Plata Plays

[mikeyplata]

Wanted to start tracking my plays. All plays 1 unit unless specified.

7/5

Cleveland ML (-109) - Small favorite on Cleveland who has a worse record than their opp, and a starting pitcher with a worse era. Public will see a team with a better pitcher and a better record. thank you vegas.

Colorado ML (+187) - Lynn last 3 starts. @DET 5.0 IP 9 H 5 ER @KC 5.1 IP 9 H 6 ER PIT 5.0 IP 7 H 6 ER

Minnesota ML (+135) - some good + money. Diamond is 5-0, 1.70 ERA in daytime.

[mikeyplata]

Mia/Mil Over 9 (-115)

[mikeyplata]

1-3 -3.02U

first pick for 7/6

Boston (-108) - again, small favorite on Boston against the Bronx Bombers. Public will drool. Boston has a worse record and a pitcher with a higher ERA.

will watch line to see if i get a better value.

[mikeyplata]

arizona is another for tomorrow but i'm only going to watch. started small favorite against a team with a better record and a better pitcher.
ari is at +104 right now.

public will be all over dodgers.

[mikeyplata]

apparently bovada agrees with boston.

[jbart28]

What book are you using?

[mikeyplata]

What book are you using?

i use 5D and sometimes bovada

[mikeyplata]

mia/stl over 9 1/2 (+100) - nolasco and westbrook had good games last time they met but the game ended 8-7. westbrook against chc and pitt allowed 3 ER and 11 hits in 13.2 IP the first time he saw them and 8 ER 21 hits in 13 IP the 2nd time. nolasco against bos and nym allowed 4 ER and 10 hits in 13 IP the 1st time he saw them and 15 ER and 18 hits in 8 IP the second time around.

[mikeyplata]

todays card:

BOS (+101) 2U - thank you public for making bos underdog
ARI (+101) .5U
MIA/STL over 9.5 (+110)

adding

was/col under 7.5 (-105)- D. Pomeranz gained confidence with his last start when he pitched in Colorado against the Padres. Strasburg is on 5 days rest after his game in ATL with just 4 days of rest after pitching in hitter friendly coors. I expect him to pitch well today.

[mikeyplata]

3-5 -4.51U


7/8

Boston and Arizona both started as favorites even with Capuano on the mound for LAD and Nova on the mound for NYY. Perfect opportunity for public to pound locks LAD & NYY.

Boston (-118)
Arizona (-122)

Philadelphia (-125)
Tex -1 1/2 (+103)