UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping(February 27, 2016)

[JIBBBY]

WOW that decision could easily happen LOL....I actually think it will......UNREAL....Nice find JIOBBBBBBBBBBO

Yep.. Watch the odds drop now after I posted that up.. Seen that happen a few times before in the past..

There is actually a couple fights on this card that have real split decision potential with fat odds. I hit both spits myself as hedges for profit with Silva/Bisping.. At those odds you can do that and get away with it without losing much profit from other major bets..

I'll be happy to piss away that split prop money if Silva gets the KO...

Little shocking to see the Bisping split is lower odds then the Silva split...

[mirinquads]

Yep.. Watch the odds drop now after I posted that up.. Seen that happen a few times before in the past.

Can i trail you jibbbbby?

[JIBBBY]

Can i trail you jibbbbby?

No Miri you'll jinx everything and we'll all lose money.. Silva will now break his leg again kicking Bisping in the nuts...

Word gets out fast on this forum surprisingly enough with the few views we get... People start posting on other forums, etc.. It's a domino effect.. Seen it happen almost over night in the past no lie.. Odds then begin to drop just like that.

I place before I post.. I learned the hard way..

(I still like the term trail instead of tail after all these years) lol...

[Vaughany]

No Miri you'll jinx everything and we'll all lose money.. Silva will now break his leg again kicking Bisping in the nuts...

Word gets out fast on this forum surprisingly enough with the few views we get... People start posting on other forums, etc.. It's a domino effect.. Seen it happen almost over night in the past no lie.. Odds then begin to drop just like that.

I place before I post.. I learned the hard way..

(I still like the term trail instead of tail after all these years) lol...

wtf are you on Jibbeh!!

[mirinquads]

wtf are you on Jibbeh!!

Honestly I have been passing your picks off as mine one a couple of sites Jibbbby.. They think I'm a god over there.

[Suggartown]

I heard a very, very interesting stat today. I haven't personally researched it but I do believe it to be true.

Bisping has had 20 fights that had betting odds on them. ONLY ONE TIME HAS THE UNDERDOG IN ANY OF THOSE 20 FIGHTS WON THE FIGHT!!! Tim Kennedy beat him as a slight underdog and that is the only time the underdog has won in any of his fights. The favorite always wins (well 95% of the time) when Bisping fights whether that be Bisping or his opponent. I thought this was very very interesting. fwiw

[brooks85]

19-2 for the favorite

[Suggartown]

19-2 for the favorite

Still pretty damn awesome. Did you just go back and look somehow or did you find this on a site somewhere? I heard it on a podcast today. Still trying to figure out my best spots for MMA handicapping info

[TPowell]

A guy that lost to Anthony Hamilton is on this card lol. Jarjis Danho looks like a solid play. He's a former powerlifting brute who is a solid athlete, pushes forward and likes to clinch and go for takedowns. The best part about the guy is that he has solid cardio for a guy who has to cut to get to 265. Daniel is a decent striker I guess, but he really struggles with big brutes like Danho who want to close distance and fight in a phone booth. If you can't beat Anthony Hamilton, I can't see you beating Jarjis Danho. Danho's a raw fighter, but he knows he has to close distance and muck fights up to have the advantage. I like Danho in general and I like the the OVER 1.5 rounds at -150 or so some as well. Not sure if I'll play that though

[TPowell]

Rustam back to training in Dhagistan instead of Jackson's. Have to assume that means he'll look to wrestle much more. When he does that, I think he's a top 10-15 style LW. He had Henderson beat in 3 rounds until he gassed.

[JIBBBY]

wtf are you on Jibbeh!!

Right before my post today the odds on Silva by split were +1075 on 5dimes... Shown in my post earlier..

Current odds a few hours later on 5dimes after my post... Dropped 105 points.. Hmmm? Bisping split prop dropped too..

1045 Silva wins by 5 round split/majority dec

<input id="editx" name="M1_21" size="4"> +970

I see shitt you guys don't for years now and this isn't the first time this stuff happens.. Lines were steady for days too with those splits.. A good bet is a good bet and if I break it down in a post and it make sense the word gets out fast....

Like I said I placed before I posted those props up earlier today and I'm glad I did... Happens all the time with me on this forum..

[UncleChael]

Right before my post today the odds on Silva by split were +1075 on 5dimes... Shown in my post earlier..

Current odds a few hours later on 5dimes after my post... Dropped 105 points.. Hmmm? Bisping split prop dropped too..

1045 Silva wins by 5 round split/majority dec

<input id="editx" name="M1_21" size="4"> +970

I see shitt you guys don't for years now and this isn't the first time this stuff happens.. Lines were steady for days too with those splits.. A good bet is a good bet and if I break it down in a post and it make sense the word gets out fast....

Like I said I placed before I posted those props up earlier today and I'm glad I did... Happens all the time with me on this forum..

It's okay, Jibbs. Silva knocks him out anyways, makes no difference what year. They can fight when they're 50, Silva>Bisping.

[TPowell]

I Bisping's eye is seriously compromised, he'll be finished in this fight easily IMO. Think about how quick Silva can fire off a strike. If Bisping is a little slow in reacting, he's toast.

[JIBBBY]

The Silva KO prop is my main play.. ^ Hope you guys are right!!!

Bispings eye should fall out early on and then he won't see the punches and kicks coming.. ...

[TPowell]

Went ahead and locked my play on Danho in for a unit at +105 and the OVER 1.5 at -155. Will certainly be thinking about adding more, but it IS a heavyweight fight, in Europe, with guys that are low quality, in a fight that could easily go the distance.

[JIBBBY]

Shit Tpow I see that fight going the other way^^^ I hope you're wrong.. lol.. The O 1.5 could hit though..

I think Omiel has a ton more experience with 22 pro fights..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Daniel-Omielanczuk-54303 2-2 in the UFC now, 2 wins by KO and he lost the other 2 to stronger wrestlers by decision.. Jared Rosholt.. I'm sure his TT defense is improving if that's an issue. I could be wrong though.. This is Danhos first fight in the UFC, 6-0 beating bums IMO anyways.. Still raw.. Step up in comp fighting Olielanczuk now and I think he gets stopped... Maybe by sub or KO..

$100.00

$185.00

Pending

2/27/16 1:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2009 Omielanczuk wins inside distance +185* <small>vs</small> Not Omielanczuk inside distance

The write up MMAmania... Just more info to digest, don't take my word for it read this... (copy and paste)

265 lbs.: Daniel Omielanczuk (17-5-1) vs. Jarjis Danho (6-0)
Omielanczuk scored a nasty one-punch finish of Nandor Guelmino, only to suffer consecutive losses to Jared Rosholt and Anthony Hamilton afterwards. He returned to his winning ways last July with a 48 second starching of late replacement Chris De La Rocha. He will give up three inches of height to the 6'3" Danho.

The aptly-nicknamed "Man Mountain" has turned heads on the European circuit with six stoppages in six wins, four of them via knockout. In addition to competing in Germany, where he currently trains, he has also appeared twice in his birth country of Syria and once in Finland. He's stopped four opponents in the first round, including one in 10 seconds.

Danho's nickname is no joke; the man's absolutely gigantic. The problem is that he's nowhere near the overwhelming force a man of his size ought to be. His grappling technique is rudimentary at best and he can be moved around the cage far more easily than should be the case.

Against Omielanczuk, a decent Judoka with the chin to stand up to Danho's punches, the outlook isn't great.

The big Pole is the better submission and takedown artist of the two and can take care of himself on the feet. Expect him to lock something up from top position once Danho's gas tank starts to empty.

Prediction: Omielanczuk by second-round submission

[JIBBBY]

Honestly I have been passing your picks off as mine one a couple of sites Jibbbby.. They think I'm a god over there.

Smart man...

Just remember everything happens here on SBR first. It's all original... This is ground ZERO Dog!! This is where dreams are made!!

[Vaughany]

Right before my post today the odds on Silva by split were +1075 on 5dimes... Shown in my post earlier..

Current odds a few hours later on 5dimes after my post... Dropped 105 points.. Hmmm? Bisping split prop dropped too..

1045 Silva wins by 5 round split/majority dec

<input id="editx" name="M1_21" size="4"> +970

I see shitt you guys don't for years now and this isn't the first time this stuff happens.. Lines were steady for days too with those splits.. A good bet is a good bet and if I break it down in a post and it make sense the word gets out fast....

Like I said I placed before I posted those props up earlier today and I'm glad I did... Happens all the time with me on this forum..

JIbbbehh, it takes like a $50 play to move those lines! Trust me you are not making these lines move!

[bjpenn85]

JIbbbehh, it takes like a $50 play to move those lines! Trust me you are not making these lines move!

LOL

[JoshKnows46]

My full card:
Anderson Silva -325 $325 to win $100
Anderson Silva wins inside the distance -131 $131 to win $100
Thales Leites +290 $1000 to win $2900
Thales Leites wins inside the distance +574 $300 to win $1722
Francisco Rivera -235 Risking $705 to win $300
Francisco Rivera wins inside the distance +100 $300 to win $300
Krzysztof Jotko -135/-155 risking $900
Anderson/Bisping Over 2.5 -140 $450 win $321.43
Anderson to finish in round 3 +650 $130 to win $845
Anderson to finish in round 4 +1050 $100 to win $1050
Anderson to finish in round 5 +1650 $70 to win $1155
Marlon Vera +155 $300 to win $465
Marlon Vera inside the distance +290 $150 to win $435
Parke wins by 3 round decision +335 risking $300
Parke/khabilov goes 3 round distance -245 risking $1500
Daniel Omielanczuk -120 risking $1000
Gouti/pack under 2.5 +145 risking $300
Amirk/Wilkinson under 2.5 -155 risking $600

Parlay
Anderson -320
Mcgregor -400
$900 to win $576.56

[JIBBBY]

JIbbbehh, it takes like a $50 play to move those lines! Trust me you are not making these lines move!

V don't under estimate the power of the post!!!

[JIBBBY]

Josh not a bad idea with these 3 props...

Anderson to finish in round 3 +650 $130 to win $845
Anderson to finish in round 4 +1050 $100 to win $1050
Anderson to finish in round 5 +1650 $70 to win $1155

Ya loaded up on Thales Lietes though, big mistake.. Mousasi is no push over.. If you pull this win out of your ass I'll be surprised!!!!

Thales Leites +290 $1000 to win $2900
Thales Leites wins inside the distance +574 $300 to win $1722

[bjpenn85]

Parlay
Anderson -320
Mcgregor -400
$900 to win $576.56[/QUOTE]

Theres a play missing here right?

[JoshKnows46]

Parlay
Anderson -320
Mcgregor -400
$900 to win $576.56

Theres a play missing here right?[/QUOTE]

No there isnt, 2 team Parlay for 900

[JoshKnows46]

Josh not a bad idea with these 3 props...

Anderson to finish in round 3 +650 $130 to win $845
Anderson to finish in round 4 +1050 $100 to win $1050
Anderson to finish in round 5 +1650 $70 to win $1155

Ya loaded up on Thales Lietes though, big mistake.. Mousasi is no push over.. If you pull this win out of your ass I'll be surprised!!!!

Thales Leites +290 $1000 to win $2900
Thales Leites wins inside the distance +574 $300 to win $1722

Leites should be the favorite, value wise, it's the best bet on the card, and I'd be surprised if it loses.

[bjpenn85]

Theres a play missing here right?

No there isnt, 2 team Parlay for 900[/QUOTE]

My bad, read 1576.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

not much chatter about Amirkhani

very impressive in first 2 UFC fights and now training with Conor and the SBG Ireland crew

[JoshKnows46]

not much chatter about Amirkhani

very impressive in first 2 UFC fights and now training with Conor and the SBG Ireland crew

I lean to him, but for value purposes the under 2.5, is the better and safer bet, this fight will be over in the 1st round.

[JoshKnows46]

of their 24 combined fights, only 5 have gone over 2.5 rounds.

[imadegen]

damnit this is on fight pass?

[imadegen]

[JIBBBY]

Leites should be the favorite, value wise, it's the best bet on the card, and I'd be surprised if it loses.

Simple logic.. Not rocket science....

Bispings last fight he beat Leites and it lasted 5 rounds.. Both looked like garbage if you ask me... Mousasi is on a completely different level as far as the striking goes when comparing him to Lietes.. I'm not convinced Leites gets the take downs and executes the sub win or the lay and pray for a decision win either in this one...

Mousasi won't fall asleep in this fight coming off that embarrassing first time KO loss to Uriah Hall... Mous has never lost 2 fights in a row, he's only 30 years old still.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Gegard-Mousasi-7466

[JIBBBY]

Bisping looks ripped.. Shiiit..

Bisping talking major crap at weigh ins.. He seems rattled though.. Spidey calm and collected..

[JoshKnows46]

Simple logic.. Not rocket science....

Bispings last fight he beat Leites and it lasted 5 rounds.. Both looked like garbage if you ask me... Mousasi is on a completely different level as far as the striking goes when comparing him to Lietes.. I'm not convinced Leites gets the take downs and executes the sub win or the lay and pray for a decision win either in this one...

Mousasi won't fall asleep in this fight coming off that embarrassing first time KO loss to Uriah Hall... Mous has never lost 2 fights in a row, he's only 30 years old still.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Gegard-Mousasi-7466

we'll bet mousasi by dec then, you'll be shown once again why you don't bet against me, this is easy money jibby, dont get in your own way.

[JIBBBY]

damnit this is on fight pass?

Yep fight pass only.. Early morning start time here in the States.. I'm gonna be out late tonight too.. Errr! Missing Bellator live tonight because I'm going out and I might miss part of this event tomorrow.

I could be a mess posting tomorrow morning that is if I can even wake up for the prelims.. We'll see!!! 5am start time for me...