UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett (September 03, 2016)

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  • Alex Hart
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-13-15
    • 177

    #36
    How do you guys see Alexander Gustafsson vs Jan Blachowics playing out?

    Alexander Gustafsson ML is way to expensive @ -750

    Do you guys see Gustafsson winning ITD -140, TKO +145, or by DEC +200? Which way are you leaning?

    Thanks again guys!
    Comment
    • firekillex
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-18-13
      • 6420

      #37
      Originally posted by Alex Hart
      How do you guys see Alexander Gustafsson vs Jan Blachowics playing out?

      Alexander Gustafsson ML is way to expensive @ -750

      Do you guys see Gustafsson winning ITD -140, TKO +145, or by DEC +200? Which way are you leaning?

      Thanks again guys!
      flip flopping between tko+145 and dec +200 really torn on this , starting to lean tko +140 the more i look into it but jan is a super tough guy , and gus might want to wrestle a bit and work on some of his techniques but he also will want a solid finish to prove hes ready for another title shot so its tough.... gun to my head i pick tko +145 but im greedy and want more value and could definitely see him winning a decision
      Comment
      • UncleChael
        SBR MVP
        • 10-30-13
        • 3979

        #38
        The baby face killer gets it done this weekend boys.
        Comment
        • Hugo de Naranja
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-14-16
          • 14140

          #39
          Originally posted by firekillex
          flip flopping between tko+145 and dec +200 really torn on this , starting to lean tko +140 the more i look into it but jan is a super tough guy , and gus might want to wrestle a bit and work on some of his techniques but he also will want a solid finish to prove hes ready for another title shot so its tough.... gun to my head i pick tko +145 but im greedy and want more value and could definitely see him winning a decision
          I like Gus decision for a small play
          Comment
          • GoBlue77
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-20-11
            • 9166

            #40
            I got 1000 on Bader myself
            Comment
            • Thrilla
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-10-15
              • 13809

              #41
              - Fightnetwork.com/ - Gabe Morency and GambLou preview UFC Fight Night Hamburg.


              - Fightnetwork.com/ - Paul Shaughnessy (@PaulShag) and Cody Saftic (@CJSaftic) break down UFC Fight Night Hamburg: Arlovski vs. Barnett and give you their picks, bets & DraftKings Lineups. (Note: DraftKings discussion at 1:10:45)
              Comment
              • Hugo de Naranja
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-14-16
                • 14140

                #42
                UFC Fight Night 93 Picks:
                Rustam Khabilov Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                Scott Askham Round 1 TKO
                Jarjis Danho Round 1 KO
                Taylor Lapilus Round 3 TKO
                Ashlee Evans-Smith Round 2 TKO
                Nicolas Dalby Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                Jim Wallhead Round 1 TKO
                Nick Hein Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                Ilir Latifi Round 1 TKO
                Alexander Gustafsson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                Josh Barnett Round 3 TKO
                Comment
                • Hugo de Naranja
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-14-16
                  • 14140

                  #43
                  UFC Fight Night 93 Plays:

                  Fight #1: Khabilov vs. Silva
                  No Bet

                  Fight #2: Askham vs. Hermansson (DEBUT):
                  Askham (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
                  Askham Scorecards = No Action (-113) 2.26u to win 2u
                  Askham -3.5 (+190) .5u
                  Askham ITD (+316) .5u
                  Askham KO/TKO (+490) .25u

                  Hedge:
                  Hermansson Decision (+260) .5u

                  Fight #3: Danho vs. Colombo (DEBUT):
                  No Bet

                  Fight #4: Lapilus vs. Issa
                  Lapilus (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
                  Lapilus Round 2 (+550) .5u
                  Lapilus Round 3 (+950) .75u
                  Lapilus Decision (+315) .25u

                  Fight #5: Evans-Smith vs. Macedo (DEBUT)
                  Evans-Smith -3.5 (+110) 1u
                  Evans-Smith/Macedo Under 2.5 (+155) 1u
                  Evans-Smith ITD (+284) 1u
                  Evans-Smith ITD (+295) .5u
                  Evans-Smith KO/TKO (+510) .5u
                  Evans-Smith Round 2 (+800) .25u
                  Evans-Smith Round 3 (+1150) .25u

                  Hedge(s):
                  Macedo ITD (+414) .5u
                  Macedo Round 1 (+700) .5u

                  Fight #6: Dalby vs. Sobotta:
                  Sobotta Scorecards = No Action (+161) 1.5u
                  Sobotta Submission (+1025) .25u

                  Hedge:
                  Dalby Decision (+178) .5u

                  Fight #7: Wallhead (DEBUT) vs. Ayari (DEBUT)
                  Wallhead (-130) 1.3u to win 1u
                  Wallhead KO/TKO (+325) 1u

                  Fight #8: Hein vs. Bang:
                  Bang Scorecards = No Action (+105) 1u
                  Bang (+240) 1u

                  Hedge:
                  Hein Decision (+100) 1u

                  Fight #9: Bader vs. Latifi
                  Latifi Scorecards = No Action (+170) 1u
                  Latifi ITD (+371) .5u
                  Latifi Submission (+2000) .25u

                  Hedge(s):
                  Bader Decision (+223) .75u
                  Bader Round 3 (+1100) .25u

                  Fight #10: Gustafsson vs. Blachowicz
                  Gustafsson Decision (+200) .5u
                  Gustafsson Round 3 (+800) .25u

                  Fight #11: Barnett vs. Arlovski
                  Barnett KO/TKO (+335) .5u
                  Barnett KO/TKO (+350) .5u
                  Barnett Decision (+660) .5u

                  Straight Parlays:
                  Lapilus/Gall (+126) 2u

                  Prop Parlays:
                  Wallhead -3.5/Smith&Macedo Under 2.5 Rounds (+474) .5u
                  Dalby Decision/Bader Decision (+585) .25u
                  Wallhead KO/Bang Scorecards = NA (+694) .5u
                  Bader Decision/Hermansson Decision (+998) .25u
                  Evans-Smith ITD/Gustafsson Decision (+1052) .25u
                  Askham KO/Gall Sub (+1052) .25u
                  Wallhead KO/Danho KO (+1345) .25u
                  Danho KO/Macedo ITD (+1403) .25u
                  Hein Decision/Dalby Decision/Hermansson Decision (+1810) .25u
                  Lapilus Round 2/Gustafsson Round 2 (+3085) .25u
                  Macedo ITD/Lapilus Round 3 (+4541) .125u
                  Askham ITD/Latifi ITD/Overeem ITD (+5073) .125u

                  Full Card Props:

                  Over 4.5 KOs (+165) 1u
                  Over 5.5 KOs (+445) .5u
                  Over 6.5 KOs (+1324) .25u
                  Over 7.5 KOs (+4625) .125u
                  Over 8.5 KOs (+26000) .125u
                  No Submissions (+450) .75u
                  Comment
                  • Hugo de Naranja
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-14-16
                    • 14140

                    #44
                    UFC Fight Night 93 Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
                    Jarjis Danho ($10,400)
                    Taylor Lapilus ($10,000)
                    Josh Barnett ($9,700)
                    Jim Wallhead ($9,300)
                    Tae Hyun Bang ($8,900)
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #45
                      Weigh ins -

                      Comment
                      • Hugo de Naranja
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-16
                        • 14140

                        #46
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        Weigh ins -

                        Any thoughts on the weigh-ins Jibs?
                        Comment
                        • JIBBBY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 83686

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                          Any thoughts on the weigh-ins Jibs?
                          - Ashlee Smith looked like she's in a higher weight division standing next to Mecado.. Big size difference.. I know she's a huge favorite but still.. This could be a beat down in the making..

                          - Nick Hein looked ripped and fit, Asian dude Bang looked soft.. Another beat down in the making for Hein..

                          - Bader has a lotta height on Latifi, Latifi looks chiselled and ripped though..

                          - Gus maybe looks a little soft.. Not sure it's gonna matter though.

                          - Barnett looks sloppy as usual, nothing different there. AA looked in shape as usual too..

                          That's about all I derived from the weigh ins...


                          Comment
                          • ksatch
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-08-11
                            • 393

                            #48
                            Askham -115
                            Latifi +175
                            Dalby/Gustafsson/Evans-Smith +150

                            DraftKings:

                            Askham $9,600
                            Dalby $11,000
                            Evans-Smith $9,900
                            Khabilov $10,200
                            Latifi $9,100

                            Rem Salary $200

                            GL!!!!
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83686

                              #49
                              Early start time tomorrow for this event gents.. UFC website says 8:45AM start time.. Eeeeks!!!!

                              GET YOUR BETS IN TONIGHT!!!

                              I'll be lucky to wake up for the early prelims..
                              Comment
                              • Thrilla
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-10-15
                                • 13809

                                #50
                                Comment
                                • Thrilla
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-10-15
                                  • 13809

                                  #51
                                  Bader Latifi under 2.5 rounds? @ 1.80 > Bader says he will take some risks to try and get a finish.

                                  - MMAOddsBreaker's Frank Trigg speaks with UFC Fight Night 93 light heavyweight Ryan Bader as he prepares for his upcoming main card bout this Saturday (September 3, 2016) against Ilir Latifi at the Barclaycard Arena in Hamburg, Germany.



                                  - Nick Kalikas breaking it down.
                                  Comment
                                  • Demonata
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-12-11
                                    • 25829

                                    #52
                                    Its time to make some money
                                    Comment
                                    • HurlSweatPants
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-28-15
                                      • 951

                                      #53
                                      Askham better start me off right.
                                      Comment
                                      • Thrilla
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-10-15
                                        • 13809

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Demonata
                                        Its time to make some money

                                        Comment
                                        • Demonata
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-12-11
                                          • 25829

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by HurlSweatPants
                                          Askham better start me off right.
                                          I'm on Jack Hermansson.i feel he's the better fighter.
                                          Comment
                                          • HurlSweatPants
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-28-15
                                            • 951

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Demonata
                                            I'm on Jack Hermansson.i feel he's the better fighter.
                                            GL. Small bet for me so not sweating it but its always nice to start off with a win.
                                            Comment
                                            • Snowball
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 11-15-09
                                              • 30064

                                              #57
                                              If Colombo lasts one round it's just -145..
                                              also on Macedo, haha.. but wonder if she can kick high enough to tag Smith's face.
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83686

                                                #58
                                                Half asleep, rude awakenings.. Don't appreciate this early morning start crap

                                                Not going nuts betting large amounts early on in this card.. To many of these fighters are just suspect and can't be trusted.. With that being said just betting a $100 a fight for me... Last 4 fights the bets are big.. That's my betting arrangement for this card in a nut shell..

                                                1) Khalibov by decision in the first fight..

                                                2) Askam by KO in the second fight

                                                3) Columbo by KO in the third fight..

                                                4) Lipilus straight fourth fight..

                                                5) Evans Smith straight parlay'ed.. Small ITD

                                                6) Nicolous Darby straight and by decision

                                                7) Walhead Straight and by KO small.

                                                8) Nick Hein straight parlay'd and by decision

                                                9) Bader ITD, Latiffi by KO (hedged)

                                                10) Gus by decision

                                                11) Arlovski straight and by KO..



                                                Hoping I can make some pay dirt on this Euro Card.. No telling how this card will play out with this list of cans fighting though. Capped these fights the best I could let's see what sticks???... GL..
                                                Comment
                                                • Demonata
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 07-12-11
                                                  • 25829

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by HurlSweatPants
                                                  GL. Small bet for me so not sweating it but its always nice to start off with a win.
                                                  Standing you should win but wrestling favors hermannson.50 50 fight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • spurginobili
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-09-09
                                                    • 3065

                                                    #60
                                                    On Khabilov by dec & hedged with Sivla ITD GL guys
                                                    Comment
                                                    • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-25-08
                                                      • 7237

                                                      #61
                                                      good morning gentlemen, good luck with your plays
                                                      Comment
                                                      • spurginobili
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-09-09
                                                        • 3065

                                                        #62
                                                        Khab needs the 3rd..looks like 1 apiece
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #63
                                                          Come on give this decision to Khalibov to start this card off with a win!!!.. Could go either way in that 1st and 3rd....

                                                          We should get this Spurg..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Demonata
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 07-12-11
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #64
                                                            Hell yeaaaa Jibby im so relieved. Scary
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-14-16
                                                              • 14140

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                              UFC Fight Night 93 Picks:
                                                              Rustam Khabilov Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)

                                                              Scott Askham Round 1 TKO
                                                              Jarjis Danho Round 1 KO
                                                              Taylor Lapilus Round 3 TKO
                                                              Ashlee Evans-Smith Round 2 TKO
                                                              Nicolas Dalby Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                                              Jim Wallhead Round 1 TKO
                                                              Nick Hein Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                                              Ilir Latifi Round 1 TKO
                                                              Alexander Gustafsson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                                              Josh Barnett Round 3 TKO
                                                              Had the right call on this fight but happy I stayed away.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • spurginobili
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-09-09
                                                                • 3065

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                Come on give this decision to Khalibov to start this card off with a win!!!.. Could go either way in that 1st and 3rd....

                                                                We should get this Spurg..
                                                                Yes! That'll work
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JIBBBY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 83686

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                  UFC Fight Night 93 Picks:
                                                                  Rustam Khabilov Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                                                  Scott Askham Round 1 TKO
                                                                  Jarjis Danho Round 1 KO
                                                                  Taylor Lapilus Round 3 TKO
                                                                  Ashlee Evans-Smith Round 2 TKO
                                                                  Nicolas Dalby Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                                                  Jim Wallhead Round 1 TKO
                                                                  Nick Hein Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                                                  Ilir Latifi Round 1 TKO
                                                                  Alexander Gustafsson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                                                  Josh Barnett Round 3 TKO

                                                                  Hugo you got the Decision scoring right.. Impressive!!! Just noticed that now..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-14-16
                                                                    • 14140

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    Hugo you got the Decision scoring right.. Impressive!!! Just noticed that now..
                                                                    If you guess enough of them, you have to be right eventually haha
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KingHawkins
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-18-13
                                                                      • 1311

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Danho/Colombo O 1.5 -135 Wish me luck
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Unwritten Law
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-31-13
                                                                        • 2532

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Like Danho the next fight.
                                                                        Comment
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