MagicDiceFlow's Play of the Day for Tuesday

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  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #1
    MagicDiceFlow's Play of the Day for Tuesday
    Play of the Day for Tuesday:

    Last week we faded the Yankees with Nova on the mound and scored a big win with the White Sox +170. However today, circumstances are much different and I believe the Yankees will win tonight. Nova is a very solid road pitcher. He's got a very respectable 3.44 ERA away from home and the key here is his dominance against Tampa Bay in his career, a solid 2.82 ERA against the Rays. Another important factor to consider is the Rays bats currently. Their offense has gone terribly stale the last several games. There is absolutely no one on this lineup that is intimidating. The Rays will have to beat the Yankees with small ball which I don't believe will be effective against the powerful Yankees lineup. Don't get too greedy or cute by taking the -1.5 run line. Book the safer win here as -120 is a great number given the circumstances tonight.

    For the Rays, they have a respectable pitcher in Shields on the mound. Shields does have the potential to shut out a team but the savvy veteran has been very unreliable for over two months now. At times brilliant and most of the time, very unstable. Coupled with the fact that the Yankees has seen so much of Shields over the years, that could be the factor that spells doom for him tonight.

    Yankees will take one tonight in Tampa....it's a solid play.

    -------------------------------YANKEES -120 --------------------------------------

    (no parlays tonight, best of luck everyone)






    Wager Type : Money Line
    Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 1,000.00 / 840.34(USD)
    Accepted : 7/3/2012 11:08AM - PST



    Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game
    Selection : New York Yankees
    Time : 7/3/2012 4:10:01PM - (PST)
    Line : -120
    Pitchers : I. Nova - R - Must Pitch / J. Shields - R - Must Pitch
    Game Notes : (MLB)

  • russiaboss
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-15-10
    • 735

    #2
    On TB +106
    GL
    Comment
    • a4u2fear
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8147

      #3
      on it
      Comment
      • R.P. McMurphy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-15-12
        • 9654

        #4
        SWEET!! Reassuring to know you're on them MDF you been on fire. Got them this morning at -113. Evil Empire shall conquer tonight!!
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          MDF, i never really saw your 1st thread until you were at end of the goal you had laid out (congrats on that btw)...but i have noticed quite a few of your post lately and more times than not we seem to be on the same side and/or pretty much agree on lot of points....nyy was 1st play i booked last night so seems we continue to be seeing things similarly (cards-1.5 was my biggest play yesterday as well)...anyway thought id stop in and say like your thought process on lot of these gms and to keep doing what you doing..gl tonight and moving forward
          Comment
          • EVPlus
            SBR MVP
            • 04-07-12
            • 1111

            #6
            BOL on this MDF.
            Comment
            • good2go2mexico
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-25-11
              • 791

              #7
              I'm on the Yankees straight and I'm throwing out a New York (Mets), New York (Yanks) parlay for myself.
              Comment
              • Tofudog
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-30-12
                • 858

                #8
                Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                SWEET!! Reassuring to know you're on them MJD you been on fire. Got them this morning at -113. Evil Empire shall conquer tonight!!
                lol MJD...

                Any reason the line is dropping? I just got them at -109???
                Comment
                • ghislaine
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-14-10
                  • 1131

                  #9
                  Respect Your insights and would like to know as to why mets ? Any particulars ? Cause I kinda like that parlay
                  Originally posted by good2go2mexico
                  I'm on the Yankees straight and I'm throwing out a New York (Mets), New York (Yanks) parlay for myself.
                  Comment
                  • ChrisJ
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-05-11
                    • 148

                    #10
                    BOL tonight MDF. Tailing again for sure, but we should almost add some kind of parlay - you are due for a magic $2-4k hit
                    Comment
                    • PMcG012
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 06-17-12
                      • 154

                      #11
                      What do you guys think of NYY tt over 4? Thinking of getting it at -120
                      Comment
                      • JuniorAnalyst
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-21-11
                        • 2148

                        #12
                        Pmcg, the key to this game isnt the yanks ability to score alot of runs its that we expect Nova to hold tampa stale. I believe thats why mdf says to stick to ml not rl. this could easily be a 2-1/3-2 type game . if your aiming at a team total dont touch the yanks go under on the rays as they would be lucky to squeeze 3+
                        Comment
                        • PMcG012
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 06-17-12
                          • 154

                          #13
                          Thanks, I'll just steer clear of totals for this game and stick with the ML.
                          Comment
                          • good2go2mexico
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-25-11
                            • 791

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ghislaine
                            Respect Your insights and would like to know as to why mets ? Any particulars ? Cause I kinda like that parlay
                            I'm not looking to take over Magic's thread but real quickly: the Mets have been consistently raking against right handed pitching over the last month, the Mets have won 6 of 9 against the Philliess, the Phillies are coming in on a 5 game losing streak and rumors are swirling that they're looking to trade off Cole Hammels. I just see it as 2 teams heavily trending opposite directions. Oh and I'm a huge Mets fan to top it off.
                            Comment
                            • good2go2mexico
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-25-11
                              • 791

                              #15
                              Originally posted by good2go2mexico
                              Oh and I'm a huge Mets fan to top it off.
                              I was joking about that part. While I am a huge Mets fan but I have bet against them many, many times.
                              Comment
                              • BigPage25
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-17-12
                                • 3571

                                #16
                                I believe magic is a real good capper... But I'm leaning more towards betting on the rays ... i don't know what it is but for some reason playing the yankees always seems to bring out the best in the rays... Rays win tonight 5 - 3
                                Comment
                                • JuniorAnalyst
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-21-11
                                  • 2148

                                  #17
                                  take houston TT Under or Pirates Over... Heck play the pirates -1.5
                                  Comment
                                  • rumnblack
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-21-12
                                    • 876

                                    #18
                                    BOL Majic
                                    Comment
                                    • ghislaine
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-14-10
                                      • 1131

                                      #19
                                      Thanks man
                                      Mind if I lock that in as well !!

                                      Originally posted by good2go2mexico
                                      I'm not looking to take over Magic's thread but real quickly: the Mets have been consistently raking against right handed pitching over the last month, the Mets have won 6 of 9 against the Philliess, the Phillies are coming in on a 5 game losing streak and rumors are swirling that they're looking to trade off Cole Hammels. I just see it as 2 teams heavily trending opposite directions. Oh and I'm a huge Mets fan to top it off.
                                      Comment
                                      • ghislaine
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-10
                                        • 1131

                                        #20
                                        Let's hope it hits, pays out more than double
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigPage25
                                          I believe magic is a real good capper... But I'm leaning more towards betting on the rays ... i don't know what it is but for some reason playing the yankees always seems to bring out the best in the rays... Rays win tonight 5 - 3
                                          believe spanks have lost 8 in a row at the trop....and Shields has owned them at home..that said still feel like with current form of each team nyy has some decent value...
                                          Comment
                                          • BigPage25
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-17-12
                                            • 3571

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                            believe spanks have lost 8 in a row at the trop....and Shields has owned them at home..that said still feel like with current form of each team nyy has some decent value...
                                            True but i just feel the Rays are going to get the win tonight
                                            Comment
                                            • alta
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-08-06
                                              • 1457

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              believe spanks have lost 8 in a row at the trop....and Shields has owned them at home..that said still feel like with current form of each team nyy has some decent value...
                                              Shields is 5-13 with a 4.55 ERA in 23 starts against the Yankees, who have beaten him more than any team.
                                              He's 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA in three outings this year,
                                              Comment
                                              • alta
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-08-06
                                                • 1457

                                                #24
                                                Sure would like too see Nova continue his success against the Rays and stop the current Rays home streak vs the Yankees.
                                                The Yankees have won all six starts by Nova against the Rays, with the right-hander going 4-0 with a 2.82 ERA. That includes a 2-0 mark and 1.80 ERA in two this year.
                                                Comment
                                                • bighawk12
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 06-06-12
                                                  • 445

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice dice im on it w you.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • hundredbombs
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-15-12
                                                    • 174

                                                    #26
                                                    The more important stat is the Yankees have 4 HR and 13 RBI's off Shields this season alone. He also gave up 6 runs against them in his first start of the season AT HOME.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JuniorAnalyst
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-21-11
                                                      • 2148

                                                      #27
                                                      Cant complain so far.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MagicDiceFlow
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-15-12
                                                        • 4585

                                                        #28
                                                        Best of luck guys!

                                                        Yankees pounding on Shields early 1st inning. Double/Double/Single ....nice 2-0 lead here early.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MagicDiceFlow
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-15-12
                                                          • 4585

                                                          #29
                                                          .....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hzw7500
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 06-14-12
                                                            • 8

                                                            #30
                                                            MDF what do you think of cards -1 play? Thinking about to put some dimes on the runline.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Luca Fury
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-10-12
                                                              • 1136

                                                              #31
                                                              Another recommended bet by Magic, and another one that looks like a winner!

                                                              I tailed you on this and got it for -113 in the afternoon. It's looking good, with Yankees up 3-0
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mngambler
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-01-11
                                                                • 2890

                                                                #32
                                                                geeezus, had him gunned down at home and catcher drops the fking ball
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mngambler
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-01-11
                                                                  • 2890

                                                                  #33
                                                                  yup saw that sh*t coming a mile away...fkin new that error at home was gonna fk em
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Prime Sports
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 06-20-12
                                                                    • 105

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good luck mate!!

                                                                    Let's cash this one!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      damn nyy is +190 live..guess books dont see them scoring again? crazy it that high in 1 run gm in 5th..
                                                                      Comment
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