Diaz v. McGregor 2 - What will be the Closing Line?

[Wohlford]

In McGregor/Aldo, a ton of money started pouring in on Aldo about two weeks out and moved the line from McGregor -166 to McGregor +100 and better. That has not happened yet.

In McGregor/Diaz 1, the Diaz money didn't arrive until the day of the fight and barely moved the line.

(https://www.bestfightodds.com/fighte...-McGregor-3147)

I would have expected an Aldo-like wave of money on Diaz by now, but it's not showing up (if it's shown up already, it only moved the line 10 cents or so in Diaz's favor).

Looks like the line will close about where it is now, but I would not be surprised to see an avalanche of Diaz money push Conor into plus-money territory.

The chances of Conor becoming an even bigger favorite are very small; that much seems clear.

Thoughts?

[Wohlford]

Update from Vegas: https://twitter.com/MatthewHoltVP/st...74993959305216

CG Tech says "Diaz money keeps coming in and ticket count now stands at 95-46 in favor of Diaz which is why fight vs McGregor is back to a pickem"

[kmdubya]

Diaz will be favoured come fight time.

All the Connor lovers jump on the betting early, but all the smart money waits until fight time.

[Ty$]

Diaz will be the ending favorite and I guess he hits -150. He started @+115 now -105

[Demonata]

I'm guessing mcgregor -120. Will be the favorite at the end.

[ufcfan2016]

Diaz line moving down to minUs at most places

[O]

Diaz line moving down to minUs at most places

Where's your thread Mr. Big Time UFC fan? You big tough guy you.

[Deceptakhan]

The Irish havnt even landed in Vegas yet...

[Unwritten Law]

I'm predicting McGregor does pushes it back to -130 and Diaz barely gets plus +105 range.

[Heyeverybody99]

The closing line on 5dimes will be:

McGregoat -135
Diaz +125

Conor bless

[Ty$]

The closing line on 5dimes will be:

McGregoat -135
Diaz +125

Conor bless

I hope you're right man

[UncleChael]

The Irish havnt even landed in Vegas yet...

Tell me when they arrive! STOCKTON!

[Ty$]

Diaz back to +100. I'm waiting all week to watch this line and get Diaz when he's worth more.

[Wohlford]

Money coming on McGregor. Diaz now +money in many spots and +111 at Pinnacle

[Ty$]

Diaz is back to +110..... ready to hit it now in case it drops ....opinions ???

[Hugo de Naranja]

Diaz is back to +110..... ready to hit it now in case it drops ....opinions ???

I'd hit it now for 50-75% of what you plan to stake and watch the line to do the rest later

[Ty$]

I'd hit it now for 50-75% of what you plan to stake and watch the line to do the rest later

Haha I did that then read this... I knew liked you for a reason 👌🏻

[Ty$]

Diaz +120 reduced juice!!!!

[Unwritten Law]

BM has it Diaz +104 should I wait for possibly better odds after weigh-ins? Or pull the trigger now??

[Wohlford]

Diaz +120 reduced juice!!!!

Lasted a while. Now back down to +115. (Does 5Dimes auto-move 5 cents for every max bet? In my experience, almost always, yes.)

In the meantime, Pinnacle creeped from +115 to +116.

I'm still surprised, given the "sharp" consensus on Diaz, that we haven't seen major movement his way--as we did on Aldo in the weeks and days before UFC 194.

Seeing huge Nate next to small Conor at the weigh-ins could drive some Diaz money.

[Unwritten Law]

Diaz +110 at Bookmaker. Hope it goes up more!