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LOL superb and awkward as fokk!Comment -
Sonnen need to be Diaz cornerman for all press conferences. Shit would be full of win!Comment -
Moderate on Jansen +105, small-moderate on Wiuff/Martinez under 2.5 -125. I really think Jansen's the superior fighter here, and although Held can definitely find the submission, I have to take the more well-rounded guy at dog odds. He has too many routes to victory and too many advantages to not risk a wager.Comment -
Moderate on Wiuff -135. That line is ridiculous.Comment -
MD makes profit on a Bellator card?! Holy shit.Comment -
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LOL i laughed like a little kidComment -
holy shit that video was hilarious.Comment -
OMG that was hilarious!Comment -
Moderate-large on Hawn at odds that average at around -310. Large on Curran in the -150 range.
I encourage you all to read my Pat Curran vs Shabulat Shamhalaev breakdown.
Enjoy the card, boys.Comment -
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well spotted with curran!Comment -
^ Thanks BJ, appreciate the props.
Between my straight and decision plays, I'm large on Ross Pearson. Got the decision props at +104 and +100, and him straight in the high -200 range on PP and 5D. Moderate-large on McGregor at -110 and -150, moderate on Pickett by decision +110, small on Corassani by decision +410. May add more soon, no idea. I sort of rushed this card as I've been busy all week. Confident in Pearson and McGregor, although Brimmage is one of the most underrated fighters in the UFC. Kid is a beast.Comment -
Moderate on Michael Johnson -260.Comment -
Latifi by UD very small, +3000.Comment -
Moderate on Gegard by KO +150.Comment -
Gegard down to -710. Welp, time for a moderate-large bet on that. As long as Gegard wins or Latifi wins by UD, I'm up.Comment -
Sorry, I was wrong about this, my mistake. The profits from Gegard didn't quite cover the amount on the KO prop so I finished down for that fight. Good night overall anyway; cashed Pearson, McGregor, Pickett by decision, Mousasi, Corassani by decision, then lost my Michael Johnson bet, and the Pearson/Gegard props. Solid night indeed.Comment -
Just to reiterate my point that Bleacher Report is the worst MMA site on the internet...
"GSP and the 10 Best Tactical Game-Planners in MMA"
Here are some particularly hilarious out-takes:
"Regardless of his opponents’ skill set, UFC bantamweight champ Dominick Cruz always employs the same fast-paced game plan."
"But Aldo and Nova Uniao head trainer Andre Pederneiras formulated an ingenious plan to stay away from the many strengths of Faber, a dominant wrestler and submission artist with a solid chin." Aldo, incase you didn't know, is the guy who invented the "hit him a lot and try not to get taken down" counter to fighting against wrestlers.
And then, having JDS at #10 and Cain at #9. And a bunch of other guys who do the same thing, every single fight. Brilliantly written.
Anyway, as for my plays, I'll post more of them later tonight, but right now, I want to talk about one in particular.
Maximo Blanco should easily beat Sam Sicilia. He's too fast, too athletic, and he's too good at getting out of range. Sam Sicilia is a KO specialist who lacks good striking technique, and that alone should be enough to heavily favour Blano, the superior striker, against him. On top of that, though, Blanco has fantastic wrestling, though which he rarely utilizes, and could easily dominate Sicilia with his wrestling if he wanted to. The issue with this fight is that Blanco keeps his hands down sooooo much, he leaves himself vulnerable to eating big shots, although his ability to quickly back pedal has kept him from a knock out loss to this point. Sicilia probably isn't the guy to give him that KO loss, but the fact of the matter is that with MMA levels of variance, it's something to consider. Blanco is superior in all areas, though, and if he had shown a propensity for high fight IQ in the past, and a willingness to use his wrestling, it would be easy to cap him at over -1000, and he would probably have opened at -400 at least. This is a gimme fight for him if he can avoid the big knockout shot.Last edited by MD; 04-13-13, 11:46 AM.Comment -
blanco line has been improving. do you think it will get even better close to fight timeComment -
lol had a chuckle at this oneJust to reiterate my point that Bleacher Report is the worst MMA site on the internet...
"GSP and the 10 Best Tactical Game-Planners in MMA"
Here are some particularly hilarious out-takes:
"Regardless of his opponents’ skill set, UFC bantamweight champ Dominick Cruz always employs the same fast-paced game plan."
"But Aldo and Nova Uniao head trainer Andre Pederneiras formulated an ingenious plan to stay away from the many strengths of Faber, a dominant wrestler and submission artist with a solid chin." Aldo, incase you didn't know, is the guy who invented the "hit him a lot and try not to get taken down" counter to fighting against wrestlers.
And then, having JDS at #10 and Cain at #9. And a bunch of other guys who do the same thing, every single fight. Brilliantly written.
Anyway, as for my plays, I'll post more of them later tonight, but right now, I want to talk about one in particular.
Maximo Blanco should easily beat Sam Sicilia. He's too fast, too athletic, and he's too good at getting out of range. Sam Sicilia is a KO specialist who lacks good striking technique, and that alone should be enough to heavily favour Blano, the superior striker, against him. On top of that, though, Blanco has fantastic wrestling, though which he rarely utilizes, and could easily dominate Sicilia with his wrestling if he wanted to. The issue with this fight is that Blanco keeps his hands down sooooo much, he leaves himself vulnerable to eating big shots, although his ability to quickly back pedal has kept him from a knock out loss to this point. Sicilia probably isn't the guy to give him that KO loss, but the fact of the matter is that with MMA levels of variance, it's something to consider. Blanco is superior in all areas, though, and if he had shown a propensity for high fight IQ in the past, and a willingness to use his wrestling, it would be easy to cap him at over -1000, and he would probably have opened at -400 at least. This is a gimme fight for him if he can avoid the big knockout shot.Comment -
It's about time someone figured that out.
The old strategy of punching at air and laying down if asked nicely, just wasn't working.Comment -
Similarly, I was looking at Luke Thomas' prediction page because (deleted).
He posts his picks as such:
Justin Lawrence < Daniel Pineda
From the comment thread:
NOTE FOR PRELIM CARD PICKS
< or > are NOT arrows.
It’s X > Y where I’m picking X to win over Y. Or, conversely, X < Y where I am picking Y to win over X.
by Luke Thomas on Apr 12, 2013 | 1:02 PM reply
Constructive criticism?
> or < might have been easier to understand. I mean not all of us have taken high level calculus.
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wtfComment -
So many plays tonight, so I'll try to condense them as much as possible:
Small prop plays:
Hall by KO +198
Gastelum by sub +850
Gastelum by decision +850
Saman/Casey under 1.5 +120
Tiny prop plays:
Gilbert by decision +500
Bubba by TKO +550
Zingano ITD +33
Palaszewski moderate -150
Zingano moderate +115, -105
Browne moderate-large -210 and -245 (might be wrong about -245, it's around there, anyway) hedged with Gonzaga by sub +500
Quinlan moderate +120Comment -
Oh also, I have a shit-ton of money on Tate/Zingano Not Fight of the Night straight and in parlays. -335 to -400. Second biggest bet of the night after Blanco.Comment -
Love the Samman/Casey under, I'm gonna tail that for a half unit or so.Comment -
Dana might be overly keen to throw out FOTN to females if they put on a half-decent scrap just to further try and legitimise decision to have them fightingComment
