Jenga's official MMA picks

[Jenga101]

I am new to the forum, however I have been betting on MMA for quite some time, and have done quite well so I wanted to start contributing to the forum with my plays. Feel free to follow along, or critique my picks as I go. I only play on Bovada, but am looking in to opening accounts on separate forums... feel free to give advice about which ones you like.

Current bets I have pending:

Jul 24, 2014 08:07:33 PM	Single #356650177 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC 177 - Sleep Train Arena - Sacremento, California, United States (3003) Renan "The Baron" Barao +150 Aug 30/14@11:45p Competitor: (3002) TJ Dillashaw	Web	US$ 100.00	US$ 150.00
Jul 24, 2014 08:07:05 PM	Single #356650130 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC on Fox 12 - SAP Center - San Jose, California, United States (9106) Dennis "The Menace" Bermudez -160 Jul 26/14@08:30p Competitor: (9107) Clay "The Carpenter" Guida	Web	US$ 80.00	US$ 50.00
Jul 24, 2014 08:07:05 PM	Single #356650129 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC on Fox 12 - SAP Center - San Jose, California, United States (9114) Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal -240 Jul 26/14@06:00p Competitor: (9115) Daron "Detroit Superstar" Cruickshank	Web	US$ 120.00	US$ 50.00
Jul 24, 2014 08:07:05 PM	Single #356650128 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC on Fox 12 - SAP Center - San Jose, California, United States (9105) Bobby "King" Green +210 Jul 26/14@08:00p Competitor: (9104) Josh "The Punk" Thomson	Web	US$ 50.00	US$ 105.00

Betting the Barao fight early, because I believe this line will even out as the fight approaches.

[Jenga101]

Jul 25, 2014 07:27:50 PM

Single #356728797 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must fight for action Bellator 122 - Pechanga Resort & Casino - Temecula, California (9921) Karo "The Heat" Parisyan -265 Jul 25/14@09:30p Competitor: (9920) Phil "New York Bad Ass" Baroni

Web

US$ 53.00

US$ 20.00

As much as I hate Karo Parisyan it should be an easy night for him.

[Jenga101]

Jul 26, 2014 07:28:55 PM

Single #356835237 Mixed Martial Arts Props (Prop) Moneyline Both must fight for action (Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal vs Daron "Detroit Superstar" Cruickshank) - Method of Victory (3 Rounds) (8071) Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal wins by 3 round decision +135 Jul 26/14@06:00p

Web

US$ 20.00

US$ 27.00

[MarkWoodstick]

Awesome job so far

[Jenga101]

Thank you sir! Good start on the forum. 5-0 for +252 so far.

[Jenga101]

Jul 26, 2014 09:34:37 PM	Single #356848581 Mixed Martial Arts Props (Prop) Moneyline Both must fight for action ("Ruthless" Robbie Lawler vs Matt "The Immortal" Brown) - Round Betting (5 Rounds) (8315) "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler in Round 4 10/1 Jul 26/14@09:30p	Web	US$ 20.00	US$ 200.00
Jul 26, 2014 09:34:37 PM	Single #356848580 Mixed Martial Arts Props (Prop) Moneyline Both must fight for action ("Ruthless" Robbie Lawler vs Matt "The Immortal" Brown) - Round Betting (5 Rounds) (8313) "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler in Round 2 15/4 Jul 26/14@09:30p	Web	US$ 20.00	US$ 75.00
Jul 26, 2014 09:34:10 PM	Single #356848554 Mixed Martial Arts Props (Prop) Moneyline Both must fight for action ("Ruthless" Robbie Lawler vs Matt "The Immortal" Brown) - Round Betting (5 Rounds) (8314) "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler in Round 3 7/1 Jul 26/14@09:30p	Web	US$ 20.00	US$ 140.00

[Jenga101]

Matt Brown is a machine! 5-1 (I count that as one bet) for +192

[marzwoody]

Good job pal.

[Pmoney]

Respect

[Jenga101]

Jul 27, 2014 10:30:21 PM

Single #356942771 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline All wagers have action if bout takes place in 2014. Both must Fight for Action. UFC 178 - Air Canada Centre - Toronto, Ontario, Canada (9301) Daniel Cormier +160 Sep 27/14@11:45p Competitor: (9300) Jon "Bones" Jones

Web

US$ 100.00

US$ 160.00

Thanks guys! Locking another one early. I really like Cormier in this fight. The only thing that is going to stop Cormier is someone with crisp striking AND a lot of power behind those strikes. Jones will keep the range pretty well, but I don't think it will be enough to keep Cormier at bay, he is a tank, gonna land some takedowns, and keep Jones confused. Not sure which way this line would go, but I would guess on namesake alone the line will get better for me, which if it does you will see more money added on to this one.

[Kermit]

You don't think his mobility due to his leg injury is going to hinder him?

[Lick496]

Matt Brown is a machine! 5-1 (I count that as one bet) for +192

why do you count that as one bet

[imadegen]

What's youre reasoning behind taking barao in the rematch?

[Jenga101]

why do you count that as one bet

When I put it in I thought that the fight was going to end in one of the three rounds... when putting it in I was obviously going to lose two, but I felt like if I covered the three rounds odds were good that I was going to hit on one. Kinda like a reverse parlay type of thing. I plan on placing bets in this thread for a while, so I am cool to count it as three individual bets. Looking back I still like the play as well.

[Jenga101]

You don't think his mobility due to his leg injury is going to hinder him?

Not really. This isn't a new injury. It also doesn't seem to debilitating. I plan on Jones to target both legs early and often (I am actually looking forward to see some sway kicks to the right leg, and because Cormier will not want to give up ground Jones will mix in head strikes with kicks to the back leg). It very well could play a factor, but I think if he gets through the training camp without it slowing him down it won't be as much of an issue as people make it out to be. Simply put: I like Cormier's strengths going into the fight enough to take that risk.

[Jenga101]

What's youre reasoning behind taking barao in the rematch?

It's easy to look at that fight and say "Barao got dominated", but I did not leave it thinking Dillashaw was the better fighter. Barao is a deceptively slow starter+ he was confused by that gameplan (nobody saw that style coming)+ he got caught big early+ even if Dillashaw is the "better fighter (which I wholeheartedly do not believe) Barao can still finish that fight in many, many ways. I expect him to make adjustments coming into the fight, be little bit fresher, use a lot more mobility, and dominate the fight. (Ironically I did win money betting on Dillashaw in the first fight.)

[Lick496]

When I put it in I thought that the fight was going to end in one of the three rounds... when putting it in I was obviously going to lose two, but I felt like if I covered the three rounds odds were good that I was going to hit on one. Kinda like a reverse parlay type of thing. I plan on placing bets in this thread for a while, so I am cool to count it as three individual bets. Looking back I still like the play as well.

I guess i understand your reasoning, but in my thread i count every single bet as a win loss (even if there are weird props when you cant win them all). Just seems a little deceptive, but to each his own!

good win btw

[Jenga101]

Thanks man. Sounds good... I will count it as individual bets. I see where you are coming on it... updated: 5-3 for +192

[Lick496]

Thanks man. Sounds good... I will count it as individual bets. I see where you are coming on it... updated: 5-3 for +192

you dont have to change it, i was just making a statement. tell me im an asshole and to mind my own business

[Jenga101]

HAHA oh I would, but honestly I thought about doing it both ways, and I don't really care about the record as much as showing a pretty consistent profit... Plus I remember skimming through your bets once and thinking "oh this guy likes MMA Lab fighters" which is where I trained, so you are cool in my book! lol

[Lick496]

HAHA oh I would, but honestly I thought about doing it both ways, and I don't really care about the record as much as showing a pretty consistent profit... Plus I remember skimming through your bets once and thinking "oh this guy likes MMA Lab fighters" which is where I trained, so you are cool in my book! lol

im just trying to keep a record to see where i stand after a year. I used to bet huge units and have to reload all the time, but now im taking a very conservative approach (most bets are under a unit). Its amazing how many guys on this site will tell you how much they had on a fighter after they won, yet wont post their actual plays and amounts (guess they really want to look cool). So ya, its cool that you are keeping a record.

I take a lot of underdogs and props, which can have tons of variance obviously, so thats my main reasoning for keeping my bets real slow

Good luck man!

[Thor4140]

Has Rocky been introduced to this fella yet?

[Jenga101]

Aug 16, 2014 10:20:15 PM	Single #358682093 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline UFC FIGHT NIGHT 47 - Cross Insurance Center - Bangor, Maine, USA (2013) Ross "The Real Deal" Pearson -165 Aug 17/14@12:00a Competitor: (2012) Gray "The Bully" Maynard	Web	US$ 100.00	US$ 60.61
Aug 16, 2014 10:18:12 PM	Single #358681892 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline UFC FIGHT NIGHT 47 - Cross Insurance Center - Bangor, Maine, USA (2020) Ryan "Darth" Bader -190 Aug 17/14@12:30a Competitor: (2021) Ovince Saint Preux	Web	US$ 100.00	US$ 52.63
Aug 16, 2014 09:55:01 PM	Single #358679732 Mixed Martial Arts Props (Prop) Moneyline Both must fight for action (Ryan "Darth" Bader vs Ovince Saint Preux) - Method of Victory (5 Rounds) (2000) Ryan "Darth" Bader wins inside distance +150 Aug 17/14@12:30a	Web	US$ 50.00	US$ 75.00

[Jenga101]

terrible card for betting though.

[Jenga101]

Looks like bader is limping on his right leg a little bit. Little scary.

[Jenga101]

Aug 23, 2014 12:12:46 AM	Single #359213124 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC Fight Night 48 - Cotai Arena - Macau, China (2498) Tyron "The Chosen One" Woodley -200 Aug 23/14@10:30a Competitor: (2499) Dong "Stun Gun" Hyun Kim	Web	US$ 150.00	US$ 75.00
Aug 18, 2014 10:32:03 PM	Single #358862546 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline UFC FIGHT NIGHT 48 - Cotai Arena - Macau, China (2501) Cung Le +240 Aug 23/14@09:00a Competitor: (2500) Michael "The Count" Bisping	Web	US$ 75.00	US$ 180.00

[Jenga101]

Aug 23, 2014 12:16:48 AM

Single #359213322 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC Fight Night 48 - Cotai Arena - Macau, China (2487) Elizabeth Phillips +130 Aug 23/14@06:30a Competitor: (2486) Milana Dudieva

Web

US$ 50.00

US$ 65.00

[Jenga101]

Aug 23, 2014 09:25:15 PM

Single #359330103 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC Fight Night 49 - Bok Center - Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA (2611) Neil Magny +120 Aug 23/14@09:30p Competitor: (2610) Alex "The Dominican Nightmare" Garcia

Web

US$ 50.00

US$ 60.00

[Jenga101]

Aug 23, 2014 09:30:11 PM	Single #359330485 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC Fight Night 49 - Bok Center - Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA (2621) Mike "Quicksand" Pyle +200 Aug 23/14@11:59p Competitor: (2620) Jordan "Young Gun" Mein	Web	US$ 50.00	US$ 100.00
Aug 23, 2014 09:30:11 PM	Single #359330484 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC Fight Night 49 - Bok Center - Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA (2612) Tom "Stoneface" Niinimaki -150 Aug 23/14@10:00p Competitor: (2613) Chas "The Scrapper" Skelly	Web	US$ 75.00	US$ 50.00
Aug 23, 2014 09:30:11 PM	Single #359330483 Mixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline Both must Fight for Action. UFC Fight Night 49 - Bok Center - Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA (2618) Francis "Limitless" Carmont -205 Aug 23/14@11:30p Competitor: (2619) Thales Leites	Web	US$ 102.50	US$ 50.00