UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs. Thompson (June 18, 2016)

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  • xagonzx
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-26-16
    • 283

    #561
    I essentially broke even, may have actually lost a unit or two. I was very big on lettourneau and a healthy bet on rory. I hit the winners and props for the first 4 fights, won on circunov and OAM, but lost my not the distance and Bosse ITD, valerie and rory.

    ...... next!
    Comment
    • xagonzx
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-26-16
      • 283

      #562
      Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
      Thanks man. I just got into this recently so I've got a lot to learn but it's been great to have some good results of late.
      Yeah, keep it up.
      Comment
      • Thrilla
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-10-15
        • 13809

        #563
        Originally posted by GunShard
        Instead being disrespectful in my thread.
        Be respectful by telling me your argument for Rory to sway my opinion.
        Thompson won.

        I win 81% of my bets so far: https://gunshard.blogabet.com

        All free picks, I hate it when people sell their picks. I like an open discussion and free picks for everyone.
        Dude are you for real? Nice to see you are in profit but no schit youre 81 % winrate with -270 average odds and 6 % roi after just 54 picks. + Not sure you are allowed to promote that website on SBR as its a commercial betting site focused on selling picks.
        Comment
        • vokyruk
          SBR High Roller
          • 06-15-16
          • 181

          #564
          Gunny
          Comment
          • xagonzx
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-26-16
            • 283

            #565
            Originally posted by xagonzx
            I essentially broke even, may have actually lost a unit or two. I was very big on lettourneau and a healthy bet on rory. I hit the winners and props for the first 4 fights, won on circunov and OAM, but lost my not the distance and Bosse ITD, valerie and rory.

            ...... next!
            Went through, and looks like i lost about 3 units.

            Missed on Beal, and my hedge of Soto DEC.
            Missed big on valerie.
            Missed Bosse ITD and Fight Wont Go Distance.
            Missed 5+ U on rory

            Main card took all my winnings from the prelims!
            Comment
            • GunShard
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-05-10
              • 10027

              #566
              Originally posted by Thrilla
              Dude are you for real? Nice to see you are in profit but no schit youre 81 % winrate with -270 average odds and 6 % roi after just 54 picks. + Not sure you are allowed to promote that website on SBR as its a commercial betting site focused on selling picks.
              I said I don't believe in selling picks even if my ROI is good.
              I know my ROI is average. I like to post picks for everyone.
              Comment
              • GunShard
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-05-10
                • 10027

                #567
                Originally posted by vokyruk
                Gunny
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83693

                  #568
                  Originally posted by GunShard
                  I said I don't believe in selling picks even if my ROI is good.
                  I know my ROI is average. I like to post picks for everyone.
                  Gunny you da man!!! I like your attitude. I will never sell my picks either, I would feel guilty if I lost a single card.. Too much pressure to deliver....
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83693

                    #569
                    Originally posted by mirinquads
                    Soto sub and rd 3 lets see it
                    I had a some good hits tonight, Hugo had some even better hits, others as well..

                    The Thread post call and winner award has to go to Miri on the night!!!.. Comes on the thread posts this above and then bails out.. Like a Ninja.. MIRISON!!

                    I'd like to know the odds on that 3rd round prop if you read in Miri? I bet those odds were sick..
                    Comment
                    • Thrilla
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-10-15
                      • 13809

                      #570
                      Comment
                      • Hugo de Naranja
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-16
                        • 14140

                        #571
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        I had a some good hits tonight, Hugo had some even better hits, others as well..

                        The Thread post call and winner award has to go to Miri on the night!!!.. Comes on the thread posts this above and then bails out.. Like a Ninja.. MIRISON!!

                        I'd like to know the odds on that 3rd round prop if you read in Miri? I bet those odds were sick..
                        Soto Rd 3 opened at +1825 and closed at +1350
                        Comment
                        • JIBBBY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 83693

                          #572
                          Well this is how my night went.. I was curious of my winning totals so this is the Jibs tracker for this event.. Chalk it up as another event win.... I'm glad to rebound after the last UFC event..

                          The chick fight blind play and Wonderboy not winning ITD really blocked me from having a big night.. Oh well..



                          Fight #1 - Running Total -$150.00

                          $150.00 $337.50 Loss 6/18/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2202 Geane Herrera +225* vs Ali Bagautinov



                          Fight #2 - Running Total +$245.00

                          $100.00 $250.00 Win 6/18/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2109 Covington wins inside distance +250* vs Not Covington inside distance

                          $100.00 $145.00 Win 6/18/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Jonathan Meunier/Colby Covington Under 2½ +145*

                          Fight #3 - Running Total + $395.00

                          $169.50 $150.00 Win 6/18/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2011 Markos wins by 3 round decision -113* vs Not Markos by 3 round decision



                          Fight #4 - Running Total +$495.00

                          $230.00 $200.00 Win 6/18/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Theodorou wins by 3 round decision -115* vs Not Theodorou by 3 round decision
                          Hedge

                          $100.00 $455.00 Loss 6/18/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Alvey wins inside distance +455* vs Not Alvey inside distance


                          Fight #5 - Running Total + $255.00

                          $240.00 $200.00 Loss 6/18/16 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Chris Beal -120* vs Joe Soto


                          Fight #6 - Running Total +$105.00

                          $150.00 $157.50 Loss 6/18/16 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1709 McCrory wins inside distance +105* vs Not McCrory inside distance



                          Fight #7 - Running Total +$254.00

                          $171.20 $148.90 Win 6/18/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1609 Cirkunov wins inside distance -115* vs Not Cirkunov inside distance


                          Fight #8 - Running Total +$424.00

                          $100.00 $180.00 Win 6/18/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1511 Saggo wins by 3 round decision +180* vs Not Saggo by 3 round decision


                          Fight #9 - Running Total +$276.00 (This was a blind stupid play I did when I was a bit drunk)
                          $150.00 $100.00 Loss 6/18/16 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 Valerie Letourneau -150* vs Joanne Calderwood

                          Fight #10 - Running Total +$361.00

                          $105.00 $115.50 Win 6/18/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1327 Mercier wins by submission +110* vs Any other result
                          hedge

                          $30.00 $265.50 Loss 6/18/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1333 Gouti wins by TKO/KO +885* vs Any other result

                          Fight #11 - Running Total +$261.00

                          $100.00 $120.00 Loss 6/18/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1201 Sean O'Connell +120* vs Steve Bosse

                          Fight #12 - Running Total + $611.00

                          $900.00 $500.00 Win 6/18/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Donald Cerrone -180* vs Patrick Cote
                          hedge

                          $150.00 $642.00 Loss 6/18/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1129 Cote wins by TKO/KO +428* vs Any other result

                          Fight #12 - (Final Total +$650.00)

                          $345.00 $300.00 Win 6/18/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Stephen Thompson -115* vs Rory MacDonald


                          $200.00 $354.00 Loss 6/18/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Thompson wins inside distance +177* vs Not Thompson inside distance


                          $60.40 $447.00 Loss 2 Team Parlay
                          Loss 6/18/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Thompson wins inside distance +200* vs Not Thompson inside distance
                          Win 6/18/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1109 Cerrone wins inside distance +180* vs Not Cerrone inside distance

                          I didn't kill this event but I'm happy to come out on top and up $650 on 5d.. I did hammer my other 8 books as well with alot of these same bets and did come out on the winning on those as well. So all in all a pretty good night..

                          Next -
                          Comment
                          • mirinquads
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-22-13
                            • 3927

                            #573
                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                            Soto Rd 3 opened at +1825 and closed at +1350
                            Sub was +736 Jibberly jib
                            Comment
                            • Sanity Check
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-30-13
                              • 10962

                              #574
                              Managed to hit a few plays for a change.



                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #575
                                Originally posted by Sanity Check
                                Managed to hit a few plays for a change.



                                Great job Sanity
                                Comment
                                • JIBBBY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 83693

                                  #576
                                  ^^ Nice Sanity indeed.. Solid hits...
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83693

                                    #577
                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                    One of my best nights ever. With the exception of Beal (who got subbed with one minute left in a fight he was winning) I picked all the winners tonight. Props yielded a decent profit but straight bets were it was at tonight.
                                    I think you had the best night out of anyone on this forum posting last night Hugoster!!. Way to get after it..

                                    I gotta say I'm extremely impressed with your capping and prop picks lately especially since you say you have not been betting this sport of MMA for very long.. QUICK LEARNER!!! Keep up the solid play in the future..



                                    Some of the picks below were huge for odds I bet.. If you find the time Hugo can you reference the odds to each of your wins? I'm very curious on a few of those unanimous hits... I need to look at playing the exact decision props in the future myself, I got away from that and just play it safe with the normal decision plays...


                                    Picks for Tonight:

                                    Bagautinov Unanimous Decision
                                    Covington Rd 2 Submission
                                    Markos Split Decision
                                    Theodorou Unanimous Decision
                                    Beal Unanimous Decision
                                    Jotko Unanimous Decision
                                    Cirkunov Rd 2 Submission
                                    Saggo Rd 1 TKO
                                    Calderwood Unanimous Decision
                                    Aubin-Mercier Rd 1 Submission
                                    Bosse Rd 1 KO
                                    Cerrone Split Decision
                                    Thompson Rd 3 TKO
                                    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-19-16, 02:17 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ty$
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-20-16
                                      • 1241

                                      #578
                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                      I think you had the best night out of anyone on this forum posting last night Hugoster!!. Way to get after it..

                                      I gotta say I'm extremely impressed with your capping and prop picks lately especially since you say you have not been betting this sport of MMA for very long.. QUICK LEARNER!!! Keep up the solid play in the future..



                                      Some of the picks below were huge for odds I bet.. If you find the time Hugo can you reference the odds to each of your wins? I'm very curious on a few of those unanimous hits... I need to look at playing the exact decision props in the future myself, I got away from that and just play it safe with the normal decision plays...


                                      Picks for Tonight:

                                      Bagautinov Unanimous Decision
                                      Covington Rd 2 Submission
                                      Markos Split Decision
                                      Theodorou Unanimous Decision
                                      Beal Unanimous Decision
                                      Jotko Unanimous Decision
                                      Cirkunov Rd 2 Submission
                                      Saggo Rd 1 TKO
                                      Calderwood Unanimous Decision
                                      Aubin-Mercier Rd 1 Submission
                                      Bosse Rd 1 KO
                                      Cerrone Split Decision
                                      Thompson Rd 3 TKO

                                      For sure nice picks homie... But picking the Dogs is the hard part... The favorites are suppose to win... I'm goin hard on Alvarez.. Good luck boys! See y'all in a few weeks!
                                      Comment
                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-14-16
                                        • 14140

                                        #579
                                        Originally posted by Ty$
                                        For sure nice picks homie... But picking the Dogs is the hard part... The favorites are suppose to win... I'm goin hard on Alvarez.. Good luck boys! See y'all in a few weeks!
                                        Yeah dogs are tough. Jotko and Calderwood were great values. Alvarez definitely has a chance in that one.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hugo de Naranja
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-14-16
                                          • 14140

                                          #580
                                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                          I think you had the best night out of anyone on this forum posting last night Hugoster!!. Way to get after it..

                                          I gotta say I'm extremely impressed with your capping and prop picks lately especially since you say you have not been betting this sport of MMA for very long.. QUICK LEARNER!!! Keep up the solid play in the future..



                                          Some of the picks below were huge for odds I bet.. If you find the time Hugo can you reference the odds to each of your wins? I'm very curious on a few of those unanimous hits... I need to look at playing the exact decision props in the future myself, I got away from that and just play it safe with the normal decision plays...


                                          Picks for Tonight:

                                          Bagautinov Unanimous Decision
                                          Covington Rd 2 Submission
                                          Markos Split Decision
                                          Theodorou Unanimous Decision
                                          Beal Unanimous Decision
                                          Jotko Unanimous Decision
                                          Cirkunov Rd 2 Submission
                                          Saggo Rd 1 TKO
                                          Calderwood Unanimous Decision
                                          Aubin-Mercier Rd 1 Submission
                                          Bosse Rd 1 KO
                                          Cerrone Split Decision
                                          Thompson Rd 3 TKO
                                          5Dimes doesn't offer Unanimous props for most fights, usually just title fights and main events. To get around that I'll sometimes use point spreads if I think a fighter will win a wide decision.

                                          Here's some that I had winning tonight:
                                          Bagautinov (-190)
                                          Bagautinov -3.5 (+110)

                                          Covington -3.5 (+125)
                                          Covington Submission (+315)

                                          No play on Markos/Jones-Lybarger

                                          Theodorou Decision (-115) -> Didn't play point spread here but that would have been a good idea as Theodorou sometimes gets the finish and often wins at least one 30-27 in this matchup

                                          Jotko (+165/200)

                                          Cirkunov (-210)

                                          Cirkunov Submission (+325)

                                          Saggo (-130)

                                          Calderwood (+150)

                                          OAM -3.5 (-210)

                                          OAM Submission (+140)

                                          Thompson (-115)

                                          Also had Thompson Decision (+683) and Bosse Decision (+1025) but only for enough to cover my ITD/KO plays
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83693

                                            #581
                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                            Also had Thompson Decision (+683) and Bosse Decision (+1025) but only for enough to cover my ITD/KO plays
                                            These are the ones that put you in the money if you have the stones and bet something of substance.

                                            Every now and then I get prop idea and urge and go with it for big value.. Love it when those hit.. Good job Hugo..
                                            Comment
                                            • Rich Benjamins
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-15-15
                                              • 831

                                              #582
                                              Excellent betting, Jibby and Hugo!
                                              Comment
                                              • Ultimatemeatball
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-03-16
                                                • 131

                                                #583
                                                Great job, guys. That was a fun card to analyze after the fact.
                                                Comment
                                                • Grivas_Digeni
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-08-15
                                                  • 5307

                                                  #584
                                                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                  Gunny you da man!!! I like your attitude. I will never sell my picks either, I would feel guilty if I lost a single card.. Too much pressure to deliver....
                                                  JoshKnows doesn't share your sentiment. Just a matter of time before he loses too much on too many consecutive cards and has to bury his alias and re-enter SBR under a new name. One of his plays I believe was Over 10.5... 9.5...8.5... 7.5... 6.5... 5.5 fights to go the distance on Saturday. Odds from -400 to +4000. Small stakes but still it gives you an idea of how much expertise the guy has.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Grivas_Digeni
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-08-15
                                                    • 5307

                                                    #585
                                                    Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                                    that 48-47 judge needs to get banned.
                                                    Everyone who bet Rory needs to stop betting.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Grivas_Digeni
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-08-15
                                                      • 5307

                                                      #586
                                                      Originally posted by yisman
                                                      over.
                                                      RRRight... that's why Over 2.5 rounds was -138 but 'go the distance' a more lucrative -110.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 83693

                                                        #587
                                                        Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                                                        JoshKnows doesn't share your sentiment. Just a matter of time before he loses too much on too many consecutive cards and has to bury his alias and re-enter SBR under a new name. One of his plays I believe was Over 10.5... 9.5...8.5... 7.5... 6.5... 5.5 fights to go the distance on Saturday. Odds from -400 to +4000. Small stakes but still it gives you an idea of how much expertise the guy has.
                                                        No one has a crystal ball and no one stays hot forever. I saw Josh start to slip right before he left this forum.. He pulled that pay per play card right out of his asss and just at the right time.. I'll give him that much credit.. He made a name for himself on this forum and did have a good run for a time.. Feel bad for the paying customers if he is in fact losing from card to card now..

                                                        We produce winners in this section with or without Josh.. Hot shots come and go as I always said.. Solid MMA cappers that do their homework day after day will stay the test of time and win money consistently over time..
                                                        Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-21-16, 01:25 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GunShard
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-05-10
                                                          • 10027

                                                          #588
                                                          Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                                                          Everyone who bet Rory needs to stop betting.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • UncleChael
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-30-13
                                                            • 3979

                                                            #589
                                                            Originally posted by GunShard
                                                            Same guy who pays Josh $50 for his picks. Lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GunShard
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-05-10
                                                              • 10027

                                                              #590
                                                              Originally posted by UncleChael
                                                              Same guy who pays Josh $50 for his picks. Lol
                                                              You just mad because you lost money on Rory. I never pay for picks. You paid for his picks lol.
                                                              Last edited by GunShard; 06-21-16, 01:38 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Beelzebubzy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 06-06-11
                                                                • 6995

                                                                #591
                                                                jibby you going to buy a Segway with your points?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JIBBBY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 83693

                                                                  #592
                                                                  Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                  jibby you going to buy a Segway with your points?
                                                                  Slowly building up the stash bud, just a squirrel trying to get a nut right now.. One day I wanna be a bet point stud just like you Beelz with 4500...

                                                                  I see you've been at work.. What are you saving them for a rainy day? Care to make a friendly bet point wager again? Just say when Lungar...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Beelzebubzy
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-06-11
                                                                    • 6995

                                                                    #593
                                                                    I need carbs. I gotta save them for pizza.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PaperTrail07
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-29-08
                                                                      • 20423

                                                                      #594
                                                                      Most of his losses he would "make in game plays" that nobody could follow and break even or go +$.......if it happened...nobody could tail that....then you got the ole---oh well you lost on MY INFO but I didn't type of shit lol....
                                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                      No one has a crystal ball and no one stays hot forever. I saw Josh start to slip right before he left this forum.. He pulled that pay per play card right out of his asss and just at the right time.. I'll give him that much credit.. He made a name for himself on this forum and did have a good run for a time.. Feel bad for the paying customers if he is in fact losing from card to card now..

                                                                      We produce winners in this section with or without Josh.. Hot shots come and go as I always said.. Solid MMA cappers that do their homework day after day will stay the test of time and win money consistently over time..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • PaperTrail07
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-29-08
                                                                        • 20423

                                                                        #595
                                                                        Again not hating.....picks are what they are....but you cant play that card and expect the table to see it as valid....
                                                                        Comment
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