Erick Silva by KO

**Vaughany** · 10-12-12, 08:47 AM

Been like that for a couple days, think it came out at +450

MD · 10-12-12, 08:49 AM

Good God. That's shockingly bad odds making.

**Vaughany** · 10-12-12, 08:56 AM

Maybe, but if he doesnt win by TKO/KO it could be great odds-making! Just because Hendricks KO'd him doesnt necessarily mean Erick Silva is going to do it

**oddtodd** · 10-12-12, 12:52 PM

Bet DSI and Bookmaker always offer the same lines.. And I think theyre just killing you with the juice there. Roughly the correct odds can be calculated by multiplying the pinny under 2.5 rounds with Silva to win. Now I know this is flawed b/c if its under then its highly likely that silva finished and not fitch, also there is a chance that it went under b/c of a submission, and a chance a knockout occurs in the 2nd half of the last round. Still this gives you roughly +350 // the odds that are further from the true probability are clearly bookmakers

**NunyaBidness** · 10-12-12, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by MD

+100 on BetDSI, +100 on Bookmaker, +400 on Paddy Power.

You may want to get on this fast.

You shouldn't ever look at Bookmaker props as being useful as a comparison. They have nothing to do with the fair market and the overround on their props is frequently 160% or higher.