Cards/cubs over 7.5 huge!!

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  • Doughboy22
    SBR MVP
    • 02-01-12
    • 4189

    #36
    over will hit in 2nd inning... nice call SG
    Comment
    • sportsguy04
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-21-08
      • 11885

      #37
      Winner!!! Huge $$. Now let's root on the cards ml for my small play and the rest of sbr!
      Comment
      • JMon
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-11-09
        • 9800

        #38
        no need sweating the over, nice
        Comment
        • Cuse4tw
          SBR MVP
          • 03-16-10
          • 2895

          #39
          Great call pal....I sold some points and got the over 15
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #40
            Looks like the public's going to have a field day with this one.

            So sg04, your thread is about fading the public, then you took the two public plays (side and total)?

            Comment
            • Semper Fidelis
              SBR MVP
              • 09-22-11
              • 1999

              #41
              Good job sportsguy, we hit once again!!! I have to say though, the total play for me was but a small percentage compared to the hefty amount I have on the cards and RL!!! Hopefully the cards keep the momentum up!!!
              Comment
              • Madison
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-16-11
                • 6467

                #42
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Lance Lynn is very good, and will continue to be in the near future. He's no fluke.

                With that being said, he's a rookie and it's late July. Regression is inevitable.
                He had his regression in June. Thought he had found a second wind.
                Comment
                • sportsguy04
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-21-08
                  • 11885

                  #43
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  Weird opening number, and even stranger line drop. Not sure what that was all about.
                  Line movements mean nothing to me most the time. Wood has been utter trash lately and can't touch a under with him. Ship in to Colorado where the rest of the bums go pitch.
                  Comment
                  • Cuse4tw
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-16-10
                    • 2895

                    #44
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    Looks like the public's going to have a field day with this one.

                    So sg04, your thread is about fading the public, then you took the two public plays (side and total)?

                    Professional Buzzkill.
                    Comment
                    • sportsguy04
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-21-08
                      • 11885

                      #45
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      Looks like the public's going to have a field day with this one.

                      So sg04, your thread is about fading the public, then you took the two public plays (side and total)?

                      First glance thought under was the public play, then after a while it flip flipped. Public wins everyonce in a while no coin.
                      Comment
                      • AceKingHigh
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 3888

                        #46
                        DUDE, glad I tailed for a unit too bad I didn't put more, cash this shit!
                        Comment
                        • sportsguy04
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-21-08
                          • 11885

                          #47
                          Originally posted by semper fidelis
                          good job sportsguy, we hit once again!!! I have to say though, the total play for me was but a small percentage compared to the hefty amount i have on the cards and rl!!! Hopefully the cards keep the momentum up!!!
                          usa! Usa! Usa!!
                          Comment
                          • Semper Fidelis
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-22-11
                            • 1999

                            #48
                            USA indeed my friend!!! Backing them again in the next match bud?
                            Comment
                            • AceKingHigh
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 3888

                              #49
                              P.S, Keep posting plays you like bro maybe start your own thread? love to read your plays.
                              Comment
                              • jaeguyoon
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-27-11
                                • 992

                                #50
                                man i wish I played this pick. Being able to turn off the tv after 2 innings and go on with my day would've been awesome. good hit sports guy04
                                Comment
                                • sportsguy04
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-21-08
                                  • 11885

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Semper Fidelis
                                  USA indeed my friend!!! Backing them again in the next match bud?
                                  Of course! USA is -2.5 . They will win by 3-4!
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                    First glance thought under was the public play, then after a while it flip flipped. Public wins everyonce in a while no coin.
                                    Public wins 50% of the time. I never said it didn't.

                                    The whole point of the thread was to mock the public and call the under the square play, though. Then you had no problem being on their side when it cashed.
                                    Comment
                                    • sportsguy04
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-21-08
                                      • 11885

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                      P.S, Keep posting plays you like bro maybe start your own thread? love to read your plays.
                                      Been on fire in baseball, honestly everyone complains about how hard baseball is, I think it's actually easier.
                                      I'll start own thread.
                                      Comment
                                      • sportsguy04
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-21-08
                                        • 11885

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Public wins 50% of the time. I never said it didn't.

                                        The whole point of the thread was to mock the public and call the under the square play, though. Then you had no problem being on their side when it cashed.
                                        Would you like me to edit my first post? Jesus dude who cares, I won big money. Lol not gonna argue it. I was wrong, I thought it was a public fade at first till the numbers came out and it flip flopped, what else you want from me?
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                          Would you like me to edit my first post? Jesus dude who cares, I won big money. Lol not gonna argue it. I was wrong, I thought it was a public fade at first till the numbers came out and it flip flopped, what else you want from me?
                                          Nothing. Congrats. I just find it interesting that I get called out every time I even mention fading the public, yet when some other poster does it, it's all good.
                                          Comment
                                          • AceKingHigh
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-23-09
                                            • 3888

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                            Been on fire in baseball, honestly everyone complains about how hard baseball is, I think it's actually easier.
                                            I'll start own thread.
                                            Appreciate it good luck with all your future bets...

                                            @ No Coin, what's the problem? he just thought it was a public fade, the nice thing is that HE PICKED THE SIDE BECAUSE THAT WHAT HE WANTED TO PLAY NOT BECAUSE PUBLIC WAS ON THE OTHER SIDE! ** like you who is always trying to fade the public ** he just took a note for that... no biggie, even if public was 85% on the Over - he would still play it - that's how he capped the game !!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                              Been on fire in baseball, honestly everyone complains about how hard baseball is, I think it's actually easier.
                                              I'll start own thread.
                                              I'm not going to disagree yet, but if you're playing an over where 70% of the public is one way yet it drops a half a run down the stretch of the season, it won't be a winner long term. So just be careful about saying it's "easy."

                                              Good luck 04.
                                              Comment
                                              • sportsguy04
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-21-08
                                                • 11885

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                Nothing. Congrats. I just find it interesting that I get called out every time I even mention fading the public, yet when some other poster does it, it's all good.
                                                Don't get On me for ralphie and crew harassing you. But I will say fading the public doesn't always work. Thanks brother, good luck today.
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                                  Don't get On me for ralphie and crew harassing you. But I will say fading the public doesn't always work. Thanks brother, good luck today.
                                                  I never said it did. I just thought that was the reason for your play here because that's exactly what you said you were doing. My bad for getting confused.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AceKingHigh
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 3888

                                                    #60
                                                    I think Thread closed - good deal SP04 well done.
                                                    GL to all of us - No Coin - hit 'em hard today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sportsguy04
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-21-08
                                                      • 11885

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      I'm not going to disagree yet, but if you're playing an over where 70% of the public is one way yet it drops a half a run down the stretch of the season, it won't be a winner long term. So just be careful about saying it's "easy."

                                                      Good luck 04.
                                                      just saying I have had good success in baseball. Lot of value and spot betting with different situations. Can't always look at percentages, you will go crazy and it always doesn't happen to fall the way you want it to.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                                        just saying I have had good success in baseball. Lot of value and spot betting with different situations. Can't always look at percentages, you will go crazy and it always doesn't happen to fall the way you want it to.
                                                        % aren't even accurate anyway, as you can attest to from the start of this thread to where they ended up.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shooms79
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-09-10
                                                          • 1105

                                                          #63
                                                          Nice call, I am on parlay over and stl. and stl rl. I like hitting early in early games.
                                                          No Coin - i think you are prob one of the most prolific posters here...you talk a lot, but not really much to say. You ever look at stats instead of what others think (like RLM, baseball psychology, revenge factor, etc etc) Read Platos Allegory of the Cave. Byt focusing too much on how others influence the line, u are distracted by the shadows. Just my opinion...take it fwiw.

                                                          Wood early start and in chi? I saw 7 and was like wtf.

                                                          Everyone has their way approaching baseball, so without numbers , stl have been sleeping and due to wake up. People think beltran carry that team, I say no...holliday and molina. Lets not forget what freese is capable of and even if berkman is half the man he was last year, thats a decent addition. Holliday has been quiet for too long, he will go on a run this 2nd half. Still have them running away with the division...but thats a no brainier.

                                                          Not meaning to ruffle feathers, just saying.... BOL this season
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Cuse4tw
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-16-10
                                                            • 2895

                                                            #64
                                                            Sportsguy,

                                                            I think we need to get an Olympic soccer thread going...been killing it with the overs in the woman's games and think there is a lot of value when you pick your spots
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sportsguy04
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-21-08
                                                              • 11885

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              I never said it did. I just thought that was the reason for your play here because that's exactly what you said you were doing. My bad for getting confused.
                                                              Trying to fade the public Was not my only way of capping this game and didn't have the full effect of my decision to play the over. If one simply plays a play based on fading the public then they need to reevaluate their style. However fading a play blind when landers, Lang and Ryan are all on the game together, now that's golden !
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shooms79
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-09-10
                                                                • 1105

                                                                #66
                                                                LOL as i wrote my ranting rave....berkman homered. I love it when a plan comes together
                                                                Comment
                                                                • AceKingHigh
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-23-09
                                                                  • 3888

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Actually, I don't understand the % game when you bet since if you bet on a game $50 and lose and bet on other game $70 and win , you end up in profit ( assume -110 play ) although you went 1-1 , it all depends on how much you bet for each pick you make - ofcurse you need winners with it , but even a guy with 40% hit rate can win as well as a guy with 65% hit rate can lose money.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Cuse4tw
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-16-10
                                                                    • 2895

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Just noticed you had a thread going, mind if I post some leans and plays and discuss games in there?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sportsguy04
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-21-08
                                                                      • 11885

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Cuse4tw
                                                                      Sportsguy,

                                                                      I think we need to get an Olympic soccer thread going...been killing it with the overs in the woman's games and think there is a lot of value when you pick your spots
                                                                      Already posted mine in the soccer forum.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sportsguy04
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-21-08
                                                                        • 11885

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Cuse4tw
                                                                        Just noticed you had a thread going, mind if I post some leans and plays and discuss games in there?
                                                                        Thats what it's for. Post away :$
                                                                        Comment
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