Yu Darvish Shouldn't Be a Road Favorite on Saturday

[Jeff Grant]

The Texas Rangers continue to be incredibly overvalued in the MLB betting odds, considering that they've scored the fewest runs (34) in the majors leagues in the month of July:

• Rangers SP Yu Darvish is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA when facing a team for a third time this year
• Five of Darvish's six losses have come on the road (3-5, 4.42 ERA away from Arlington overall)
• The Rangers have dropped their last four games as a road favorite of -110 to -150
• Texas has lost its last five games against AL West opponents with Darvish on the moun
• The Angels are 0-2 as a home underdog of +100 to +125 this season (2-0 under)
• The Angels are 10-3 in Ervin Santana's last 13 efforts as a home underdog
• Santana has a 1.06 ERA in his last two home starts - making his first start at Angel Stadium since June 23
• Santana has allowed 20 HRs this year, but the Rangers have hit just eight in July

Make sure to read up on all of today's action on the SBR Forum homepage

[starfire]

1 problem...
Ervin is sorry

[Jeff Grant]

The A.J. Burnett money tree lands in a favorable spot on Saturday night, as he enjoys throwing in umpire Dale Scott's strike zone:

-Burnett has made three career starts with Dale Scott behind home plate, leading his team to victories each of those efforts, while not allowing an earned run in 21.1 combined innings (3-0 under)
-The Pirates right-hander is the second-most profitable pitcher in baseball this year (+1,166), trailing only New York Mets knuckleballer R.A. Dickey (+1,318)
-Pittsburgh has won all nine of his home starts this year

[leetreaper]

sir ur a joke...

[briedward]

I put 250 on pirates, 100 on darkish. I agree darkish is scary on the road. I put a little since Santana isn't super either. I hate betting on road teams, but I thought, "what the hell". I also put 250 on white sox, but I always expect to get screwed on the road.

[Jeff Grant]

I put 250 on pirates, 100 on darkish. I agree darkish is scary on the road. I put a little since Santana isn't super either. I hate betting on road teams, but I thought, "what the hell". I also put 250 on white sox, but I always expect to get screwed on the road.

Good luck today

[Derty D]

Nice stats Jeff.

I'll be looking at the PIT and LAA finals tonight after hanging out at the Ocean Festival today...

Best of luck on all your bets!


I am on CWS-117 (5 Dimes)....

Got any stuff for or against CWS/DET?

[briedward]

I increased my pirates bet to $1250! Unfortunately price jumped from -135 last night (my first $250), to -150 (subsequent $1000)

Good luck to you too!

[Jeff Grant]

Other MLB Items (Part I)

-Tigers SP Rick Porcello is 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA in his last five starts against the White Sox
-Porcello has gone 3-1 with a 3.73 ERA in seven starts against AL Central opponents this year
-Porcello has allowed just one HR over his last 10 starts (56.2 IP)


-Philadelphia is 17-28 at home this year, getting outscored by a 200-168 margin
-The Phillies are 7-for-43 (.163) with RISP
-SP Cole Hamels is 11-1 with a 2.69 ERA in 15 starts against teams other than the Miami Marlins
-Hamels is 23-8 with a 2.89 ERA in 41 career starts versus NL West opponents


-Texas has the AL’s lowest ERA on the road (3.54)
-Second in the majors with a .269 road batting average (Tigers, .270)
-Homered 76 times in the first 50 games, just 32 over the L42 contests
-The Rangers are 14-10 in day games this season, including 9-7 on the road
-SP Yu Darvish is 8-1 with a 2.51 ERA when facing a team for the first time (0-2, 6.75 ERA third time)

Read more about Saturday's Giants vs. Phillies contest

[Sawyer]

Pirates ML & Angels-Rangers Over 8 for me.

[ShogunRua]

The Texas Rangers continue to be incredibly overvalued in the MLB betting odds, considering that they've scored the fewest runs (34) in the majors leagues in the month of July:

• Rangers SP Yu Darvish is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA when facing a team for a third time this year
• Five of Darvish's six losses have come on the road (3-5, 4.42 ERA away from Arlington overall)
• The Rangers have dropped their last four games as a road favorite of -110 to -150
• Texas has lost its last five games against AL West opponents with Darvish on the moun
• The Angels are 0-2 as a home underdog of +100 to +125 this season (2-0 under)
• The Angels are 10-3 in Ervin Santana's last 13 efforts as a home underdog
• Santana has a 1.06 ERA in his last two home starts - making his first start at Angel Stadium since June 23
• Santana has allowed 20 HRs this year, but the Rangers have hit just eight in July

Make sure to read up on all of today's action on the SBR Forum homepage

No offense man, but you really are cherry picking a lot of useless stats/trends there. You could find numerous little trends that favor the Rangers too. Just saying..