UFC FIGHT NIGHT 98: RDA vs FERGUSON (NOV 5)

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  • JIBBBY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-10-09
    • 83693

    #1
    UFC FIGHT NIGHT 98: RDA vs FERGUSON (NOV 5)











    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-25-16, 12:38 PM.
  • JIBBBY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-10-09
    • 83693

    #2
    Time to get this event rolling..

    UFC Fight Night Sat. Nov. 5 Dos Anjos vs Ferguson 10PM/7PM ETPT Mexico City, Mexico Tickets How to Watch Videos Fantasy
    Main Event

    Dos Anjos vs Ferguson


    Main Card
    10PM/7PM ETPT


    v s


    v s


    v s


    v s


    v s


    v s


    v s


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    v s


    v s


    v s

    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-25-16, 12:38 PM.
    Comment
    • JIBBBY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-10-09
      • 83693

      #3
      On El Cucuy for starters.. I think he finishes RDA... Locked and loaded on this already..

      $100.00 $249.00 Pending 11/5/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Ferguson wins inside distance +249* vs Not Ferguson inside distance

      Comment
      • Thrilla
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-10-15
        • 13809

        #4
        Good job Jibbby. The videos for this event has piled up.
        Comment
        • JIBBBY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-10-09
          • 83693

          #5
          Also thinking Diego has a chance.. I know Diego Sanchez is flirting with can status and got KO'd for a first time in his last fight.. This is a make or break fight for Diego now.. ( He got caught in the last fight and it happens..

          This fight takes place in Mexico.. (Diego should be pumped up for this)

          Held has very average at best stand up skills, no knock out power and that suits Diego in this match up while the fight stays standing.. Held is best on the ground while going for leg locks (one trick pony) but he has a tendency to expose his head or give up position when doing so.. Diego is a legit Brazilian Black belt with decent wrestling..

          I'm thinking Diego gets top position with his wrestling and has a decent chance to pound out Held on the ground at some point. Hit this prop already for starters.. Good odds...


          $50.00 $340.00 Pending 11/5/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1305 Sanchez wins inside distance +680* vs Not Sanchez inside distance
          The nightmare will be game in this fight me tinks!!!!

          Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-25-16, 12:03 PM.
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83693

            #6
            Originally posted by Thrilla
            Good job Jibbby. The videos for this event has piled up.
            Yep I got tired of waiting.. Thought we all should start working this next event...

            Let's get after it Thilla and get that pay dirt!!
            Comment
            • Thrilla
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-10-15
              • 13809

              #7
              Originally posted by JIBBBY
              Yep I got tired of waiting.. Thought we all should start working this next event...

              Let's get after it Thilla and get that pay dirt!!

              Comment
              • JAKEPEAVY21
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-11-11
                • 29239

                #8
                JIBBY, I'm with you on El Cucuy...riding him until he gives me reason not to, guy is a savage striker
                Comment
                • firekillex
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-18-13
                  • 6420

                  #9
                  on RDA for betting purposes but rooting for tony ferguson to get the win
                  cant lose here haha
                  Comment
                  • JAKEPEAVY21
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-11-11
                    • 29239

                    #10
                    Originally posted by firekillex
                    on RDA for betting purposes but rooting for tony ferguson to get the win
                    cant lose here haha
                    emotional hedge lol

                    I often bet against the chargers for that reason
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83693

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                      JIBBY, I'm with you on El Cucuy...riding him until he gives me reason not to, guy is a savage striker
                      My thoughts exactly.. Hard to bet against El Cucuy right now... RDA is beatable and not invincible either...




                      Way to stay in the top ten still Jakester with Beat the Prick contest.. I noticed you made it thru this week untouched... I'm still trying to crack the top 100... Flirting myself... Keep up that stellar play Jake!!!


                      1 darin67 26-9-0 74.29 % W 4 114.5 +21.62 -
                      2 WINGZ 25-10-0 71.43 % W 2 130.0 +21.16 -
                      3 MBENZ 26-9-0 74.29 % W 2 221.5 +20.88 -
                      4 Itsamazing777 24-8-3 75.00 % W 1 177.0 +19.13 -
                      5 Slipknot26 24-11-0 68.57 % W 4 120.0 +18.92 -
                      6 trytrytry 24-9-2 72.73 % W 1 145.5 +18.05 -
                      7 SBR Breadman 24-8-2 75.00 % L 1 165.5 +18.02 -
                      8 aakj 24-10-1 70.59 % W 1 95.0 +17.97 -
                      9 JAKEPEAVY21 24-11-0 68.57 % W 1 35.5 +16.78 -
                      10 stump 23-11-1 67.65 % L 1 69.0 +15.80 -
                      135 JIBBBY 20-14-1 58.82 % W 3 31.5 +6.90 -
                      475 The Prick 18-16-1 52.94 % W 3 99.0 +1.30
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83693

                        #12
                        I'm leaning towards the Russian in this scrap and just starting to cap this fight now..

                        Dariush is tough and well rounded but I think the Russian out works him in this one to a decision win most likely if he can stay off his back.. Chance he could get the KO also..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rashid-Magomedov-41524..

                        UFC Fight Night 98 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Arena Cuidad de Mexico - Mexico City, Mexico - FS1
                        Sat 11/5 1101 Beneil Dariush +125 o2½ -170
                        11:00PM 1102 Rashid Magomedov -145 u2½ +150
                        Still trying to figure this one out for prop play?

                        Got these to work with IMO if you are on the Russian.....

                        1111 Magomedov wins by 3 round decision
                        +175
                        1133 Magomedov wins by TKO/KO
                        +346

                        For Daruish these are an option - http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

                        1127 Dariush wins by submission
                        +485
                        1107 Dariush wins by 3 round decision
                        +290

                        Dariush is beatable.




                        Comment
                        • firekillex
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-18-13
                          • 6420

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                          emotional hedge lol

                          I often bet against the chargers for that reason
                          i just think RDA is the worst matchup for him at 55 , i think he wins
                          tony is just my fav 155 fighter by a lot so i hope he wins deep down so in the end if he wins and i lose my bet its no sweat haha but i dont see this fight going his way imo, should be a crazy war since any fight tony is in is like that but i think RDA is just to good , hope im wrong didnt place a huge bet anyways ... more watching this as a fan

                          placing a small bet on diego sanchez at + odds to some solid value at the price
                          Comment
                          • Unwritten Law
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-31-13
                            • 2532

                            #14
                            RDA might get outworked, tailing El Cucuy for now...
                            Comment
                            • JAKEPEAVY21
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-11-11
                              • 29239

                              #15
                              thanks JIBBY, I'm trying to hang on...I need a 5-0 week to springboard into the top 5...I have been very fortunate with the 2x picks as I have only lost 1 the entire contest, need to keep that trend going...trying to take the whole thing down and improve on my 2nd place a few years ago.

                              I can make an argument for both RDA and Ferguson...I'll take the guy that is on a long winning streak and is also at + money and hope he just swarms and overwhelms RDA
                              Comment
                              • GoBlue77
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-20-11
                                • 9166

                                #16
                                Rda all day
                                Comment
                                • bjpenn85
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-11
                                  • 5059

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                  Rda all day
                                  I dont think theres an "all day" play here. Both are chinny, that should make you be careful, not overly confident. People with suspect chin often let you down. Both fighters here are kind of aggressive and potent finishers. But, maybe you see something i dont see, but in regards to both fighters defence, thats moooore than enough to flag this fight as a high risk wager.
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83693

                                    #18
                                    Just finished capping this fight and thought to share my thoughts..

                                    UFC Fight Night 98 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - Arena Cuidad de Mexico - Mexico City, Mexico - FS1
                                    Sat 11/5 1401 Felipe Arantes +160 o2½ -175
                                    10:00PM 1402 Erik Perez -185 u2½ +155

                                    Erik Perez should win this fight either by submission or decision... I'm leaning by decision myself.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Erik-Perez-35509

                                    Both these guys are hard to finish but Perez does have more submission wins then decision wins on his record.. (7 submission wins in 16 pro fights)

                                    His opponent Arantes has 2 loses by submission as well but those came a long time ago.. Arantes is very capable on the ground today and not easily sub'd... The sub win could possibly happen for Perez if they get to grappling late in the fight though but it's a long shot as I think this fight stays standing most of the time.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Felipe-Arantes-31372


                                    $100.00 $145.00 Pending 11/5/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1411 Perez wins by 3 round decision +145* vs Not Perez by 3 round decision
                                    May throw a $25 spot on the submission prop as well just in case to cover the decision prop....

                                    1431 Perez wins by submission
                                    +660

                                    Arantes gets most of his wins by KO but Perez has never been KO'd.. Would hedge that if Perez chin was questionable but it's not..

                                    Perez probably will go for a takedown though late if I had to guess.. So that Submission prop lingers as a hedge..



                                    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-26-16, 05:22 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Thrilla
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-10-15
                                      • 13809

                                      #19
                                      - Watch Rafael Dos Anjos talk about what it takes to get his title back.
                                      <em><font size="1">
                                      Comment
                                      • valueguyman
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 04-08-16
                                        • 44

                                        #20
                                        so i don't post a lot because i'm not consistent to where I want to be, I don't bet every card, and mostly just follow a core group of fighters so I can know everything about a few rather than a little about a lot. I've gotten a bit lucky lately as I was all over platinum mike perry the last two fights and have made +22 units from betting no more than 1.5 units total (parlays).

                                        well now i'm betting again, this time on perry's training partner alex nicholson. i like him +180 against alvey. its a striking fight and I just think Nicholson is going to win. I guess the best way to put is that, Nicholson can win the striking via decision like theodoeru did or he can use his speed like brunson did. Hes not as fast as brunson but his striking is dangerous, he is tenacious, he has a tough chin and is difficult to put away. Alvey is no slouch though, his striking is good, he is a veteran, but I see the value on Nicholson. Nicholson was fighting heavyweights in his regionals and they were busting his jaw & nose and still couldn't put him away. The dude is just tough period and if a HW can't do it I don't know if Alvey can. Both these guys like to brawl, the fight is close, but if I had to cap it would be a +100/pick em hence the value on Nicholson. It's possible Alvey can get a submission, his jiu jitsu is much better, but his sub win was more about his opponent spicely leaving his neck out for the guillotine rather then alvey working or attempting to sub him.

                                        so I'm doing another parlay, this time its nicholson / grasso / held for 1.5 units to win 6.24 , with .33 units hedge on diego dec & barzola win parlay

                                        for grasso: Shes a fiesty latina fighting in mexico against clark who doesn't have anything really special, just some ok wrestling and a good right overhand thats about it.. Grasso on the otherhand has some harsh strikes, good boxing/thai, she bloodied up her last opponent pretty well and her jiu jitsu isn't bad either. I think the Latina in Mexico wins.

                                        Held: Held fought the best in his division in bellator and beat most of them. His jiu jitsu is very elite level and his striking isn't that bad. Diego is tough, but I think hes fading a lot and the lauzon fight showed it. He didn't look great against Lamas, won with takedowns against jim miller.. again, nothing special. But definitely possible he can sneak by with a decision. Overall, the money is on held being the better hungrier fighter and diego the fading vet.
                                        Comment
                                        • richie360
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-30-11
                                          • 680

                                          #21
                                          Can't wait for this event! Feels like forever since the last event!!
                                          Comment
                                          • lokihayze
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 03-16-16
                                            • 92

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by valueguyman
                                            so i don't post a lot because i'm not consistent to where I want to be, I don't bet every card, and mostly just follow a core group of fighters so I can know everything about a few rather than a little about a lot. I've gotten a bit lucky lately as I was all over platinum mike perry the last two fights and have made +22 units from betting no more than 1.5 units total (parlays).

                                            well now i'm betting again, this time on perry's training partner alex nicholson. i like him +180 against alvey. its a striking fight and I just think Nicholson is going to win. I guess the best way to put is that, Nicholson can win the striking via decision like theodoeru did or he can use his speed like brunson did. Hes not as fast as brunson but his striking is dangerous, he is tenacious, he has a tough chin and is difficult to put away. Alvey is no slouch though, his striking is good, he is a veteran, but I see the value on Nicholson. Nicholson was fighting heavyweights in his regionals and they were busting his jaw & nose and still couldn't put him away. The dude is just tough period and if a HW can't do it I don't know if Alvey can. Both these guys like to brawl, the fight is close, but if I had to cap it would be a +100/pick em hence the value on Nicholson. It's possible Alvey can get a submission, his jiu jitsu is much better, but his sub win was more about his opponent spicely leaving his neck out for the guillotine rather then alvey working or attempting to sub him.

                                            so I'm doing another parlay, this time its nicholson / grasso / held for 1.5 units to win 6.24 , with .33 units hedge on diego dec & barzola win parlay

                                            for grasso: Shes a fiesty latina fighting in mexico against clark who doesn't have anything really special, just some ok wrestling and a good right overhand thats about it.. Grasso on the otherhand has some harsh strikes, good boxing/thai, she bloodied up her last opponent pretty well and her jiu jitsu isn't bad either. I think the Latina in Mexico wins.

                                            Held: Held fought the best in his division in bellator and beat most of them. His jiu jitsu is very elite level and his striking isn't that bad. Diego is tough, but I think hes fading a lot and the lauzon fight showed it. He didn't look great against Lamas, won with takedowns against jim miller.. again, nothing special. But definitely possible he can sneak by with a decision. Overall, the money is on held being the better hungrier fighter and diego the fading vet.
                                            Be careful betting held mate. This is in Mexico so if it's a decision, odds are the Mexican Diego gets his hand raised. Happened last time in Mexico for him against Ross Pearson. Dana actually gave Ross his winning bonus because he thought the Mexican judges were biased.
                                            Also, this is Helds UFC debut, it's his first time fighting in Mexico so he's probably not aware of the effect high altitude will have on him.
                                            Cain underestimated it himself and lost his best because of it.
                                            High altitude affects your ability to recover and remember that marcin held struggled 12 months ago because his cardio wasn't up to par and he lost that fight.
                                            'Cardio cain' lost his belt after previously having no cardio issues.
                                            The betting lines don't reflect the fight being at high altitude but my betting will.
                                            Diego won't have that issue at high altitude that held will have, he trains at high altitude.
                                            Marcin doesn't and he arrived at 19 days out from the fight which is widely regarded as not enough time to acclimatise.
                                            You need at LEAST 21 days tests show.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-14-16
                                              • 14140

                                              #23
                                              I like Sanchez Decision (+350) as well
                                              Comment
                                              • lokihayze
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 03-16-16
                                                • 92

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                I like Sanchez Decision (+350) as well
                                                Me too bro. If it goes to decision it's diegos fight anyway 😂
                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83693

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                  My thoughts exactly.. Hard to bet against El Cucuy right now... RDA is beatable and not invincible either...




                                                  Way to stay in the top ten still Jakester with Beat the Prick contest.. I noticed you made it thru this week untouched... I'm still trying to crack the top 100... Flirting myself... Keep up that stellar play Jake!!!


                                                  1 darin67 26-9-0 74.29 % W 4 114.5 +21.62 -
                                                  2 WINGZ 25-10-0 71.43 % W 2 130.0 +21.16 -
                                                  3 MBENZ 26-9-0 74.29 % W 2 221.5 +20.88 -
                                                  4 Itsamazing777 24-8-3 75.00 % W 1 177.0 +19.13 -
                                                  5 Slipknot26 24-11-0 68.57 % W 4 120.0 +18.92 -
                                                  6 trytrytry 24-9-2 72.73 % W 1 145.5 +18.05 -
                                                  7 SBR Breadman 24-8-2 75.00 % L 1 165.5 +18.02 -
                                                  8 aakj 24-10-1 70.59 % W 1 95.0 +17.97 -
                                                  9 JAKEPEAVY21 24-11-0 68.57 % W 1 35.5 +16.78 -
                                                  10 stump 23-11-1 67.65 % L 1 69.0 +15.80 -
                                                  135 JIBBBY 20-14-1 58.82 % W 3 31.5 +6.90 -
                                                  475 The Prick 18-16-1 52.94 % W 3 99.0 +1.30
                                                  Off topic but I gotta give another shout out to JAKEPEAVY!!! Climbed to #3 out of thousands entered... He went 5-0 today fellas.. SKILLS!!!!


                                                  1 MBENZ 30-10-0 75.00 % W 3 238.0 +24.78 -
                                                  2 WINGZ 27-12-0 69.23 % L 1 75.0 +22.01 1 pending
                                                  3 JAKEPEAVY21 28-11-1 71.79 % W 5 20.0 +21.78 -
                                                  4 Slipknot26 28-12-0 70.00 % L 1 86.5 +20.72 -
                                                  5 darin67 28-11-1 71.79 % L 1 83.0 +20.52 -
                                                  6 trytrytry 27-11-2 71.05 % L 1 160.5 +19.90 -
                                                  7 aakj 27-12-1 69.23 % L 1 52.0 +19.77 -
                                                  8 Itsamazing777 26-11-3 70.27 % W 1 131.0 +18.75 -
                                                  9 stump 26-12-1 68.42 % W 3 66.5 +18.70 1 pending
                                                  10 kingoflakemoor 26-12-1 68.42 % W 3 102.5 +18.04 1 pending
                                                  Get'm Jakester!!!


                                                  This ain't betpoints either...

                                                  Overall Prizes: $50,000 to Top 100!
                                                  1st. $10,000
                                                  2nd. $4,000
                                                  3rd. $2,000
                                                  4th. $1,500
                                                  5th. $1,400 .
                                                  Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-31-16, 12:19 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TPowell
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                    • 18842

                                                    #26
                                                    More I think about this fight, the more I like Ferguson. I think Ferguson will grow up a ton after that last scrap where he could have been finished by a debuting fighter because he was too flashy. Have heard the "back to fundamentals" line from him multiple times now since then and I think he's just the more athletic guy here, so unless he gets caught, he should be able to get the best of the striking. Will be interested to see if RDA tries to take the fight to the ground. I can see a panic takedown and sub for Ferguson possibly.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                      • 29239

                                                      #27
                                                      thanks JIBBY, I finally had a big week at 4-0-1 and +5 units...

                                                      I think one thing here about the main event that might be overlooked is where these 2 guys are at mentally. RDA is coming off a titlte defense loss and there could be a hangover. Conversely, Ferguson is on a roll and has not had his deserved title shot yet and he is very hungry. I agree with JIBBY here and think El Cucuy wins inside the distance.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-11-11
                                                        • 29239

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
                                                        • valueguyman
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 04-08-16
                                                          • 44

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lokihayze
                                                          Be careful betting held mate. This is in Mexico so if it's a decision, odds are the Mexican Diego gets his hand raised. Happened last time in Mexico for him against Ross Pearson. Dana actually gave Ross his winning bonus because he thought the Mexican judges were biased.
                                                          Also, this is Helds UFC debut, it's his first time fighting in Mexico so he's probably not aware of the effect high altitude will have on him.
                                                          Cain underestimated it himself and lost his best because of it.
                                                          High altitude affects your ability to recover and remember that marcin held struggled 12 months ago because his cardio wasn't up to par and he lost that fight.
                                                          'Cardio cain' lost his belt after previously having no cardio issues.
                                                          The betting lines don't reflect the fight being at high altitude but my betting will.
                                                          Diego won't have that issue at high altitude that held will have, he trains at high altitude.
                                                          Marcin doesn't and he arrived at 19 days out from the fight which is widely regarded as not enough time to acclimatise.
                                                          You need at LEAST 21 days tests show.
                                                          Sanchez always wins BS decisions, the fight can take place in Poland and he could still get one. I agree, that's why I mentioned I have a small sanchez hedge dec. Held's cardio didn't look good by rd 4 against Brooks, but he almost won it in the first rd, a year has passed and plus Sanchez isn't as big as Brooks nor is his wrestling as good. For a 3 rd fight, I'm confident in Held but I definitely see your reasoning in taking the underdog. I just don't agree with it because its not dynamic enough, ie.. too much looking in the past and not looking forward on the expectation that fighters evolve and get better (Held) whereas some have seen their time past (Sanchez). But in the end, who really knows?!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lokihayze
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 03-16-16
                                                            • 92

                                                            #30
                                                            Yeah if it was anywhere else man but Mexico I wouldn't bet too hard against held. Diego does seem to have a solid chin for the most part (or can take a beating) and gets fired up the more he's hurt.
                                                            Personally I've ran up mountains a couple of hours away from my joint and it's a whole other kettle of fish compared to anywhere else. It's a bit over 7000 feet up there which is similar to Mexico. It's like breathing in a muggy sort of air, hard to explain. I got winded on a relative short run which is not something that ever happened before. Not only that, but was harder to get my breath back. Hardest workouts are at high alt for me, even camping up at high alt feels different, wake up feeling different to my normal bed.
                                                            Can run for over an hour at a gym or a street, I'm out of breath like I weigh 500 pounds after 10 mins at high alt. It's why I figure it in so heavily bro. If I hadn't experienced it myself I prob wouldn't have realised how much it affects people. Thought it was a bit of an urban legend to be honest. It's not though, I'd prefer to run on sand for 45 mins than high alt for 15. No joke.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lokihayze
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 03-16-16
                                                              • 92

                                                              #31
                                                              Not saying I'm an expert at all this, by no means do I know everything and don't want to sound like I think I do. Just want people to factor in that when Diego wins it's usually at high altitude because the other fighters aren't acclimatised properly, if it's a fight at low altitude Diego easily loses a lot of his fights. Even when losing though (Ross Pearson fight) Mexican judges don't see it that way and score for Diego. Now even though those who thought Ross would beat him were technically correct, it didn't matter because the score cards reflected Diego won and as such bets were cashed in who bet Diego.
                                                              Diego's almost best weapon (as mean as this sounds) is being able to fight at high altitude when other guys aren't ready for it. It doesn't help him too much at low alitide but does when the fights are at high alt.
                                                              Even when other fighters are prepared (which Ross Pearson WAS prepared) they can outwork him and still lose via decision with mex judges.
                                                              Again, just throwing out some points of view and always happy to hear everyone else's, I'm not an expert by any means.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lokihayze
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 03-16-16
                                                                • 92

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                                thanks JIBBY, I finally had a big week at 4-0-1 and +5 units...

                                                                I think one thing here about the main event that might be overlooked is where these 2 guys are at mentally. RDA is coming off a titlte defense loss and there could be a hangover. Conversely, Ferguson is on a roll and has not had his deserved title shot yet and he is very hungry. I agree with JIBBY here and think El Cucuy wins inside the distance.
                                                                Congrats on that winning streak bro, impressive!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Sato
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-10-12
                                                                  • 1201

                                                                  #33
                                                                  At plus money you gotta go with Tony. He can smother RDA with that pace but I wouldnt be shocked if he gets smoked by a big shot as Tony isnt good at slipping and he leaves himself open to counter shots. His fights usually are a mess and pure dog fights where his opponents gas massively and they cant defend themselves anymore.

                                                                  Tony props by sub, ITD and u. dec have massive juice so taking a stab at those isnt a bad idea.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                                    • 83693

                                                                    #34
                                                                    MMA MANIA Prelim previews --- PART 1



                                                                    185 lbs.: Sam Alvey vs. Alex Nicholson
                                                                    The momentum for Sam Alvey (28-8) -- bolstered by a trio of first-round knockouts -- came to a crashing halt thanks to a knockout loss to Derek Brunson and tepid performance against Elias Theodorou. He has since regained some of it by choking out Eric Spicely and knocking out Kevin Casey.He was originally set to face Nicholson on the ill-fated Manila card.

                                                                    Alex Nicholson (7-2) brought a five-fight win streak into UFC, only to have both is and his jaw broken by Misha Cirkunov in his February debut. Dropping to Middleweight, he took on "Lookin’ for a Fight" product Devin Clark and knocked him out in the waning seconds of the first round.All seven of his wins have come by stoppage, six of them in the first round.

                                                                    The defining flaw of Alvey’s style is that he’s a counter-puncher who waits for opportunities instead of making his own. When his opponent doesn’t play ball and rush in, he’s content to let rounds slip away from him.

                                                                    Luckily for him, Nicholson is exactly the kind of foe that Alvey is built to destroy. Nicholson’s relentless offense produces countering opportunities on the regular and Alvey’s chin is more than durable enough to keep him afloat until his moment arrives. Expect Nicholson to land some hard knocks early on before Alvey gets his timing down and flattens him.

                                                                    Prediction: Alvey via first-round knockout


                                                                    155 lbs.: Polo Reyes vs. Jason Novelli


                                                                    The heavy-handed Polo Reyes (6-3) reached TUF: "Latin America 2" semifinals before falling to teammate and fellow slugger Horacio Gutierrez, who knocked him out in the first round. He’s since gone perfect (2-0) in UFC proper, destroying Cesar Arzamendia and warring with Dong Hyun Kim en route to a brutal third-round knockout.
                                                                    Five of his wins have come by form of knockout. Jason Novelli (11-2-1) entered UFC on a five-fight unbeaten streak, the sole blemish a split draw with Yosdenis Cedeno that really should have gone Novelli’s way. "Flipside" made his Octagon debut in August, losing to TUF veteran David Teymur by second-round knockout.Six of his nine stoppage wins came via submission.

                                                                    There’s a very good chance that this one winds up being a peach of a fight. Both men are capable on their feet and Reyes proved his brawling prowess in the Kim fight. That said, Novelli’s got a handful of red flags that have me leaning toward the Mexican slugger.

                                                                    "Flipside," in addition to pushing 40, seemed hesitant to grapple against both Cedeno and Teymur, the former of whom is notoriously helpless off his back and the latter of whom was kicking his ass in the stand up. If he gives Reyes that same sort of leeway to tee off without fear of takedowns, he’s in for it. Reyes ends an entertaining slugfest with power punches partway through the second.

                                                                    Prediction: Reyes via second-round technical knockout


                                                                    145 lbs.: Enrique Barzola vs. Chris Avila


                                                                    Peru’s Enrique Barzola (11-3-1) became the first non-Mexican to win a TUF: "Latin America" tournament when he dominated Horacio Gutierrez at TUF: "Latin America 2" Finale. He returned to the cage in August, where he dropped a close decision to Kyle Bochniak in Vancouver.He will give up three inches of height to the 5’10" Chris Avila (5-3).

                                                                    Avila -- a disciple of the Diaz brothers -- joined UFC on a three-fight win streak ... all finishes. He debuted at UFC 202 against Artem Lobov, who took home a dominant decision over the 23-year-old. He has three wins by knockout and one by submission on his record.There’s Nick Diaz, there’s Nate Diaz, and there’s Avila, whom I think of as Nyquil Diaz. He’s got the reach and the punching style, but none of the pressure or grit that make the brothers such devastating fighters. He couldn’t even keep Artem Lobov off of him and Lobov needs a stepladder to reach his toilet tank.

                                                                    Barzola figures to have the advantage pretty much wherever the fight goes. Avila’s call up was simply too much, too soon -- tough to finish or not, he’s badly outgunned. Barzola dominates for 30-27's across the board.

                                                                    Prediction: Barzola via unanimous decision
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                                                                    • UncleChael
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-30-13
                                                                      • 3979

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Beneil "Benny" Dariush all day. Dariush +125 ML line came down from +161.
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