Some early leans I'm looking at
Dodgers -101. The Phillies have no business being favored at home against any halfway decent opponent. They're 12-17 now at home and fading their homegames has just been astoundingly profitable
Red Sox - 170/RL +120. Baltimore won game 1, but I still think they're a complete fraud and will continue regress to their expected level of play. Chen has really struggled recently and facing an offense that averages about 6 runs a game at home will likely not be kind. Beckett has been inconsistent this year, but he has pitched pretty well outside of 2 starts against the tigers and 1 bad start against cleveland. Big thing that scares me is Beckett's career numbers have been terrible against Baltimore recently
Rangers - 150/ RL + 110. Rangers have played well on the road and have owned Oakland in recent years. They're due for a nice long hot streak after losing something like 6 out of 8 games. Colby lewis has pitched well, just gotten f*cked by bad defense and bad luck. Colon has been brutal recently
Brewers - 210/RL around even. Brewers 19-1 last 20 homegames when Greinke started. Cubs against a decent opponent is autofade material. I don't believe they've won 2 straight on the road all season and I don't expect it to start tomorrow
Angels - 150/RL +130. Angels have been red hot for a while now as they climb to the record that people expect them to have. Noesi is absolutely terrible and Jerome Williams is pretty good. I thought this line would be around - 200. Real value here IMO
Dodgers -101. The Phillies have no business being favored at home against any halfway decent opponent. They're 12-17 now at home and fading their homegames has just been astoundingly profitable
Red Sox - 170/RL +120. Baltimore won game 1, but I still think they're a complete fraud and will continue regress to their expected level of play. Chen has really struggled recently and facing an offense that averages about 6 runs a game at home will likely not be kind. Beckett has been inconsistent this year, but he has pitched pretty well outside of 2 starts against the tigers and 1 bad start against cleveland. Big thing that scares me is Beckett's career numbers have been terrible against Baltimore recently
Rangers - 150/ RL + 110. Rangers have played well on the road and have owned Oakland in recent years. They're due for a nice long hot streak after losing something like 6 out of 8 games. Colby lewis has pitched well, just gotten f*cked by bad defense and bad luck. Colon has been brutal recently
Brewers - 210/RL around even. Brewers 19-1 last 20 homegames when Greinke started. Cubs against a decent opponent is autofade material. I don't believe they've won 2 straight on the road all season and I don't expect it to start tomorrow
Angels - 150/RL +130. Angels have been red hot for a while now as they climb to the record that people expect them to have. Noesi is absolutely terrible and Jerome Williams is pretty good. I thought this line would be around - 200. Real value here IMO
