Bankers Last day before ASB, plays and discussion..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 02:45 AM

couple leans..

pads+146 or maybe more? been loving cincy this series but this seems like the kind of gm they dump, yea Marquis off 3 days rest but honestly dont think it will hurt him much (he has had mixed results doing this a few times before), thought this would be a good park for him and he hasnt been bad @ petco, he crafty enough to limit this reds lineup, maybe 6inn 2-3 runs....Cueto in a spot im not sure i like, pissed he should be on all-star team and honestly think cincy kind of team that overall will look past this gm after already wrapping up series and staring at break (could be off but just way i feel bout them)...havnt actually sold myself on this but think it either be sd or pass..curious to see lineup for dusty in this one..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 02:47 AM

first thought on atl/phi would be take the better team @ great odds again but wont look at it till morning...just typing out random shit i see while hitting the hashish

EC4THREE10 · 07-08-12, 02:57 AM

Dont over think the cincy game! play them!

2daBank · 07-08-12, 03:01 AM

would be nice to know Scherzer is fine??, tigers have seen so many lefties in a row and it showed today with chen, think they worth playing -1 or parlay ml as they could use another win and are seeing ball seemingly well...

2daBank · 07-08-12, 03:02 AM

Originally posted by EC4THREE10

Dont over think the cincy game! play them!

rather not..dont know that ill play pads, but it either them or pass to me...im good on this series (played reds in both) ill either play the dog or take my ball and go home.. bol

imho if you are willing to lay that price with cincy 2marro you should have bet your house, wife, kids on them in the 1st 2 gms at way better odds.... just doesnt make sense to me you saying cincy is a good play at this price when they were damn near even money in gm 1 and not much more in gm 2...you seriously overpaying for a gm that has lots of oddball circumstances to it...

EC4THREE10 · 07-08-12, 03:12 AM

Yes i agree with you totally thats why im parlaying cincy and maube a over also ... How do you feel about kc?? i like them to upset det tomm

2daBank · 07-08-12, 03:16 AM

Originally posted by EC4THREE10

Yes i agree with you totally thats why im parlaying cincy and maube a over also ... How do you feel about kc?? i like them to upset det tomm

post # 5

would like to know what to expect from Scherzer.

EC4THREE10 · 07-08-12, 03:17 AM

Software has kc winning at a 63.44% ... kinda good enough for me! not sure if ill play it or what!

2daBank · 07-08-12, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by EC4THREE10

Software has kc winning at a 63.44% ... kinda good enough for me! not sure if ill play it or what!

books would go broke making a team with a "63% chance of winning" a +165 dog... again im not saying kc cant win, its fukin baseball anyone can win, just saying your software a little off...again it all good and the gms your software spitting out could certainly win but it giving you unreasonable odds...

EC4THREE10 · 07-08-12, 03:36 AM

Yes agree i just use it as a tool to help cap! ...

jscene · 07-08-12, 04:05 AM

It's a 4 game series, Padres won the first game. Cueto lost his last start on Tues.

2daBank · 07-08-12, 06:51 AM

Originally posted by jscene

It's a 4 game series, Padres won the first game. Cueto lost his last start on Tues.

my bad, didnt realize they started thu (think i passed on 1st gm)

Madison · 07-08-12, 10:23 AM

Morning Banker,

Well to me the pitching matchup and the line is screaming to take LAD so you are probably right. Cap's only really bad start was in Colo (under very similar circunstances) and he had a very nice start earlier at Arz. I just thought the line would be closer to even or LAD favored slightly so I'm suspicious. GL

PAPSMEAR · 07-08-12, 11:08 AM

i'm all over the indians. stand out play for me today bank. good luck with it all.

2daBank · 07-08-12, 11:12 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Morning Banker,

Well to me the pitching matchup and the line is screaming to take LAD so you are probably right. Cap's only really bad start was in Colo (under very similar circunstances) and he had a very nice start earlier at Arz. I just thought the line would be closer to even or LAD favored slightly so I'm suspicious. GL

there no denying that cap been great, maybe im just not as much the believer i should be, guess he gonna have to prove it to me by shutting down dbags and their lhp killas 1 more time...certainly doesnt hurt that i seriously question Lad ability to score runs soi even if Cap[ is good there decent chance he loses as this prime spot for the kd from zona to have a good outing..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

i'm all over the indians. stand out play for me today bank. good luck with it all.

yea bro, i just didnt think that price represented what i feel cle chances are of hitting Shields today so i guess we will see....gl to us

2daBank · 07-08-12, 11:14 AM

would love for someone to be able to give me something to go on as to what to expect from Scherzer, det seems like parlay gold if i can count on him to be decent at least,.....maybe det tt ov as i think they still geared up to hit lefties right now..

Pin Fish · 07-08-12, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Morning Banker,

Well to me the pitching matchup and the line is screaming to take LAD so you are probably right. Cap's only really bad start was in Colo (under very similar circunstances) and he had a very nice start earlier at Arz. I just thought the line would be closer to even or LAD favored slightly so I'm suspicious. GL

Do you remember a few games ago Kershaw pitching as the dog ...I think you have it mixed up...the line is screaming to take AZ

Madison · 07-08-12, 11:24 AM

Agreed on LAD ability to score. They can turn any pitchers poor fortunes around. Only thing holding me back. Keep hitting me with some of these other factors as I admittedly rely heavily on pitching in my capping.

FWIW ... Scherzer last 4. 3 on road. 26 inn 8 runs, 34K, no more than 3 runs in any one game, one home game was 8 inn 0 runs. Been pretty solid in my view.

2daBank · 07-08-12, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Agreed on LAD ability to score. They can turn any pitchers poor fortunes around. Only thing holding me back. Keep hitting me with some of these other factors as I admittedly rely heavily on pitching in my capping.

FWIW ... Scherzer last 4. 3 on road. 26 inn 8 runs, 34K, no more than 3 runs in any one game, one home game was 8 inn 0 runs. Been pretty solid in my view.

yea it is just the extended time off due to the hamstring that has me a little worried, im sure he fine or there no way they would pitch him day before ASB if there was any concern, just fact he hasnt pitched in 10 days or so...

BiffTFinancial · 07-08-12, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

ok so last day before the break, personally im not a huge fan of betting 1st day (or even series) right after play resumes so figure we need to bang out a nice ass card before some needed time off...have a few i already hit on thinking it was best line would get (ive been wrong many times in this aspect, lol) and few leans..then hopefully some of the smart cats i know around this joint will start chiming in with plays/thoughts/comments/whatever..

the couple i grabbed w reduced juice...

cle-104....ive watched Sheilds quite a bit lately and feel like he is primed to get hit here vs a tribe team that has been swinging bats much better as of late..admittedly i do not know much about McAllister besides what i see on paper, so far he has been striking guys out and not walking ppl, not much to go on but had similar things going on in the minors, and lets be real tb hasnt been ripping the cover off the ball and prob wont till they get healthy (besides the random outburst)..maybe shields is lights out but i feel like price giving him a little to much credit here...

dbags-119.. i know im gonna here Bauer got lit up by sd and ha yet to prove anything yet but pads bats (especially on road) are far better than what lad has to offer right now.. Capuano has been great no doubt and has already pitched well against this dbag team that normally eats up lhp, all that said i like zona chances of getting some runs early and helping the kid relax (not like Bauer cant pitch, we know he can), think kid looks good in this one against lad bats that could only manage 3 a piece off cahil and collmenter not so special asses..i grabbed dbags-119 thinking it wont get better (ive been wrong many times on this), nonetheless i like zona for some reason or another..

these the only 2 i decided to play early, right or wrong just felt like i should go ahead and get on them..have bunch of leans but going to get some sleep...hopefully some of the folks i respect will chime in and we can have a discussion about these and the rest of the card when i wake up...

i like Tribe today and McAllister in general. BOL Bank.

2daBank · 07-08-12, 12:02 PM

det-1/mia/stl un 5 ff 2 team parlay +209...

not real sure on Scherzer but det is playing good ball, owns kc, and could use this win going into the break, as ive mentioned they have seen a good amount of lhp in a row and think they dialed in...

Teaser Sucker · 07-08-12, 12:02 PM

BOL Bank.

PAPSMEAR · 07-08-12, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

det-1/mia/stl un 5 ff 2 team parlay +209...

not real sure on Scherzer but det is playing good ball, owns kc, and could use this win going into the break, as ive mentioned they have seen a good amount of lhp in a row and think they dialed in...

det has almost got that it seems too easy feel about it. gl though with the parlay bank

2daBank · 07-08-12, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

det has almost got that it seems too easy feel about it. gl though with the parlay bank

if Scherzer is fine on the extended rest i have no prob with this play, number high for a reason, think it actually attracted some kc money and like i said det dialed in against lefties right now..i more worried about avoiding the big inning in the cards gm that will toast this thing..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 12:20 PM

giving some serious thought to hou +1.5 and sd +1.5...both can be had at very good prices and im not sold that either mil or cin should be this big of favs here..

BiffTFinancial · 07-08-12, 12:25 PM

was just getting ready to ask how you like MIA/StL FF under and see that you've already addressed it. nice.

2daBank · 07-08-12, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

was just getting ready to ask how you like MIA/StL FF under and see that you've already addressed it. nice.

love Cuzzi behind plate, cards offense little stagnant at bottom with Yadi's absence....Kelly has me somewhat a believer as he throws ks and has good movement on his pitches (even tho he still gets in trouble out over the plate at times) with Stanton out of lineup now for fish think we have good chance of a low scoring affair early at least (actually kinda like gm under as well but 1 of these pens bound get blown up at some point this series)...i paid for the hook as 3-2 certainly isnt out of the question again today..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 12:33 PM

4 team parlay for shits and giggles..

nats-1
hou+1.5
sd+1.5
card ml..yea im a homer, lol..

pays bout 9.5 to 1 , thru 20 bucks on it just because im bored..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 12:39 PM

would have been nice to see tribe get more than 1 there but at least they on the board...tigers continue seeing the lefties well, happy to get scherzer the early lead..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 01:10 PM

Hate to be such a homer but Cards are priced down to where i feel they worth a play...

stl-109... kelly is a solid young arm and im getting damn near even money that cards take a series from the fish? fukk it im sold..

2daBank · 07-08-12, 01:14 PM

Shields getting lit up like a christmas tree

2daBank · 07-08-12, 01:16 PM

what a shocker, Greinke getting touched up

Vinnie Paz · 07-08-12, 01:20 PM

Tampa grtting no hit