of the battle when Bolton killed Snow's brother. That caused Snow to attack forward by himself nearly getting himself killed. I think George RR Martin knows about The Art Of War and used this concept here.
This other quote also applies to Cruz will win because he explained why Garbrandt already lost:
"Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win." -Sun Tzu, The Art of War
Full quote: “If your enemy is secure at all points, be prepared for him. If he is in superior strength, evade him. If your opponent is temperamental, seek to irritate him. Pretend to be weak, that he may grow arrogant. If he is taking his ease, give him no rest. If his forces are united, separate them. If sovereign and subject are in accord, put division between them. Attack him where he is unprepared, appear where you are not expected .” ― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
Many of you seen me post Art of War quotes on my previous MMA picks and won. I'm learning to use The Art of War on sports betting and it's been successful.Comment -
Late money coming in on Rousey, Lineker, Garbrandt, Oliveira, Magny and Price. A little more coming in on Borg as well.Comment -
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Picks:
Alex Oliveira Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Brandon Thatch Round 1 TKO (Knee to the Body)
Alex Garcia Round 1 KO (Punches)
Antonio Carlos Junior Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Neil Magny Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Louis Smolka Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Dong Hyun Kim Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
John Lineker Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Dominick Cruz Unanimous Decision (50-45 x2, 49-46)
Ronda Rousey Round 3 Submission (Armbar)Comment -
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
T.J. Dillashaw ($8,800)
Dominick Cruz ($8,700)
Alex Garcia ($8,600)
Neil Magny ($8,200)
Ray Borg ($7,900)
Alex Oliveira ($7,800)
Risk: 2u
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Brandon Thatch ($9,000)
Dominick Cruz ($8,700)
Ronda Rousey ($8,400)
Louis Smolka ($8,300)
Neil Magny ($8,200)
John Lineker ($7,400)
Risk: .6uComment -
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Fight Pass Prelims:
Fight #1: Means vs. Oliveira
Oliveira Decision (+220) 3u
Oliveira Round 3 (+1575) .5u
Hedge(s):
Means ITD (+235) 1u
Means KO/TKO (+310) 1u
Means Round 2 (+600) .25u
Fox Sports 1 Prelims:
Fight #2: Thatch vs. Price (DEBUT)
Thatch ITD (-115) 2.3u to win 2u
Hedge:
Price Round 3 (+1675) .25u
Fight #3: Garcia vs. Pyle
Garcia KO/TKO (+175) 2u
Hedge:
Pyle Round 3 (+1100) .5u
Fight #4: Carlos Junior vs. Vettori
Carlos Junior Round 3 (+1000) .25u
Carlos Junior/Vettori Draw (+6500) .1u
Hedge:
Vettori Round 1 (+650) .5u
Fight #5: Magny vs. Hendricks
Magny (+100) 3u
Magny -3.5 (+180) 1u
Magny Decision (+220) 1u
Magny Round 3 (+1550) .5u
Hedge:
Hendricks Round 1 (+700) .75u
Main Card:
Fight #6: Smolka vs. Borg
Smolka (+100) 5u
Smolka Round 2 (+825) .5u
Smolka Round 3 (+1025) .5u
Hedge:
Borg Decision (+229) 2u
Fight #7: Saffiedine vs. Kim
Saffiedine+Kim Over 2.5 (-150) 3u to win 2u
Hedge:
Kim Round 3 (+1150) .25u
Fight #8: Dillashaw vs. Lineker
Lineker Scorecards = No Action (+103) 5u
Lineker (+205) 1u
Lineker KO/TKO (+500) 1u
Lineker Round 1 (+700) .5u
Dillashaw/Lineker Draw (+6500) .2u
Hedge(s):
Dillashaw -3.5 (+155) 1u
Dillashaw Round 3 (+1425) .5u
Fight #9: Cruz (C) vs. Garbrandt
Cruz -5.5 (-125) 5u to win 4u
Cruz Decision (+104) 5u
Cruz Unanimous Decision (+210) 1.5u
Cruz KO/TKO (+495) 1u
Cruz/Garbrandt Draw (+6500) .5u
Hedge(s):
Garbrandt ITD (+295) 1.5u
Garbrandt Round 1 (+675) 2u
Garbrandt Decision (+1455) 1u
Garbrandt Submission (+2170) .5u
Garbrandt Split/Majority Decision (+2900) .25u
Fight #10: Nunes (C) vs. Rousey
Rousey (-135) 4.05u to win 3u
Rousey ITD (+101) 2u
Rousey KO/TKO (+425) 1u
Rousey Round 2 (+750) .5u
Rousey Round 3 (+1400) .75u
Rousey Round 4 (+2300) .25u
Rousey Round 5 (+4275) .25u
Nunes/Rousey Draw (+7500) .2u
Hedge(s):
Nunes KO/TKO (+335) 1u
Nunes Round 1 (+375) 2u
Nunes Round 2 (+925) 1u
Nunes Decision (+1325) .25u
Nunes Split/Majority Decision (+2540) .1u
Straight Parlays:
Magny+Hendricks Over 2.5/Cruz (+122) 1u
Garcia/Cruz (+127) 1u
Thatch/Cruz (+129) 3u
Thatch/Dillashaw+Lineker Over 2.5 (+133) 1u
Garcia+Pyle Won’t Go Distance/Dillashaw+Lineker Over 2.5 (+139) 1u
Magny+Hendricks Over 2.5/Dillashaw+Lineker Over 2.5 (+150) 1u
Cruz/Rousey (+153) 2u
Garcia/Dillashaw+Lineker Over 2.5 (+161) 1u
Prop Parlays:
Cruz Decision/Rousey ITD (+392) .5u
Magny -3.5/Rousey Submission (+578) .5u
Dillashaw Decision/Cruz Decision/Rousey (+698) .25u
Means SNA/Garcia SNA/Lineker SNA/Garbrandt SNA (+787) .5u
Means KO/Nunes KO (+1440) .25u
Garcia Decision/Hendricks Decision (+1495) .25u
Oliveira Decision/Thatch ITD/Garcia KO (+1565) .25u
Means Decision/Junior Decision (+1570) .25u
Magny+Hendricks GD/Borg+Smolka GD/Saffiedine Decision/Cruz+Garbrandt GD (+1690) .25u
Smolka Decision/Dillashaw Decision/Cruz Decision (+1752) .25u
Kim Decision/Dillashaw Decision/Cruz -5.5/Rousey -5.5 (+1839) .25u
Thatch Round 1/Garbrandt ITD/Rousey Round 1(+2056) .5u
Thatch Round 1/Garbrandt Round 1 (+2168) .1u
Vettori Round 1/Garcia Round 1 (+2900) .25u
Price Submission/Smolka Submission (+4131) .25u
Means Round 2/Garcia Round 2 (+4275) .25u
Carlos Junior Decision/Magny -3.5/Smolka Decision (+4299) .25u
Oliveira Decision/Magny Decision/Borg Decision/Garbrandt Scorecards= No Action (+5511) .25u
Lineker KO/Garbrandt ITD/Nunes KO (+5530) .25u
Lineker Round 1/Garbrandt Round 1 (+6500) .1u
Garbrandt Submission/Rousey KO (+17038) .1u
Price Round 3/Pyle Round 3 (+21200) .1u
Full Card Props:
Over 5.5 Fights Go Distance (+297) 2.25u
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+921) 1u
No Fights End in Submission (+1071) .5u
Brandon Thatch Wins Fastest Submission (+1300) .5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+3400) .25u
Cody Garbrandt Wins Fastest Submission (+4000) .1u
Multi-Event Parlays:
Benavidez/Cruz (+118) 1u
Letourneau+Pereira Over 2.5/Cruz (+122) 1uComment -
Hi fellas,
Tough card for me, perhaps because I've been out for a while. Right now I'm going with Dirty Bird just because I really like his style, always going for the kill.
Also Magny is an obvious choice esp after big rigg misses weight.,
I am also leaning to Liniker...but he could get picked apart by TJ, that said he has the chin of an anvil and super heavy hands, seems like he is the better value, I want Cody to win but its clear Cruz is in his head big time..so I'm not sure there. Perhaps cruz with a hedge on No love via KO/ITD...
I want to go with Rousey but her camp is crap and she is also mentally weak. Will still probably go with rousey.Comment -
Doing my thing now. I think Pyle +3.5 is worth playing as well. IF Garcia wins by decision, he won't win all 3 rounds IMO. I like Pyle by decision at +555 and the +3.5 to hedge with Garcia R1 (+300)Comment -
Pyle has been conceding takedowns way too easily in his last few fights. Training at Tristar you have to believe Garcia will know how to take him down and avoid danger. On the feet, Pyle's chin at 41 is not something I want to bet on. If he wins a round it would only be Rd.3 IMO if Garcia is coasting.Comment -
Linekar down to +170Comment -
Hugo the amount of bets/opinions/ and thoughts you have on the card is flat out impressive and also insane LMFAO........good luck my manComment -
$71.00 $658.43 Pending 5 Team Parlay Pending 12/30/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Ronda Rousey -165* vs Amanda Nunes Pending 12/30/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Dominick Cruz -210* vs Cody Garbrandt Pending 12/30/16 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 Neil Magny -160* vs Johny Hendricks Pending 12/30/16 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1702 Alex Garcia -180* vs Mike Pyle Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1901 Alex Oliveira -140* vs Tim Means Comment -
Went against Means...hate the line I got on Magny as well...>GRRRRRRRRRRRRComment -
Big parlay of the night for me is Cruz ML/Lineker NO CARDS (+150)Comment -
Ya know this card is kinda stacked.. First fight in the early prelims is even decent.. Tim Means vs mini fake Cowboy Brazilian...
This is how I'm playing that first fight - My feelings are both are finishers and someone is gonna finish and probably by KO...
Fight #1 -
Hedged$100.00 $320.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1909 Means wins inside distance +320* vs Not Means inside distance
$100.00 $500.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1929 Oliveira wins by TKO/KO +500* vs Any other result
Alex
Oliveira
"Cowboy"
vs
Tim
Means
"The Dirty Bird"
BRAZIL
Country
USA
15-3-1, 1NC
Record
26-7-1
67%
KO/TKO
69%
13%
SUB
15%
20%
DEC
15%
71 in
Height
74 in
170 lbs
Weight
170 lbsLast edited by JIBBBY; 12-30-16, 11:43 AM.Comment
