UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett (September 03, 2016)

[firekillex]

did pretty well this eventgot arlovski straight to finish this off could be some nice icing on the cake here if he gets a solid quick win.. Toss em fight imo so i took the dog basically my reasoning behind it haha, i like arlovskis movement and speed as well but this is a super close fight hoping arlovski can tag josh quick and finish him off with a nice combo lets get ittt

[Thrilla]

[GoBlue77]

I got 1000 on Bader myself

never lost when jibby fades me lol

[firekillex]

holy what a start .... i thought AA had him at the end of the round , i think his cardio will last longer so this is looking better for him.. i honestly couldnt even score the round since i was going crazy haha

[UncleChael]

Our ship is sinking boys... AA survives for round 3

[Hugo de Naranja]

Barnett (-1050) Arlovski (+600) after R2

[firekillex]

Our ship is sinking boys... AA survives to for round 3

arlovski needs to stay on the outside and box no clue why hes trying to fight in the clinch and do trips on barnett ... great reverse by barnett though

[Thrilla]

Our ship is sinking boys... AA survives to for round 3

Glad I'm not on the AA boat.

[Snowball]

ching, was lucky they didn't end it there.

[firekillex]

wow worst fight iq ive ever seen...... barnett looking away saying he got poked and he doesnt even swarm for an easy tko.... then he goes for another takedown and gets reversed smfh arlovski coulda had that W but probably getting finished this round on bottom oh welll solid card still that wouldve been nice though

next card super tough overeem/miocic i keep changing my stance on this bout

[Thrilla]

rear naked choke

[Hugo de Naranja]

Damn Barnett wrecked my no subs bet. Looking like a small loss on this event

[Thrilla]

[JIBBBY]

You should be more worried about Barnett's armlock submission.

The Submission was the call... Well this event went up in smoke for me ...

Barn is a grinder and he grinded on AA til he quit.. The size and weight was too much.. Even when AA connected Barn wasn't getting rocked...

War master gets the win.. Solid win..

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 93 Picks:
Rustam Khabilov Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Scott Askham Round 1 TKO
Jarjis Danho Round 1 KO -> DRAW
Taylor Lapilus Round 3 TKO
Ashlee Evans-Smith Round 2 TKO
Nicolas Dalby Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Jim Wallhead Round 1 TKO
Nick Hein Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Ilir Latifi Round 1 TKO
Alexander Gustafsson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Josh Barnett Round 3 TKO

Picks Results

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 93 Plays:

Fight #1: Khabilov vs. Silva
No Bet

Fight #2: Askham vs. Hermansson (DEBUT):
Askham (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Askham Scorecards = No Action (-113) 2.26u to win 2u
Askham -3.5 (+190) .5u
Askham ITD (+316) .5u
Askham KO/TKO (+490) .25u

Hedge:
Hermansson Decision (+260) .5u

Fight #3: Danho vs. Colombo (DEBUT):
No Bet

Fight #4: Lapilus vs. Issa
Lapilus (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
Lapilus Round 2 (+550) .5u
Lapilus Round 3 (+950) .75u
Lapilus Decision (+315) .25u

Fight #5: Evans-Smith vs. Macedo (DEBUT)
Evans-Smith -3.5 (+110) 1u
Evans-Smith/Macedo Under 2.5 (+155) 1u
Evans-Smith ITD (+284) 1u
Evans-Smith ITD (+295) .5u
Evans-Smith KO/TKO (+510) .5u
Evans-Smith Round 2 (+800) .25u
Evans-Smith Round 3 (+1150) .25u

Hedge(s):
Macedo ITD (+414) .5u
Macedo Round 1 (+700) .5u

Fight #6: Dalby vs. Sobotta:
Sobotta Scorecards = No Action (+161) 1.5u
Sobotta Submission (+1025) .25u

Hedge:
Dalby Decision (+178) .5u

Fight #7: Wallhead (DEBUT) vs. Ayari (DEBUT)
Wallhead (-130) 1.3u to win 1u
Wallhead KO/TKO (+325) 1u

Fight #8: Hein vs. Bang:
Bang Scorecards = No Action (+105) 1u
Bang (+240) 1u

Hedge:
Hein Decision (+100) 1u

Fight #9: Bader vs. Latifi
Latifi Scorecards = No Action (+170) 1u
Latifi ITD (+371) .5u
Latifi Submission (+2000) .25u

Hedge(s):
Bader Decision (+223) .75u
Bader Round 3 (+1100) .25u

Fight #10: Gustafsson vs. Blachowicz
Gustafsson Decision (+200) .5u
Gustafsson Round 3 (+800) .25u

Fight #11: Barnett vs. Arlovski
Barnett KO/TKO (+335) .5u
Barnett KO/TKO (+350) .5u
Barnett Decision (+660) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Lapilus/Gall (+126) 2u

Prop Parlays:
Wallhead -3.5/Smith&Macedo Under 2.5 Rounds (+474) .5u
Dalby Decision/Bader Decision (+585) .25u
Wallhead KO/Bang Scorecards = NA (+694) .5u
Bader Decision/Hermansson Decision (+998) .25u
Evans-Smith ITD/Gustafsson Decision (+1052) .25u
Askham KO/Gall Sub (+1052) .25u
Wallhead KO/Danho KO (+1345) .25u
Danho KO/Macedo ITD (+1403) .25u
Hein Decision/Dalby Decision/Hermansson Decision (+1810) .25u
Lapilus Round 2/Gustafsson Round 2 (+3085) .25u
Macedo ITD/Lapilus Round 3 (+4541) .125u
Askham ITD/Latifi ITD/Overeem ITD (+5073) .125u

Full Card Props:
Over 4.5 KOs (+165) 1u
Over 5.5 KOs (+445) .5u
Over 6.5 KOs (+1324) .25u
Over 7.5 KOs (+4625) .125u
Over 8.5 KOs (+26000) .125u
No Submissions (+450) .75u

UFC Fight Night 93 Plays Results:

Fight #1: Khabilov vs. Silva
No Bet

Result: Rustam Khabilov Unanimous Decision

Fight #2: Askham vs. Hermansson (DEBUT):
Askham (-125) -1.25u
Askham Scorecards = No Action (-113) +0u
Askham -3.5 (+190) -.5u
Askham ITD (+316) -.5u
Askham KO/TKO (+490) -.25u

Hedge:
Hermansson Decision (+260) +1.3u

Result: Jack Hermansson Unanimous Decision
Fight: -1.2u
Card: -1.2u

Fight #3: Danho vs. Colombo (DEBUT):
No Bet

Result: Majority Draw

Fight #4: Lapilus vs. Issa
Lapilus (-150) +1u
Lapilus Round 2 (+550) -.5u
Lapilus Round 3 (+950) -.75u
Lapilus Decision (+315) +.7875u

Result: Taylor Lapilus Unanimous Decision
Fight: +.5375u
Card: -.6625u

Fight #5: Evans-Smith vs. Macedo (DEBUT)
Evans-Smith -3.5 (+110) +1.1u
Evans-Smith/Macedo Under 2.5 (+155) -1u
Evans-Smith ITD (+284) +2.84u
Evans-Smith ITD (+295) +1.475u
Evans-Smith KO/TKO (+510) +2.55u
Evans-Smith Round 2 (+800) -.25u
Evans-Smith Round 3 (+1150) +2.875u

Hedge(s):
Macedo ITD (+414) -.5u
Macedo Round 1 (+700) -.5u

Result: Ashlee Evans-Smith Round 3 TKO
Fight: +8.59u
Card: +7.9275u

Fight #6: Dalby vs. Sobotta:
Sobotta Scorecards = No Action (+161) +0u
Sobotta Submission (+1025) -.25u

Hedge:
Dalby Decision (+178) -.5u

Result: Peter Sobotta Unanimous Decision
Fight: -.75u
Card: +7.1775u

Fight #7: Wallhead (DEBUT) vs. Ayari (DEBUT)
Wallhead (-130) -1.3u
Wallhead KO/TKO (+325) -1u

Added:
Wallhead Decision (+295) -.5u

Result: Jessin Ayari Split Decision
Fight: -2.8u
Card: +4.3775u

Fight #8: Hein vs. Bang:
Bang Scorecards = No Action (+105) +0u
Bang (+240) -1u

Hedge:
Hein Decision (+100) +1u

Result: Nick Hein Unanimous Decision
Fight: +0u
Card: +4.3775u

Fight #9: Bader vs. Latifi
Latifi Scorecards = No Action (+170) -1u
Latifi ITD (+371) -.5u
Latifi Submission (+2000) -.25u

Added:
Latifi Scorecards = No Action (+100) -1u
Latifi ITD (+247) -.5u

Hedge(s):
Bader Decision (+223) -.75u
Bader Round 3 (+1100) -.25u

Result: Ryan Bader Round 2 KO
Fight: -4.25u
Card: +.1275u

Fight #10: Gustafsson vs. Blachowicz
Gustafsson Decision (+200) +1u
Gustafsson Round 3 (+800) -.25u

Result: Alexander Gustafsson Unanimous Decision
Fight: +.75u
Card: +.8775u

Fight #11: Barnett vs. Arlovski
Barnett KO/TKO (+335) -.5u
Barnett KO/TKO (+350) -.5u
Barnett Decision (+660) -.5u

Result: Barnett Round 3 Submission
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -.6225u

Straight Parlays:
Lapilus/Gall (+126) 2u

Result: Lapilus Wins
Fight: Parlay Carries Over to UFC 203
Card: -.6225u

Prop Parlays:
Wallhead -3.5/Smith&Macedo Under 2.5 Rounds (+474) -.5u
Dalby Decision/Bader Decision (+585) -.25u
Wallhead KO/Bang Scorecards = NA (+694) -.5u
Bader Decision/Hermansson Decision (+998) -.25u
Evans-Smith ITD/Gustafsson Decision (+1052) +2.63u
Askham KO/Gall Sub (+1052) -.25u
Wallhead KO/Danho KO (+1345) -.25u
Danho KO/Macedo ITD (+1403) -.25u
Hein Decision/Dalby Decision/Hermansson Decision (+1810) -.25u
Lapilus Round 2/Gustafsson Round 2 (+3085) -.25u
Macedo ITD/Lapilus Round 3 (+4541) -.125u
Askham ITD/Latifi ITD/Overeem ITD (+5073) -.125u

Fights: -.37u
Card: -.9925u

Full Card Props:
Over 4.5 KOs (+165) -1u
Over 5.5 KOs (+445) -.5u
Over 6.5 KOs (+1324) -.25u
Over 7.5 KOs (+4625) -.125u
Over 8.5 KOs (+26000) -.125u
No Submissions (+450) -.75u

Result: 1 Submission, 2 KOs, 8 Decisions
Fights: -2.75u
Final Card Result: -3.7425u

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 93 Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Jarjis Danho ($10,400)
Taylor Lapilus ($10,000)
Josh Barnett ($9,700)
Jim Wallhead ($9,300)
Tae Hyun Bang ($8,900)

UFC Fight Night 93 Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Jarjis Danho ($10,400) Draw
Taylor Lapilus ($10,000) UD Win
Josh Barnett ($9,700) R3 Sub Win
Jim Wallhead ($9,300) SD Loss
Tae Hyun Bang ($8,900) UD Loss

[Thrilla]

[UncleChael]

The baby face killer gets it done this weekend boys.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Put the House on AA

[Thrilla]

[Thrilla]

Barnett's Entrance music. A metal fan.

[firekillex]

You never bet the house on any heavyweight mma tilt to be honest way to much unpredictability, fight almost ended in the first minute for both sides , best thing to do is take the underdog in toss up heavyweight fights , tonight it didn't pan out but long term its profitable

next at weekend I guess I'll take my own advice and jump on overeem ?

[firekillex]

Barnett's Entrance music. A metal fan.

Listened to the first 1 minute , never felt so close to being possessed in my life

[bjpenn85]

never lost when jibby fades me lol

I thought this event was the event where the streak would break, but no.

Give me a winner for next event

[JIBBBY]

You never bet the house on any heavyweight mma tilt to be honest way to much unpredictability, fight almost ended in the first minute for both sides , best thing to do is take the underdog in toss up heavyweight fights , tonight it didn't pan out but long term its profitable

next at weekend I guess I'll take my own advice and jump on overeem ?

I think you're right, when you have 2 heavy weight that hit hard with these small gloves on anyone can get laid out.. If anything take the dog and gamble like I did on AA.. Still lost ....

Heavyweights are unpredictable.. Werdum just got dropped by Stipe as well...

[GoBlue77]

I thought this event was the event where the streak would break, but no.

Give me a winner for next event

i have a max bet winner coming Saturday, i have had this event circled for months much like my max bet on McGregor. can. not wait.

[firekillex]

i have a max bet winner coming Saturday, i have had this event circled for months much like my max bet on McGregor. can. not wait.

will you enlighten us with this max bet winner or what blue

[bjpenn85]

You never bet the house on any heavyweight mma tilt to be honest way to much unpredictability, fight almost ended in the first minute for both sides , best thing to do is take the underdog in toss up heavyweight fights , tonight it didn't pan out but long term its profitable


next at weekend I guess I'll take my own advice and jump on overeem ?

Every fight needs to be evaluated vivisection like, and some fights one should pass. Arlovski vs Barnett, overeem vs stipe miocic those are difficult matches to break down. IMO, to close to call. While Werdum vs Brownee is easier to predict as Brownee sucks, and werdum is probably one of the best heavyweights of all time. I dont bet any less on fighters at heavyweights if im sold on them winning compared to a matchup at a smaller weight class. I would say that since TKO ratio is higher at heavyweights hedge to reduce loss should perhaps be used more often.